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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 9/06

Colorado (52-89) @ Milwaukee (81-59)
— Feltner is 0-0, 4.76 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 3-10 in his road starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 10-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-4
— He is 0-1, 4.02 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Rockies are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 20-52 on road.
— Rockies are 2-10 in last 12 road series openers
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 35-141
— record in first 5 innings: 49-71-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1

— Montas is 1-1, 3.79 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 5-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-3, 4.13 in five starts vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 14-7 in their last 21 games.
— They’re 41-27 at home.
— Brewers are 13-9 in home series openers
— over 8-5 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 37-140
— record in first 5 innings: 65-54-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-5-x

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Washington (62-78) @ Pittsburgh (66-74)
— Herz is 0-3,, 3.80 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-2 last 8 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh

— Nationals are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— They’re 30-41 on road.
— under 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-140
— record in first 5 innings: 56-69-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-4

— Ortiz is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (12 IP).
— Pittsburgh is 5-6 in his starts.
— under 10-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— This is his first start against Washington

— Pirates are 4-2 in last six games.
— They’re 33-36 at home.
— over 9-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 27-140
— record in first 5 innings: 56-61-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-4

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Cincinnati (68-73) @ NY Mets (76-64)
— Reds haven’t named a starter.

— Reds won their last four games.
— They’re 32-34 on road.
— Reds are 15-8 in road series openers
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 38-141
— record in first 5 innings: 62-58-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-2.2

— Manaea is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 11-2 in his last 13 starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-27
— record in first 5 innings: 17-7-3
— He is 2-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— New York is 15-6 in its last 21 games.
— Mets are 38-33 at home.
— Mets won their last six series openers
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 35-140
— record in first 5 innings: 66-54-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5

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Philadelphia (84-56) @ Miami (52-88)
— Wheeler is 3-1, 1.85 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-8-3
— He is 0-0, 6.75 in two starts vs Miami TY.

— Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 37-31 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 50-140
— record in first 5 innings: 76-51-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.1-2-4

— Cabrera is 1-2, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 7-9 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2
— He is 1-2, 4.70 in five starts against the Phillies.

— Marlins are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Miami is 26-46 at home.
— over 14-6 last 20 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-140
— record in first 5 innings: 46-77-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3.2

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San Francisco (69-72) @ San Diego (80-62)
— Giants haven’t named a starter.

— Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— Giants are 29-40 on road.
— Giants are 9-6 in last 15 road series openers
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 35-141
— record in first 5 innings: 56-61-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-6-8

— King is 0-2, 6.75 in his last two starts.
— San Diego is 13-7 in his last 20 starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-3
— He is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts vs San Francisco TY.

— Padres are 11-9 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 39-33 at home.
— Padres are 10-3 in last 13 series openers
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-142
— record in first 5 innings: 62-61-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.1-2.2

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Tampa Bay (69-71) @ Baltimore (81-60)
— Baz is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
— Rays are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-3
— He threw 6 shutout IP, in his one start vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Rays are 37-38 at home.
— Rays are 1-9 in last ten series openers
— over 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-140
— record in first 5 innings: 47-73-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-9-2

— Kremer is 0-0, 5.75 in his last two starts.
— Orioles are 4-9 in his last 13 starts.
— over 15-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
— He is 1-1, 2.79 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Baltimore is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Orioles are 41-31 at home.
— Orioles are 13-10 in home series openers
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 40-141
— record in first 5 innings: 72-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1.2-4.2

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White Sox (32-109) @ Boston (70-70)
— Martin is 0-3, 3.94 in six starts.
— White Sox are 0-6 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— White Sox lost 12 of their last 13 games.
— Chicago is 14-55 on road.
— White Sox are 2-20 in road series openers
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 30-141
— record in first 5 innings: 50-70-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3.1-x

— Pivetta is 0-3, 5.32 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He is 1-0, 1.72 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Red Sox are 3-11 in last 14 games.
— They’re 39-32 at home.
— Red Sox are 2-6 in last eight series openers
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 46-140
— record in first 5 innings: 69-53-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x

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Minnesota (76-64) @ Kansas City (76-65)
— Matthews is 1-2, 9.00 in four starts
— Twins are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP vs Kansas City August 13th.

