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Sunday Night Football: Niners at Patriots
San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots (-4.5, 46)
The sizzling New England Patriots looks for their eighth straight win when they host NFC powerhouse San Francisco in a battle royale on Sunday night. The Patriots continue to knock off challengers with ease while steadily climbing the ladder in the AFC standings. Once 1-2 on the season, New England looks to gain the top seed in the AFC to earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. After embarrassing Houston on Monday night, it stamped itself as the best team in the conference.
The 49ers have been a bit inconsistent since inserting the speedy Colin Kaepernick under center. Kaepernick, who is 3-1 as a starter since replacing Alex Smith at quarterback, sealed last week's 27-13 win over Miami with a 50-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter. RB Frank Gore, who went over the 1,000-yard mark in the game, continues to provide San Francisco with balance on offense but it’s clearly the Niners’ defense which makes them a Super Bowl threat. That unit ranks second in the NFL in total defense.
TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
LINE: Patriots -4.5, O/U 46.5
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-30s with an 85 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the east at 6 mph.
ABOUT THE 49ERS (9-3-1): Expect San Francisco to try to control the ball against the Patriots, who are the runaway leader in the NFL with 475 points scored. That could mean a big workload for Gore, who tied Roger Craig and Joe Perry for the franchise mark with his 50th career rushing touchdown last week. The 49ers rank second in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 160 yards a game on the ground, to take a lot of the pressure off the shoulders of Kaepernick. A week after Kaepernick struggled in a 16-13 overtime loss at St. Louis, the second-year pro went for 18-for-23 with a 100.2 passer rating. Aldon Smith continues to be a menace on defense and set the team mark with two more sacks against the Dolphins to give him 19.5 on the season.
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (10-3): Tom Brady picked apart Houston last week, throwing four more touchdown passes, and stamped himself as the leader in the MVP race. Brady is tied for the NFL lead in passer rating and threw a pair of TD passes to tight end Aaron Hernandez, whose immense talent has allowed tight end Rob Gronkowski to recover from a broken forearm at his own pace. New England humiliated the Texans, who before the game labeled it as the biggest game in their franchise’s history. The Patriots, who are accustomed to playing big games, raced out to a 21-0 lead on the way to a 42-14 romp. New England continues to roll through the second half of recent seasons. The three-time Super Bowl champs have won 20 straight games at home in December.
TRENDS:
* 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 4-1 in 49ers’ last five games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Patriots’ last four vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 5-1 in Patriots’ last six December games.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. San Francisco is 4-2 on the road. New England is 5-1 at home.
2. Brady has 29 touchdowns and just four interceptions this season. He has thrown a TD pass in 45 straight games, the third-longest streak in history.
3. The 49ers suspended little-used RB Brandon Jacobs for the rest of the season.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:07 AM |
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CNOTES
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Capping Sunday's must-win NFL games
It’s Week 15 and the playoff pressure is mounting for a handful of NFL teams. This week’s schedule features a pair of games that have both combatants fighting for their playoff lives.
Let’s break down a betting strategy for these key matchups that feature teams on the outside looking in with the help of the Covers Experts.
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams (-1, 39)
The Vikings proved they’ve still got some fight left in them after last week’s win over the Bears in Chicago. Minnesota shot out of the gates with a 5-1 SU record, but is just 3-5 since. The Rams are headed in the opposite direction. St. Louis is 3-0 SU and ATS over its last three overall, including a huge victory over the Niners in Week 13.
“I often feel that desperation is a factor oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line," says Covers Expert David Chan. "Did that team start the year red-hot, only to stumble through the middle of the season and then find itself in a must-win game near the end of the year (Vikings)? Or did it start slowly, and then come on like gangbusters to end the season, needing one or two more wins to keep its playoff hopes alive (Rams)?”
Adrian Peterson has carried the Vikings all season long, but he faces a tough Rams run defense this week.
“While they likely won't be able to shut him down entirely, I do feel that the Rams will be more successful in slowing Peterson down than other teams have been lately,” says Covers Expert Ben Burns. “The Rams haven't allowed any running back to gain more than 65 yards against them in the last four games.”
Pittsburgh Steelers at Dallas Cowboys (+1, 44)
There’s no shortage of storylines coming into this game for the Cowboys. They’re still dealing with the death of Jerry Brown and now have concerns about the health of WR Dez Bryant.
“The biggest thing about this matchup is the emotional state of the Cowboys,” says Covers Expert Steve Merril. “We saw the Chiefs play well and then struggle the following week after their tragedy and you have to wonder if Dallas will have that problem this week.”
Bryant has vowed to play this week despite nursing a fractured left index finger. But can bettors expect the same offensive output from him this week?
