Week 3 NFL lopsided sides (by total bets) at
DKSportsbook


83% on Bucs -6.5
79% on Raiders -6
79% on Chiefs -3
75% on Bills -5
69% on Texans-1.5
68% on Seahawks -4.5
68% on Bengals -7
67% on Browns -6.5

Baltimore at Dallas
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

In looking at the teams that had realistic 2024 playoff goals that are in desperate mode heading into Week 3’s games, I’d have to put Baltimore at the top of the list in terms of “must-cover,” with a close second to Indy. Cincinnati has a bigger point spread and could win without covering. The history of winless teams in Week 3 is strong: Teams that start out 0-2 SU in the NFL are 26-25 SU but 35-15-1 ATS (70%) against 1-1 teams in Week 3 since 2010. Head coach John Harbaugh’s team has also been a very good road team in recent years, going 38-20 ATS (65.5%) since 2017. He has won many big games in spots like this before.

Even though they are an underdog, the betting public is actually backing Baltimore here. That is not bad as it has them qualifying for two DK Betting Splits systems: 1) In NFL non-conferences games of 2023, DK majority handle bettors were actually quite sharp, as this majority group was 41-29 ATS (58.6%). 2) In another rare winning record, when the majority of the handle has backed the team with fewer season wins in a 2022 or 2023 NFL game for an ATS wager, this majority group was 56-40 ATS (58.3%). These have proven to be situations in which going against the grain pays off. Dallas has some obvious problems after last week’s loss. Baltimore needs this one and is favored accordingly, and QB Lamar Jackson’s 20-1 SU record vs. the NFC is impossible to ignore.

"We're pulling for nearly every underdog on the Sunday slate. The public is all over the chalk today."

- Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, BetMGM

Three Week 3 NFL games with sharpest money from prime sportsbook
:

Texans from +2.5 to +1
Eagles +3
Rams +7.5/+7

"We’d also be very, very happy for the Chiefs lose outright and knock down the teasers."

Most bet (tickets) underdogs to win on Sunday at BetMGM

1. Packers +130

2. Chargers +120

3. Eagles +125

Popular (+60% of bets) NFL Week 3 plays at BetMGM

71% on Raiders -6
71% on Ravens -1
68% on Texans -1.5
66% on Chiefs -3
62% on Seahawks -4.5
62% on Buccaneers -6
61% on Giants +6.5
60% on Colts -1.5

Week 3 NFL lopsided sides (by total bets) at
ESPNBET
:

78% on Bucs -6
75% on Chiefs -3
73% on Ravens -1
71% on Bengals -7.5
66% on Seahawks -4.5
64% on Lions -3
64% on Browns -6

Most bet (tickets) players to score anytime touchdown on Sunday at BetMGM

1. Rashid Shaheed (NO) +150

2. Justin Fields (PIT) +250

3. Davante Adams (LV) +140

4. CeeDee Lamb (Dal) +100

The Chargers-Steelers total is down to 34.5...

We haven't seen a game close at 35 or less in the 1st three games of the regular season since 2010 — Bucs vs. Steelers, Charlie Batch & Josh Freeman

Most bet (tickets) NFL Week 3 player props at BetMGM

1. Brandon Aiyuk over 72.5 receiving yards

2. Devon Achane over 25.5 recieving yards

3. Ja'Marr Chase over 79.5 receiving yards

4. George Pickens over 45.5 recieving yards

Five most lopsided Week 3 NFL sides (by total $) at ESPNBET
:

1. 75% on Chiefs -3
2. 71% on Bengals -7
3. 71% on Bucs -6
4. 68% on Ravens -1
5. 66% on Lions -3

DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2022 was 44.2, last year it dropped over a point to 43.0. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors rebounded incredibly in 2023, after going 28-53 ATS in 2022, they were. 44-24 ATS (64.7%) last year! We’ll see how that latter trend holds in 2024.

System Matches (CONSIDER PLAYING ALL): OVER – HOU-MIN, PHI-NO, DET-ARI, BAL-DAL, KC-ATL
UNDER – WAS-CIN

DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the handle has been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last 1-1/2 season, this majority group has been quite sharp, 59-42 ATS (58.4%). This number for a supermajority in the NFL is quite low, which is evidence of how rarely the betting public bets on the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for the number of bets has also produced a 44-33 (57.1%) record.

System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): LAC-PIT, NYG-CLE, GB-TEN, MIA-SEA, SF-LAR