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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 7/22

NY Mets (50-48) @ Miami (35-64)
— Peterson is 2-0, 2.33 in his last five starts.
— Mets won his last seven starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 3-2, 2.70 in seven starts vs Miami.

— New York is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Mets are 24-22 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-98
— record in first 5 innings: 42-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Chirinos is 0-1, 5.76 in five starts.
— Miami is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 1-1, 8.68 in 2 games (1 start) against the Mets.

— Marlins are 5-11 in their last 16 games.
— Miami is 20-32 at home.
— over 10-6 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 30-59-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-4.1

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St Louis (52-47) @ Pittsburgh (50-49)
— Pallante is 2-1, 3.70 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 5-3 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in 14 games (21 IP, one start) vs Pittsburgh

— Cardinals are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 26-25 on road.
— Cardinals are 10-6 in road series openers.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-99
— record in first 5 innings: 37-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.2-3

— Keller is 1-1, 5.51 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He is 2-3, 3.97 in 12 starts vs St Louis.

— Pirates are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— They’re 24-25 at home.
— Pirates are 10-6 in home series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-99
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-4.1

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Cincinnati (47-53) @ Atlanta (54-44)
— Greene is 1-1, 1.02 in his last three starts.
— Cincinnati is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 5-3 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Reds lost their last four games.
— They’re 22-25 on road.
— Reds are 10-5 in road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 26-100
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1.2-1.1

— Lopez is 4-1, 1.95 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 11-6 in his starts.
— under 13-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4
— He is 1-0, 1.40 in four games (1 start) vs Cincinnati.

— Braves are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 30-19 at home.
— Braves are 11-5 in home series openers.
— under 18-6 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-38-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-3

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Milwaukee (57-42) @ Cubs (48-53)
— Myers is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-3 in his last ten starts
— over 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-3
— He is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Brewers won their last three games.
— They’re 28-25 on road.
— Brewers are 3-8 in last 11 road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 48-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-4.2

— Assad is 0-1, 5.51 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in three games (1 start) vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 26-23 at home.
— Cubs are 3-9 in last 12 in home series openers.
— under 6-0 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-101
— record in first 5 innings: 39-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3

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San Francisco (48-52) @ Los Angeles (59-41)
— Snell is 0-0, 0.00 (12 IP) in two starts since coming off IL.
— Giants are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 2-2, 2.59 in 13 starts against the Dodgers

— San Francisco is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Giants are 20-30 on road.
— Giants are 7-8 in road series openers.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 39-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3

— Dodgers haven’t named a starter.

— Dodgers won their last three games.
— Dodgers are 31-21 at home.
— Dodgers are 10-6 in home series openers.
— over 8-2 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-100
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7.2-4

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Tampa Bay (50-49) @ Bronx (59-42)
— Littell is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-4 in his road starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
— He is 2-0, 4.63 in two starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Rays are 23-22 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 36-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5.1

— Rodon is 0-5, 10.80 in his last six starts.
— New York lost his last six starts.
— over 12-3 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2
— He is 0-3, 5.34 in seven starts vs Tampa Bay

— New York is 9-20 in its last 29 games.
— They’re 26-21 at home.
— over 18-8 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-101
— record in first 5 innings: 52-37-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3.2

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Detroit (49-51) @ Cleveland (59-38)
— Skubal is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 12-7 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-3-4
— He is 1-2, 3.89 in seven starts vs Cleveland.

— Detroit is 10-3 in its last 13 games.
— Tigers are 25-27 on road.
— Tigers are 9-8 in road series openers.
— over 9-2 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-100
— record in first 5 innings: 41-42-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-7-2.2

— Carrasco is 0-1, 4.29 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 4-1 in his last five home starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-1
— He is 12-9, 3.56 in 25 starts vs Detroit.

— Cleveland lost seven of last ten games.
— Guardians are 10-4 in last 13 home games.
— Guardians are 11-4 in home series openers.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 26-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.1-3.2

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White Sox (27-74) @ Texas (47-52)
— Fedde is 3-2, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 8-8 in his last 16 starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas

— White Sox are 1-10 in last 11 games.
— Chicago is 10-40 on road.
— White Sox are 1-15 in road series openers.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-101
— record in first 5 innings: 42-46-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-2

— Lorenzen is 1-2, 5.19 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 5-11 in his starts.
— under 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 1-0, 2.50 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Rangers are 8-4 in last 12 games.
— They’re 25-23 at home.
— Rangers are 8-8 in home series openers.
— under 8-5 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-99
— record in first 5 innings: 42-41-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7-4

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LA Angels (42-57) @ Seattle (54-47)
— Anderson is 2-2, 4.11 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He is 1-2, 5.40 in six starts vs Seattle

— Angels are 5-3 in last eight games.
— They’re 20-28 on road.
— Angels lost their last five series openers.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 32-57-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-4.2

— Miller is 1-1, 2.16 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 9-4 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Seattle lost five of last six games.
— Mariners are 31-20 at home.
— Mariners are 13-3 in home series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 26-101
— record in first 5 innings: 43-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3.1