“I feel the Bryant injury is a big deal," notes Covers Expert Bryan Power. “It severely limits what the Cowboys can do in the passing game, and keep in mind they’re facing the No. 1 pass defense in the league."
Another thing to keep in mind is how horrible Dallas is against the spread at home this season. They've failed to cover in all six games.
The Steelers hung on for dear life when Ben Roethlisberger fell to shoulder and rib injuries. Charlie Batch found some muster in his old legs to keep them in the playoff hunt, but Big Ben showed some rust in last week’s loss to the Chargers and put his team's back against the wall.
“Big Ben should bounce back this week as he is the ultimate competitor, although historically he's not as strong on the road with 38 career wins and a 90.1 QB rating, says Covers Expert Chris Elliott. "This game comes down to whoever runs the ball effectively. Expect a low- scoring game and a tight finish.”
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:10 AM |
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CNOTES
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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 15
Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 15:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-4, 53.5)
Buccaneers’ ball-hawking defense vs. Saints’ turnover troubles
The obvious mismatch in this NFC South showdown is the Saints’ powerful passing attack versus the Bucs’ busted pass defense. However, a quick look at New Orleans’ numbers against the Giants last week will take the shine off that battle. Drew Brees passed for 354 yards but was picked off twice – his ninth interception in the last three games – while New Orleans also lost two fumbles.
Tampa Bay may be getting burned by opposing QBs but they have capitalized when those arms made mistakes. The Bucs have picked off 17 passes this season – fourth in the NFL – and took three of those back to the house. Veteran corner Ronde Barber leads the team with four INTs and is probably the one player in the NFL that knows Brees the best. He recorded an INT in Tampa Bay’s loss to New Orleans in Week 7.
Washington Redskins at Cleveland Browns (+1, 43.5)
Redskins’ hobbled QB Robert Griffin III vs. Browns’ sack attack
Despite some tight lips in the nation’s capital this week, it appears that Robert Griffin III will play on a gimpy right knee Sunday. Griffin suffered a sprained ACL against Baltimore last week and is officially listed as questionable. The dual-threat rookie QB went through Wednesday’s practice without issue but will be tested by a relentless pass rush in Cleveland.
The brightest spot for the Browns is their ability to get to the quarterback. Cleveland ranks seventh in the NFL with 34 sacks this season, including five versus former QB Brady Quinn in a win over Kansas City last weekend. You can expect the Browns will bring pressure early and test the mobility of RG3 and his wonky knee. Add to that some slick playing conditions in Cleveland, with a 54 percent chance of rain and winds getting up around 15 mph.
Carolina Panthers at San Diego Chargers (-3, 44.5)
Panthers’ coach Ron Rivera vs. Chargers’ coach Norv Turner
Panthers head coach Ron Rivera is well schooled in the “Book of Norv”, having spent four seasons as Turner’s assistant with the Chargers, two as the Bolts’ defensive coordinator. When Rivera took the gig in Carolina, he raided the cupboards and took offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski and secondary coach Steve Wilks with him.
Turner isn’t just going up against three former pupils but also his own son, Scott, who is the Panthers offensive quality control coach. The two usually talk every day but have had radio silence since last Sunday. Turner is on his way out of San Diego after a disappointing season and won’t be throwing any wrinkles into this usual bag of tricks. There won’t be many surprises for the Panthers coaches Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots (-5, 46)
Niners’ crappy kick coverage vs. Patriots’ sound special teams
In a game this tight, every yard is going to matter and field position may just dictate the winner. The Niners are a solid unit on both sides of the ball but their glaring weakness is on special teams. San Francisco has allowed foes to average 28.1 yards per kick return – worst in the NFL. The 49ers gave up some big returns to Miami last weekend, allowing an average of 30.6 yards per return on five kickoffs.
New England’s special teams are far from dangerous but they do have touchdowns on both kickoff and punt returns this season. The Patriots have shown more life on punt returns, averaging 14 yards per return. On the other side of the ball, New England allows just 20.3 yards per kickoff (third lowest) and 5.9 yards per punt (fourth lowest).
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:13 AM |
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CNOTES
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Total Talk - Week 15
December 15, 2012
Week 14 Recap
The total numbers on the season have been pretty even and last week’s results were no different. The ‘over/under’ produced an even 8-8 mark but once again, a lot of total players were given early holiday gifts due to second-half fireworks – again! There were five games that saw 30 or more points scored in the final two quarters and two of those contests had 40-plus points posted. When the Jets and Browns put up 17 and 20 points respectively in a half, it should open up your eyes. If you bet the ‘over’ in the second-half blindly last week, you would’ve gone 11-5 (69%). Following this column all season, you shouldn’t be surprised since this has been a reoccurring theme. On the season, the ‘under’ stands at 105-103-1.
