NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #1 – Veteran quarterbacks start slow for their new teams
· It takes a little time for these veteran quarterbacks to find footing with their new franchises. In fact, dating back to 2006, in the month of September, these guys have gone 37-25 Under the total (59.7%), averaging about 1.5 PPG less than usual offensively.
System Matches: PLAY UNDER – PIT-ATL, NYJ-SF

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks thrive with their new teams at home
· The results since 2005 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams at home are quite impressive, as they have gone 113-65 SU and 95-72-11 ATS (56.9%).
System Match: PLAY – ATLANTA

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

· Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have gone the complete opposite direction, showing a record of 14-12 SU and 9-17 ATS (34.6%) in their last 26 after going 40-18-2 ATS prior.
System Match: FADE DETROIT (-3.5 vs. LAR)

Bad SNF Team Trends
Detroit 2-5 SU and ATS in the last seven
System Match: FADE DETROIT (-3.5 vs. LAR)

Under the total SNF Team Trends
Detroit 5-1-1 Under in the last seven
LA Rams 6-1 Under since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 50.5)

NFL Week 1 total betting at BetMGM

Most bet OVERs

1. Jaguars-Dolphins 49
2. Commanders-Buccaneers 42.5
3. Broncos-Seahawks 41.5

Most bet UNDERs

1. Cowboys-Browns 41
2. Steelers-Falcons 41.5
3. Titans-Bears 44.5

Sunday morning line movement at BetMGM

Spread:

Seahawks -6 to -6.5
Falcons -3.5 to -4
Giants +1.5 to +1
Cowboys +2.5 to +2
Panthers +4 to +3.5
Cardinals +7 to +6.5

Total:

MIA-JAC 49 to 49.5
ATL-PIT 41.5 to 42.5
NYG-MIN 41 to 42
CHI-TEN 44.5 to 43.5
BUF-ARI 46.5 to 46

Cowboys @ Browns (-2.5)
Last ten years, Dallas is 4-6 SU in Week 1 games.
Last four years, Cowboys are 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last two years, Dallas was 4-8 ATS on natural grass.
QB Prescott is 75-46 as an NFL starter.
Last two years, Dallas was 6-4 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Cowboys covered four of their last five road openers.

Cleveland won last 2 season openers (1-21-1 from 1999-2021)
Browns were 11-6 LY, with four different QB’s getting a win.
Cleveland was 8-1 ATS at home LY, 6-0 as a home favorite.
QB Watson is 37-31 as an NFL starter, 8-4 with Browns.
Cleveland is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
Over is 4-1 in Browns’ last four home openers.

Dallas won four of five series games.
Browns won last meeting, 49-38 in 2020.
Cowboys won their last three visits to Cleveland.

Commanders @ Buccaneers (-3.5)
Rookie QB Daniels (55 college starts) makes his first NFL start.
Last eight years, Commanders are 29-23-1 ATS as road underdogs.
Last 5 years, Washington allowed 30+ points in road openers (1-4 SU/2-3 ATS)
Over is 4-1 in those five road openers.
Dan Quinn was 46-44 as coach of the Falcons (2015-20).
Last eight years, Washington has started 8 different QB’s in Week 1.

Under Bowles, Tampa Bay is 3-6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, Tampa Bay is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
QB Mayfield is 42-28 as an NFL starter, 10-9 with Buccaneers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
Last two years, under is 10-6 in Tampa Bay home games.

Washington won three of last four series games.
Commanders won last two visits to Tampa; their last loss here was in 2007.

Rams @ Lions (-3.5)
Under McVay, Rams started season 1-0 six of seven years.
Under McVay, Rams are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Under McVay, Rams are 11-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Stafford is 28-18 as Rams’ QB (was 74-93-1 with Detroit).
Over is 4-1 in Rams’ last five road openers.

Under Campbell, Lions are 9-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 9 years, Detroit is 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in home openers.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home openers.
QB Goff is 26-24-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Last six years, Lions are 1-4-1 SU in Week 1 games.

Detroit beat LA 24-23 in LY’s playoffs.
Rams are 3-2 in last five series games.
Rams lost four of last five visits to Detroit.

Rams QB Stafford played for Detroit from 2009-20.
Lions QB Goff played for Rams from 2017-20.