 |
cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8616
|
TRENDS:
* Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Falcons’ last seven games following a win.
* Over is 4-1 in Spartans’ last five games vs. a team with a winning record.
TRENDS:
* Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Bearcats’ last six December games.
* Over is 6-1-1 in Blue Devils’ last eight games overall.
ABOUT CINCINNATI (9-3, 5-2 Big East): Senior Brendon Kay took over for the versatile, but erratic Munchie Legaux at quarterback late in the season and led the Bearcats to three wins in four games. Kay is completing almost 62 percent of his passes for 966 yards and six touchdowns with only two interceptions. Kay also rushed for 230 yards and a pair of scores. Legaux accounted for 2,051 yards of offense and 17 touchdowns to go along with nine interceptions. Tight end Travis Kelce, a first team All-Big East performer is Cincinnati's top receiver with 40 catches for 599 yards and seven touchdowns. Second team All-Big East tailback George Winn was second in the league with 1,204 yards rushing. Winn had 12 touchdowns and five 100-yard games. The Bearcats average 430.8 yards and 31 points, while allowing only 13 sacks in 12 games. Cincinnati is allowing only 17.2 points, second in the Big East.
ABOUT DUKE (6-6, 3-5 ACC): The Blue Devils raced to a 6-2 start, highlighted by wins over North Carolina and Virginia before the ACC powers got them at the end of the season. Quarterback Sean Renfree has passed for 2,755 yards and 18 touchdowns while throwing only eight interceptions and Duke is the only FBS team in the nation to have three receivers catch more than 60 passes. Second team All-ACC performer Conner Vernon leads Duke with 75 receptions for 955 yards and seven touchdowns, while honorable mention all-ACC pick Jamison Crowder caught 70 for 1,025 yards and eight scores. Desmond Scott hauled in 61 receptions for 606 yards and two touchdowns. Duke averages 31.3 points and 396.6 yards total offense while allowing 35 points and 462.1 yards. Ross Martin, the honorable mention all-league kicker for the Blue Devils, is 18-for-20 in field goals, including 6-for-6 from beyond 40 yards.
|
12-27-12 05:49 PM |
|
|
| |
|
cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8616
|
College FB Bowl Tech Notes!
BOWLING GREEN vs. SAN JOSE STATE (Military Bowl, Thursday, December 27)...San Jose has been on quite a pointspread run since last season, covering last four and ten of twelve in 2012, 13 of last 15 since late 2011, and 18 of last 22 on board since early 2011. Spartans have also covered their last eight away from home. Bowling Green also closed fast in 2012 with covers in seven of its last eight games this season. Falcs have lost and failed to cover their last two bowls and haven’t won and covered in a bowl game since 2004 against Memphis in GMAC Bowl. Tech edge-San Jose State, based on team trends.
CINCINNATI vs. DUKE (Belk Charlotte Bowl, Thursday, December 27)...First Duke bowl game since Fred Goldsmith’s 1994 Blue Devils faced Wisconsin and lost to Badgers 34-20 in Hall of Fame (now Outback) Bowl in Tampa; prior to that, Duke hadn’t “bowled” since 1989 under Steve Spurrier and hasn’t won a bowl since beating Arkansas 7-6 in the 1961 Cotton Bowl! Blue Devils closed slowly this season by losing and failing to cover their last four games, but HC David Cutcliffe is 2-0 SU in bowls dating to his Ole Miss days. Cutcliffe is 5-1 vs. line last six against non-ACC opposition. Tech edge-Duke, based on team trends.
BAYLOR vs. UCLA (Holiday Bowl, Thursday, December 27)...Baylor closed season on an uptick with covers in its last five games, and Bears 16-8 overall vs. number the last two season. Art Briles only 1-3 SU in bowl games, however. Bruins 8-5 vs. line in Jim Mora debut season. Tech edge-slight to Baylor, based on team trends.
|
|
12-27-12 05:54 PM |
|
|
| |
|
cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8616
|
LARRY NESS
My 10* Goin' Over Total is on Bowling Green/San Jose St Over at 3:00 ET.
