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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

5-2/3-16 Hockey thread, picks, info and more

Blues take the advantage back to St.Louis with a very iffy call in OT and the Sharks just keep winning.

Zac 0-1 (50-40 run, +8.62)
lineshark 0-1 (168-122, +40.03)

Did not make pick

fulkgl 1-0
lemgreen 1-1 (102-98 run, +16.01)
Gargo 2-0 (12-8 run, +8.75)
eels 2-0 (5-2 run +4.22)
usc1990 1-0 (+5.00)
Sherlock 0-1 (6-3 run, +3.30)
Brutus5775 1-0 (4-1 run, +2.9)
usc1990 1-0 (Won last 2, +8.00)

Tampa Bay at NY Islanders 7:00 PM
San Jose at Nashville 9:00 PM
Dallas at St. Louis 9:30 PM


Tuesday

Tampa Bay at NY Islanders 7:00 PM
San Jose at Nashville 9:00 PM
Dallas at St. Louis 9:30 PM

Old Post 05-02-16 04:58 PM
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eels
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 2990

Caps +124

Old Post 05-02-16 11:00 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
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So how does that team that lost home ice advantage do in game 3 on the road ? Not so good. In all rounds they are just a 50-50 split and in the quarterfinals round a horrible 43.5. So depending on your take the Pens are a slight overlay or just about right. Interesting thing is that Pinnacle has the Pens juiced a good bit more than other books, which is completely opposite than usual.

Old Post 05-02-16 11:39 PM
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lippsman
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Posts: 10835

So how does that team that lost home ice advantage do in game 3 on the road ? Not so good. In all rounds they are just a 50-50 split and in the quarterfinals round a horrible 43.5. So depending on your take the Pens are a slight overlay or just about right. Interesting thing is that Pinnacle has the Pens juiced a good bit more than other books, which is completely opposite than usual.

Old Post 05-02-16 11:39 PM
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lippsman
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So how does that team that lost home ice advantage do in game 3 on the road ? Not so good. In all rounds they are just a 50-50 split and in the quarterfinals round a horrible 43.5. So depending on your take the Pens are a slight overlay or just about right. Interesting thing is that Pinnacle has the Pens juiced a good bit more than other books, which is completely opposite than usual.

Old Post 05-02-16 11:39 PM
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Brutus5775
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5527

Wash/Pitt under 5
nbl




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 05-03-16 12:50 AM
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Gargo


Registered: Sep 2015
Posts: 5049

TB LIGHTNING/ NY ISLANDERS
OVER 5 -125

Old Post 05-03-16 05:30 PM
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lippsman
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Posts: 10835

.

Old Post 05-03-16 09:55 PM
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lippsman
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Isles -107
Isles ov 5 -111
Preds -111
Blues ov 5 -136

Old Post 05-03-16 09:55 PM
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lippsman
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5-3-16 history lesson

.

Old Post 05-03-16 10:12 PM
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lippsman
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Posts: 10835

5-3-16 history lesson

Well we have 2 games that are the very same situation as the game last night. Let's hop back in the wayback machine to see what was said about it.

So how does that team that lost home ice advantage do in game 3 on the road ? Not so good. In all rounds they are just a 50-50 split and in the quarterfinals round a horrible 43.5. So depending on your take the Pens are a slight overlay or just about right. Interesting thing is that Pinnacle has the Pens juiced a good bit more than other books, which is completely opposite than usual.

Here we have TB and Dallas in the exact same situation. TB is a tossup pick for all rounds, but if you go by the quarterfinal rounds percentage then the Isles are the pick here. In St Louis the Stars are getting a nice +120 payback, so for all rounds it's a must pick, but in quarterfinals it almost breaks even.

A note on the Stars, they have lost their last 3 games in St.Louis and the last 7 of 9 game against the Blues.

How about the Sharks coming off winning both games at home. . The odds makers are telling you something by making the Preds a -111 fave tonight. Well I am not quite sure what exactly, considering that teams in this situation (Sharks) win in all rounds at a 51.9% and for the quarterfinals hitting at a nice 60.7%

But with all that said, there is a very good reason why the Preds are a slight fave here. The home team when these two meet up is 38-18 in the last 56 games.

GL

Old Post 05-03-16 10:12 PM
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Sherlock
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Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 5022

In round 2, with only four series going, I haven't been playing individual games.

I've just been watching my series picks:

2-1 ... PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -105
1-1 ... ST. LOUIS BLUES -130
2-0 ... SAN JOSE SHARKS -150

Old Post 05-04-16 12:33 AM
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usc1990
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6863

NYI under 5 ( - 125 ) to win 5 units


Playoffs : 7-5 (+0.6)

Old Post 05-04-16 01:18 AM
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Brutus5775
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5527

Dallas Over 5
NBL

tough push last night




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 05-04-16 03:36 AM
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