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Philadelphia (63-36) @ Minnesota (54-44)
— Suarez is 0-3, 7.89 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 8-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 6.1 IP in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Phillies are 2-4 in their last six games.
— They’re 26-20 on road.
— Phillies are 12-4 in road series openers.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 37-99
— record in first 5 innings: 62-29-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-3

— Ober is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— Minnesota is 4-3 in his home starts
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— Twins are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Twins are 27-20 at home.
— Twins are 9-6 in home series openers.
— over 8-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-98
— record in first 5 innings: 42-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3

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Arizona (51-49) @ Kansas City (54-45)
— Diaz is 1-0, 1.50 in his two starts.
— Arizona split his two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Arizona is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— Diamondbacks are 25-25 on road.
— Diamondbacks are 5-11 in road series openers.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-100
— record in first 5 innings: 46-36-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-2.1

— Ragans is 2-2, 3.23 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 7-4 in his home starts.
— under 7-2 last nine home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona

— Royals won seven of last nine games.
— Royals are 34-18 at home.
— Royals are 11-5 in home series openers.
— under 11-3 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-100
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x

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Boston (53-44) @ Colorado (36-64)
— Houck is 1-1, 5.88 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.
— under 5-1 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Red Sox lost their last three games.
— They’re 29-20 on road.
— Red Sox are 9-7 in road series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 52-36-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3

— Gomber is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Rockies won three of last four games.
— They’re 22-28 at home.
— Rockies are 8-7 in home series openers.
— under 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-100
— record in first 5 innings: 39-49-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

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Trend: Oakland is 5-22 (18.5%, -11.75 units) in its last 27 games vs. Houston.
– The ROI on this trend is -41.3%.
System Matches: FADE OAKLAND (+120 vs HOU)

Trend: PHI is 15-5 (+10.40 units) in line range -115 to +115 with starter Ranger Suarez in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-115 at MIN)

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(901) NEW YORK-NL (50-48) at (902) MIAMI (35-64)
Trend: MIA bad vs. LH starters (7-28, -21.13 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+124 vs NYM)

(905) CINCINNATI (47-53) at (906) ATLANTA (54-44)
Trend: ATL more Under at home (16-31 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(907) MILWAUKEE (57-42) at (908) CHICAGO-NL (48-53)
Trend: MIL has won five of the last seven of the head-to-head series this season
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-122 at CHC)

(909) SAN FRANCISCO (48-52) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (59-41)
Trend: LAD better vs. LH starters (25-10, +4.10 units)
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-125 vs. SF)

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(911) TAMPA BAY (50-49) at (912) NEW YORK-AL (59-42)
Trend: TB trending Over vs. LH starters (16-9 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(913) DETROIT (49-51) at (914) CLEVELAND (59-39)
Trend: Home teams are 5-2 in the head-to-head series this season
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (+105 vs DET)

(915) CHICAGO-AL (27-74) at (916) TEXAS (47-52)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (10-40, -24.85 units)

System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+145 at TEX)

(919) LOS ANGELES-AL (42-57) at (920) SEATTLE (53-48)
Trend: SEA trending Under at home (16-32 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(923) ARIZONA (51-49) at (924) KANSAS CITY (55-45)
Trend: KC great at home (34-18, +14.67 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-155 vs. AZ)

(925) BOSTON (53-45) at (926) COLORADO (36-64)
Trend: BOS solid as road favorite (12-4 record)
System Match: PLAY BOSTON (-166 at COL)

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(913) DETROIT (49-51) at (914) CLEVELAND (59-39)
Trend: DET is 10-3 (+10.67 units) with starter Tarik Skubal against teams with a >60% win percentage in career
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-125 at CLE)

(919) LOS ANGELES-AL (42-57) at (920) SEATTLE (53-48)
Trend: Tyler Anderson is 17-6 (+14.20 units) vs. AL West teams in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY LA ANGELS (+136 at SEA)

(921) PHILADELPHIA (63-36) at (922) MINNESOTA (54-44)
Trend: PHI is 15-5 (+10.40 units) in line range -115 to +115 with starter Ranger Suarez in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-115 at MIN)

Trend: PHI is 9-3 (+8.75 units) in road night game starts against teams with a winning record by Ranger Suarez in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-115 at MIN)

Trend: MIN is 4-10 (-7.44 units) between the line range of -105 to -125 with starter Bailey Ober in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MINNESOTA (-105 vs. PHI)

Old Post 07-22-24 10:06 PM
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Best OVER teams this MLB season

Brewers 54-40-5
Tigers 55-43-2
Orioles 50-39-10
Mets 52-43-3
Giants 52-44-4
Dbacks 52-45-3

Best UNDER teams

Braves 58-35-5
Royals 57-40-3
Astros 56-39-4
Rangers 54-41-4
Cubs 53-42-6
Mariners 54-42-5

Old Post 07-22-24 10:10 PM
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