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msudogs
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NCAAB Lagniappe 2/08

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (699) TENNESSEE vs. (700) VANDERBILT
Favoring: VANDERBILT against the spread.
Play Against - Road teams as an favorite or pick (TENNESSEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record
(46-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.7%, +33.9 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4 +2.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (699) TENNESSEE vs. (700) VANDERBILT
Favoring: VANDERBILT against the spread.
Play Against - A road team (TENNESSEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record
(46-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.3%, +32.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4 +2.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (739) NEW MEXICO ST vs. (740) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: NEW MEXICO ST against the spread.
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GRAND CANYON) - after a close win by 3 points or less, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent
(93-42 since 1997.) (68.9%, +46.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2 -0.2 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (739) NEW MEXICO ST vs. (740) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: NEW MEXICO ST against the spread.
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GRAND CANYON) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent
(65-26 since 1997.) (71.4%, +36.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Old Post 02-08-23 08:20 AM
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Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (727) WISCONSIN vs. (728) PENN ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (PENN ST) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +3.8 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (727) WISCONSIN vs. (728) PENN ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PENN ST) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +3.8 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (727) WISCONSIN vs. (728) PENN ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +3.8 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (727) WISCONSIN vs. (728) PENN ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +3.8 units).

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Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (715) N IOWA vs. (716) EVANSVILLE
Favoring: N IOWA on the first half line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (N IOWA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games
(29-6 since 1997.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (1547) BUCKNELL vs. (1548) NAVY
Favoring: NAVY on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (NAVY) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
(94-41 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.6%, +48.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +5.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (659) HOFSTRA vs. (660) NORTHEASTERN
Favoring: HOFSTRA on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (HOFSTRA) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
(94-41 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.6%, +48.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +5.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (721) TULSA vs. (722) HOUSTON
Favoring: TULSA on the first half line.
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (TULSA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 02-08-23 08:24 AM
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Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (735) LSU vs. (736) MISSISSIPPI ST
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less
(47-14 since 1997.) (77.0%, +31.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.1 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (1537) VERMONT vs. (1538) MAINE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (VERMONT) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half
(35-9 since 1997.) (79.5%, +25.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (683) IUPUI vs. (684) WRIGHT ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (WRIGHT ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (<=20%)
(32-8 since 1997.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (1527) WINTHROP vs. (1528) UNC-ASHEVILLE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (UNC-ASHEVILLE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss as a road favorite
(61-24 since 1997.) (71.8%, +34.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 02-08-23 08:24 AM
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Closing out Wednesday’s action in the Southeastern Conference, Mississippi State looks to add to its winning streak by beating LSU at the Humphrey Coliseum.

The Bulldogs have racked up three straight victories to enter this matchup with a 15-7 record overall and a 3-7 mark in the SEC.

Meanwhile, the Tigers have struggled since entering conference action, dropping 10 straight to sit at 12-11 on the year.

In a game with major postseason ramifications, we should have two desperate teams that are looking for a win under first-year head coaches.

Head coach Matt McMahon’s debut season in Baton Rouge was off to a great start after he picked up 11 wins throughout the nonconference schedule. However, the program has won just once since, which came all the way back on Dec. 28.

The struggles have really shown on the road, where the average margin of defeat in the SEC has been 17.2 points per game. The Tigers have also allowed an average of 79.2 PPG in those losses.

Even in the team’s poor performances, forward KJ Williams has been a bright star for LSU. He enters this game as the league’s third-best scorer at 16.7 PPG.

He also leads the Tigers in rebounding at 7.6 RPG, which is going to be very key in this matchup against Mississippi State big man Tolu Smith.

In a similar fashion to McMahon, Bulldogs head coach Chris Jans’ regime at his new school also got off to a flying start. He opened the season with 11 straight wins before stumbling to open SEC play.

However, the Bulldogs have responded with victories over No. 17 TCU, Missouri and South Carolina.

After this winning run, MSU has moved up to 46th in the NET rankings, which gives the program a chance to make the NCAA Tournament under its new coach.