Line Moves
The smart money went 1-3 last week and easily could’ve been 3-1 or 2-2 if it wasn’t for some late explosions that we talked about above. Here are the line moves of 1 ½ points or more at CRIS as of Saturday evening.
N.Y. Giants at Atlanta: Line opened 52 and dropped to 50 ½
Indianapolis at Houston: Line opened 49 and dropped to 47 ½
Carolina at San Diego: Line opened 46 and dropped to 44 ½
Pittsburgh at Dallas: Line opened 44 and jumped to 45 1/2
San Francisco at New England: Line opened 48 and dropped to 46 ½
International Notes
This week, the NFL International Series continues with Buffalo and Seattle going head-to-head at the Rogers Center from Toronto. I feel both the side in Seattle (-5.5) and the total (43.5) are inflated for this matchup. This is a must-win spot for the ‘Hawks and definitely a look-ahead with San Francisco on deck in Week 16, which could be for the division lead. Buffalo has played much better recently, especially on defense. The unit has given up 14, 20, 18 and 15, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-1 during this span. Seattle has watched the ‘over’ go 6-2 in its last eight battles after the first five games of the season went ‘under.’ I do believe quarterback Russell Wilson has improved as a rookie but the ‘Hawks haven’t seen a total this high since their Week 3 affair against Green Bay (45). The NFL has tried hard to push their product in Canada and unfortunately for the league, the games have been absolutely ugly. The sample size isn’t that large, but all four of the games played in Toronto have all gone ‘under’ the number.
2008: Miami 16 Buffalo 3 – Under 43
2009: N.Y. Jets 19 Buffalo 13 – Under 37
2010: Chicago 22 Buffalo 19 – Under 41.5
2011: Washington 0 Buffalo 23 – Under 46.5
Rematch Games
On the season, the ‘over’ stands at 15-9 (63%) in the second meeting between divisional teams. Total players are looking at three more this Sunday and one of them has the highest number on the board.
Green Bay at Chicago: The ‘under’ has been a solid investment when these teams clash and it hit in the first encounter when Green Bay defeated Chicago 23-10 at home on Sept. 13. Including that outcome, the ‘under’ has gone 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Green Bay enters this game on a 4-0 roll to the ‘under’ and Chicago hasn’t seen a game eclipse this week’s number (43) in five consecutive weeks.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans: The Bucs watched the ‘over’ cash in seven straight games but the ‘under’ has prevailed in two of the last three because the offense (22 PPG) has struggled. Tampa Bay lost to New Orleans 35-28 in the first go ‘round at home on Nov. 21 and it left points off the board too. New Orleans’ defense can’t stop anybody and the offense does have the ability to score, which is why you’re looking at 54-point total. Even though the first meeting went ‘over’ the number (49), that result snapped an eight-game streak to the ‘under’ between these teams.
Kansas City at Oakland: The Raiders beat the Chiefs 26-16 on Oct. 26 and the combined 42 points just slipped ‘over’ the closing number of 41. Despite that result, this series has watched the ‘under’ cash in seven of the last 10 encounters. Oakland (4-0) and Kansas City (4-1) both enter this game with solid ‘under’ runs. This week’s number is hovering in the 44-point range.
Under the Lights
Even though the Bengals-Eagles matchup went ‘over’ this past Thursday, the ‘under’ has still connected at a 64% (28-16) clip this weekend.
San Francisco at New England: Will the 49ers defense be able to slow down the Patriots offense? Against comparable quarterbacks (Rodgers, Manning, Brees), San Francisco gave up 22, 26 and 21 points. Tom Brady and New England put up 42 against the Texans last Monday and that unit was supposed to be great too, right? The Patriots have seen the ‘over’ go 10-3 this season and a few of those tickets were lucky (last week in particular) but they’re still winners at the betting counter. Make a note that New England hasn’t seen a total (46.5) this low since it beat the Rams 45-7 (46) from London in Week 8.
N.Y. Jets at Tennessee: It’s hard to argue for the ‘over’ here just based on the Jets’ inconsistent offense, which has scored a combined 24 points the last two weeks. What’s even more embarrassing is that New York won those games because the defense only surrendered 16. The Titans have more firepower than the Jets and they also have more holes on defense, which sets up an ‘over’ look. If you believe Tennessee will win, then you should expect some points. In their four victories this season, the Titans have scored 44, 26, 35 and 37 points.
