 |
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
Games to Watch
February 18, 2013
As the men’s college basketball regular season enters its final few weeks, victories at this time of the year are often worth their weight in gold for the top teams in the nation in terms of jockeying for position for the upcoming madness of March. This is especially true this season as everything from the top four seeds to the last four in remains completely up for grabs.
The following is a brief preview of a key matchup on each day’s slate this week along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the game.
Tuesday, Feb. 19
No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers vs. No. 4 Michigan State Spartans (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Indiana should hold onto the No.1 spot in the nation after posting routine victories over Nebraska and Purdue last week while covering a double-digit spread each time. It is now 23-3 SU and 14-10 ATS this season with the total staying UNDER in three of its last four games. The Hoosiers remain the second-highest scoring team in the country with an average of 82.9 points a game and are shooting an impressive 50.2 percent from the field, which is ranked fourth overall. Cody Zeller has led the way all season long with 16.6 points and 8.2 rebounds a game.
The Spartans are tied with Indiana atop the Big Ten standings at 11-2 but they lost the first meeting this season in late January 75-70 as 9 ½-point road underdogs. They are 22-4 SU overall and 10-11-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games. Michigan State brings a five-game winning streak into this showdown that includes double-digit victories over Minnesota and Michigan. It has averaged 73.4 points a game during this run while holding its opponents to just 61.2 points a game.
Wednesday, Feb. 20
No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks vs. No. 14 Oklahoma State Cowboys (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)
Kansas bounced back from a rare three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins over Kansas State and Texas. It routed the then-No.10 Wildcats by 21 points as a 7 ½-point home favorite. The Jayhawks improved to 21-4 SU on the year and into a three-way tie atop the Big 12 standings with Kansas State and Oklahoma State at 9-3. They are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games (11-13 ATS overall) and the total has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Kansas has three players scoring in double figures led by Ben McLemore’s 16.7 points a game.
The Cowboys find themselves in the thick of the Big 12 regular season title race as a result of a seven-game winning streak that includes a thrilling 84-79 overtime victory over rival Oklahoma this past Saturday as nine-point home favorites. They are 19-5 SU and 12-10-1 ATS overall with the total going OVER in six of their last seven games. Oklahoma State is averaging 73 points a game while shooting 44 percent from the field. Both Marcel Brown and Marcus Smart are scoring over 15 points a game with Smart leading the team in assists with 4.5 a game.
Thursday, Feb. 21
No. 6 Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech Hokies (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)
Duke should tumble a bit in the latest polls after falling to Maryland this past Saturday 83-81 as a four-point favorite on the road. The loss dropped the Blue Devils to 22-3 SU and 13-12 ATS. They now trail Miami by three full games in the ACC standings at 9-3 SU in conference play. The total went OVER the 141-point line against the Terrapins after staying UNDER in three of their previous four games. Duke is averaging 78.1 points a game and shooting 47.2 percent from the floor mainly behind the efforts of Mason Plumlee (17.6 points) and Seth Curry (16.9 points). Plumlee also leads the team in rebounds with 10.4 a game.
The Hokies current losing streak reached eight games with Saturday’s 90-86 overtime loss to NC State as 14-point road underdogs. They are 11-14 SU overall and a dismal 2-10 in conference play. Virginia Tech has gone 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven games to improve to 10-10-2 ATS on the year. The total has gone OVER in five of its last eight games. The team as a whole is averaging 71.4 points a game while shooting just 42 percent from the floor. However, Erick Green has been a one-man show with 25.3 points and 4.1 assists a game while hitting 47.3 percent of his shots from the field.
Friday, Feb. 22
St. Louis Billikens vs. No. 15 Butler Bulldogs (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)
The Billikens seven-game winning streak has them in second-place in the Atlantic 10 standings with a record of 8-2. They are 19-5 SU overall and 13-9 ATS. They have a huge showdown against VCU, which leads the conference, at home this Tuesday before heading on the road for this matchup. They have covered the spread in all seven games and the total has gone OVER in five of those contests. Saint Louis has five different players scoring at least nine points a game and as a team it is averaging 68.5 points while giving-up 57.8 points to its opponents.
Butler will play Duquesne at home this Tuesday before hosting the Billikens on Friday night. It is in third-place in the A-10 standings at 8-3 and is 21-5 SU overall. It has failed to cover in four of its last six games but is still a profitable 14-9-1 ATS on the year. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Bulldogs are putting up an average of 70.6 points a game while shooting 45.7 percent from the field. Rotnei Clarke leads the team in scoring with 17.2 points, but they have four additional players scoring in double figures.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
02-19-13 09:55 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.
Lookahead spot
The Georgetown Hoyas are the hottest team in college hoops, winning seven in a row SU and ATS. Their most recent victory - a 62-55 road win over Cincinnati as 4-point underdogs – has Georgetown locked in a three-way tie with Syracuse and Marquette atop the Big East at 9-3 in conference play. The Hoyas already have a win over the Golden Eagles and can put some space between them and the Orange with a victory at Syracuse Saturday.
But before Georgetown invades the Carrier Dome, it hosts Big East bottom-feeder DePaul Wednesday. The Blue Demons, however, aren’t going to roll over. They recently snapped a nine-game losing skid and have covered in three straight outings. DePaul, which is 6-2 ATS on the road, covered at Georgetown last year and is 3-1 ATS in its last four versus the Hoyas.
Letdown spot
We caught the Philadelphia Flyers with their guard down at the start of the NHL season, coming off an intense home opener with the rival Penguins only to fall flat versus the Sabres the next night. History has a tendency to repeat itself, especially in compressed schedules like this year’s lockout-shortened slate which leaves little time for correction.
Philadelphia finds itself in a similar situation, visiting Pittsburgh Wednesday before returning home to host floundering Florida Thursday. The Flyers, who have a frantic schedule this week with three games in four nights, could be low on gas by the time they play the Panthers. That game is the first one back in Wells Fargo Arena after a six-game road trip.
Scheduling spot
The Boston Celtics needed the All-Star break more than any team in the league. Their aging roster is down three players – Rajon Rondo, Jared Sullinger, Leandro Barbosa – and star small forward Paul Pierce is nursing a pinched nerve in his neck. The Celtics went into the four-day layoff on a high note, winning eight of nine games (7-2 ATS) before the break, but face a daunting challenge starting Tuesday.
Boston opens the second half of the schedule on a five-game Western Conference swing, beginning in Denver Tuesday. The Celtics, who are a dismal 8-15 SU and 7-15-1 ATS on the road, then travel to Los Angeles (Lakers), Phoenix, Portland and Utah. In fact, Boston plays at home only twice in the next 11 contests – a span of nearly a month.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-19-13 09:58 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Tuesday, February 19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU (15 - 8) at TENNESSEE (14 - 10) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WICHITA ST (22 - 5) at INDIANA ST (16 - 10) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
INDIANA ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 4-3 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DUQUESNE (8 - 17) at BUTLER (21 - 5) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
DUQUESNE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUQUESNE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DUQUESNE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
DUQUESNE is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
BUTLER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDIANA (23 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (22 - 4) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
INDIANA is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLORIDA ST (14 - 11) at NC STATE (18 - 7) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
NC STATE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARQUETTE (18 - 6) at SETON HALL (13 - 13) - 2/19/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 239-195 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 239-195 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 99-63 ATS (+29.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 99-63 ATS (+29.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 3-1 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 3-1 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEXAS (11 - 14) at TCU (10 - 15) - 2/19/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
TCU is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
TCU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TCU is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S ILLINOIS (11 - 15) at CREIGHTON (21 - 6) - 2/19/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 5-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 5-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VALPARAISO (20 - 7) at LOYOLA-IL (14 - 12) - 2/19/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 3-2 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 3-2 straight up against LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N IOWA (16 - 11) at MISSOURI ST (8 - 19) - 2/19/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N IOWA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MISSOURI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
MISSOURI ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
MISSOURI ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 4-1 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 3-2 straight up against MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-19-13 10:04 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
UTAH ST (18 - 6) at BYU (19 - 8) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 177-123 ATS (+41.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 117-82 ATS (+26.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BYU is 117-82 ATS (+26.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BYU is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
BYU is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VA COMMONWEALTH (21 - 5) at SAINT LOUIS (19 - 5) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLORIDA (21 - 3) at MISSOURI (18 - 7) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLORIDA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
FLORIDA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
FLORIDA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VIRGINIA (18 - 7) at MIAMI (21 - 3) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 51-79 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all home games this season.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARYLAND (18 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (11 - 14) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-2 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N CAROLINA (17 - 8) at GEORGIA TECH (14 - 10) - 2/19/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
GEORGIA TECH is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WYOMING (18 - 7) at SAN DIEGO ST (18 - 7) - 2/19/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FRESNO ST (8 - 16) at NEVADA (12 - 12) - 2/19/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 109-143 ATS (-48.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
NEVADA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
NEVADA is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 4-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 5-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-19-13 10:05 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 19
-- Tennessee won its last four games vs LSU, beating Tigers LY in OT in Baton Rouge; Tigers lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 3-22-23 points. LSU won five of last six games overall, are 3-1 as an SEC road dog, with road losses by 5-9-5-3 points. Tennessee won by 30 over shorthanded Kentucky last game; Vols won last three games, allowing an average of 55 ppg. SEC home favorites of 6+ points are 15-22.
