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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack
Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in LVH handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........
6) Seattle Seahawks, 162
5) San Francisco 49ers, 165
4) Minnesota Vikings, 172
3) Chicago Bears, 182
2) Houston Texans, 193
1) Cincinnati Bengals, 210
25) Oakland Raiders, 63
26) Buffalo Bills, 60
28) Dallas Cowboys, 55
29) Arizona Cardinals, 54
30) Green Bay Packers, 45
31) New Jersey Giants, 39
NFL weather watch: Rainy in Buffalo, Oakland
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (-6, 42.5)
Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 100 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SSW at 18 mph.
New England at Miami (7.5, 51)
Site: Sun Life Stadium
Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-70s with a 25 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the ENE at 14 mph.
Houston at Tennessee (6.5, 47)
Site: LP Field
Forecasts are projecting temperatures in the mid-60s with a 25 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the south at 12 mph.
Cleveland at Oakland (1, 37.5)
Site: O.co Coliseum
Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a 100 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SSW at 18 mph.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-02-12 03:14 PM |
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CNOTES
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Total Talk - Week 13
December 2, 2012
Week 12 Recap
After watching three shootouts on Thanksgiving, the ‘under’ produced a 9-3 mark on Sunday. I’m not sure what’s tougher to stomach, needing 10 points in one half to cash an ‘over’ ticket or listening to broadcaster Al Michaels reminding you that you still need it? For those who had the ‘over’ in the Packers-Giants, we apologize and hope it didn’t hurt too much. The MNF battle between Carolina and Philadelphia went ‘over’ which cut into the dominance of the ‘under’ (25-12) in games under the lights. On the season, the ‘over/under’ is knotted at 88-88-1.
Divisional Rematches
Finally, a divisional rematch went ‘under’ the number. It happened this past Thursday as Atlanta beat New Orleans, 23-13. Even though the final outcome didn’t threaten the closing number (54), a lot of points were left off the board. Thanks Drew Brees! Despite that result, the ‘over’ is still 10-3 (77%) this season when opponents meet in their second divisional game. I believe all things will balance out in the end and the difference with this week’s rematches is that the first meetings recently took place.
San Francisco at St. Louis: This pair met three weeks ago and the final score was a 24-24 tie. Including this game, four of the last five have gone ‘over’ the number. What’s different about this week’s meeting is the number, which is hovering around 41 points. That’s the highest total in the last seven encounters. The Rams have seen the ‘over’ cash in its last five games. Make a note that both these teams posted 31 last week and each club got 14 points from their defense.
Houston at Tennessee: These teams met on Sept. 30 and Houston blasted Tennessee 38-14 but two of the touchdowns were from the Texans defense. The Texans have shown some offense the last two weeks (43, 34) and they’re rested after the Thanksgiving Day win. Tennessee’s defense is still suspect, ranked second worst in points allowed (30.5 PPG). It appears that the Texans score but ‘over’ bettors will need the Titans to do their job and that’s tough at times with Jack Locker at QB. The ‘over’ has cashed in the last four in this series.
Pittsburgh at Baltimore: If you’re playing this game, don’t pat yourself on the back if you win and don’t cry if you lose. Not having Ben Roethlisberger has watched the Steelers put up 10 and 14 points the last two week. Defensively, they’ve only allowed 33 combined points, 13 of them coming to Baltimore two weeks ago at home. The Ravens have scored 44, 31, 23, 31 and 55 points in their five home games this season. So another explosion wouldn’t be surprising, but still tough to pull the trigger here. Three of the last four in this series has gone ‘over’ the number.
Philadelphia at Dallas: Here’s another game that’s probably not worth wagering but since it’s the SNF chase game, we’ll take a closer look. The Cowboys beat the Eagles 38-23 in Week 10 on the road. Dallas led 10-7 at half before outscoring the Birds 28-16 in the final 30 minutes, and 21 of those points from the ‘Boys came from the defense and special teams. Dallas has been exposed defensively at home this season, giving up 34, 29, 20 and 38 in the last four games. Not sure what you’re going to get out of the Eagles and their banged-up offense but the defense is allowing 25.6 PPG this season. The ‘under’ had hit in the three previous meetings before the first matchup this season.
