I assumed that is the case based on your posts I have been reading for several weeks. You seem too thorough to be betting on trends-only (leave that to boneheads like me!)
Good observation, but it's not the case. I may note a trend with the pick, but I didn't invest in the team based on the trend alone.
If you won day in and day out wagering based on trends alone, well the statfox staff would all be millionaires.
Now with SYR this weekend the game fit well with my opinion and factors I use. The trends only pushed my wager higher. It didn't determine the wager it self.
With most sports I look at several factors...
Look at the line
Look at my Power Ratings
Public perception in setting line
Specific team stats
Watch real time live movement
Wager percentages @ Vegas books only
Betting trends
Only a small % of my bankroll is invested on team sports. I'm more of a horse player.