Mejia --- dogs open line +3 or less in SI, got 11 plays for 2/4

Alabama +2.5

Mia Fl +1

Wisc Mil +3

N Texas +1

Fl Intl +2

St Johns +2

Marshall +2

La Tech +1.5

Oregon +1.5

Col St +2

Portland +1

See my thread about line value and Col St. they are getting excellent value at home (more points) than when they played the same team away one month ago.

The reason I use OPEN line is to avoid the line moving up & down in/out of criteria of 3 pts all day long.

I'm a BIG Bama fan and as much as I would like to see them win, I just don't see it happening. Seven scholarship players left. Ronald Steele playing forty minutes a game. LSU walked their dog in Baton Rouge. But what do I know.

Opening lines probably work best.

Using Bigdaddis post, I have added home and away for the dog.


Mejia --- dogs open line +3 or less in SI, got 11 plays for 2/4

Alabama +2.5 Home

Mia Fl +1 Away

Wisc Mil +3 Away

N Texas +1 Away

Fl Intl +2 Home

St Johns +2 Away

Marshall +2 Away

La Tech +1.5 Home (Pinn has them -1)

Oregon +1.5 Home

Col St +2 Home

Portland +1 Home

Wake Forest +3 Away (Pinny has this one too)

GLTA

do you guys see any other huge dogs winning other than minnesota?

from meja i mean

What is the critera I need to use to look at the NBA side of this?
Is there a place I can go backto check how he did in the past as well?

Two dogs that I really like are Wisc-Milwaukee and Miami, Fl

Here is the link for Meija's NBA Selections and I don't believe you can go back and back test it seems to just have today's selections.

http://www.sportsline.com/nba/exclusives/mejia

Rakster - His NBA one isn't as good as CBB.
Still when he projected a nba dog beating a fav outright, there's good chance.

wisc-mil and miami, cant bring myself to play alabama.

Alabama +2.5 Home .... [WINNER]

Mia Fl +1 Away .... [WINNER]

Wisc Mil +3 Away .... [PUSH (+3)or LOSS(+2.5)]

here is how the games yesterday ended up--

Alabama +2.5 WINNER

Mia Fl +1 WINNER

Wisc Mil +3 PUSH

N Texas +1 PUSH

Fl Intl +2 PUSH

St Johns +2 LOSER

Marshall +2 LOSER

La Tech +1.5 WINNER

Oregon +1.5 LOSER

Col St +2 LOSER

Portland +1 LOSER

overall- 3-5-3

any filters or anyone see anything to weed out some of these losses?

I have been saving Mejias pics since 2/1 and we now have four days of data. I think it will be a good filter to use, especially for the Away Underdogs that he pics to win SU to cover ATS.

I have spent the morning getting the stats caught up and the only discrepancy someone may find is due to the line used. I am using the line that Pinnacle is showing when I either place my bet or as I record the line when I look at that moment.

All that said, below are the results:

Dogs 3 to -3
Money line 12-12
Home dogs 3-5
Away dogs 12-4

Favs 3 to -3
Money line 19-13
Home Favs 9-6
Away Favs 7-7

Some of the favs were pushes ATS and shown only on the moneyline.

Today's NCAA two games that fit:

Iowa State -2.5 at home vs Colorado and Niagara +3 at Fairfield.

Mejia has Iowa St 74-66
Niagara 70-69

GLTA

My play will be Niagara. I have not looked at the Iowa St game yet

I have the following winners that I played yesterday as well according to the Meija System

Wake Forrest +3
Oklahomoa State +2
UNC Greensboro +1
Sacramento State +1

To support the Niagara pick:

StatFox Super Situations favoring NIAGARA to cover the spread
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 5 stars.
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - off a road win, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(26-6 since 1997.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 3*)

also throw in ML is only +135,+3 on road i am thinking should be +150 or so

nice work jasper. I am also like niagra in this one