The Bulldogs’ calling card this season has been their play on the defensive end of the floor, where they rank inside the top 20 in adjusted defensive efficiency (11th), effective field goal percentage (15th), forcing turnovers (12th) and defending 2-pointers (16th), according to BartTorvik.

This is also the same squad that ranks 42nd in opponent 3-point percentage.

Smith leads MSU on offense, and he was named SEC Player of the Week last week after averaging 20 PPG and 10 RPG. The veteran center leads the conference in field goal percentage (58.3%) to go along with averages of 14.9 PPG and 8.4 RPG this season.

The Tigers’ issues have been well documented in SEC play, but they’re magnified in the opening periods of contests. LSU has averaged just 26.4 PPG in the first half of conference road games, which is not good when it’s facing a Bulldog squad that ranks third in the country in first-half points allowed.

Over the last six home games, MSU has held opponents to just 23.3 PPG, which is a stretch that includes No. 6 Tennessee, No. 3 Alabama, No. 17 TCU and a high-scoring Missouri team. This same bet would have cashed in four of those matchups and in 70% of all Bulldogs games this season.

Tempo is also key when betting totals, and both of these programs like to play at a slow pace. The Tigers rank 268th in tempo, KenPom, while Mississippi State is even slower at 329th.

Old Post 02-08-23 08:48 AM
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Creighton @ Seton Hall
— Creighton (15-8, 9-3) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #160
— Continuity: #87
— Creighton won last six games, giving up 60.3 ppg in last three.
— Creighton is 2-3 SU on Big East road, 1-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Creighton is shooting 55.5% inside arc (#20).
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#30)
— Bluejays are #12 team on defensive boards.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #21
— bench minutes: #348
— Creighton’s best win: 84-67 over #21 Xavier

— Seton Hall (15-9, 8-5) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #220
— Experience: #23
— Continuity: #206
— Seton Hall won seven of its last eight games.
— Pirates are 4-2 SU/1-1 ATS as a Big East home underdog.
— Seton Hall has #22 eFG% defense in country.
— Pirates are #247 team in country on offensive boards.
— Seton Hall gets 22.7% of its points on foul line (#13)
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #16
— bench minutes: #61
— Seton Hall’s best win: 67-66 over #6 UConn

— Creighton (-8) led 43-22 at half, beat Seton Hall 83-61 at home January 9.
— Creighton won five of last seven series games.
— Bluejays split their last four visits to New Jersey.
— Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-7 ATS.

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Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
— Tennessee (19-4, 8-2) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #120
— Tennessee won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Tennessee is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Tennessee has #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 24% of time (#10)
— Vols are #3 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #51
— bench minutes: #110
— Tennessee’s best win: 82-71 over #10 Texas

— Vanderbilt (11-12, 4-6) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #251
— Experience: #97
— Continuity: #123
— Vandy lost six of its last nine games.
— Vandy is 3-2 SU/1-2 ATS as an SEC home underdog.
— Commodores are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#251), 32.1% on arc (#277)
— Commodores are #219 team in country on defensive boards.
— Vandy is 1-8 against top 50 teams.
— Vandy’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #27
— Vandy’s best win: 97-84 over #27 Arkansas

— Tennessee (-14) beat Vandy 77-68 at home January 10.
— Vols won last eleven series games.
— Tennessee won its last six visits to Nashville (68-60 LY)
— SEC home underdogs are 9-17 ATS this season.

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Iowa State @ West Virginia
— Iowa State (16-6, 7-3) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #199
— Iowa State is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Iowa State is 2-3 SU in Big 14 road games, 3-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 26.9% of time (#1)
— Cyclones are #27 team on offensive boards.
— ISU is getting 14.1% of points on foul line; opponents 22.7%.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #215
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #10 Texas

— West Virginia (14-9, 3-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #330
— West Virginia won three of its last four games.
— WVU is 2-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— West Virginia #28 team in country on offensive boards.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#45)
— West Virginia is getting 22.5% of points on foul line (#17)
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #6
— bench minutes: #78
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #17 TCU

