Titans @ Dolphins (-1)
Titans (0-3)
Titans have been outscored 48-14 in second half of games.
Tennessee is minus-7 in turnovers, have had two punts blocked.
Titans are 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 3-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0-1

Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as a road dog.
Titans outgained two of three opponents, led twice at halftime.
Tennessee is 9-11-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
QB Levis is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee has averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9 yards/pass attempt.

Dolphins (1-2)
Miami has QB injury issues; recently-signed Huntley (9/16) gets start here.
Huntley is 3-7 as an NFL starter, with the Ravens.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-6 ATS as home favorites (0-2 TY).
Team total: under 3-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-1

Last two games, Dolphins have one touchdown on 21 drives.
Miami has been outscored 58-20 in first half of games.
Last two games, Dolphins were outscored 14-0 in second half.
Miami is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Dolphins were 1-12 on 3rd down LW (15-31 weeks 1-2).

Teams split their last ten meetings.
Titans are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five visits to Miami.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Seahawks @ Lions (-3.5)
Seahawks (3-0)
Seattle won its first three games, by 6-3-21 points.
QB’s they went against: Nix, Brissett, Thompson. Not great.
Seahawks are 13-8 ATS last 21 games as road underdogs.
Team total: over 3-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-1

QB Smith is 33-37 as an NFL starter, 21-18 with Seattle.
Seahawks held first three foes to 3.0-4.2-3.7 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks are 12-19-2 in last 33 games coming off a win.
Opponents have converted 12 of 46 third down plays.
Seattle has allowed three TD’s on 37 drives this year.

Lions (2-1)
Lions have run the ball for 163-139-188 yards so far.
Detroit has converted 19 of 38 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 8 of 31 third down plays.
Team total: under 3-0
Opponents’ team total: under 3-0

Lions outgained last two opponents, 836-493.
Goff is 28-25-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Under Campbell, Detroit is 14-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in their games this season.
Lions have outscored opponents 17-3 in last 2:00 of each half.

Seattle won last five meetings, covered last four.
Seahawks won/covered last three visits to Detroit.
Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Seahawks vs. Lions Analysis
If you’re looking to play an Over this week, this might be the one. These teams have met in each of the last three seasons and they combined to score an average of 80.3 points per game in those contests. However, it should be noted that Seattle is second in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.218) this season. Detroit has also been pretty solid defensively, as the team is 12th in EPA per play allowed (-0.030). So, these are different teams than they have been in recent years. But both of these offenses have the ability to be explosive, and it wouldn’t be surprising at all if this turned into a track meet. The Lions actually feel like they are due for an Over, as the Under has hit in all of their games.

As for the spread, it’s hard not to like the Seahawks +3.5 here. It has just been very difficult to throw on this Seattle secondary this season, as the Seahawks are second in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (-0.255). Of course, it’s hard to keep this Lions passing game down for long, but I trust the Seahawks to come up with a few more key stops over the course of this game. Detroit’s secondary is still rather leaky, with the team being 20th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.084). That’s going to be hard to overcome against this Seattle offense. Geno Smith is PFF’s fifth-ranked quarterback this season. He’s really in a nice groove in offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb’s system, and it helps having D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to throw to. Covering all three of those receivers will be the biggest challenge of this young season for Detroit.

The only question here is whether the Seahawks have what it takes to slow down the Lions running game. But Mike Macdonald’s group has been solid up front this season. Sure, Seattle’s schedule has been extremely easy, as the team has earned wins over Denver, New England and a Tua-less Miami. But beating the team in front of you is the name of the game, and the Seahawks have likely built up some confidence by now.

It’s also hard to ignore that underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that average 230 or more passing yards per game, and are coming off a game in which they allowed 5.5 or fewer passing yards per attempt, are 33-9 against the spread since 2020.

UNDERs are 32-11-1 (74%) in games with totals of 37 or fewer points since 2020


Dolphins-Titans total 37 on Monday.

66% of bets are on the UNDER at BetMGM

Most bet (tickets) players to score a touchdown on Monday at BetMGM

1. David Montgomery -115

2. De’Von Achane +115

3. Tyreek Hill +170

4. Amon-Ra St. Brown +140

Updated Dolphins-Titans betting at BetMGM

Dolphins open -1.5, now -2.5
▪️ 56% of bets, 68% of money on Dolphins

Total open 38, now 37
▪️ 66% of bets, 55% of money on Under

Titans open -105, now +120
▪️ 49% of bets, 34% of money on Titans

Updated Lions-Seahawks betting at BetMGM

Lions open -4.5, now -4
▪️ 67% of bets, 71% of money on Lions

Total open 48.5, now 47
▪️ 68% of bets, 73% of money on Over

Seahawks open +170, now +175
▪️ 51% of bets, 36% of money on Seahawks