N.Y. Giants at Washington: This is one of four totals this week that listed above 50 points (51). The Redskins and Giants both looked good last week, each club posting 38 points. Now you’re on MNF and the game actually means something for once. These teams met in mid-October and New York secured a 27-23 win albeit with a late touchdown. The combined 50 points stayed ‘under’ the closing total of 51 points. Including this outcome, the ‘under’ has gone 4-1 in the last five meetings. You might have to toss out those results, since the ‘Skins are a different offense under RG3.
Line Moves
The smart money produced a 1-3 mark last weekend but should’ve gone 2-2 if the aforementioned Giants-Packers game doesn’t stay ‘under.’ Keep an eye on Carolina-Kansas City since a lot of outside issues are affecting the game. It might be better to pass that game all together, probably the better choice even before the tragedy. Here are the early moves for Week 13 at CRIS, which all leaned to the ‘under.’
Minnesota at Green Bay: Lined opened 47 and dropped to 45 1/2
Jacksonville at Buffalo: Line opened 45 ½ and dropped to 44
Carolina at Kansas City: Line opened 41 ½ and dropped to 39
Cincinnati at San Diego: Line opened 47 ½ and dropped to 45
Fearless Predictions
Week 12 produced a 3-1 mark and $190 of profit. The losing ticket was the Falcons team total (26) against Tampa Bay. They scored 24 and had plenty of chances to get there. On the season, we’re in the black for $670. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck!
Best Over: Philadelphia-Dallas 43
Best Under: Tampa Bay-Denver 51
Best Team Total: Over Philadelphia 16 1/2
Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over 34 Philadelphia-Dallas
Under 60 Tampa Bay-Denver
Under 45 Arizona-N.Y. Jets
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-02-12 03:17 PM |
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CNOTES
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Cardinals-Jets: 'It is an ugly game to cap'
The Arizona Cardinals have lost seven games in a row and have covered only once in their past eight. The New York Jets, meanwhile, have won only one of their past five and have covered only one of their last four.
What does it add up to?
"It is an ugly game to cap," says Mike Perry, oddsmaker at Sportsbook.ag. "The Jets are awful, but the Cards are a whole other level of bad. Arizona is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight. So I can see why 73 percent of the money is on the Jets."
Yes, believe it or not, bettors love the Jets this weekend and on Saturday they pushed New York from a 4.5-point fave to a 5.5-point fave.
It may be hard to fathom if you've watched Mark Sanchez this year or if you watched the Jets get obliterated by the Pats last week. Sanchez has an NFL-worst four red-zone interceptions this year. He has 10 interceptions overall and three fumbles against just 12 TDs.
In Cardinals land, meanwhile, rookie QB Ryan Lindley is expected to start again ahead of an injured Kevin Kolb (questionable). Lindley threw four picks with no TDs last game. To make matters worse Arizona is dinged up at wide receiver with injuries to Early Doucet and Andre Roberts.
Cards coach Ken Whisenhunt was asked about his depth at wide receiver Friday and he replied: "Is that what we have, depth?"
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-02-12 03:23 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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NFL tech notes this weekend!
SEATTLE at CHICAGO...Pete Carroll 7-4 vs. line TY, 18-8 vs. number last 26 since early 2011. Carroll 5-0 as dog TY, 11-1 last 12 as dog, 16-2 last 18 as dog since early 2011. Lovie only one cover last four at home TY. Seahawks "under" 7-4 in 2012, "under" 4-2 on road. Tech edge-Seahawks and slight to "under," based on tam and "totals" trends.
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY...Ugh! Vikes haven't beaten Pack since the big Favre Minnesota year of 2009, losing last four (1-3 vs. line). Vikes, however, only 1-4 vs. line this season on road, 4-8 last 12 away against line since early LY. Pack has covered only 2 of last 6 vs. line at Lambeau since late LY. "Overs" 7-1 last 8 meetings, and Pack "over" 19-9 since late in 2010 season. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at ST. LOUIS...Rams have actually covered last two vs. 49ers since late LY (including recent SU draw at Candlestick) and are 4-1 vs. spread last five in series. Rams won and covered first three at home (all as dog) TY before recent loss to Jets. Rams also "over" last five this season, and "over" 4-1 last five meetings vs. 49ers. SF 4-1 vs. line away in 2012. Tech edge-Rams and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
ARIZONA at NY JETS...Cards have lost last seven SU and had dropped six in a row vs. the number prior to Nov. 18 cover vs. Falcons. Whisenhunt "under" 8-3 this season and "under" 14-5-1 last 20 since early 2011. Cards also 9-5 last 14 as dog. Jets "over" 6-4-1 TY and "over" 34-16 last 50 since late 2009. Tech edge-slight to Cards, based on extended Whisenhunt dog marks.