-- Quick turnaround for Wichita squad that stole win at Illinois State two nights ago, after being down 5 with 0:50 left. Shockers (-12) got beat at home 68-55 by Indiana State Jan 29, shooting 27% from floor- they won last three games overall by 29-15-1. Sycamores lost last two games, but are 7-0 at home in Valley, including 76-57 win over Creighton. Home underdogs of 5 or less points are 14-5 vs spread in MVC this year.
-- Indiana (-9.5) shot 59% inside arc, beat Michigan State 75-50 Jan 27, 13th win for home team in last 15 series games. Hoosiers lost last seven visits here, by 12-14-8-28-29-1-15 points, but they're 8-1 in last nine games overall, including win at Ohio State last week. Spartans won last five games since loss at Indiana; they're 6-0 at home in league. Big Dozen favorites are 11-6 in games where spread is 3 or less points.
-- Florida State won last three games vs NC State by 13-10-14 points; they've won last four visits to NC State, but lost three of last four road games, losing by 20-24-25 points- they're 3-2 as ACC road underdogs. Wolfpack is 4-5 in last nine games, with no wins by more than 8 points; they're 2-3 as ACC home favorite, winning game in Raleigh by 13-8-4-8-4 points. ACC home favorites of 8+ points are 13-8 vs spread.
-- Marquette (-9.5) beat Seton Hall 69-62 Jan 16, its 10th win in last 11 series games; Eagles won three of last four visits here, losing 85-72 in its last visit two years ago. Marquette won five of last seven games; they're 2-3 on Big East road, 1-0 as road favorite. Pirates lost last seven games, are 0-4 as home underdogs, losing at home by 15-12-6-11-11 points. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-12 against spread.
-- Texas split its first two games with Kabongo eligible, upsetting Iowa State in OT; they beat TCU 60-43 (-12) at home Feb 2, holding Frogs to 32.7% from floor. Longhorns are 0-5 SU on Big X road this year, 2-1 vs spread as favorite. TCU is 1-4 as home dog, with an upset over Kansas, and losses by 9-13-13-26-13 points. Big X home underdogs of 7 or less points are 2-4 against the spread.
-- Northern Iowa (-12) beat Missouri State 48-37 two weeks ago, game Bears led 29-26 with 10:00 left; Panthers are 7-2 in last nine series tilts, winning three of last four visits here, with wins by 9-1-1. State is 12-3 vs spread in Valley games, 5-1 as home dog; they're 5-2 SU at home in league, losing to Creighton by 22, Wichita by 10. MVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 15-6 against the spread.
-- Saint Louis won/covered last seven games, with all seven wins by 9+ points; Billikens are 3-2 as A-16 home favorite, winning home games by 8-17-29-18 points, with loss to URI. VCU won its last five games and is A-16 underdog for first time; they're 4-1 on A-16 road, with only loss in OT at Richmond, when they led by 7 in last minute, before blowing it. Six of last eight Billiken games went over total. A-16 home favorites of 4 or less points are 17-11 vs spread.
-- Florida (-13) crushed Missouri 83-52 Jan 19, forcing 21 turnovers and shooting 67.5% inside arc; Mizzou is 6-0 at home in SEC games- they were favored in all six. Gators won last three games by 25-17-31 points, since getting upset at Arkansas- they're 5-1 as SEC road favorites. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-6 vs spread. Missouri's last three losses are by 3-2-2 points.
-- Miami pulled out 45-43 win at Clemson Sunday after trailing by 4 in last 1:46; they've won six of last eight games vs Virginia, with last three won by a point or in OT. 'canes lost four of last five visits here, losing by 20-11-1-18 points. Miami is 4-0 as home favorite, winning at home by 7-27-24-22-26 points. ACC home favorites of 8+ points are 13-8 vs spread. Virginia won three of last four games, is 2-4 on ACC road, with losses by 3-15-6-12 points- their last five games went over total.
-- Maryland (-8.5) beat Boston College 64-59 Jan 22, in game that saw both teams shoot less than 60% on foul line; trap game for Terp squad off emotional win over Duke, despite turning ball over 26 times- they've split last four visits here. BC lost 8 of its last 11 games, four of six ACC home games; their last three games (!-2) were decided by total of seven points. ACC home underdogs are 16-5 against spread.
-- North Carolina (-10.5) beat Georgia Tech 79-63 Jan 23, holding Tech to 36% from floor; UNC lost four of last five visits here, with only win by a point five years ago. Home teams won 11 of last 13 series games. Tar Heels lost three of last four road games (won by 12 at BC). Tech is 4-3 in last seven games, with last six decided by 6 or less points. ACC home underdogs are 16-5 against the spread; Tech is 1-1 as home dog.
