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wildcat76
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Registered: Dec 2005
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David Chan

BIG PLAY Sunday

Cincinnati/Miami UNDER 10*** BIG TIGER TOTAL

TEASER on the New England Patriots and the San Francisco 49ers ***10

Pittsburgh/Philadelphia OVER **8

Green Bay ***8

New York Giants ***8

MLB SUPER TIGER TOTAL ******10******
Washington/St.Louis UNDER

WNBA SUPER TOTAL *******10********
Minnesota vs. Los Angeles UNDER

Monday SUPER ASSASSIN *****10*****
"FIRST HALF ASSASSIN" on the New York Jets.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:27 PM
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CNOTES
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Eagles Visit Steelers In Battle Of Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Eagles aren’t leaving a lot of margin for error in their wins this season. They visit a suddenly healthier Pittsburgh Steelers team on Sunday in the Battle of Pennsylvania.

The Don Best Pro Odds have Philadelphia as 3-3½-point underdogs with a total of 44. FOX has the broadcast rights to this interconference affair and will get underway from Heinz Field at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

The Eagles (3-1 straight up, 0-3-1 against the spread) are playing as an underdog for the first time this season. Their three wins have come by a grand total of four points, with the latest 19-17 at home on Sunday night over the division rival Giants. That ‘pushed’ the 2-point spread.

Quarterback Michael Vick led the game-winning field goal drive in the fourth quarter and was 19-of-30 (63.3 percent) for 241 yards. More importantly, he was turnover free after having six picks and three lost fumbles in the first three games. Vick suffered a knee contusion, but is listed as probable.

LeSean McCoy (384 yards) is second in the NFL in rushing. He’s also probable with a knee tweak after rushing for 123 yards last week. Only two of those came in the first half (on six carries) and Philly needs to get him going early against a Pittsburgh run defense that is allowing a mediocre 101 YPG (tied-for-14th).

Coach Andy Reid is worried about an emotional letdown after the Giants and his team has also struggled on the road (0-2 ATS). The Eagles needed a touchdown with 1:18 left to beat Cleveland, 17-16 as 9-point favorites in Week 1. The game at Arizona two weeks ago was a terrible performance (27-6 loss as 3-point favorites).

Both of those road games easily went ‘under’ the total with the offense struggling bad.

The Steelers (1-2 SU and ATS) were one of two teams to have a bye in Week 4 and are still smarting from their stunning 34-31 Week 3 loss at Oakland as 3½-point favorites. They certainly can’t afford to fall to 1-3.

Coach Mike Tomlin’s guys at least had time to rest and get healthy. Running back Rashard Mendenhall (knee) and linebacker James Harrison (knee) are probable to play their first games this season. Safety Troy Polamalu (calf) should suit up after missing the last two contests.

The addition of Harrison and Polamalu will be a huge benefit long-term, but defenses do sometimes struggle in the first game with injured players back, even when they are All-Pros.

The expected return of Mendenhall could provide more immediate dividends with the rushing game averaging 65 YPG (ranked 31st) and a league-worst 2.6 yards per carry. Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman will still get carries, but won’t be burdened with leading the attack.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has the NFL’s second-best quarterback rating despite learning new coordinator Todd Haley’s system. He’s been sacked nine times in three games and a better running attack will slow the pass rush down and provide better balance.

The Steelers have one of the best home field advantages in football. The Jets were the first victim at Heinz Field this year, a 27-10 Steelers victory as 4½-point favorites. The ‘under’ is 4-0 in their last four home games dating back to last year, allowing a miniscule 5.0 PPG.

These teams only meet every four years in the regular season. The home team won and covered the last two with the ‘under’ going 2-0.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:29 PM
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Seahawks Fly Cross-Country For Clash With Cam, Carolina

Among the many surprises in the first month of the 2012 NFL season is an apparent power shift in the NFC to the Western Division, which is both good and bad news for the Seattle Seahawks (2-2), who appear to be part of the renaissance.

For the Carolina Panthers (1-3)? Regarding good and bad, it’s been mostly the latter the first four weeks of the season.

Regardless, as the calendar moves into October, both the Seahawks and Panthers appear to be fast approaching forks in the road for the 2012 campaign. Developments elsewhere in their respective divisions suggest that each are going to need to accelerate their pace in the next few weeks, or playoff hopes could be dashed before Halloween.

Thus, there’s a bit of urgency attached to Sunday’s clash between the sides at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. A quick midweek check of the Don Best NFL odds screen notes that host Carolina is a 3-point favorite at practically every Las Vegas sports book, with the total at 43½-44 and shaded to the ‘under.'

Kickoff time on Sunday will be later in the afternoon at 4:05 p.m. (ET), with FOX providing the TV coverage. Chris Myers, Tim Ryan and Jamie Maggio will provide the commentary.

