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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

MLB Lagniappe 9/10

TEX LETDOWN after series vs. LA ANGELS: 6-24 (20%) -17.45 units, ROI: -58.2%

System Matches: FADE TEXAS (+130 at AZ)

Trend: BOS is 6-19 (-14.90 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford

System Match: FADE BOSTON (-135 vs BAL)

Trend: Pablo Lopez is 11-0 (+11.00 units) as a large HOME favorite of -180 or higher in the L6 seasons

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-250 vs LAA)

Old Post 09-10-24 09:48 PM
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msudogs
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(901) MIAMI (54-90) at (902) PITTSBURGH (68-76)

Trend: MIA not as good at NIGHT (27-58, -23.30 units)

System Match: FADE MIAMI (+130 at PIT)

(907) MILWAUKEE (82-61) at (908) SAN FRANCISCO (71-73)

Trend: OVER the total is 13-6 this season when SF is a HOME underdog

System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(909) CHICAGO-NL (74-70) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (86-58)

Trend: LAD better vs LH starters (32-15, +3.58 units)

System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-166 vs CHC)

(911) KANSAS CITY (79-66) at (912) NEW YORK-AL (83-61)

Trend: NYY slight OVER vs RH starters (58-42 O/U)

System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(913) BALTIMORE (82-63) at (914) BOSTON (73-71)

Trend: BAL more OVER on the ROAD (41-25 O/U)

System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9)

(915) LOS ANGELES-AL (60-84) at (916) MINNESOTA (76-68)

Trend: LAA bad vs AL Central/East (18-38, -14.56 units)

System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+205 at MIN)

Old Post 09-10-24 09:50 PM
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(917) CLEVELAND (82-62) at (918) CHICAGO-AL (33-112)

Trend: CWS slight UNDER at HOME (29-41 O/U)

System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(921) TAMPA BAY (71-73) at (922) PHILADELPHIA (86-58)

Trend: TB slightly better vs NL teams (26-18, +5.75 units)

System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (+145 at PHI)

(923) COLORADO (54-90) at (924) DETROIT (73-71)

Trend: COL worse on the ROAD (22-53, -12.71 units)

System Match: FADE COLORADO (+154 at DET)

(925) NEW YORK-NL (79-65) at (926) TORONTO (68-77)

Trend: NYM good at NIGHT (53-31, +20.30 units)

System Match: PLAY NY METS (-130 at TOR)

(927) TEXAS (70-74) at (928) ARIZONA (80-64)

Trend: AZ trending OVER vs AL teams (28-14 O/U)

System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(929) SAN DIEGO (81-64) at (930) SEATTLE (73-71)

Trend: SEA more UNDER at HOME (23-42 O/U)

System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7)

Old Post 09-10-24 09:50 PM
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Five worst MLB teams this season versus the ML (based on $100 bet size every game):

1. Chicago White Sox: -$6,168
2. Atlanta Braves: -$2,436
3. Miami Marlins: -$1,743
4. Seattle Mariners: -$1,731
5. Toronto Blue Jays: -$1,540

Old Post 09-10-24 09:56 PM
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(903) ATLANTA (78-66) at (904) WASHINGTON (64-79)

Trend: MacKenzie Gore is 7-15 (-6.76 units) vs NL East opponents in his career

System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (+114 vs ATL)

(911) KANSAS CITY (79-66) at (912) NEW YORK-AL (83-61)

Trend: Seth Lugo is 4-13 (-11.26 units) on the ROAD against teams with a winning record since 2020

System Match: FADE KANSAS CITY (+120 at NYY)

(913) BALTIMORE (82-63) at (914) BOSTON (73-71)

Trend: BOS is 6-19 (-14.90 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford

System Match: FADE BOSTON (-135 vs BAL)

(915) LOS ANGELES-AL (60-84) at (916) MINNESOTA (76-68)

Trend: Pablo Lopez is 11-0 (+11.00 units) as a large HOME favorite of -180 or higher in the L6 seasons

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-250 vs LAA)

(921) TAMPA BAY (71-73) at (922) PHILADELPHIA (86-58)

Trend: TB is 4-7 (-4.35 units) vs NL teams with Taj Bradley in L2 seasons

System Match: FADE TAMPA BAY (+145 at PHI)

Trend: PHI is 5-9 (-11.53 units) as a favorite within -170 to -198 line range with starter Ranger Suarez in L4 seasons

System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-175 vs TB)

(925) NEW YORK-NL (79-65) at (926) TORONTO (68-77)

Trend: Chris Bassitt is 13-5 (+6.87 units) vs NL East opponents in L5 seasons

System Match: PLAY TORONTO (+110 vs NYM)

(927) TEXAS (70-74) at (928) ARIZONA (80-64)

Trend: Nathan Eovaldi is 23-5 (+18.60 units) in Sept/Oct/Nov since 2020

System Match: PLAY TEXAS (+130 at AZ)

(929) SAN DIEGO (81-64) at (930) SEATTLE (73-71)

Trend: SD is 10-17 (-9.82 units) in the -102 to -130 line range in NIGHT games with starter Yu Darvish in L6 seasons

System Match: FADE SAN DIEGO (-102 at SEA)

Trend: SEA is 10-4 (+4.98 units) as a short HOME favorite (between -111 and -140) with George Kirby in L3 seasons

System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-118 vs SD)

Old Post 09-10-24 10:00 PM
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Series #1: Oakland at Houston, Tue 9/10-Thu 9/12

Trend: Oakland is 7-23 (23.3%, -10.25 units) in its last 30 games vs. Houston.

– The R.O.I. on this trend is -34.2%.

Old Post 09-10-24 11:02 PM
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