Fearless Predictions
Despite having a “Never in Doubt” loser on the ‘under’ in Seattle-Arizona, we still managed to break even by winning our Team Total and Teaser wagers. On the week we dropped a few cents (-$20) but we’re still ahead on the season at $840 based on one-unit plays. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck!
Best Over: Pittsburgh-Dallas 44 1/2
Best Under: Seattle-Buffalo 43 1/2
Best Team Total: Under 23 ½ Seattle
Three-Team Total Teaser:
Over 35 ½ Pittsburgh-Dallas
Under 53 Kansas City-Oakland
Under 50 ½ N.Y. Jets-Tennessee
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:18 AM |
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CNOTES
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Week 15 Tips
December 15, 2012
The Week 15 NFL card is perhaps the most solid slate on a Sunday we have seen this season. Nine games involve playoff ramifications, including four which could affect seedings. Two take place in the AFC and a pair happens in the NFC, as the two oldest rivals in the league start the day in the Windy City.
Packers (-2 ½, 43 ½) at Bears - 1:00 PM EST
Green Bay dominated Chicago back in Week 2 at Lambeau Field, 23-10 to cash as five-point favorites. Matt Forte left that loss with a sprained ankle that kept the Pro Bowl running back out for only one game, while rushing for over 100 yards just twice this season. The Packers enter Sunday's action with a one game advantage over the Bears in the NFC North, as Green Bay goes for its fifth divisional win in five tries.
Chicago got tripped up at Minnesota last week, falling 21-14 as short 'chalk,' as the Vikings stayed alive in the NFC playoff race. Adrian Peterson rushed for two touchdowns as the Vikings led, 14-0 after the first quarter and cruised from there. The Bears have fallen off since a 7-1 start by losing four of their last five games, while failing to cover in six of their previous eight contests.
The Packers are on fire with seven victories in their last eight games, as Mike McCarthy's club is riding a four-game 'under' streak. Green Bay held off Detroit last Sunday night, 27-20, in spite of gaining just 288 yards of offense. Injuries are mounting up on each side as the Bears will be without kicker Robbie Gould (calf) and linebacker Brian Urlacher (hamstring), while wide receiver Jordy Nelson (hamstring) and cornerback Charles Woodson (collarbone) remain out for the Packers.
Giants at Falcons (-1 ½, 51) - 1:00 PM EST
Atlanta suffered its second loss of the season last Sunday at Carolina, a 30-20 setback as three-point favorites. The Falcons trailed, 23-0 at one point, as Mike Smith's squad is in a battle for home-field advantage in the NFC along with the 49ers and Packers. The Giants invade the Georgia Dome after dropping a season-high 52 points in last week's rout of the Saints, while hitting the 'over' for just the second time in the previous eight games.
New York is 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS the last six games, as Tom Coughlin's team is playing as inconsistent as the record indicates. The Giants beat New Orleans by 25, routed Green Bay by 28, but scored 29 combined points in road losses to Washington and Cincinnati. This is just the fourth time all season the Giants are listed as an underdog, as New York won outright at Carolina (Week 3) and San Francisco (Week 6).
The Falcons remain unbeaten at the Georgia Dome by compiling a 6-0 record, but Atlanta has covered just three home games. Since scoring 27 against Denver in Week 2 and 30 against Carolina in Week 4, the Falcons have put up no more than 23 points in each of their last four home contests, while hitting the 'under' each time. Atlanta has lost each of the previous four meetings with New York, including a 24-2 blowout to the Giants in the Wild Card round of the playoffs last season.
Broncos (-3, 48) at Ravens - 1:00 PM EST
A pair of teams that will likely host a first-round playoff game hook up in Baltimore on Sunday. The Ravens try to snap a two-game skid after an overtime setback at Washington, the fourth contest decided by three points for Baltimore. The Broncos head east seeking their ninth consecutive victory, while looking to score at least 30 points for the eighth time in 11 tries.
Denver is coming off a few extra days of rest after beating Oakland last Thursday, 26-13 as 10-point favorites, snapping a three-game ATS skid. John Fox's club has won five straight road contests, while holding each of their last three opponents on the highway to 14 points or less. The home team has won each of the last six meetings, including four double-digit losses by the Broncos in Baltimore.
The Ravens have always been a dominating force at M&T Bank Stadium, going 5-1 SU, but covering just twice in six attempts. Baltimore has eclipsed the 'over' in five of six home games, while scoring at least 30 points four times. Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens own a 1-2 SU/ATS record as a home underdog, as the last time Baltimore received points at home, it lost to Peyton Manning and Indianapolis by two points in 2009.
