StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > StatFox KnowledgeBase and Support > NCAAF Yards Per Point Question
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread


Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
sandinhand


Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 110

NCAAF Yards Per Point Question

YARDS PER POINT

TEAM OFF DEF DIFF

SD.ST 11.5 14.5 -3.0

BOISE 13.4 22.8 -9.4

My simple questons is, how to to understand, SHOULD I use this as part of my handicapping, the math calculation. I see that SD ST has a better offense and Boise has a significantly better defence,...thus the number in the sum of the difference, -6.3
Am I to understand that in theory, Boise should be favored by 6.5 ?
What would be a near perfect number or what is an excellent number ? In other words, is there a standard 'perfect' number or is there a number to reference too ? Thanks in advance

Old Post 11-02-12 05:07 PM
sandinhand is online now Click Here to See the Profile for sandinhand Edit post   Report post
StatFox Jeff
Administrator

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 696

Yards per point represents the number of yards a team gains (or allow) for every point scored (or allowed) - on average. It's not meant to do the type of line comparison calculation you're attempting.

If you can project total yards for team in a given game, then you can use YPPT for their offense and opponents defense to translate that to a predicted score. The key of course is to generate an accurate projection for yards gained. (The FoxSheets game estimator projects yards gained for each team.)

The calculation you are attempting is more appropriate for offense/defense points per game averages.

I hope this helps.

Old Post 11-02-12 11:10 PM
StatFox Jeff is offline Click Here to See the Profile for StatFox Jeff Click here to Send StatFox Jeff a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
  Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: