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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534
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Overall MLB Postseason Trends
Line Angles
Road favorites are on an 8-16 SU skid (-12.10 units, ROI: -50.4%)
System Match (FADE): NY YANKEES (-118 at KC)
Home favorites of -112 to -180 in the MLB playoffs dating back to 2018 have been very vulnerable, as they are just 65-70 SU (-34.51 units, ROI: -25.6%)
System Match (FADE): SAN DIEGO (-148 vs LAD)
Series wins status
For teams leading in a series, home-field advantage has meant quite a lot, as these hosts are 65-44 SU (+14.89 units, ROI: 13.7%) and 56-53 on run lines (+11.10 units, ROI: 10.2%) since 2013.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NY METS, SAN DIEGO
Home field has proven somewhat advantageous in series’ that are even, as hosts in this situation have gone 73-74 on run lines (+10.63 units, ROI: 7.2%) since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (+1.5 vs. CLE), KANSAS CITY (+1.5 vs, NYY)
Stats from last game trends
Teams that are favored in an MLB postseason game after having lost the last outing while scoring two runs or fewer are just 42-53 SU (-32.43 units, ROI: -34.1%) and 29-66 on run lines (-27.65 units, ROI: -29.1%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE): NY YANKEES
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10-09-24 10:24 PM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534
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Totals angles
The last three MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as although the outright record on totals is 67-64, Overs have produced a return of +22.20 units, an ROI of 16.9%. Total vig have been heavily shaded towards Unders.
System Matches: PLAY OVER in all 4 games
Divisional Round Angles
Home field advantage has been particularly prevalent in the divisional series when the host is leading in the series or even. Those hosts are on a surge of 56-35 SU (+7.34 units, ROI: 8.1%) and 48-43 on run lines (+12.69 units, ROI: 13.9%) since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT, NY METS, KANSAS CITY, SAN DIEGO
Since 2013, the number 7 has been key in terms of run scored for teams. In divisional round games following a same series game in which they scored 7 runs or more, teams are 38-26 SU (+14.92 units, ROI: 23.3%).
System Match (PLAY): NY METS (-110 vs. PHI)
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10-09-24 10:32 PM |
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