Colts at Texans (-10, 47 ½) - 1:00 PM EST
Amazingly, Indianapolis and Houston haven't hooked up yet this season, but will play two important contests over the next three weeks. The Texans enter Sunday's action with a two-game lead over the Colts in the AFC South, as Houston tries to get on track after getting routed at New England last Monday.
The Patriots dominated from start to finish, as New England crushed Houston, 42-14 to cash easily as six-point favorites. The Texans have lost just twice this season, but the defense has yielded 42 points in each defeat to Green Bay and New England. Houston is playing just its third home game since early November, while going for its fifth cover in seven tries at Reliant Stadium.
The Colts have lost just four games in Andrew Luck's rookie campaign, but three of those defeats came by 20 or more points on the road. Indianapolis has been involved in several high-scoring affairs the last few weeks, including a 27-23 triumph over Tennessee, hitting the 'over' for the third time in four games.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:22 AM |
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CNOTES
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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack
Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in LVH handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........
6) Green Bay Packers, 189
T4) Houston Texans, 201
T4) Minnesota Vikings, 201
3) New Jersey Giants, 208
2) San Francisco 49ers, 221
1) Pittsburgh Steelers, 242
25) New Jersey Jets, 77
26) Oakland Raiders, 72
27) New Orleans Saints, 71
28) San Diego Chargers, 55
30) Kansas City Chiefs, 42
31) Miami Dolphins, 38
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:09 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12008
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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack
Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in LVH handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........
6) Green Bay Packers, 189
T4) Houston Texans, 201
T4) Minnesota Vikings, 201
3) New Jersey Giants, 208
2) San Francisco 49ers, 221
1) Pittsburgh Steelers, 242
25) New Jersey Jets, 77
26) Oakland Raiders, 72
27) New Orleans Saints, 71
28) San Diego Chargers, 55
30) Kansas City Chiefs, 42
31) Miami Dolphins, 38
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-16-12 05:09 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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NFL
Monday, December 17
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Monday Night Football: Jets at Titans
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New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-1, 42)
The New York Jets remain an unlikely contender for a postseason spot and will seek their third straight victory when they visit the Tennessee Titans on Monday night. Despite an offense that remains in shambles, New York has posted back-to-back victories over the Arizona Cardinals and Jacksonville Jaguars - teams with a combined one win in the last nine games - to stay within striking distance of the No. 6 seed in the AFC. The Titans are the latest struggling opponent for the Jets, having lost three straight and five of six. Tennessee has issues on both sides of the ball, with the defense surrendering at least 30 points in seven of the first nine games and the offense having bogged down since quarterback Jake Locker returned from injury.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Titans -1, O/U 42
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 8 mph.
ABOUT THE JETS (6-7): With Mark Sanchez continuing to flounder, New York finally reverted to its preseason promise of a ground-and-pound attack in last week's 17-10 win at Jacksonville. Bilal Powell rushed for 78 yards and a TD on 19 carries and Shonn Greene had 77 yards and a score on 20 rushes. That allowed coach Rex Ryan to keep the ball out of the hands of Sanchez, who threw for only 111 yards after being benched the previous week in favor of third-stringer Greg McIlroy. New York's receiving corps has been decimated by injuries, leading to the decision to bring back well-traveled veteran Braylon Edwards earlier this week. The Jets' defense has permitted a combined 16 points in the last two games after getting shredded for 49 by New England on Thanksgiving night.
ABOUT THE TITANS (4-9): Locker missed five games earlier in the season due to injury and he has shown little progression since returning to the lineup. The second-year QB has thrown seven interceptions in the past three games, including one from his own end zone that helped wipe out Tennessee's 13-point halftime lead against Indianapolis a week ago. Despite his struggles - among the reasons for the dismissal of offensive coordinator Chris Palmer - the Titans are not shy about having Locker air it out. He's attempted an average of 40 passes in the last three games, and they are not coming when the team is forced to play catch-up. Running back Chris Johnson has rushed for 1,000 yards for five straight seasons, but he is averaging only 3.3 yards per carry in the last three games.
TRENDS:
* Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Jets are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Titans’ last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Tennessee has won four of its last five Monday night games.
2. Edwards was claimed off waivers from Seattle this week despite posting on his Twitter account that New York's management was "idiots" for the way Sanchez has been utilized.
3. Titans TE Jared Cook, the team's second-leading receiver, is done for the season after suffering a torn rotator cuff in last week's game.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-18-12 12:24 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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NFL
Monday, December 17
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Tale of the tape: Jets at Titans
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Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans.
