let's get the weekend started with some Friday matches, keep rolling folks !
GL

I am with you and this is my first Chinese Super League pick ever. Caveat Emptor

Friday
2* Changchun +660 vs Guangzhou

I think I may well be retired now from Chinese Soccer. But that price was just toooo good to pass on.

3*Schalke +115 vs Mainz

Good price on Schalke against a bad Mainz team even with Mainz at home.Schalke has outscored Mainz 9-3 last 5 meetings overall.

Shalke is getting a nice % of ML wagers, with them getting a larger % of spread is a good factor, watching the total on this one & Roma/Torino O 2'
GL

Shalke up to +132 as the DRAW just got hammered with the under holding steady
GL

reverse movement going on with the Monaco total
GL

Draw was tempting Mike but Mainz struggles to score and averaging just 0.6 last 5 against Schalke.I like this 2-0 Schalke.I am looking at Hertha vs Freiburg tomorrow as having some Draw value at +222.

Looking forward to Houstonfan popping in here with his MLS insight for weekend. Always interesting .

There was only one road win last week, and it came in a three-goal second half comeback from Manchester United at Crystal Palace on Monday night. Home teams are making a big run lately and are almost as profitable as draws on the season. On the other side, bettors backing road teams have consistently been burned since November (-61.61 units in 190 matches) compared to -4.67 units in the first 100 matches of the season.

Title Odds via 5Dimes:
Manchester City -50000 (78 points)
Manchester Utd +25000 (62 points)
Liverpool +50000 (60 points)
Tottenham +75000 (58 points)
Chelsea +100000 (53 points)

Relegation Odds via 5Dimes:
West Brom -1600 (20 points)
Stoke City -140 (27 points)
Crystal Palace +200 (27 points)
Huddersfield +225 (30 points)
Swansea +300 (30 points)
Southampton +300 (28 points)
Newcastle +400 (29 points)
West Ham +425 (30 points)

Burnley at West Ham (Saturday 10 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: West Ham +129, Burnley +275, Draw +215

Burnley are usually involved as one of my value plays because of their low scoring matches — there have only been 50 total goals in their 29 league games on the season (1.72 per match). The O/U is consistently listed at 2 goals and they’ve been a pretty strong team this season, at least result-wise. That has caused most of their three-way moneyline odds to be very close, and this weekend at West Ham is no different. West Ham haven’t had trouble scoring with 36 goals, but can’t keep opponents out of the net (54 goals conceded). They’ll likely be going for all three points at home and public bettors around the market have steered toward West Ham with more than 70% of bets. However, the line has actually moved away from them a bit since opening, so I’ll be fading the home side and going with the draw at +215 odds.

Swansea at Huddersfield (Saturday 10 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Huddersfield +156, Swansea +229, Draw 215

Swansea and Huddersfield enter this match with identical records (8 wins, 6 draws, 15 losses) and goal-scoring marks (25 goals). Both clubs are sitting on 30 points, three clear of the relegation zone, so every point is crucial now. The tight odds and low total reflect the closeness of these two squads, and it fits my draw system to a T, which has earned a 42.1% ROI this season and 43.7% ROI the last five seasons. Despite some recent struggles, I wouldn’t veer from what’s consistently worked, so take the draw at +215 odds.

Each lopsided match tells a vastly different story. There’s been tons of action on Arsenal to win at home, but their odds have steadily declined since opening. They had been struggling the past couple months, but a 2-0 road win at AC Milan in the Europa League will keep the public attracted to them. The only question now is whether oddsmakers will feel the need to move their odds back up with the continued attention on them.

There’s also been heavy action on their North London rivals, Tottenham, but their odds have actually gone up since opening. This is a bit surprising considering they just blew a Champions League home match vs. Juventus, and could be in a fragile state mentally.

The last club on the list is a surprising one: West Ham. Bettors feel confident they can get a home victory, but oddsmakers have paid no attention. I’m curious to see how that line moves until kickoff, and if the market will adjust in some way due to the lopsided action.

Manchester United vs. Liverpool (Saturday 7:30 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Man Utd +178, Liverpool +178, Draw +237

Although neither club is fighting for the title, a lone spot for second in the table is on the line, and both clubs come in with some momentum. Manchester United stole a 3-2 road win at Crystal Palace on Monday while Liverpool drew 0-0 vs. Porto in the Champions League but easily progressed to the quarterfinals. The betting action around the market has been vastly different, but similar in the fact that bettors are taking a side.

