Phily +7.5
Washington -1

Wash line might be -2 or -2.5, I am seeing -1 also so look around.

Wash game is all about RGIII, Baltimore has a hard time setting the edge and RG and Morris should have some big runs. They also have a hard time dealing with passes over the middle of the field. Should be a good day for Wash as a whole. The Ravens have been playing crap offenses for some time now. Washington is not a crap offense.

Phily, man they look bad lately. BUT, Tampa is horrible vs. the pass. Phily has some good wide recievers. This is a very good matchup for the Phils and that is enough to keep them within a TD here.

PS - If there is to be a Shed Bet this week, it will be tonight or MNF. The two today are just basic plays.

I know you don't gamble anymore but what percentage of your bankroll would a "shed bet" be if you were gambling on these games?

Thanks in advance.

20-25%

Mostly 20% flat.

I am real careful with money management, in over 15 years of wagering I know I hit "shed bets" at 70-75% year in and year out across all sports. If I lose 2 in a row I make it a point to be careful and build my bankroll back up before I shed bet UNLESS it is something I just cannot pass up.

There is a chapter in a horse racing book by Mitchell that I wish everyone that bets on sports would read and understand. It teaches money management better than anything I have ever read and shows the statistics to back it.

Phily +7.5 W
Washington -1 W

NFL 18-7
Sheds 4-0

2-0 and aggravated!

I had planned to take phily as a shed wager this week but that NE line was too juicy for me to pass on. With Foles, Phily is going to be sneaky down the stretch. They almost shot themselves in the foot this week but their D is good enough and Foles is not bad enough to cost them a couple solid wins/covers down the stretch.

Also, Da Bears. The just keep proving that point. Going to burn some more money the next couple weeks. Sorry Bears fans.

Just venting. Now I gotta stress till I get you guys that winner tomorrow night!