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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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Potentially misleading NFL statistics?
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The Giants' NFL rank in Defensive Yards Per Point, dead last, could be a sign of better things ahead. (AP)
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With the NFL bye weeks having concluded last Sunday, one of the major handicapping variables has been minimized, that being scheduling. With that said, many people get back to the bare bones basics for the rest of the season, using statistics, trends, systems, and power ratings. Of course, FoxSheets offers up analysis on all of those factors, but one of the things I want to look into in this article is stats that may or may not be misleading when it comes to gauging the actual strength of a team. Two particular stats that I thought might qualify are Yards Per Point (YPPT) & Turnover Differential (TO Diff.).
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Betting the NFL best for the rest
NFL - Earlier in the season, on two different occasions, I spent time researching and finding reasons, then imploring you to not give up betting on some of the NFL’s worst teams. For that reason, I’ve decided to dedicate this week’s NFL feature piece to betting the good teams the rest of the way.
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NFL Pre- & Post-Bye Week Trends - Part 2
NFL - The NFL “open dates” continue for another three weeks and if you’ve been around StatFox or the Platinum Sheet the last few seasons, you’ve probably been anxiously awaiting the second part of the series highlighting the top team trends for pre- and post-bye week games. Here is Part 2. If you missed any or all of the first part of the series, click here.
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets.com
| NFL | CLEVELAND at DETROIT
Play Over - Any team against the total after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units )
| NFL | TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (TENNESSEE) team outrushing opponents by 40+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 0.0 units )
| NFL | BUFFALO at JACKSONVILLE
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (JACKSONVILLE) good rushing team (>=4.5 YPR) against a poor rushing defense (>=4.5 YPR) after 8+ games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units ) |
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