CAROLINA at KANSAS CITY...Panthers have actually covered their last three on the road this season in a pattern very close to Jacksonville's "road-in-Jag" this season, as visiting team has covered last eight Panthers games in 2012 prior to Monday vs. Eagles. Chiefs 2-4 vs. points at Arrowhead TY and 2-5 last seven since late 2011. Tech edge-Panthers, based on team trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at DETROIT...Lions again no covers last three TY, and only 7-15-1 vs. number last 23 on board since early 2011. Detroit 3-7-1 against number last 11 at Ford Field. Lions also "over" 7-3-1 TY, now "over" 30-15-3 last 48 since late in 2009 campaign. Colts have covered 5 of last 6 TY. Tech edge-Colts and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO..."Road in Jag" trend continues, as visitor is 10-1 vs. spread in Jag games this season, with J'ville 5-0 against spread on road. Chan "over" 17-11 since late 2010. Tech edge-Jags and slight to "over," based on road-in-Jag and Bills' "totals" trends.
NEW ENGLAND at MIAMI...Dolphins 1-3 SU and vs. line last four this season. Belichick has won and covered 4 of last 5 at Miami. Road team 8-2 against spread last 10 in series. Belichick "over" 9-2 TY and now "over" 37-12 since late in 2009 campaign. "Overs" last four in series. Tech edge-Patriots and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
HOUSTON at TENNESSEE...Munchak just 4-8 vs. number last 12 at LP Field. Kubiak 21-8-1 against number last 30 on board, and Kubiak 5-1 vs. line last six in series. "Overs" 13-4 last 17 in series since 2003. Tech edge-Texans and "over," based on team and series trends.
TAMPA BAY at DENVER...Schiano has covered 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 11 this season, he's also 5-1 as dog. Broncos have won last six SU and covered 4 of those. Bucs also "over" 5-2 last seven TY, Denver "over" 5-2 last seven and "over" 34-16 since late in 2009 campaign. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Bucs, based on "totals" and team trends.
PITTSBURGH at BALTIMORE...Baltimore has now beaten Steelers three in a row SU. Four of last six meetings decided by exactly three points. Big Ben-less Steel earned narrow cover in 13-10 loss at Heinz Field Nov. 18. Steel only 4-12 vs. line last 16 away from home after loss at Cleveland. Ravens 2-6 against line last 8 at M&T Bank Stadium. Tech edge-slight to Ravens, based on extended Steeler road spread woes.
CLEVELAND at OAKLAND...Browns 6-4-1 vs. line TY, 10-4-1 last 15 and 12-5-1 last 18 against spread. Raiders 1-4 vs. points at home TY, 3-7 last 10 against points as host. Browns also "under" 8-3 in 2012 and 22-9-1 since late in 2010 season, though Raiders "over" 17-10 since last season. Tech edge-Browns, based on team trends.
CINCINNATI at SAN DIEGO...Norv 1-6 SU and 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, Norv also "over" 6-2 last 8 TY, reversing previous "under" string. Marvin Lewis 10-4-1 last 15 vs. spread on road and "over" 9-5 last 14 away. Tech edge-Bengals and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS...Something has to give here. Birds 1-9 vs. line TY lost 38-23 vs. Dallas on Nov. 11 at Linc. But Cowboys 0-5 vs. line at home TY, no covers last eight at Arlington, 2-11 vs. points at home since 2011, 2-12 last 14 against points as host. Tech edge-slight to Eagles, based on Cowboys' extended home woes.