Offense
Mark Sanchez has continued to struggle despite less-than-stellar competition. The Jets' embattled quarterback is 22 of 40 for 208 yards with three interceptions and a fumble over the last two games. With Sanchez continuing to flounder, New York finally reverted to its preseason promise of a ground-and-pound attack in last week's 17-10 win at Jacksonville. Bilal Powell rushed for 78 yards and a TD on 19 carries and Shonn Greene had 77 yards and a score on 20 rushes. New York's receiving corps has been decimated by injuries, leading to the decision to bring back well-traveled veteran Braylon Edwards (hamstring) earlier this week. He is probable to suit up Monday night.
Titans QB Jake Locker missed five games earlier in the season due to injury and he has shown little progression since returning to the lineup. The second-year QB has thrown seven interceptions in the past three games, including one from his own end zone that helped wipe out Tennessee's 13-point halftime lead against Indianapolis a week ago. Running back Chris Johnson has rushed for 1,000 yards for five straight seasons, but is averaging only 3.3 yards per carry in the last three games. Tight end Jared Cook, the team's second-leading receiver, is done for the season after suffering a torn rotator cuff in last week's game.
Edge: Titans
Defense
The Jets' defense has permitted a combined 16 points in the last two games after getting shredded for 49 by New England on Thanksgiving night. But keep in mind those dominant performances the past two weeks were against the NFL’s two worst offenses (Arizona, Jacksonville).
The Titans put together a dominant defensive first half — holding the Colts to 111 total yards, sacking Andrew Luck three times last week. The Tennessee stop unit limited the league’s third-best offense at the time to 269 yards and 4-of-12 third-down conversions. It also scored a touchdown. The Titans allow an average of 127 rushing yards, tied for 23rd in the league.
Edge: Jets
Special teams
The Jets rank eighth in opponents’ kickoff-return average and lead the league with 22 opponents’ drives starting inside their own 20. Kicker Nick Folk has made only 76 percent of his field goal attempts this season, ranking him 32nd in the league in that category.
Titans return specialist Darius Reynaud enjoyed success early in the season, but teams are now avoiding him. He returned just one punt for 14 yards in last week’s loss to the Colts and was ripped by the local media for his poor decision-making the week before against Houston. Rob Bironas and Brett Kern are one of the better kicking/punting duos in the league.
Edge: Titans
Word on the street
“Big, talented, physical guy (Locker). Almost has a mentality of a running back when he takes off with it. Obviously, he’s a great athlete, he has a big arm. He’s a guy, certainly, you have to worry about. Not only with his arm, but his scrambling ability as well.” – Jets head coach Rex Ryan on Jake Locker.
“We have a young quarterback and most teams have to decide, do we want to try to confuse him and go after him, or make him read coverage? I'm sure they'll do a little bit of both.” – Titans head coach Mike Munchak on what he expects from the Jets defense.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-18-12 12:25 AM |
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CNOTES
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Jets Fly Into Tennessee Hoping To Stay In Playoff Race
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/17/2012 at 8:40 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Titans -1, O/U 42½
Television: ESPN
New York Jets: Coach Rex Ryan and the Jets (6-7 straight up, 6-6-1 against the spread) are still clinging to faint playoff hopes as they make their way to Nashville for this Monday Night Football matchup. New York has won two straight along with three of four despite an offense that continues to struggle to move the ball and score points. The Jets rank 30th in the NFL in total offense (305.9 yards per game) and 26th in scoring (18.8 points per game), but they have been able to rely on a defense that held the past two opponents, Arizona and Jacksonville, to a combined 428 yards and 16 points. A receiving corps depleted by injuries forced the Jets to re-sign Braylon Edwards, most recently with the Seahawks. Edwards is expected to play this Sunday. New York is 3-3 on the road this season after last week's victory in Jacksonville, going 3-2-1 against the spread. The totals are split 3-3 in the contests.
Tennessee Titans: While offense has been a big problem for the Jets, poor defense has plagued the Titans (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS). Tennessee has dropped its last three games and five of the past six, also falling vs. the line in each defeat. The Titans are 27th among NFL teams in total defense, with opponents churning out over 377 yards per game, and next-to-last allowing close to 30 points a contest. Running back Chris Johnson went over the 1,000-yard rushing mark last week to rank ninth in the league, but it has been an inconsistent path to the season total. Johnson was held out of some practices this week due to an ankle injury, but he is expected to suit up and start on Monday (click for updated NFL injury report). This series dates back to the early days of the AFL when the Titans called Houston home, and the Jets have a slight 14-13-1 lead. New York has won five of the six meetings since the Titans relocated, covering the last five matchups.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-18-12 12:27 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12008
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NFL odds: Week 16 opening line report
Playoff pressure can bring out the best in some teams and cause others to crumble.
With just two weeks left in the NFL regular season, many of the Week 16 games have postseason implications. None more so than games involving the NFC East.