-- Nevada (+2.5) won 68-61 in Fresno Jan 19, outscoring Bulldogs 30-12 on foul line (Wolf Pack was 30-37, Fresno 12-21); Nevada lost three of five MWC home games, beating Boise by 16, Air Force by 5- they're 1-1 as home favorites. Bulldogs lost seven of last eight games, are 2-3 as dog on MWC road. Four of last five Fresno games stayed under total. MWC home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-4 against the spread.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-19-13 10:06 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Tuesday, February 19
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Study group: Tuesday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) Indiana at (5) Michigan State (-1.5)
A five-game winning streak has Michigan State knocking on the door to sole possession of first place in the Big Ten. Michigan State has not lost since dropping a 75-70 decision in Bloomington, Ind., on Jan. 27 and is currently tied with the Hoosiers atop the conference. The Spartans have held their last four opponents to an average of 57.8 points and sit second in the Big Ten in scoring defense (59.1). The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten in scoring offense (82.9) and have gone for 80 or more points in four of their last five victories. Indiana is 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings at Michigan State.
(20) Marquette at Seton Hall (+5.5)
Marquette has won three of four following Saturday's impressive 79-69 victory over Pittsburgh that extended its home winning streak to 23 games - the fourth-longest active streak nationally. The Pirates are careening in the other direction, having dropped seven consecutive games and 11 of their last 12 to move within one game of the conference cellar. Marquette has won 10 of 12 meetings overall but Seton Hall captured the last home matchup in March 2011. The Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last nine Tuesday games.
Duquesne at (15) Butler (-16.5)
Before they take on a difficult stretch run, the Butler Bulldogs get one more very winnable game when they host last-place Duquesne. The Bulldogs will enter a game behind first-place and nationally ranked Virginia Commonwealth in the Atlantic 10 and one-half game back of Saint Louis. The Bulldogs are coming off a 68-63 win at Fordham on Saturday. After scoring less than 70 points in eight straight games, the Dukes erupted for 84 at Temple before suffering a 67-62 loss to Rhode Island Saturday. The Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
(24) VCU at Saint Louis (-3.5)
With regular-season games dwindling, the winner of Tuesday's tilt between Virginia Commonwealth and Saint Louis might very well be to determine the Atlantic 10 champion. The Billikens find themselves a half-game behind the Rams, who are on top in their inaugural season in the conference. Both teams have responded to two-game slumps with extended winning streaks (five for Virginia Commonwealth, seven for Saint Louis) and it'll be a battle of offense against defense to see which streak continues. The Rams enter boasting the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 78 points per game, over five points better than the next-best team. But the Billiken defense, the Atlantic 10's best, has allowed just 104 combined points in the past two games. Saint Louis is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall.
Virginia at (2) Miami-Florida (-8)
Virginia shot 58.5 percent from the field in Saturday’s 93-81 loss at North Carolina. That’s the Cavaliers’ best shooting in a defeat since 2003, when they made 59.2 percent in a 78-77 loss at Clemson. Virginia is also holding its opponents to 54 points per game and is ranked first in the ACC in scoring defense. Miami extended its winning streak to 13 games with a thrilling win at Clemson Sunday and is now one win shy of tying a school record of 14 consecutive victories. The Hurricanes are undefeated in ACC play with a 12-0 mark and 5-0 all-time at home against the Cavaliers. Miami is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games.
(4) Florida at Missouri (+4.5)
Florida shot 59.3 percent from the field and forced 21 turnovers in an 83-52 triumph over Missouri on Jan. 19. Each the Gators’ 11 SEC victories have come by at least 17 points, but Missouri has been almost as dominant at home, going 14-0 at Mizzou Arena with 12 of those wins coming by at least 14 points. Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-19-13 10:10 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
Thursday's Tips
February 20, 2013
**Cincinnati at Connecticut**
--Connecticut (17-7 straight up, 10-10 against the spread) is No. 31 in the RPI Rankings but is banned from going to both the Big East and NCAA Tournament during Kevin Ollie’s first year as head coach following the retirement of Jim Calhoun, who won three national championships in Storrs.
--UConn has won 12 of 14 home games while posting a 4-6 spread record. The Huskies had won five of their last six games, including a huge home win over Syracuse last week, before they dropped a 70-61 decision to Villanova on Saturday as 4.5-point home ‘chalk.’
--In the win over the ‘Cuse, UConn’s guard combination of Shabazz Napier and Ryan Boatright combined to score 27 points on 9-of-16 shooting from the field with 11 assists and five steals. However, in the loss to ‘Nova, Napier and Boatright combined to score just six points, missed all seven of their shots from 3-point range, made just 3-of-15 from the field and committed 10 turnovers. Alas, we can conclude that UConn goes as its backcourt combination goes.
--Napier averages a team-high 16.1 points per game and has a 112/49 assists-to-turnovers ratio. The junior from Roxbury, MA., has a team-high 49 steals. Boatright scores at a 15.4 PPG clip with a 101/70 assists-to-turnovers ratio and 38 steals.