At 5Dimes and BetUS, the majority of bettors like Liverpool to win, but at Bookmaker and Sportsbook the action has been heavy on Man United. Line movement has shifted toward Liverpool and the draw around the market, while the juice on the total has moved on the under. Splitting the points wouldn’t be the worst result for either club so I’m fading public bettors everywhere. At +237 odds, I’ll be betting and rooting for the draw.

here we go the last 10 minutes on the edge of your seat
GL

this driving rain has been an equalizer

nice hit on Shalke, got lucky on the under with the rain
GL

week after week, hands down, the best thread here for making money, a big thank you to all that work for the winners

Columbus vs Montreal MLS Saturday Total 2.5

Hopefully Houstonfan will weight in on this as I am leaning Over 2.5,but not sure if Montreal is going to contribute here. These Two teams have averaged 4 goals per game last 5 meetings,just wonder if Montreal will find back of net.In last 10 games going back to last season, Crew have allowed just 7 goals!

Bet splits for the La Liga match

79% on Real Madrid -190
13% on Eibar +520
8% on Draw +380

The 30th game week in this season’s Premier League starts with a bang as Manchester United host Liverpool at Old Trafford at lunch-time on Saturday, March 10th. It is a fixture that is earmarked by fans of both sides as soon as the fixture list is out in June. The anticipation of a thrilling game on Saturday is high among the fans, despite the three drab draws that the two sides have played out in last three games and even though neither of the two can win the league this season.

Manchester United come into this game after a thrilling 2-3 victory over Crystal Palace on Monday. However, this game on Saturday is the first of two important games lined up for them as Sevilla will come calling on Tuesday night in the second leg of the Champions League last sixteen tie. Jose Mourinho does not like his team to lose any game but against a “Big Six” rival and especially Liverpool, he simply hates to lose. This cautiousness has caused the last three games between the two sides to end in drab draws. However, the winner on Saturday will greatly strengthen their claim for Champions League football next season. Can this incentive along with the fact that they are playing at Old Trafford lead Jose Mourinho to play a bit more attacking football?

Liverpool under Jurgen Klopp can never be accused of playing defensive or drab football. No side has scored more away goals in Europe’s top five league than Liverpool and Lyon (34 each). But the Reds have also conceded 10 goals more than Manchester United in this season’s Premier League season so far. Liverpool come into this game following a 0-0 draw with Porto in which Jurgen Klopp managed to rest some of his key players and still stroll into the Champions League quarter-finals. Overall as well, Liverpool are in great form as they have conceded 3 goals and scored 15 in their last six games, winning four and drawing two. A win on Saturday will help the Reds leapfrog Manchester United and reach the 2nd position. This kind of form and the incentive of gaining over Manchester United should be enough for Klopp’s side to be pumped up on Saturday.

INTERESTING STATS
In 169 previous league matches between these two teams, Manchester United have won 67, Liverpool 55 and 47 games have been drawn. However, in the more recent history draws have been more prominent. In their last six games in all competitions, the Reds and Red Devils have played out four draws and won a game each.
Of the last three games, two have ended goalless. This used to be a rare occurrence previous to these three games, as it happened only once in 49 games preceding these last three games. Just like goals, this fixture is renowned for aggressive gameplay as well. The two teams have gathered 16 red cards between them during the Premier League era, second only to the Merseyside derby (21).
Liverpool have not lost more number of times (67) to any other opponent but only Manchester City and Chelsea (6 each) have won more games at Old Trafford during the Premier League era than Liverpool (5).
Against the “Big Six” sides, Manchester United have improved considerably this season, having already won thrice this season (W3 D1 L3), one better than last time (W2 D4 L4). However, Liverpool have garnered only one point from the nine available so far against their “Big Six” rivals (W0 D1 L2). Prior to this season, under Jurgen Klopp, Liverpool had not lost a single game on the road to the “Big Six”.

TEAM NEWS
Manchester United will be without Ander Herrera, Daley Blind, Marouane Fellaini, and Phil Jones due to their respective injuries. Anthony Martial missed the thriller at Crystal Palace on Monday and remains a doubt for this game too. Zlatan’s match fitness is suspect for such a high-profile game so he might not feature as well. Monday’s defensive performance might prompt Jose Mourinho to ring in a few changes at the back, possibly getting Eric Bailly to start ahead of Lindelof. Jesse Lingard, Juan Mata and Marcus Rashford will all vie for the right winger position, assuming Mourinho continues with his 4-3-3 tactic.

Liverpool should be able to welcome back Virgil van Dijk, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Mohamed Salah back into the starting lineup on Saturday. Skipper Jordan Henderson and left-back Andrew Robertson are minor doubts with their respective injuries suffered during the week, while Georginio Wijnldum is doubtful after a fairly long layoff due to an illness. Nathaniel Clyne is also not likely to start on Saturday.

THE VERDICT
It is likely to be another game of defense versus attack, but the fact that they are playing at home and that three points can almost secure Champions League football for next season should incentivize Manchester United to play with more intent. Jurgen Klopp’s team, on the other hand, are likely to play their expansive style of football. If United attack, Liverpool will find opportunities to test David de Gea and by default Liverpool will afford a few opportunities to United. These two factors are likely to cancel each other out and we should see one more draw being played out. Hopefully, this will be more entertaining than the game at Anfield earlier in the season.

MANCHESTER UNITED 1-1 LIVERPOOL