NY GIANTS at WASHINGTON (Monday, December 3)...Shan has covered last four vs. Giants including narrow 27-23 SU loss at Met Life Stadium on Oct. 21. But loss by Giants at Cincy on Nov. 11 was first on road after eight straight covers (nine if counting Jets game when G-Men wore white uniforms last December). Giants also "under" 13-5 last 18 since late in 2011 season. Tech edge-Skins and slight to "under," based on series and recent trends.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-02-12 03:25 PM |
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CNOTES
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Posts: 12040
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Monday Night Football: Giants at Redskins
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (2.5, 50)
With a pair of victories over division rivals, the Washington Redskins kept alive their slim hopes for a trip to the playoffs. They try for a third straight win over an NFC East rival on Monday night when they host the division-leading New York Giants. Washington appeared to be far out of the playoff picture after a string of three straight losses that began with a 27-23 road setback against the Giants in Week 7. But after their bye week, the Redskins manhandled the Philadelphia Eagles and jumped out to a huge lead in Dallas on Thanksgiving before holding on for a 38-31 triumph over the Cowboys. With star rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III at the helm, Washington is just one game behind Seattle for the second wild card in the conference but also has Tampa Bay and Minnesota in its way.
New York avoided a major downward spiral last Sunday night, when it posted a convincing 38-10 home victory over the surging Green Bay Packers. Prior to the win, the Giants suffered losses at home to Pittsburgh and in Cincinnati. New York, which is two games ahead of both Washington and Dallas in the division, ranks fourth in the NFC but trails San Francisco by 1 1/2 games for second place and a first-round bye in the playoffs.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Giants -2.5, O/U 50
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with partly cloudy conditions. Winds will blow out of the SSE at 4 mph.
ABOUT THE GIANTS (7-4): Quarterback Eli Manning owns a 7-2 record in his last nine starts against Washington. In his only previous Monday night meeting with the Redskins on Dec. 21, 2009, Manning threw three touchdown passes without an interception. Not everything that came out of Sunday's win over the Packers was good as running back Andre Brown suffered a broken leg and is out for the remainder of the season. David Wilson could see more playing time in place of Brown, who is second in the NFC with eight rushing touchdowns.
ABOUT THE REDSKINS (5-6): Griffin performed well in his first career game against the Giants, completing 20 of 28 passes for 258 yards and two touchdowns while running for 89 yards on nine carries. Griffin was even better in his next two divisional games as he threw four TD passes against both the Eagles and Cowboys, becoming the first rookie in league history to do have at least four scoring strikes in consecutive games. Running back Alfred Morris is second among rookies with 982 yards. Washington is allowing an average of 301.4 passing yards, the second-worst mark in the NFL.
TRENDS:
* Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games on grass.
* Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. NFC East foes.
* Under is 6-1 in Giants’ last seven road games.
* Under is 4-1 in Redskins’ last five games overall.
* Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The Giants have won 10 of the last 13 meetings between the teams but were swept in the season series in 2011.
2. Washington is second in the league with an average of 162.9 rushing yards.
3. With three TD passes against Green Bay, Manning became the first Giant with 200 career scoring tosses.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-03-12 03:15 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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Tale of the tape: Giants at Redskins
Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s NFC East showdown between the New York Giants and Washington Redskins.
Offense
Eli Manning owns a 7-2 record in his last nine starts against Washington. In his only previous Monday night meeting with the Redskins on Dec. 21, 2009, Manning threw three touchdown passes without an interception. Running back Andre Brown suffered a broken leg last week and is out for the remainder of the season. David Wilson should see more playing time in place of Brown, who is second in the NFC with eight rushing touchdowns. Ahmad Bradshaw is listed as probable with a foot issue and should also see some touches in the backfield.
Robert Griffin III performed well in his first career game against the Giants, completing 20 of 28 passes for 258 yards and two touchdowns while running for 89 yards on nine carries. Running back Alfred Morris is second among rookies with 982 yards on the ground and leads a rushing attack that ranks second in the
league with an average of 162.9 yards per game.
Edge: Redskins
Defense
Back in Week 7, Griffin mastered the Giants defense leading Washington to 480 total yards — the most Big Blue has allowed this season. This time, New York may have to stop him without S Kenny Phillips and possibly DE Jason Pierre-Paul. Phillips is listed as doubtful and Pierre-Paul is listed as questionable after missing practice for a second straight day on Saturday with a back problem.
Washington has buckled under the late-game pressure this season and ranks dead last in fourth-quarter defense, giving up an average of 10.5 points in the final 15 minutes. The Redskins, who allow 11.7 points per first half, have softened for more than two touchdowns in the second half of games. Washington is yielding an average of 301.4 passing yards, the second-worst mark in the NFL.
