I don't have specific numbers, but it seems to me that this year, more than any other, the underdogs are covering the spread, and especially road underdogs.
This from TheSpread.com
quote:Trends show that the road team is 6-1 against the spread in the last 7 games of this series and Cincinnati has covered the spread in 4 of its last 5 trips to Louisville. The favorite has also covered in 11 of the last 15 in this series
"When luck shuts the door, you need to go through the window. That's where the skill comes in". - Doyle Brunson