Still testing but so far things have been well. I need to update the record.
Santa Clara -4.5 (SJST has twice only won by 8 and 9 vs 1 win teams)
Villanova +4.5 (STJ only won by 12 vs a 1 win team, kinda borderline)
Reason
Fading the other teams. They could not put away 1 win teams. I am keeping a list of teams that could not pull away from 0,1,2 win teams. Also, teams that could not beat teams without an icon on espns scoreboard by more than 15 pts(this one is working really well).