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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

Horse **** for 12/28

Yesterday was great, who knows what will happen today, all could lose, that is the nature of horses. They are not favorites so like I said only one or two have to win to make a positive. It is early and I expect some to scratch and if I spell it wrong I am sure you can figure it out.

Aqueduct
R1 - Greeleys Law (12-1)
R3 - Blue Creek (4-1)
R5 - Quiet Favorite (20-1)
R9 - Harvest King (4-1)

Gulfstream
R9 - Manford Missle (6-1)


Tampa Bay
R10 - Beezie Star (30-1)

Fair Grounds
R4 - Little Face (5-2)

Hawthorne
R5 - Gold Legion (4-1)

The goal is to hit 2 maybe 3 but be warned they could go all lose.

Old Post 12-28-12 03:27 PM
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grift5123


Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 780

wwwHeaded there now, good luck

Old Post 12-28-12 04:31 PM
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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

Rough day, some 2nds/3rds. Lots of favorites winning all over. It happens, with all the info out there favs win at almost 40% these days, it used to be 33%.

Going to add a couple more.

Fair Grounds Race 2
6-River Cruising (7-2)
exits a really fast race in which he got 3rd.

Gulfstream race 9 (very contentious)
Van Citra/MARFORD MISSILE (IRE)/Haunted are all contenders at odds, I worry about Gaelico and Wharton though. I already said wager on M. Missile. I think the race could pay well but not sure how to wager on it. A gambler could toss a handful of exactas around and maybe hit it. I am not sure, if you wanna mess with it, those are the contenders.

Old Post 12-28-12 09:45 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

a little more

Tampa bay Race 10
The win wager is on 30-1 Beezie star but an exacta wheel would be
1,10 over 8

You only have 10 minutes though and would keep it cheap. it would suck to have a 30-1 get top 2 and not get paid.

Old Post 12-28-12 09:49 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
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Santa Anita
A new guy I have been looking at has some info here.

SA Race 4 (less than 20 minutes)
Four Better has a shot at big odds
would back him up with exacta box with Pick and Pray.

Old Post 12-28-12 09:52 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

More Santa Anita
Race 5 - Only the Gold
Race 7
Win on Special Charm
Exacta box 3-8-5

Race 8
Exacta box 1-3-4
Should win but we want the fav to fall out of the money.

Just tossing some stuff out there, nothing is great but it is not bad.

Old Post 12-28-12 09:57 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

Santa Anita
Race 6
The 8 Clear, gets an update on some papers I am using. Odds are ok, worth a win bet.

Old Post 12-28-12 10:04 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 6900

Nope, no winners yet, favs keep getting in the way.

Just have Santa Anita and Fair Grounds left now.

A couple of them will hit, I feel confident about that. The Fair Grounds Race 4 would probably be my play of the day. I figured today would be rough after the great day yesterday but the plays were there, they just did not get it done. Such is horse wagering, the most crooked sport of them all.

Sorry if you lost, I think you will get some back on the last couple at SA and FG and tomorrow I am going to be much more selective.

Old Post 12-28-12 10:29 PM
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