— West Virginia won six of last seven series games.
— Cyclones lost last seven visits to Morgantown, all by 10+ points.
— Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 12-8 ATS

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Memphis @ South Florida
— Memphis (17-6, 7-2) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #264
— Memphis won five of its last six games.
— Tigers are 3-2 SU on AAC road, 0-2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Memphis is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#52)
— Memphis is #317 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#53), 32.8% on arc (#232)
— Memphis schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #42
— Memphis best win: 82-73 over #26 Auburn

— South Florida (10-13, 3-7) ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #73
— Continuity: #152
— South Florida lost seven of its last ten games.
— Bulls are 2-3 SU in AAC home tilts, 1-1 ATS as a home underdog
— Bulls are 2-5 against top 100 teams.
— South Florida is shooting 64.7% on foul line (#341)
— South Florida is #35 team on offensive boards.
— South Florida’s schedule, to this point: #167
— bench minutes: #234
— South Florida’s best win: 85-72 over #63 Central Florida

— Memphis (-14) beat South Florida 93-86 December 29.
— Memphis won last four meetings.
— Tigers won last three visits to USF by 4-21-9 points.
— AAC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-5 ATS

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Belmont @ Missouri State
— Belmont (17-8, 10-4) ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #266
— Belmont won eight of its last ten games.
— Belmont is 4-3 SU/3-3-1 ATS on MVC road.
— Bruins are shooting 39.4% on arc (#6)
— Belmont has #226 eFG% defense in country.
— Bruins are #261 team on offensive boards, #288 on defensive end.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #202
— bench minutes: #189
— Belmont’s best wins: 63-60/78-76 over #85 Bradley

— Missouri State (12-12, 8-6) ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #334
— Missouri State lost three of its last five games.
— Missouri State is 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in MVC home games.
— Bears are #68 team in country on offensive boards.
— Missouri State is shooting 62.3% on foul line (#354)
— Bears are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Missouri State’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #7
— Missouri State’s best wins: 52-49/65-62 over #81 Drake

— Missouri State (+1.5) lost 74-61 at Belmont January 7th.
— That was teams’ first meeting as MVC rivals.
— MVC home teams are 13-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

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NC-Wilmington @ Charleston
— NC-Wilmington (19-6, 9-3) ranked #143 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #246
— UNCW won its last four games, giving up 56.5 ppg.
— Seahawks are 5-1 SU on CAA road, 0-2 ATS as a CAA underdog.
— UNCW is shooting 48.4% inside arc (#256), 33.3% on arc (#202)
— UNCW is getting 23.6% of its points on foul line (#5)
— Seahawks are 3-5 in games vs top 200 teams.
— UNCW’s schedule, to this point: #297
— bench minutes: #130
— UNCW’s best win: 55-51 over #65 North Texas.

— Charleston (22-3, 10-2) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #200
— Charleston lost two of last three games, after a 21-1 start.
— Charleston is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS as a CAA home favorite.
— Cougars are #16 team in country on offensive boards.
— Cougars are shooting 52% inside arc (#101), 32.6% on arc (#244)
— Charleston is 10-2 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Charleston’s schedule, to this point: #267
— bench minutes: #36
— Charleston’s best win: 77-75 over #48 Virginia Tech.

— Charleston (-1.5) won 71-69 in Wilmington January 11.
— Cougars outscored UNCW 7-0 over final 2:24 of that game.
— UNCW won five of last six series games.
— Seahawks won 72-70/86-78 in last two visits to Charleston.
— CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 9-14 ATS.