--Cincinnati (19-7 SU, 10-12 ATS) has lost three of its last four games both SU and ATS, including last Friday night’s 62-55 loss to Georgetown as a four-point home favorite. Senior guard JaQuon Parker had a team-high 15 points and six rebounds in the losing effort. The Bearcats won the rebounding battle 36-27 and held their opponent to a reasonable 62-point output. However, a lack of offense continued to kill this team, as it made only 31.5 percent of its shots from the field, 4-of-24 from 3-point land (16.7%) and 17-of-30 from the free-throw line (56.7%).
--Junior guard/forward Sean Kilpatrick leads the Bearcats in scoring, averaging 18.0 points and 5.4 rebounds per contest. But Kilpatrick has been held under his scoring average in three of the last four games, while dishing out only eight assists compared to 11 turnovers.
--UConn is 3-5 against the RPI Top 50, 8-7 versus the RPI Top 100.
--Mick Cronin’s squad has won four of its six road games both SU and ATS. The Bearcats are 40th in the RPI Rankings, going 4-5 against the RPI Top 50 and 9-7 against Top 100 foes.
--Cincy has been an underdog only twice this year, compiling a 2-0 spread record with an outright win at Pittsburgh (70-61) and a narrow loss at Syracuse (57-55).
--When these teams met in Storrs on Jan. 12 of last season, Cincy collected a 70-67 upset win as a 6.5-point road underdog. The 137 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 130-point total. Napier had a game-high 27 points and seven assists for the Huskies in defeat, while Kilpatrick had a team-high 16 points for the winners thanks to four treys on nine attempts from beyond the arc.
--The ‘under’ has cashed at an NCAA-best 16-3 overall clip for the Bearcats, going 5-1 in their six true road assignments.
--Totals have been an overall wash (9-9) for UConn this season, but the ‘under’ is on a 4-2 run in its last six outings.
--Tip-off on ESPN is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern.
**Brigham Young at Saint Mary’s**
--This is a huge revenge game for BYU, which let a late second-half lead get away and lost a 70-69 decision to Saint Mary’s on Jan. 16 as a five-point home favorite. Gaels’ All-WCC point guard Matthew Dellavedova buried a leaning, double-pump 32-footer at the buzzer to propel his team into the win column. Dellavedova finished with 18 points and eight assists compared to only one turnover. Stephen Holt scored a team-high 22 points for Randy Bennett’s team. Tyler Haws had a game-high 23 points for the Cougars.
--BYU (20-8 SU, 12-15 ATS) is No. 62 in the RPI Rankings and its resume could certainly use a boost with a big road win in this spot. The Cougars have lost six of nine games to RPI Top 100 teams and are winless in three games against RPI Top 50 foes (at Iowa St., at Gonzaga and vs. Notre Dame on a neutral court) with each defeat coming by double-digit margins. With that said, Dave Rose’s team hosts Gonzaga (RPI: 12) next Thursday and could get a shot at the Bulldogs and/or Gaels again at the WCC Tournament.
--BYU is mired in a 0-4 ATS slump. The Cougars suffered a pair of costly outright losses at San Diego and vs. San Francisco on Feb. 7 and Feb. 9. Since then, they have won back-to-back contests, including Tuesday’s 70-68 home win over Utah St. as 12-point home favorites. Haws scored a game-high 27 points.
--Saint Mary’s (22-5 SU, 12-11-1 ATS) has won 13 of its 14 home games but has gone just 5-7 ATS. The lone home loss came to Gonzaga last Thursday by a 77-60 count.
--Bennett’s bunch bounced back from the defeat to Mark Few’s squad by winning 61-50 Saturday at Loyola-Marymount. However, the Gaels failed to cover the number as 13.5-point road ‘chalk.’ Holt had 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting from the field.
--Saint Mary’s is No. 51 in the RPI Rankings, posting a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 100 with wins at BYU, at Santa Clara and vs. Harvard. The Gaels have lost all three games to RPI Top 50 opponents (at Gonzaga, vs. Gonzaga and at No. Iowa).
--Dellavedova averages a team-high 15.8 PPG and had dished out 174 assists compared to only 71 turnovers.
--BYU is led by Haws, a sophomore who spent the last two seasons on a Mormon mission. (How good would BYU have been during Jimmer Fredette’s senior campaign if Brandon Davies hadn’t been suspended and Haws hadn’t been away on a mission?!) Haws is averaging 21.2 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, while Davies averages 17.7 points and 7.6 boards per contest.
--In BYU’s first year in the WCC last season, Saint Mary’s swept a pair of regular-season meetings. Going back further to 2005, the Gaels have won four of five meetings and taken the cash in each of those encounters. The ‘under’ is also 4-1 in the last five meetings.
--The ‘under’ is 11-8 overall for BYU although the ‘over’ has hit in four of its last five games. The ‘under’ is 4-3 for the Cougars in their seven true road assignments.