Edge: Giants
Special teams
The Giants have one of the most reliable kickers in the league in Lawrence Tynes, who ranks among the leaders in nearly every statistical category this season. New York has failed to return a kick or punt for a TD this season, but David Wilson has a respectable 25.3 kick return average.
Mike Shanahan recently said he and his coaching staff will “take a hard look,” at struggling punt/kick returner Brandon Banks’ decision making. A year after averaging 9.1 yards per punt return, Banks is averaging 6.8-yards per attempt this season (24th in the NFL), and 24.1 yards per kick return (23rd in the league).
Edge: Giants
Word on the street
“I’d say that he’s more a down-the-field passer than I think that people expected him to be. He’s got good poise in the pocket and he can also extend the play and look to get the ball down the field, not just the runner that everybody knew that he was coming out.” - Giants LB Mathias Kiwanuka on RG3.
"We had five receivers last week, (in win against Dallas), that played at a different level than they have all year. Five receivers not on the starting roster a year ago...We've played better collectively as a team." – Redskins coach Mike Shanahan on the evolution of his WR corps.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-03-12 03:21 AM |
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CNOTES
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Raiders Host Broncos In AFC West Battle On Thursday
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/06/2012 at 8:20 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Broncos -10, O/U 50½
Television: NFL Network
Denver Broncos: With the AFC West Division title already wrapped up, Denver (9-3 straight-up, 7-4-1 against the spread) sets its sights on securing one of the top two records in the conference to earn a first-round bye. The Broncos clinched the division crown with a 31-23 thumping of the Buccaneers on Sunday, their seventh consecutive victory that just covered the 7½-point spread. Quarterback Peyton Manning threw three touchdown passes in the contest, two to wide receiver Demaryius Thomas, and linebacker Von Miller all but sealed the triumph with a third-quarter interception return for a TD. Denver backers are 5-1-1 ATS during the seven-game winning streak, and "over" bettors have cashed in six of the Broncos' last eight trips to the gridiron. The Raiders and Broncos met Week 4 in the Mile High City, and Denver coasted to an easy 37-6 win as 6½-point favorites. The Broncos have won seven of their last nine in Oakland.
Oakland Raiders: Another dismal season for the Raiders (3-9 SU, 3-8-1 ATS) finds the home team just one game out of the division cellar and in the throes of a five-game losing skid. The latest setback came at home on Sunday when the Browns held on for a 20-17 decision that "pushed" a 3-point spread. The Black & Silver rank near the bottom of the league in several defensive categories, including total yardage (29th) and scoring, where the Raiders are dead-last in allowing 31.3 points per game. Starting QB Carson Palmer is seventh in the league with over 3,500 yards passing, a product of Oakland playing from behind so often and having an anemic rushing attack. The Raiders could get running back Darren McFadden back for Thursday's contest after he has missed the last four games with an ankle injury (click to check updated NFL injury report). Oakland's last three games have stayed below the total, but four of the last five in this series played at The Coliseum have gone "over" the number.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-07-12 12:31 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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NFL
Long Sheet
Week 14
Thursday, December 6
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DENVER (9 - 3) at OAKLAND (3 - 9) - 12/6/2012, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Broncos (9-3) @ Raiders (3-9)—Oakland lost last five games (0-5 vs spread), allowing 37.8 ppg; they’re 1-3 as home underdog this year, 9-14-1 since ’08. Denver won last seven games (5-2 vs spread), scoring 30+ points six times, with road wins by 11-8-22-8 points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 6-4 since 2009. Fox’s defense is creating shorter fields for his offense; eight of last 11 Denver TD’s were on drives of less than 60 yards. Broncos (-6.5) crushed Raiders 37-6 in Week 4, outrushing Oakland 165-56 (TY 503-237)- they were 10-16 on 3rd down, Oakland 1-12. Manning was 30-39/338 passing. Denver won three of last four visits here, but haven’t swept Raiders since ’06. Eight of last 10 series games were decided by 14+ points. AFC West home teams are 3-5 vs spread in division games; home dogs are 1-2. Six of last eight Denver games, five of last seven Bronco games went over the total. Note: Raiders' coach Allen has been away from team this week, due to the death of his father.
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NFL
Week 14
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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 6
8:20 PM
DENVER vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
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NFL
Thursday, December 6
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Thursday Night Football: Broncos at Raiders
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Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+10.5, 48)
With a division title already in their pocket, the Denver Broncos still have a first-round bye in their sights as they prepare for Thursday night's road game against the AFC West-rival Oakland Raiders in the Week 14 opener. Denver secured its 12th division crown with a 31-23 home triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. It was the seventh consecutive victory for the Broncos, who have repeated as AFC West champions for the first time since 1986-87.
With four contests remaining, Denver is tied for the second seed in the conference with the AFC East champion New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens, who all are two games behind the top-seeded Houston Texans. The Broncos manhandled the Raiders in Week 4 as Peyton Manning threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns while Willis McGahee rushed for 112 yards and a score. Oakland enters the rematch hoping to end its losing streak, which reached five games with a 20-17 setback against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. The Raiders have allowed an average of 37.8 points during their slide.
TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.
LINE: Denver opened as high as a 12-point favorite and has been bet down to as low as -10. The total has moved from 49.5 to 48.
WEATHER: The forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow west at 5 mph.
CONSENSUS: Covers Consensus is siding with the Broncos, with 54 percent on Denver. As for the total, 51 percent of consensus picks are on the under.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (9-3, 6-6 ATS): Executive Vice President of Football Operations John Elway was elated to acquire Manning last offseason. The former Broncos superstar quarterback has watched Manning pass him on two lists in the last two weeks. After moving past Elway for second place on the NFL's all-time list for victories by a starting QB, Manning set the franchise record for most touchdown passes in a single season on Sunday with three scoring tosses that raised his total to 29. He eclipsed the previous mark shared by Elway and Jake Plummer. The Broncos are not satisfied with winning the division title, a sentiment echoed throughout the locker room following Sunday's win. "That's not our biggest goal," cornerback Champ Bailey said. "It's just one thing out of the way." Coach John Fox added, "It's just a starting point, really."
ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-9, 3-9 ATS): Oakland's losing streak is its longest since the club dropped six in a row in 2007 under first-year coach Lane Kiffin. Tight end Brandon Myers had 14 receptions Sunday against Cleveland, matching the franchise record set versus Jacksonville on Dec. 21, 1997, by Tim Brown. Myers now has 69 catches on the season, the most by a Raiders tight end since Todd Christensen hauled in 95 passes in 1986. Quarterback Carson Palmer has thrown for 300 yards in seven games this season. It's the most 300-yard performances by an Oakland signal-caller since Rich Gannon had 10 in 2002. Coach Dennis Allen believes RBs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson will be in the lineup Thursday. Allen left the Raiders following Sunday's game to be with his father, who is dealing with a serious medical issue, but is expected to rejoin the team Wednesday.
TRENDS:
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oakland.
* Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Fox is the second coach in NFL history to inherit a last-place club and guide it to division titles in his first two years.
2. Oakland K Sebastian Janikowski's 51-yard field goal on Sunday was the 40th of his career of at least 50 yards, tying him with Morten Andersen for third place on the all-time list in that category.
3. Janikowski has converted 124 consecutive extra points and is 24-for-26 on field-goal attempts this season. His only two misses were from 64 and 61 yards.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-07-12 12:38 AM |
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12040
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Bengals, Cowboys Looking To Stay In NFL Playoff Picture
Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/09/2012 at 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Bengals -3, O/U 45½
Television: FOX
Dallas Cowboys: Still a solid fade against the NFL odds, the Cowboys (6-6 straight-up, 4-8 against the spread) have nonetheless climbed back into the NFC East title hunt with three wins in their last four games. The latest came this past Sunday against the Eagles, who have been the victims in two of Dallas' three wins in the last month. Quarterback Tony Romo helped rally the 'Boys with two touchdown passes in a 21-point fourth quarter to help them to a 38-33 win as 10½-point home favorites. It was the third straight contest that Dallas failed to cover the spread and fifth in the last six games. The Cowboys rank eighth in the league in total offense (379.1 yards per game) and a middling 15th in scoring (23.3 ppg) while the defensive unit is 11th and 21st in those two columns. Dallas won the most recent meeting with the Bengals in 2008, a 31-22 decision in the Lone Star State as 16-point chalk.
Cincinnati Bengals: A fourth consecutive win has the Bengals (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) tied with Pittsburgh for second in the AFC North, two games behind the front-running Baltimore Ravens. Cincinnati overcame three turnovers in San Diego last week and rallied back with 10 fourth-quarter points to slip past the Chargers, 20-13. The victory also marked the Bengals' fourth straight cover and fourth consecutive "under." Defense has been a big factor during the winning streak, allowing just 42 points (10.5 points per game) during the stretch compared to the team's season average of 21.7 ppg. The stop unit ranks eighth overall (331.3 ypg) and 11th in both passing (221.5 ypg) and rushing (110.3 ypg). Six of the last eight meetings between Dallas and Cincinnati have exceeded the total, but "under" trends are heavy for this year's clash. Seven of the last nine road games for the Cowboys have fallen short of the total while four of the Bengals' last five at home have finished below the mark.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-09-12 05:32 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12040
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Giants, Saints Both Trying To Rebound From Losses
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/09/2012 at 4:25 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Giants -4½, O/U 53½
Television: FOX
New Orleans Saints: Postseason hopes took a hit last week for New Orleans (5-7 straight-up, 6-6 against the spread) with a 23-13 loss at Atlanta. The defeat was the second straight for the Saints, who were 3-point road 'dogs and also the second consecutive setback against the odds after dropping a 31-21 decision to the San Francisco 49ers at home the previous week, also as 3-point underdogs. Quarterback Drew Brees was intercepted five times in the loss to the Falcons (seven in the last two games) and saw his NFL record of games with at least one touchdown pass end at 54. New Orleans is 2-4 on the road, 3-3 vs. the spread, and 3-5 when facing NFC squads (4-4 ATS). Four of the Saints' last six games have stayed below the total after they began the season 5-1 "over." Their last two matchups against the Giants have gone past the total, but four of the last five played in East Rutherford have finished "under."
New York Giants: Coming off their 17-16 loss at the Redskins on Monday night, the Giants (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) need a win Sunday to ensure they stay at least one game ahead of Washington and Dallas in the NFC East title race. New York's third loss in four games was also the third point spread defeat in four games for Giants backers, who were giving up three points to the 'Skins. All four games in this stretch have stayed "under" the total. The Giants are 4-2 at MetLife Stadium this campaign, but they have covered just two of their six home tilts while four of the six failed to reach the total. The Giants have lost their last three meetings with the Saints, also failing to cover the spread in those matchups. New York is 5-2 at home vs. New Orleans since 1994, and four of the last five on this field have stayed below the scoreboard hurdle.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-09-12 05:35 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12040
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Packers, Lions Battle In NFL Sunday Night Football Game
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/09/2012 at 8:20 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Packers -6½, O/U 52½
Television: NBC
Detroit Lions: Four consecutive losses, including the last three at home, have the Lions (4-8 straight-up, 4-7-1 against the spread) in freefall as they head to face their division rivals in Green Bay. Detroit's latest defeat came to Indianapolis as Colts rookie quarterback Andrew Luck tossed two touchdown passes in the final few minutes for a dramatic 35-33 triumph. Luck finished the game with four scoring strikes to offset three picks, and the Colts amassed 372 yards through the air, the second most allowed by the Lions this season. Detroit was favored by a touchdown in the contest, and the 68 combined points sailed well past the total, leaving the Lions 9-3 "over" for the year. One of the defeats during this four-game slide came to the Packers on Nov. 18, a 24-20 decision at Ford Field where the Lions were getting three points. It was Green Bay's third straight win in the series, with all three also ending with Packer backers enjoying a payday.
Green Bay Packers: Coach Mike McCarthy and the Pack (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) rebounded from their road loss to the Giants in Week 12 with a 23-14 home victory over Minnesota last week. Green Bay scored 13 unanswered points in the second half and easily won the time of possession battle with a 17-minute advantage on the clock, thanks in large part to an 11-minute drive in the fourth quarter. It was the Packers' sixth win in the last seven games, with them going 5-2 ATS during that span, and kept them perfect at 3-0 vs. NFC North foes. Bettors will want to keep an eye on the injury report that finds linebacker Clay Matthews questionable and wide receiver Jordy Nelson doubtful for Sunday due to hamstring injuries (click to check updated NFL injury report). Green Bay has won the last 21 home games vs. Detroit, including a victory in the 1994 NFC Wild Card playoffs, and the Packers are 14-5-2 ATS in those contests. Four of the last five meetings at Lambeau Field have finished above the total.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-09-12 05:39 AM |
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