San Jose State closed the 2011 season with a home win over Navy and a road win at Fresno St to finish 5-7. That’s was quite a turnaround for head coach Mike MacIntyre. He inherited a team which was 2-10 in 2009 and in his first season (2010), went only 1-12. So without a doubt, last year’s 5-7 record was quite an achievement. The Spartans dropped their 2012 season-opener against local foe Stanford by only 20-17 (as almost four-TD underdogs), but by year's end, would finish 10-2.(only other loss was 49-27 to Utah St). MacIntyre's stunning turnaround at San Jose State, allowed him to move to a more high-profile job, as he was named the coach at Colorado. Defensive coordinator Kent Baer will be the team's interim coach for this game. Dave Clawson went backwards a bit after a solid first season with Bowling Green, but the fourth-year coach now has his program on the upswing.Clawson took over at Bowling Green in 2009 and went 7-6 with a trip to the Humanitarian Bowl his first season. Campaigns of 2-10 and 5-7 followed before the Falcons went 8-4 this year, their first eight-win season since 2007. Early expected losses came against Florida and Va Tech but the Falcons would win SEVEN of their final eight, losing only to Kent St, which was 11-1 (8-0 in the MAC) before losing the MAC championship game in OT to Sugar-bowl bound Northern Illinois. Bowling Green can't match San Jose St's offensive 'weapons,' but the Falcons were able to average 28.5 PPG over their final eight games. SJSU's QB Fales has been terrific (72.1% / 31-9 ratio) and the Spartans have averaged 35.8 PPG, reaching at least 30 points eight times and 40 or more, EIGHT times. Since the team's last loss (Oct 13), the Spartans have averaged 40.7 PPG over their final six. Keeping this total "well within range" is the fact that Dave Clawson's team has gone under in 15 of its last 17 games. That changes here in an entertaining Military Bowl.just like in Clawson's first bowl trip with the Falcons, a 43-42 Humanitarian Bowl loss to Idaho in 2009.
My LEGEND Play is on UCLA at 9:45 ET,
UCLA made strides in its first season under coach Jim Mora but couldn't handle Stanford in the season's final two games, getting beat 35-17 on Nov 24 at home in the Rose Bowl and then 27-24 win in the conference championship game the following week up in Palo Alto. The Bruins played an excellent game at Stanford, only losing when freshman Ka'imi Fairbairn missed a 52-yard field-goal attempt in the closing minute. Let's NOT forget just how good this Stanford team is! Baylor wasn't sure what to expect without Heisman-winner RG3 in 2012. The Bears opened 3-0 but their AWFUL defense led the way to them dropping FOUR in a row and FIVE of their next six. The Bears hardly looked like a bowl team at 4-5 but Baylor finished on a three-game win streak which began with a 52-24 victory Nov 17 over Kansas State when KSU was ranked No. 1 in the BCS standings. Baylor followed with a 52-45 OT win at Cowboys Stadium over Texas Tech, then concluded its season with a 41-34 win over then-No. 24 Oklahoma State on Dec 1. The Bears entered the bowl season No. 1 in total offense (578.8 YPG), with excellent balance. QB Nick Florence ain't RG3 but he's pretty darn good. He's thrown for 4,121 yards with 31 TDs and just 13 INTs plus added 531 yards rushing (9 TDs). The Bears average 225.1 YPG on the ground (5.1 YPC) as two RBs contribute, Seastrunk (874 / 7.6 YPC / 6 TDs) and Martin (791 / 5.0 YPC / 12 TDs). Baylor averages 44.1 PPG (5th-most) and will likely need to come close to that average vs UCLA, as the Baylor D allows the second-most total yards (513.9 YPG) and 38.2 PPG (115th). Jim Mora, Jr replaced Rick Neuheisel (21-29 in four seasons) and led the Bruins to the Pac-12 South title, where they lost to the Cardinal. UCLA was 9-2 before those back-to-back losses to Stanford, led by QB Hundley and RB Franklin. Hundley completed 68.2 percent of his passes for 3,411 yards and his 26 TDs were second most in a season in school history. He also ran for 365 yards with nine TDs. Franklin set career bests this season with 1,700 rushing yards, 13 rushing TDs (6.3 YPC), 32 receptions, 319 receiving yards and a pair of TD catches. UCLA can't quite match Baylor's firepower but the Bruins are averaging 35.1 PPG and while UCLA's defense allows 25.9 PPG, that's almost two TDs less than Baylor's sieve-like unit. All indications are that Bruins have shaken off their losses to the Cardinal and are excited to play in nearby San Diego. After Neuheisel left the program in a mess, few could have predicted that Mora would lead TY's team to nine wins. One more here and it's UCLA's first 10-win season since 2005. Take the Bruins.
|
|
12-27-12 06:16 PM |
|
|
| |
|