--The ‘under’ is 10-8 overall for Saint Mary’s, 7-3 in its last 10 outings. The ‘under’ is 5-4 for the Gaels in their home games with a total.
--ESPN2 will have the telecast at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--Indiana captured its first win at Breslin Center since 1991 by beating Michigan St. 72-68 Tuesday as a one-point underdog in front of a raucous crowd in East Lansing. Playing at less than 100 percent with a foot injury, IU senior slasher Victor Oladipo made all the plays at crunch time, including six points in the final 47 seconds. Oladipo’s tip-in gave the Hoosiers the lead for good when Spartans’ forward Denzel Washington fell asleep and failed to box out. Next, Oladipo dunked on a run-out and buried a pair of free throws to put the game on ice. Christian Watford finished with 12 points and his three-point play the hard way was pivotal when IU trailed by four with less than 90 seconds remaining.
--Missouri remained unbeaten at home with Tuesday’s 63-60 come-from-behind win over Florida as a five-point underdog. The Tigers hooked up money-line supporters with a plus-180 payout and improved to 82-4 at home since 2008. Laurence Bowers, who was injured when UF stroked the Tigers by 31 points at The O-Dome in January, scored 17 points and pulled down 10 rebounds.
--For UF, the loss was eerily reminiscent of a loss at Arizona before Christmas and even more similar to Elite Eight setbacks against Butler and Louisville that ended the Gators’ seasons just shy of the Final Four the last two years. Like the losses to Butler and U of L, Billy Donovan’s team led nearly the entire game and had comfortable cushions with eight minutes remaining. But at crunch time UF settled for jumpers and they didn’t fall. The Gators took 33 shots from 3-point land at Mizzou compared to only 21 attempts from inside the line.
--Indiana State’s at-large hopes are vanishing fast. The Sycamores lost their third straight game Tuesday when they fell at home to Wichita St. by a 66-62 score. Even worse, they cost their backers like me as 3.5-point underdogs.
--Saint Louis improved to 20-5 overall and took sole possession of first place in the Atlantic 10 thanks to Tuesday’s 76-62 win over VCU as a two-point home favorite. The Billikens led by 17 at intermission and never let the Rams cut the deficit to single digits in the second half. VCU backers as a three-point favorite for halftime wagers got a miracle push thanks to several meaningless baskets by the Rams in the final two minutes.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-21-13 11:41 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Thursday, February 21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LASALLE (18 - 6) at TEMPLE (17 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 160-123 ATS (+24.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TEMPLE is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in February games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
TEMPLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 3-2 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 5-0 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CINCINNATI (19 - 7) at CONNECTICUT (17 - 7) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GEORGIA (12 - 13) at ARKANSAS (16 - 9) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DREXEL (11 - 15) at DELAWARE (14 - 13) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
DREXEL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DREXEL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
DREXEL is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 3-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 3-2 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARK-LITTLE ROCK (15 - 12) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (14 - 12) - 2/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLA ATLANTIC (12 - 16) at N TEXAS (10 - 18) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
N TEXAS is 2-2 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------
TROY (11 - 16) at LA-LAFAYETTE (10 - 17) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
TROY is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
TROY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA-MONROE (4 - 18) at W KENTUCKY (13 - 14) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
W KENTUCKY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S ALABAMA (15 - 9) at MIDDLE TENN ST (23 - 4) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PENN ST (8 - 17) at ILLINOIS (19 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DUKE (22 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 14) - 2/21/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CALIFORNIA (16 - 9) at OREGON (21 - 5) - 2/21/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
OREGON is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 5-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTAH (11 - 14) at COLORADO (17 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 15) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (8 - 18) - 2/21/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 184-228 ATS (-66.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 184-228 ATS (-66.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-21-13 11:51 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, February 21
-- Temple's last five games (3-2) were all decided by one point, first time that happened in at least 15 years; Owls won last seven games against LaSalle, winning last three played here, by 12-8-6 points. Explorers are 8-2 in last ten games, winning last four, three by 9+ points- they've won last three road games. Temple is 3-2 in conference home games. A-16 home teams are 3-10 when spread is 2 or less points.
-- UConn won six of last nine games vs Cincinnati, but Bearcats won last two visits here, by 12-3 points; road teams won four of last five series games. Huskies won five of last seven games, are 4-2 at home in Big East games, with three wins by 8+ points. Cincy lost three of last four games, but they're 4-2 on Big East road, with losses by 2-4 points. Big East home teams are 9-26 if spread is 5 or less points.
-- Georgia won its last three games vs Arkansas by 13-1-22 points; they turn ball over 23.4% oftime, bad news vs Arkansas team forces foes to turn ball over 25.1% of time. SEC double digit home favorites are 10-14 vs spread. Hogs won four of last five games, beating Florida/Mizzou in last two home games; they're 6-0 in SEC home games, with four wins by 11+ points. Dawgs are 3-3 on SEC road, losing by 33-17-10 points.
