staf FoxDen Hall of Famer Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 955
cisco,
You're spreadsheet is off.
In column N you're taking the difference between the predicted spread (column M) and the home team's winning percentage (column D). You should be taking the difference between the predicted spread (column M) and the home team's actual spread (column C).
The line on NY being off 8.25 would have to drop to -8 to be a play. With Carmello Anthony questionable for the game, it's probably a no play anyhow.
http://www.cbssports.com/nba/injuries
On Sunday I had the Philadelphia line off by 11+ but was no play due to an injury.