Three teams – New York, Dallas and Washington - sit tied atop the division at 8-6 and it looks like if any of those clubs want a shot at the division crown or the NFC wild card, they’ll need to win out in the final games of the schedule.
It’s no surprise that those three teams are favorites heading into their Week 16 contests. The Cowboys are 3-point favorites at home to New Orleans, the Redskins are 4-point faves in Philadelphia, and the Giants have moved to 1-point road chalk after opening as a pick in Baltimore.
“It absolutely plays into the lines,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says about playoff pressure. “We overcompensate and you can see that in this week’s spreads.”
Perhaps the biggest overcompensation is the Dallas spread. Korner believes the Cowboys, who took an OT win from the Steelers Sunday, aren’t a deserving favorite. The Sports Club sent out Dallas -2 and some online books are offering that spread as big as -3.
“I think the wrong team is favored but you have to remember the point is to draw two-way action,” Korner told Covers. “It was a key win for the Cowboys and everyone saw it, but I expect there to be late money on the Saints. They’re loose and free, they play a loose-and-free style, and that makes them dangerous.”
As for the other two NFC East matchups, Korner says New York’s history of stepping it up in big games is the main reason they opened pick in Baltimore and have drawn the early money from bettors. The Giants suffered a 34-0 drubbing at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons Sunday, their fourth loss in the past six games.
In the case of Washington, Korner says they sent out the Redskins as 6-point favorites in Philly expecting Robert Griffin III to play after missing Week 15's win over Cleveland with a sprained knee. He also stands by the rookie quarterback in this high-pressure situation.
“RG3 is obviously the difference and the reason we sent out -6,” he says. “We’ve had some stud QBs come out this year, with Luck and Griffin. A QB is a QB and results are results, regardless of it they’re from a rookie.”
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)
The AFC North is another division with an unsettled playoff pecking order. The Steelers took a step back with their loss in Dallas Sunday while the Bengals walked over Philadelphia Thursday.
Korner says his oddsmakers came to the table with everything between Pittsburgh -1.5 to -7, eventually settling in the middle. Online shops opened as low as -3.5 but have since taken Steelers money pushing the spread to -4.5.
“I thought the early money would be on Cincinnati, admits Korner. “I don’t think it will run too far. Both teams need it which is perfect, we get the best from both teams. I see this being a tighter spread.”
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (Pick)
This late-game NFC West showdown has multiple factors pouring into its opening odds.
- The Niners just took a game from the Patriots in New England while the Seahawks have hung an uncharacteristic 108 total points on their last two opponents.
- Seattle has dominated with the running game while San Francisco boasts the best run-stuffing defense in the land.
- The 49ers have a bid at the No. 1 seed in the conference while the Seahawks are trying to hang on to an NFC wild card ticket.
And then there’s CenturyLink Field in December. The extended forecast is calling for rain Sunday night.
Korner is happy both teams showed well on Sunday, making it tougher for bettors to get a grip on the odds. The Sports Club sent out Seattle as a 1-point favorite but Korner doesn’t expect the Niners to coast in the final weeks.
“I don’t see a letdown for this game,” he says. “They just went into New England and won. Who’s to say they can’t go into Seattle and win?”
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-21-12 02:42 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12008
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Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves
Playoff pushes and towel tossing teams make Week 16 a tough stretch of schedule for NFL bettors. We talk to Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, about the biggest line moves on the board:
New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys – Open: -3, Move: -1
Some online books have taken early action on the Saints, dropping the opening number to Dallas -1. The MGM Mirage is still dealing a field goal on the Cowboys, but Stoneback expects bettors side with the underdog by Sunday.
“That’s a tough game. The Saints have the capacity to play well while the Cowboys are in a must-win spot,” Stoneback told Covers. “If I had to guess, I’d have to think they’d take the points with the Saints.”
San Diego Chargers at New York Jets – Open: -3, Move: -1
New York has switched QBs for this second-last game on the sked, benching Mark Sanchez for Greg McIlroy. Stoneback says the move doesn’t impact the odds and actually believes it to be an upgrade.
“If this happened in Week 2 or 3, we’d say it definitely has an impact. But what (Sanchez) has shown, especially last week, there is no drop off,” Stoneback says. “He’s actually hurt the team. With him out, it’s probably better for the team.”
Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans – Open: -7.5, Move: -9.5
MGM took some early sharp money on Houston, bumping their spread to -8.5. However, Stoneback says Minnesota has been a favorite of wise guys in recent weeks.
“Sharp money has shown up on the Vikings,” he says. “They bet them last week against the Rams and came in late on Minnesota against Chicago two weeks ago.”