-- Delaware (+5.5) won 66-64 at Drexel Jan 28, making 53% inside arc, just second win in last six series games for Hens; Drexel lost three of its last four visits here, losing by 3-4-11 points. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-15 vs spread. Last three Delaware games were won by total of five points. First road game for Drexel in 19 days; they're 3-4 in last seven games, with three losses by 7 or less points.
-- Ark-Little Rock (-5) beat FIU 88-76 at home Jan 12, third series win in row for Trojans, by 8-14-14 points. UALR is 3-2 in last five visits to FIU. Panthers won their last three home games by 3-19-5 points; eight of their last nine wins are by 6 or less points. Sun Belt home favorites of 6 or less points are 14-12 vs spread. UALR lost three of last four games; five of their last seven were decided by 5 or less points.
-- Middle Tennessee (-7.5) won 60-56 at South Alabama Jan 5, in game they led by 15 with 9:00 left; Raiders are 9-2 in last 11 games vs USA, winning last four by 23-16-21-4 points. Jaguars lost last three visits to MTSU by 27-23-16 points; they're 7-1 in last eight games overall, with three of last four wins by 4 or less points. MTSU is 8-0 at home in Sun Belt games, with seven wins by 13+points. Sun Belt double digit home favorites are 11-4 vs spread.
-- Duke didn't play true road game in pre-conference; they're 3-3 in ACC road games, winning by 5-19-1 points (won by 19 at FSU). ACC home underdogs are 16-5 vs spread; double digit favorites are 10-5, but 0-2 on road. Virginia Tech lost last eight games, losing last four at home by 16-9-5-10 points. Duke won last four series games, beating Hokies twice in LY's games, by 4-5 points- they won four of last five visits here, with wins by 13-17-7-15 points.
-- Cal (-1.5) beat Oregon 58-54 at home Feb 2, despite Ducks shooting 60% inside arc; they've beaten Oregon 10 times in row, with last four wins here all by 10+ points. Ducks are 5-1 in Pac-12 home games, with loss to Colorado. Bears won last three games, by 8-13-8 points, scoring 76+ points in all three; they've won five of last six games but are 3-4 on Pac-12 road. Pac-12 home faves of 6 or less points are 11-23 vs spread.
-- Colorado (-5) lost 58-55 at Utah Feb 2, game Utes led by 22 in second half; Buffs won six of last eight games, with four of last five decided by 4 or less points. Utah is 1-5 on Pac-12 road, losing by 1-13-10-18-9; three of their last five games were decided by 5 or less points. Last three Colorado home wins were all by 10+ points, but four of their last five games overall were decided by 4 or less points. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 3-8 vs spread.
-- San Francisco (-7) beat LMU 62-53 at home Jan 19, holdng Lions to 28.3% from floor; it was 6th win in last nine series games for Dons, who lost four of last six games overall, but won three of last four road games. Lions lost last ten games; they're 1-5 at home in WCC, with three of last five losses by 4 or less points. WCC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 0-6 vs spread. USF is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
-- Stanford made 14-25 from arc, turned ball over only four times in its 81-73 (-9.5) win over Oregon State Feb 3, its third straight series win, by 2-5-8 points- they won here LY 103-101 in four OTs. Beavers lost five of last seven games, are 2-5 at home in Pac-12, beating Wash/Utah. Stanford won five of last seven visits to Corvallis. Underdogs are 16-6 in Pac-12 games if spread is 3 or less points.
-- Dellavedova hit running 3-pointer at buzzer to give St Mary's a 70-69 (+5) win Jan 16 in Provo, its third straight series win. BYU lost 98-82 in its visit here LY. Gaels were 10-25 from arc in Provo; they've won 10 of last 11 games, are 5-1 at home in WCC, with four wins by 12+ points- their last four wins are by 10+. WCC single digit home favorites are 6-9 vs spread. BYU is 0-5 vs teams ranked in the top 60.
-- Elon (-12) beat Samford 77-66 at home Feb 2, despite Bulldogs hitting 11-18 inside arc, 11-32 inside it; Phoenix won 10 of last 11 games, with last three wins by 4 or less points, or in OT- they're 5-2 on road in their league games. Samford won three of last four games; they're 5-2 at home in league, but tun ball over 21.2% of time. Samford is 1-12 vs teams in top 225; Elon is #201. SoCon home underdogs are 15-9 vs spread.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-21-13 11:53 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12024
|
NCAAB
Thursday, February 21
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Study group: Thursday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Tech Hokies (+13, 151)
Duke looks to rebound from a loss to Maryland when it visits Virginia Tech on Thursday. The No. 6 Blue Devils have lost three of their last 10 games and are a distant second in the Atlantic Coast Conference behind runaway leader Miami. The Blue Devils are playing back-to-back road games for just the second time all season. Virginia Tech has lost eight consecutive contests since defeating Wake Forest on Jan. 19.