— Twins are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Twins are 37-34 on road.
— Twins are 5-11 in last 16 road series openers
— under 8-4 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-140
— record in first 5 innings: 63-61-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-2.1

— Ragans is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-7
— He is 1-2, 3.00 in three starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Royals lost seven of last eight games.
— Royals are 42-30 at home.
— Royals are 15-8 in home series openers
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 37-141
— record in first 5 innings: 67-53-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-x

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LA Angels (58-82) @ Texas (68-73)
— Aldegheri gave up 7 runs in 5 IP in his first MLB start.
— Angels are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas

— Angels are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— They’re 28-40 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-140
— record in first 5 innings: 47-78-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-2

— bullpen game

— Rangers are 12-5 in last 17 games.
— Texas is 39-33 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 44-141
— record in first 5 innings: 57-61-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

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Detroit (71-70) @ Oakland (61-80)
— Skubal is 4-0, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Tigers are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-6-5
— He is 3-2, 2.52 in seven starts vs Oakland.

— Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Tigers are 36-36 on road.
— Tigers are 12-11 in road series openers
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-141
— record in first 5 innings: 57-62-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-3.2

— Spence is 0-1, 3.64 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 6-13 in his starts.
— over 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— A’s are 3-5 in last eight games.
— Oakland is 35-37 at home.
— A’s are 13-2 in last 15 series openers
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 34-141
— record in first 5 innings: 53-78-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

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Bronx (80-60) @ Cubs (72-68)
— Gil is 1-1, 5.25 in his last three starts.
— New York is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-34
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— New York is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— They’re 43-29 on road.
— New York is 7-2 in last nine series openers
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 49-140
— record in first 5 innings: 68-56-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.1-x

— Wicks is 2-0, 2.03 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 37-31 at home.
— Cubs are 5-1 in last six series openers
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-140
— record in first 5 innings: 61-58-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-x

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Arizona (79-62) @ Houston (75-65)
— Pfaadt is 4-1, 6.75 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 8-0 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Arizona is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Diamondbacks are 40-31 on road.
— Arizona is 6-2 in last eight road series openers
— over 29-8 last 37 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-141
— record in first 5 innings: 67-51-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-1

— Valdez is 5-1, 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
— Astros are 11-1 in his last 12 starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-2
— He gave a run in 3 IP, in his one start vs Arizona

— Houston lost its last three games.
— Astros are 39-29 at home.
— Astros are 14-4 in last 18 home series openers
— under 21-13 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-140
— record in first 5 innings: 65-54-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-7.2-2

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Toronto (67-74) @ Atlanta (76-64)
— Gausman is 3-2, 2.48 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 10-3 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-1
— He is 0-0, 1.32 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Toronto is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Blue Jays are 33-39 on road.
— Blue Jays are 3-10 in last 13 road series openers
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 40-141
— record in first 5 innings: 62-61-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3

— Fried is 1-2, 4.91 in his last five starts.
— Atlanta is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 9-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-5
— He is 1-0, 1.50 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Braves are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— They’re 38-29 at home.
— Braves are 9-4 in last 13 road series openers
— under 9-0 last none home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-140
— record in first 5 innings: 67-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3

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Seattle (71-70) @ St Louis (70-69)
— Miller is 2-1, 1.88 in his last five starts.
— Seattle lost his last three road starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-4
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

— Seattle lost four of its last six games.
— Mariners are 30-42 on road.
— Mariners are 2-5 in last seven road series openers
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 40-141
— record in first 5 innings: 64-57-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3-4

— Fedde is 0-3, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 0-3, 3.38 in four starts vs Seattle.

— Cardinals are 10-5 in last 15 games.
— They’re 36-32 at home.
— Cardinals are 1-6 in last seven series openers
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-140
— record in first 5 innings: 55-63-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-7.1-2

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Cleveland (80-60) @ Los Angeles (84-56)
— Boyd is 1-1, 2.35 in four starts.
— Cleveland is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— This is his first start against the Dodgers.

