StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > NBA Lagniappe 2/11
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread


Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

NBA Lagniappe 2/11

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
Play Against - Road teams (CHICAGO) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games
(44-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +3.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (501) PHILADELPHIA vs. (502) BROOKLYN
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, second half of the season
(97-47 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.4%, +45.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +4.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (507) MIAMI vs. (508) ORLANDO
Favoring: ORLANDO against the spread.
Play On - Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
(67-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.8%, +35.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-5 +3.5 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (501) PHILADELPHIA vs. (502) BROOKLYN
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, second half of the season
(127-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.8%, +54.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +6.8 units).

Old Post 02-11-23 11:52 AM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (501) PHILADELPHIA vs. (502) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
(124-56 since 1996.) (68.9%, +62.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +0.6 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (515) LA LAKERS vs. (516) GOLDEN STATE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Any team (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=118 PPG)
(52-18 since 1996.) (74.3%, +32.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-4 +7.6 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (515) LA LAKERS vs. (516) GOLDEN STATE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Any team (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=118 PPG)
(52-18 since 1996.) (74.3%, +32.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-4 +7.6 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Old Post 02-11-23 11:52 AM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: INDIANA on the first half line.
Play On - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (INDIANA) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +29.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (509) UTAH vs. (510) NEW YORK
Favoring: UTAH on the first half line.
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UTAH) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games
(34-9 since 1996.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +4.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (505) DENVER vs. (506) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-3 +4.7 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (517) DALLAS vs. (518) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: SACRAMENTO on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite
(109-53 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +50.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4 +1.6 units).

Old Post 02-11-23 01:08 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 111 (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(47-14 since 1996.) (77.0%, +31.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(52-17 since 1996.) (75.4%, +33.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(52-17 since 1996.) (75.4%, +33.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (WASHINGTON) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(50-16 since 1996.) (75.8%, +32.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2 +5.8 units).

Old Post 02-11-23 01:08 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Faves went 7-4 SU but just 6-5 ATS with Rockets (+12) covering in 97-95 loss at the Heat. The upsets were by the Jazz (+8.5 at Raptors), Mavericks (+4.5 at Kings), Thunder (+2.5 at Blazers) and Suns (+2.5 at Pacers). Road teams went 6-5 SU but home teams led 6-5 ATS. Overs 7-4.

More NBA: On the season, favorites lead 540-293 SU with 11 games closing pick-'em, but underdogs still lead 420-392-21 ATS (51.7%). Home teams lead 501-343 SU and 434-391-19 ATS (52.6%). In totals wagering, Overs improved slim lead to 425-405-14 (51.2%).

Old Post 02-11-23 07:00 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (511) SAN ANTONIO vs. (512) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 111.6, OPPONENT 124.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (511) SAN ANTONIO vs. (512) ATLANTA
Favoring: SAN ANTONIO against the spread.
ATLANTA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after playing a home game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 114.1, OPPONENT 117.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-11-23 07:02 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (515) LA LAKERS vs. (516) GOLDEN STATE
Favoring: Over on the total.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-1 OVER (+13.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 119.2, OPPONENT 115.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the total.
CLEVELAND is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 104.2, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (503) INDIANA vs. (504) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
WASHINGTON is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 111.2, OPPONENT 117.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (511) SAN ANTONIO vs. (512) ATLANTA
Favoring: Under on the total.
ATLANTA is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 106.9, OPPONENT 110.4 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 02-11-23 07:04 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (505) DENVER vs. (506) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
CHARLOTTE is 16-35 (-22.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when the first half total >= 111 this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 55.9, OPPONENT 61.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the first half line.
CHICAGO is 2-14 (-13.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 48.6, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-11-23 07:06 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (511) SAN ANTONIO vs. (512) ATLANTA
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
ATLANTA is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 65.1, OPPONENT 60.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (501) PHILADELPHIA vs. (502) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
BROOKLYN is 24-7 OVER (+16.3 Units) the 1rst half total vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 56.8, OPPONENT 58.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
CHICAGO is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 53.3, OPPONENT 57.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (513) CHICAGO vs. (514) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
CHICAGO is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 50.1, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-11-23 07:06 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
  Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: