CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DUKE-NORTHWESTERN, AKRON-RUTGERS, ARMY-FAU, SOUTH CAROLINA-KENTUCKY, IOWA STATE-IOWA
CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): AKRON-RUTGERS, TEXAS-MICHIGAN, NIU-NOTRE DAME, MICHIGAN STATE-MARYLAND
Prolific offensive performances don’t last
FBS teams that gain 735 or more yards offensively in their prior game have gone just 28-44 ATS (38.9%) in the follow-up contest since 2012.
System Match (FADE): OLE MISS (-41.5 vs. Middle Tenn St)
CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 170-84 SU and 145-101-8 ATS (58.9%).
System Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+7.5 vs. Texas)
* KANSAS STATE is 40-22-2 (64.5%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-9.5 at Tulane)
* LOUISVILLE is 4-10 (28.6%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE LOUISVILLE (-28 vs. Jax St)
* LSU is 20-8 Over the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in Nicholls State-LSU
* MICHIGAN is 29-14-1 (67.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 16-5 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (+7 vs. Texas)
* MISSISSIPPI ST is 24-14 (63.2%) Under the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Mississippi State-Arizona State (o/u at 57)
* NEBRASKA is 3-12 (20%) ATS at home in the last 15
System Match: FADE NEBRASKA (-7 vs. Colorado)
* NEW MEXICO STATE is 26-15 (63.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+22 vs. Liberty)
* OLD DOMINION is 7-17 (29.2%) ATS at home since 2019
System Match: FADE OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs. East Carolina)
* OREGON STATE is 24-11 (68.6%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2016
System Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-4 at SDSU)
* PENN STATE is 30-11 (73.2%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2019
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (-34.5 vs. Bowling Green)
* PITTSBURGH is 34-16 (68%) Over the total since 2020
* PITTSBURGH is 0-6 (0%) ATS in the last six games as a road underdog
Systems Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+2.5 at Cincinnati), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 59)
* RUTGERS has gone 11-3 (78.6%) ATS in the last 14 Non-Conference games
System Match: PLAY RUTGERS (-23 vs. Akron)
* SAM HOUSTON STATE is 15-3 (83.3%) ATS as underdog since 2017
System Match: PLAY SAM HOUSTON STATE (+21 at UCF)
* SAN DIEGO STATE is 40-19 (67.8%) Under the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Oregon State-SDSU (o/u at 55)
* STANFORD is 5-15 (25%) ATS in the last 20 home games
System Match: FADE STANFORD (vs. Cal Poly)
* TEMPLE is 4-13 (23.5%) ATS in road games over the last three seasons
Systems Match: FADE TEMPLE (+13.5 at Navy)
* TENNESSEE is 12-1 (92.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021
System Match: PLAY TENNESSEE (-7.5 at NC State)
* TEXAS A&M is 17-6 (73.9%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2018
System Match: PLAY TEXAS A&M (vs. McNeese State)
* TROY is 16-3 (84.2%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
System Match: PLAY TROY (+18 at Memphis)
* TULSA is 22-8-1 ATS in road/neutral games over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+7.5 at Arkansas State)
* UNLV is 20-5 (80%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2017
* UNLV is on a 12-4 ATS run following a SU win
Systems Match: PLAY UNLV (vs. Utah Tech)
* UTEP is 6-17(26.1%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: FADE UTEP (vs Southern Utah)
* VANDERBILT is on a 2-10 (16.7%) ATS skid following a SU win
System Match: FADE VANDERBILT (vs. Alcorn State)
* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 9-21 (30%) ATS as Favorite since 2019
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs EKU)
* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 16-7 ATS (69.6%) at HOME in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (vs. Albany)