— Cleveland is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Guardians are 37-35 on road.
— Guardians are 8-6 in last 14 series openers
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 37-140
— record in first 5 innings: 62-60-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

— Knack is 1-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— His last start was July 23rd.
— Dodgers are 3-5 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched Cleveland.

— Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 45-24 at home.
— Dodgers are 10-2 in last 12 home series openers
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 48-140
— record in first 5 innings: 71-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

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Trend: Under the total is 8-1 (88.9%, +6.85 units) in the last nine games of CWS-BOS in Boston (total runs in these games are at 5.8 RPG)
– The ROI on this trend is 76.1%
System Matches: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

Trend: Sean Manaea is 11-0 (+11.00 units) as a home favorite of -180 or more in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-185 vs. CIN)

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(901) COLORADO (52-89) at (902) MILWAUKEE (81-59)
Trend: MIL more Over at home (38-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(903) WASHINGTON (62-78) at (904) PITTSBURGH (66-74)
Trend: WSH trending Over vs. NL Central/West (35-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(905) CINCINNATI (68-73) at (906) NEW YORK-NL (76-64)
Trend: CIN worse vs. LH starters (16-23, -10.95 units)
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (+154 at NYM)

(909) SAN FRANCISCO (69-72) at (910) SAN DIEGO (80-62)
Trend: Over the total is 4-0 this season in the series at San Diego
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(911) TAMPA BAY (69-71) at (912) BALTIMORE (81-60)
Trend: BAL is 10-2 in the last 12 games vs Tampa Bay
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-142 vs TB)

(913) CHICAGO-AL (32-109) at (914) BOSTON (70-70)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (14-55, -31.15 units)
System Match:FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+230 at BOS)

(915) LOS ANGELES-AL (58-82) at (916) TEXAS (68-73)
Trend: TEX more Under at home this season (26-44 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(919) DETROIT (71-70) at (920) OAKLAND (61-80)
Trend: OAK not as bad vs. LH starters (16-15, +7.70 units)
System Match: PLAY OAKLAND (+150 vs DET)

(921) NEW YORK-AL (80-60) at (922) CHICAGO-NL (72-68)
Trend: CHC good in interleague play (25-15, +10.38 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+120 vs NYY)

(923) TORONTO (67-74) at (924) ATLANTA (76-64)
Trend: ATL trending Under vs. AL teams (11-25 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(927) SEATTLE (71-70) at (928) ST LOUIS (71-69)
Trend: SEA bad on the road (30-42, -20.99 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-105 at STL)

(929) CLEVELAND (80-60) at (930) LOS ANGELES-NL (84-56)
Trend: CLE slight Under vs. NL teams (12-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

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(905) CINCINNATI (68-73) at (906) NEW YORK-NL (76-64)
Trend: Sean Manaea is 11-0 (+11.00 units) as a home favorite of -180 or more in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-185 vs. CIN)

(907) PHILADELPHIA (84-56) at (908) MIAMI (52-88)
Trend: MIA is 3-8 (-4.46 units) against teams with a >57% win pct with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+190 vs. PHI)

(911) TAMPA BAY (69-71) at (912) BALTIMORE (81-60)
Trend: BAL is 27-11 (+13.79 units) in the last 2+ seasons in Home games with starter Dean Kremer
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-142 vs. TB)

Trend: BAL is 12-2 (+10.84 units) in Divisional Games with starter Dean Kremer in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-142 vs. TB)

(913) CHICAGO-AL (32-109) at (914) BOSTON (70-70)
Trend: BOS is 8-2 (+3.77 units) as a favorite of -195 or higher with starter Nick Pivetta (including 8-1 at home)
System Match: PLAY BOSTON (-285 vs. CWS)

(923) TORONTO (67-74) at (924) ATLANTA (76-64)
Trend: Kevin Gausman is 4-9 (-4.36 units) as a road night underdog in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (+145 at ATL)

(927) SEATTLE (71-70) at (928) ST LOUIS (71-69)
Trend: Erick Fedde is 17-7 (+10.42 units) in the -115 to +110 line range
System Match: PLAY ST. LOUIS (-115 vs. SEA)

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