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double11
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 5893

haha..love that crystal ball.

Get em today Sawyer!




Life can only be understood backwords. But it must be lived forward.

Old Post 10-20-11 06:01 PM
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Jinx
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Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 1353

GL

Old Post 10-20-11 07:12 PM
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suprmn613


Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 571

GL with the plays tonight!!

Old Post 10-20-11 07:12 PM
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Duby99
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2120

Let's sweep the board tonight!

Nice little 4teamer maybe? Ah why not getting over 20-1.

Let's cash!!

Old Post 10-20-11 08:24 PM
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Mozart


Registered: Oct 2011
Posts: 26

Always parlay!

Duby99 --

I'd always parlay if I were you.

Out of how many playing days do you think that you'd get a 100% win day with the Iron Dogs? More than 1 in 20, I bet.

So I do parlay a half-unit on the ML plays... haven't won yet, but that's only because I went against the Jets on the day that they -- and 4 other Iron Dogs -- all won ****ing SU! I can't tell you how stupid and pissed-off I felt!

I'd also parlay SU all Iron Dogs PL +1.5, too.

I also do RR parlays on both the ML and the PL +1.5 plays.

So far most of my profit have come from the parlay plays on top of the ML profit.

I keep the parlay money separate and soon will start to put on 1 full unit on the parlay plays for accelerated profit... then 2 units per parlay play, etc.

BOL to Sawyer and the gang.

Old Post 10-20-11 09:06 PM
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JDilla2380


Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 132

Good point about the parlays.

Does anyone have the number of parlays that won last year vs the number of days with 2 or more games as system picks?

Old Post 10-20-11 09:45 PM
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jcpicos


Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 13

sawyer ,what is your record this season on home dogs and away dogs ??

Old Post 10-20-11 10:27 PM
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JaymzPhoenix


Registered: Mar 2011
Posts: 170

Going to try putting the +1.5 into a parlay today. Might keep doing this for a while and track how it goes. Will try and post here the results on a weekly basis.

Old Post 10-20-11 11:51 PM
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Wolfpack66
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 362

Tailing 2 of em'

Hey Sawyer,


Really like the NYR and Les Habs this evening.
Took the PL on both, rolled into a par.
Can't help but think what the ATS #'s are on the Iron dogs, If we would have taken Puckline on them..
$ Plays most of the Time.
Good Luck on all four. Have a Day!
Keep up the good work buddy,

Woof!

Old Post 10-20-11 11:56 PM
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Mozart


Registered: Oct 2011
Posts: 26

Parlay guidelines

I'd like to share what I've learned from parlays after doing parlays for about a week of Iron Dogs.

1) On days of 4 or less Iron Dogs, don't do RR (Round Robin) parlays -- just do straight-up parlays, both the ML and the PL +1.5 ones. The margin of error for blown-up RR parlays with 4 or less picks is far too high.

The PL +1.5 parlays (SU) will win with surprising frequency, so be sure to play them with every single Iron Dog day with two or more selections.

I'd also do ML parlays, too, say, for a half-unit or a quarter-unit for each parlay -- they'll win less frequently, but often enough to fund future parlay action.

Use the profits from the PL +1.5 parlays (both the SU and RR parlays) to fund the continuing of the SU and RR ML parlays -- you WILL hit one soon! The payout of the ML parlays are VERY exciting.

Your aim is to eventually have a big-enough parlay pool to independently fund large parlay bets for insane parlay profits that most bettors only dream about in their wet betting dreams -- so SAVE up your parlay winnings to fund future parlay action.

2) On days of 5 or more Iron Dog selections, add in RR parlays, but ONLY two-teamer parlays of 5 picks, or more.

Three-teamers may make more money... only if you win ALL of your RR bets, otherwise, just a single loss can do severe damage to a three-teamer RR parlay of 6 picks, or less.

So stick with two-teamers on parlays of 5, 6, 7 or 8 picks. The bigger parlays can still pay out decent money with one or two losses of individual bets.

Do RR parlays of both the ML and the PL +1.5 Iron Dog bets; if you can't do both, start with the PL +1.5 parlays.

Of the RR parlays, the combinations are as follows with ALL of them being two-teamers:

5 picks -- 10 combinations

6 picks -- 15 combinations

7 picks --21 combinations

8 picks -- 28 combinations

On 7 and 8-pick RR parlays, it's ok to do three-teamers... I suggest to do so mainly with PL +1.5 bets that have far-higher winning rates.

So for three-teamers...

7 picks -- 35 combinations

8 picks -- 56 combinations

You will have to pay money for each combination, e.g. for 56 combinations, $10 each combination = $560 for the whole RR parlay bet.

RR combinations add up fast! Start small, save your parlay winnings to fund future parlay profits with larger parlay bets.

Old Post 10-21-11 01:59 AM
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Mozart


Registered: Oct 2011
Posts: 26

Correction

"The margin of error for blown-up RR parlays with 4 or less picks is far too **HIGH**."

I meant "**LOW**".

Old Post 10-21-11 02:06 AM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

1-3, -1.86 Units

FLA +125 LOST
COL +120 LOST
NYR +114 WIN
MON +120 LOST




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 10-21-11 01:10 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

10/21 Iron Dogs



Got 3 Iron Dogs for friday..

DAL +125
NJ +105

3rd Iron Dog Play of the day is Columbus Blue Jackets +210. You may want to pick it later since public will be on Red Wings, maybe you can get Blue Jackets at a better price.

Good luck!




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 10-21-11 02:13 PM
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30K Millionaire


Registered: Dec 2010
Posts: 311

Thanks sawyer let's hope for a better day today

Old Post 10-21-11 03:13 PM
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JDilla2380


Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 132

Anyone else playing Columbus on the puck line? They haven't won a game yet, but have won on the puck line 4 out of 6.

Old Post 10-21-11 03:37 PM
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dld3151
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 1119

Thanks Sawyer. Things will turn around.

Old Post 10-21-11 04:15 PM
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Duby99
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2120

Let's start the weekend off with some nice little profit $$$$$$$$

GL

Old Post 10-21-11 10:36 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

COLUMBUS +231

Blue Jackets are +231 now. Let's pull the trigger!

Good luck!

PS: Wish I had waited for NJ and DAL too. Unfortunately, I picked NJ at +105 and DAL at +125.

Old Post 10-21-11 11:41 PM
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suprmn613


Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 571

these last minute choke jobs are starting to frustrate the hell out of me!!

Old Post 10-22-11 02:51 AM
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