Carson Steele Over 43.5 Rush Yards, 50+ +135
Carson Steele was clearly the lead back for Kansas City last week, and his rush total does not represent that. The Chiefs were #1 in the NFL last week with a rush success rate and have another good matchup this week against the Chargers. I expect 12-15 carries for Steele, and if that is the case, he will have a good chance to eclipse this low number.
Breece Hall Over 67.5 Rush Yards
The Jets got a nice break after playing three games in ten days. Some of the Hall usage in those games was largely due to that schedule. I expect his carries to tick back up since you have full weeks of rest. He destroyed this Broncos defense last year and should have the opportunity to do so again on Sunday.
Underdogs of 5.5 points or more are 15-2 ATS this season and we have four big dogs: Patriots (+10.5 vs. 49ers), Chargers (+7 vs. Chiefs), Broncos (+8 vs. Jets) and Jags (+5.5 vs. Texans).
Wk4: Broncos (+8) over Jets
Wk3: Commanders (+7.5) over Bengals
Wk2: Raiders (+9) over Ravens
Wk2: Bucs (+7.5) over Lions
Wk1: Patriots (+8) over Bengals
Underdogs of 7+ points are now 5-0 straight up to start the season