Here’s a look at how Sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting the f3 NFLl games set for Thanksgiving Day and night. .
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PHILADELPHIA AT DETROIT (on FOX): The opener of pick-em has been bet up to Detroit -2 with some stores testing -2.5. That’s a big indictment of the Eagles’ current form. But, if you lose home games to Miami and Tampa Bay in successive weeks, something’s wrong! There are reports that Sam Bradford has a good chance of coming back for Philly. Sharps like Detroit anyway at -2 or less. I would be surprised if the key number of three is broached on game day. There’s too much lingering respect for the Eagles for the market to suddenly see them as only equal to the disappointing Lions (home field value by itself is usually worth 3 in the NFL). The Over/Under is down from 47 to 45.5 because the Lions have been playing better defense since the front office housecleaning. Obviously that’s a quant move rather than a weather issue in the dome.
CAROLINA AT DALLAS (on CBS):
Dallas opened at -1. Even though it’s not a key number, any testing gets pushed back to the one. Carolina money is happy to take +1.5 with an undefeated team that’s in very good form. Some Sharp and more public money are interested in the rejuvenated Cowboys who played very well last week in the return of Tony Romo. This should be a very heavily bet matchup on game day because everyone loves betting the Cowboys game on Thanksgiving! Also, here in Las Vegas…that Lions game starts mid-morning, while Dallas begins at a better betting time in the afternoon. Like the first NFL game today, this total opened at 47 and has been bet down to 45.5.
CHICAGO AT GREEN BAY (on NBC): The big move here was on the Over/Under as a forecast for rain and wind has helped drop the opener of 48 all the way down to 45. Some stores are testing 44.5 It’s going to be unseasonably warm at 41 degrees in late November. But…rain and wind are scoring inhibitors. Green Bay opened at -9 on the team side. Chicago money brought that down to +8.5. The public usually loves betting on Green Bay…but three failures in a row before the Minnesota win last week may have dampened that enthusiasm. Note that two-team teasers players will be looking at Philadelphia +8 or +8.5 and Green Bay -2.5 if the current lines stay in the window that crosses both the 3 and the 7 with a six-point move. If Dallas sticks at -1.5 for any period of time, Carolina +7.5 will also be a popular Sharp teaser choice.