The Hokies are experiencing a dismal season in James Johnson’s first season as coach. Virginia Tech is in last place in the 12-team conference. Duke’s loss to Maryland came in its fourth contest in 10 days and coach Mike Krzyzewski said afterwards that his squad was tired. “We’re playing on fumes and I think you could tell that,” Krzyzewski said. The Blue Devils had enough energy to force 26 turnovers but were dominated by a 40-20 margin on the boards. Coach K is tied with legendary Kentucky coach Adolph Rupp for the third-most wins (876) at one school.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
ABOUT DUKE (22-3 SU, 9-3 ACC, 13-12-0 ATS): Senior forward Mason Plumlee struggled against Maryland with a season-low four points and only three rebounds. It was the worst all-around game of the season for a player averaging 17.6 points and 10.4 rebounds. “There is so much pressure for Mason to play outstanding,” Krzyzewski said afterwards. “That wears on you as the season goes on.” Plumlee has 14 double-doubles this season and is 13 rebounds away from becoming the ninth player in Duke history to reach 1,000 career points and rebounds. Senior guard Seth Curry averages 16.9 points and has made a team-best 62 3-pointers. Sophomore guard Quinn Cook has four steals in each of the past two games and has a team-leading 44 to go with a 12.3 scoring average.
ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (11-14 SU, 2-10 ACC, 10-10-2 ATS): Freshman forward Marshall Wood had 14 points and 16 rebounds against North Carolina State for his first career double-double. Wood’s big outing raised his season averages to 4.7 points and 4.3 rebounds and repeating his stellar game against Duke would rate as a huge accomplishment. Senior guard Erick Green leads the nation with a 25.3 average and had 29 points and eight assists against the Wolfpack. Green is adept at getting to the free-throw line and is making 6.9 free throws per game. Junior forward Jarell Eddie averages 13 points.
TRENDS:
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Virginia Tech.
* Road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
TIP-INS:
1. Duke is 40-8 against Virginia Tech and is 11-3 against the Hokies during Krzyzewski’s tenure.
2. Curry has 12 20-point outings this season, including four of the past six games.
3. Green has scored 20 or more points in 23 of Virginia Tech’s 25 games.
California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks (-6, 132)
Oregon looks to end a 10-game losing streak to California on Thursday when the 23rd-ranked Ducks host the Bears in a key Pac-12 matchup. Oregon leads the conference by one game over Arizona and UCLA and holds a two-game lead over Arizona State and surging California. The Bears have won five of their last six games behind the play of junior guard Allen Crabbe, who was named Pac-12 player of week for the second time in a row.
After losing three straight, the Ducks have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 79-77 overtime victory over Washington State on Saturday. Center Tony Woods was ejected in the first half for throwing a deliberate elbow to the back of Brock Motum’s head, but he will be available against the Bears. The 6-11 senior had 14 points and eight rebounds in the Ducks’ 58-54 loss to California on Feb. 2.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU.
ABOUT CALIFORNIA (16-9, 8-5 Pac-12, 9-13-1 ATS): Crabbe averaged 19.5 points and 7.5 rebounds in wins over UCLA and USC, but most everyone is talking about his altercation with coach Mike Montgomery during the Bears’ 76-68 win over the Trojans. Crabbe briefly left the game in the second half after being shoved by Montgomery, but the 66-year-old coach has apparently avoided a suspension. The incident has overshadowed the Bears’ recent surge, which includes wins over Oregon and Arizona. Junior forward Richard Solomon has scored 31 points over his last two games, and guard Justin Cobbs is averaging 14.8 points while shooting 85.5 percent from the foul line.
ABOUT NO. 23 OREGON (21-5, 10-3, 10-14 ATS): The Ducks have gradually adjusted to life without point guard Dominic Artis, who remains out indefinitely with a foot injury. Junior Johnathan Loyd has struggled to replace the talented freshman, but he had seven assists against Washington State. Senior forward E.J. Singler scored a season-high 24 points in the win, and he’s scored 20-plus points in two of his last three games. Forward Carlos Emory has averaged 15 points in the last two games, while Arsalan Kazemi ranks third in the Pac-12 with 9.6 rebounds per game. The Ducks lead the conference in rebounding margin at plus-7.8.
TRENDS:
* Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Oregon.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
TIP-INS:
1. Oregon, which is 15-1 at Matthew Knight Arena this season, had its 20-game home win streak snapped by Colorado on Feb. 7.
2. Solomon had 13 points and 12 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Bears’ win over Oregon earlier this month.
3. Singler became the winningest men’s basketball player in school history on Saturday with 82 career victories.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
|
02-21-13 11:57 PM |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