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Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State
— Texas Tech (12-11, 1-9) ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #163
— Continuity: #320
— Texas Tech lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Texas Tech is 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Big 12 road underdog.
— Red Raiders are shooting 53.9% inside arc (#46), 33.8% on arc (#189)
— Texas Tech is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#39)
— Red Raiders are 3-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #136
— Texas Tech’s best win: 80-77 in OT over #19 Iowa State

— Oklahoma State (14-9, 5-5) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #139
— OSU won five of its last six games.
— Cowboys are 4-1 SU/4-0 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— OSU has #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 20.9% of time (#314)
— OSU is 10-2 vs teams ranked outside the top 50.
— OSU’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #83
— OSU’s best win: 67-60 over #14 West Virginia

— Oklahoma State won four of last five series games.
— Tech lost its last three visits to Stillwater, by 1-3-5 points.
— Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 17-12 ATS

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Central Florida @ Wichita State
— Central Florida (13-9, 4-6) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #336
— UCF lost its last five games SU, giving up 78.8 ppg.
— Knights are 1-4 SU on AAC road, 2-2 ATS as a road dog.
— UCF has #53 eFG% defense in country.
— UCF is #17 team on offensive boards, #277 on defensive end.
— Knights are 5-7 vs teams ranked in top 125.
— UCF’s schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #187
— UCF’s best win: 60-56 over #29 Oklahoma State

— Wichita State (12-11, 5-6) ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #321
— Wichita split its last six games
— Wichita lost four of its five AAC home games.
— Shockers are shooting 29.3% on the arc (#347)
— Shockers have #281 eFG%, the #23 eFG% defense,
— Wichita is 0-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Wichita’s schedule, to this point: #110
— bench minutes: #138
— Wichita’s best win: 55-43 over #123 Grand Canyon

— UCF (-7.5) beat Wichita State 52-45 at home December 28
— UCF won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
— Knights lost their last five visits to Wichita, last two by 5-5 points.
— AAC home teams are 5-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

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Wisconsin @ Penn State
— Wisconsin (13-9, 5-7) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #349
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #141
— Wisconsin lost seven of its last nine games.
— Wisconsin is 2-4 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big 14 road dog.
— Badgers are shooting 36.1% on arc (#70), 45.5% inside arc (#329).
— Wisconsin is #53 team on defensive boards.
— Badgers are 8-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #240
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 in OT over #10 Marquette.

— Penn State (14-9, 5-7) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #136
— Penn State lost six of its last nine games.
— Lions are 4-2 SU/4-1 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Penn State is shooting 38.4% on arc (#14), 53.2% inside it (#60)
— Lions are #39 team in country on defensive boards.
— Penn State gets 11% of points on foul line, least in country.
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #38
— bench minutes: #285
— Penn State’s best win: 85-66 over #20 Indiana

— Wisconsin (-2) beat Penn State 63-60 at home January 17.
— Wisconsin won 17 of last 18 series games.
— Badgers won seven of last eight visits to Happy Valley.
— Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 28-6 ATS

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Florida @ Alabama
— Florida (13-10, 6-4) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #222
— Florida won six of its last nine games.
— Gators are 2-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
— Florida is shooting 32.4% on arc (#257)
— Gators have #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida is 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #18
— bench minutes: #76
— Florida’s best win: 67-54 over #2 Tennessee.

— Alabama (20-3, 10-0) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #254
— Continuity: #282
— Alabama won 11 of its last 12 games.
— Crimson Tide is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Crimson Tide has #2 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama is #41 team on offensive boards.
— In its three losses, Alabama gave up 82-100-93 points.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #71
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Alabama won last two meetings, 86-71/83-70.
— Gators won three of last four visits to Tuscaloosa.
— SEC single digit home favorites are 12-15 ATS.

Old Post 02-08-23 08:58 AM
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Oklahoma @ Baylor
— Oklahoma (12-11, 2-8) ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #155
— Oklahoma lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Sooners are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Oklahoma has #41 eFG% defense in country.
— Sooners are turning ball over 20.4% of time in Big X play (#9 of 10)
— In its last five Big X games, Oklahoma scored 58 ppg.
— Oklahoma’s schedule, to this point: #3
— bench minutes: #212
— Oklahoma’s best win: 93-69 over #5 Alabama

— Baylor (17-6, 6-4) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #211
— Continuity: #202
— Baylor won seven of its last eight games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU/ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Baylor is #11 team in country on offensive boards.
— Baylor is shooting 35.8% on arc (#88), 51.7% inside arc (#114).
— Bears are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#66)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #173
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #3 UCLA

