I'm a BIG Bama fan and as much as I would like to see them win, I just don't see it happening. Seven scholarship players left. Ronald Steele playing forty minutes a game. LSU walked their dog in Baton Rouge. But what do I know.
I have been saving Mejias pics since 2/1 and we now have four days of data. I think it will be a good filter to use, especially for the Away Underdogs that he pics to win SU to cover ATS.
I have spent the morning getting the stats caught up and the only discrepancy someone may find is due to the line used. I am using the line that Pinnacle is showing when I either place my bet or as I record the line when I look at that moment.
All that said, below are the results:
Dogs 3 to -3
Money line 12-12
Home dogs 3-5
Away dogs 12-4
Favs 3 to -3
Money line 19-13
Home Favs 9-6
Away Favs 7-7
Some of the favs were pushes ATS and shown only on the moneyline.
Today's NCAA two games that fit:
Iowa State -2.5 at home vs Colorado and Niagara +3 at Fairfield.
Mejia has Iowa St 74-66
My play will be Niagara. I have not looked at the Iowa St game yet
StatFox Super Situations favoring NIAGARA to cover the spread
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 5 stars.
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - off a road win, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(26-6 since 1997.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 3*)