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers – Open: -11.5, Move: -14
Some online shops have Green Bay as high as a two-touchdown favorite but the early money at MGM has been limit bets on the Titans, taking that spread to -12.5 after opening at -13.
“It’s a double-digit spread with the price a little bit inflated because it’s the Packers at home,” says Stoneback. “Sharps come in on those double-digit dogs. It’s almost an automatic play with them.”
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos – Open: -11, Move: -13.5
Surprisingly, some of the early money on this game came in on Cleveland. But Stoneback isn’t sweating a line move at his book, knowing that the public will pile on Denver come Sunday afternoon.
“Sharps took the underdog but we’ll have plenty of money on the Broncos,” he says.
New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens – Open: Pick, Move: +2.5
Some online shops opened this game at a pick’em but action quickly dictated the line move in favor of the Giants. New York is in must-win mode, tied atop the NFC East, while Baltimore is already locked into a postseason spot despite its recent skid.
“Baltimore seems to be a in a bad funk right now and is going the wrong way,” says Stoneback. “The game is much more important to the Giants and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this go off at a field goal.”
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks – Open: -1, Move: +1
This spread is teetering between the two teams, moving to San Francisco -1 after its win in New England Sunday. Stoneback says the early sharp money is on Seattle but he’s hesitant to move because plenty of Niners money will show up before Sunday night.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-21-12 02:44 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12008
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NFL
Long Sheet
Week 16
Saturday, December 22
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ATLANTA (12 - 2) at DETROIT (4 - 10) - 12/22/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
DETROIT is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Sunday, December 23
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TENNESSEE (5 - 9) at GREEN BAY (10 - 4) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 149-107 ATS (+31.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OAKLAND (4 - 10) at CAROLINA (5 - 9) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
OAKLAND is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-64 ATS (-41.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 65-38 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BUFFALO (5 - 9) at MIAMI (6 - 8) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CINCINNATI (8 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 7) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 109-143 ATS (-48.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 90-60 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 12) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 12) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (6 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 6) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WASHINGTON (8 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 10) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 49-81 ATS (-40.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 150-114 ATS (+24.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST LOUIS (6 - 7 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 8) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 127-162 ATS (-51.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 127-162 ATS (-51.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 92-126 ATS (-46.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY GIANTS (8 - 6) at BALTIMORE (9 - 5) - 12/23/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MINNESOTA (8 - 6) at HOUSTON (12 - 2) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CLEVELAND (5 - 9) at DENVER (11 - 3) - 12/23/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
DENVER is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CHICAGO (8 - 6) at ARIZONA (5 - 9) - 12/23/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 3 - 1) at SEATTLE (9 - 5) - 12/23/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
SEATTLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN DIEGO (5 - 9) at NY JETS (6 - 8) - 12/23/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
NY JETS are 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-21-12 02:47 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12008
|
NFL
Short Sheet
Week 16
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Atlanta at Detroit, 8:30 ET ESPN
Atlanta: 0-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Detroit: 15-5 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
Sunday, December 23, 2012
Tennessee at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 39-19 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Green Bay: 6-1 Under off an ATS win
Oakland at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 7-21 ATS off 3+ games scoring 17 points or less
Carolina: 6-0 Over off a non-conference game
Buffalo at Miami, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 17-6 ATS away after allowing 35+ points
Miami: 8-1 Under as a favorite
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 ATS away off an ATS win
Pittsburgh: 19-5 Over at home off BB losses
New England at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
New England: 15-5 ATS in road games
Jacksonville: 1-8 ATS off BB Unders
Indianapolis at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 16-6 Over away off a road loss
Kansas City: 17-33 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less
New Orleans at Dallas, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 10-2 ATS off a home win
Dallas: 3-12 ATS in home games
Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Washington: 12-4 ATS vs. division opponents
Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS in home games
St. Louis at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 13-2 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Tampa Bay: 0-6 ATS off 4+ losses
(TC) NY Giants at Baltimore, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 24-10 ATS away after allowing 30+ points
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS at home off a loss
Minnesota at Houston, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 2-10 ATS away off a win
Houston: 15-6 ATS as a favorite
Cleveland at Denver, 4:05 ET
Cleveland: 9-1 Under in December
Denver: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
Chicago at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Chicago: 0-6 ATS in December
Arizona: 27-13 ATS at home off BB Overs
(TC) San Francisco at Seattle, 8:30 ET NBC
San Francisco: 11-3 ATS off a road game
Seattle: 6-22 ATS off a win by 21+ points
(TC) San Diego at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 1-8 ATS after allowing 30+ points
NY Jets: 22-11 Over vs. conference opponents
(TC) = Time Change
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-21-12 02:49 AM |
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