— Baylor (-1.5) won 62-60 at Oklahoma January 21.
— Bears won nine of last ten series games.
— Sooners lost their last five visits to Waco (84-74 LY)
— Big X home favorites of 7+ points are 2-7 ATS

Old Post 02-08-23 09:00 AM
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San Diego State @ Utah State
— San Diego State (18-5, 9-2) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #41
— San Diego State won five of its last six games.
— Aztecs won four of its five Mountain West road games SU.
— San Diego State is 0-1 ATS as underdog (L 87-70 to Arizona, +2)
— Aztecs are #26 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 52% inside arc (#269)
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #39
— San Diego State’s best win: 72-52 over #30 Boise State

— Utah State (19-5, 8-3) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #124
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #154
— Utah State won five of its last six games.
— Utah State is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS as a Mountain West home favorite.
— Aggies are shooting 40.8% on arc (#1), 53.4% inside arc (#58)
— Utah State is #20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aggies are 4-2 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #319
— Utah State’s best win: 84-73 over #46 New Mexico.

— Utah State (+7) lost 85-75 at San Diego State January 25th
— Home team won last six regular season meetings.
— Aztecs lost their last three visits to Logan.
— Mountain West home teams are 8-6 ATS in games with spread of 4 or less.

Old Post 02-08-23 09:00 AM
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UNLV @ Wyoming
— UNLV (15-8, 4-7) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #259
— UNLV won 3 of its last 4 games, after a 2-7 skid.
— UNLV is 2-3 SU on MW road; underdogs covered all five games.
— Rebels are #309 team on defensive boards.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#3)
— UNLV is 4-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #91
— bench minutes: #115
— UNLV’s best win: 68-62 over #40 Nevada

— Wyoming (7-15, 2-8) ranked #163 by KenPom
— Tempo: #258
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #68
— Wyoming lost 10 of its last 12 games. .
— Wyoming is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in MW home games.
— Cowboys have #323 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are 0-9 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Wyoming is 2-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wyoming’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #17
— Wyoming’s best win: 58-57 over #115 Colorado State

— UNLV (-7) won 86-72 over Wyoming January 24.
— Rebels won six of last eight series games.
— UNLV lost four of last six visits to Laramie.
— Mountain West home teams are 8-6 ATS in games with spread of 4 or less.

Old Post 02-08-23 09:00 AM
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Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (721) TULSA vs. (722) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
TULSA is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was TULSA 65.2, OPPONENT 81 - (Rating = 7*)

Thursday, 02/09/2023 (777) MIDDLE TENN ST vs. (778) W KENTUCKY
Favoring: MIDDLE TENN ST against the spread.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 15-0 ATS (+15 Units) after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 78.2, OPPONENT 67.2 - (Rating = 7*)

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (661) NEBRASKA vs. (662) MICHIGAN
Favoring: MICHIGAN against the spread.
NEBRASKA is 0-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games after failing to cover 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread since 1997.
The average score was NEBRASKA 62.9, OPPONENT 81.7 - (Rating = 6*)

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (1531) BRYANT vs. (1532) ALBANY
Favoring: BRYANT against the spread.
ALBANY is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was ALBANY 60.8, OPPONENT 76.4 - (Rating = 5*)

Old Post 02-08-23 11:02 PM
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Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (739) NEW MEXICO ST vs. (740) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 12-0 OVER (+12 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 75.3, OPPONENT 72 - (Rating = 7*)

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (735) LSU vs. (736) MISSISSIPPI ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-1 UNDER (+14.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
The average score was MISSISSIPPI ST 65.9, OPPONENT 53.4 - (Rating = 7*)

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (739) NEW MEXICO ST vs. (740) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) against conference opponents this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 75.3, OPPONENT 72.5 - (Rating = 6*)

Wednesday, 02/08/2023 (739) NEW MEXICO ST vs. (740) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 74.6, OPPONENT 71.9 - (Rating = 6*)

Old Post 02-08-23 11:04 PM
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