Seattle has provided interesting copy for a variety of reasons this season. The new-look uniforms, featuring florescent green highlights and a new “wolf grey” color, have caused a stir (mostly positive). Then there was the wild Monday night game vs. Green Bay two weeks ago that proved the impetus for the NFL to settle its contract dispute with the referees. Along the way, the defense has emerged as one of the best. Competition in the NFC West has also upgraded, as the Seahawks, despite posting home wins over the Cowboys and Packers, have already lost on the road to improve division rivals Arizona and St. Louis.

But now there is some real concern about an offense that has been mostly stumbling the past few weeks. Wisconsin rookie QB Russell Wilson is being contained within the pocket, and the passing game has become mistake-prone. Only once in three weeks have the Seahawks exceeded 16 points.

Some observers are blaming ultra-conservative play-calling from offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell for making things harder on Wilson, who has been hampered by limiting most of his throws to obvious passing downs. Many Seahawks fans are suggesting that Bevell and head coach Pete Carroll might as well opt for veteran QB Matt Flynn, the ex-Packer who was signed to a big-money free-agent contract in the offseason, if they’re going to be running such a bulletproof offense for Wilson.

If nothing else, Flynn is a viable default option in the Seahawks’ version of the West Coast offense. Still, there is concern about a wide receiving corps that has also had its problems gaining separation and remains a question mark. There was a reason Carroll was willing to gamble on taking a look at Terrell Owens in the preseason, as Seattle still lacks a legit downfield receiving threat.

And as good as the Seahawks’ defense has been, the team is not going to make the playoffs unless the offense begins to contribute more consistently. At the moment, Wilson – guilty of three picks last week in a 19-13 loss to the Rams in St. Louis – is simply not providing the necessary spark on the attack end. Stay tuned for further developments.

Defense, however, continues to key Seattle, whose airtight stop unit has also not allowed more than 20 points in a game this season. In particular, the Seahawks have been able to stuff opposing run games, as foes are gaining only a puny 3 yards per carry against the stout Seattle rush defense. Seattle also has 12 sacks through the first four weeks, including five from DE Chris Clemons.

Those developments against the run and rushing the passer should be of real concern to a Carolina offense that has also moved in fits and spurts this campaign and needs to establish its infantry diversion to give QB Cam Newton his best chance of igniting the Panther attack.

But we saw a couple of weeks ago against the Giants (as well as the opener vs. the Bucs) what can happen to Carolina’s “O” when the running game is stuffed at the line of scrimmage and when Newton’s escape routes out of the pocket are clogged. Cam has also been prone to pouting spells (prompting an upbraiding by vert WR Steve Smith in the Giants game) as his performances to date, which include just four TD passes and five picks, suggest a possible “sophomore slump” for the ex-Auburn Heisman trophy winner.

What success foes have experienced on the ground vs. the Seahawks thus far have been on draws and inside trap runs, taking advantage of the aggressive push by the Seattle defensive front. Expect the Panthers to isolate RBs DeAngelo Williams & Jonathan Stewart (if healthy for the latter) in such situations on Sunday.

On the plus side for the Panthers has been an improvement from their own pass rush which was a point of emphasis in the offseason. They’ve upgraded in that area, recording 12 sacks thus far, with Oklahoma rookie DE Frank Alexander emerging as a contributor. Although they’re also allowing 31 ppg over their last three games.

But the Panthers’ psyche (and that of Newton) has appeared a bit fragile this season, and we wonder how the team reacts to blowing a late lead last week at Atlanta, when the Falcons drove from their own one-yard line to a game-winning field goal in the last minute. With a bye week on deck, Carolina needs to develop some momentum in a hurry, or else it will be hitting late October with only one win, and its playoff hopes all but dashed.

Pointspread-wise, there are some Seahawks trends worth noting, especially recent successes as an underdog (8-1 vs. spread last nine receiving points) and an overall 13-5 mark against the number in their last 18 games on the board since early last season. The Seattle defense and the offense’s recent struggles behind Wilson have also combined for a potent ‘under’ recipe, as Seattle is ‘under’ in its first four games this season.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:31 PM
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Patriots Renew Rivalry With Peyton Manning, Broncos

The New England Patriots face an old foe on Sunday in quarterback Peyton Manning, this time as a member of the Denver Broncos.

The Don Best Pro Odds screen opened New England as 6½-point favorites, but it’s now moved up to -7 at some wagering outlets. The total is a healthy 51½ and CBS will have the late afternoon broadcast from Gillette Stadium at 4:25 p.m. (ET).

New England (2-2 straight up, 3-1 against the spread) has had a tough start and is already chasing elite teams like Houston (4-0) and Baltimore (3-1) in the AFC. The Ravens already own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Patriots after beating them at home (31-30) two weeks ago in a thriller.

Despite the Patriots’ .500 record, the Don Best Linemakers Poll still ranks them second in the AFC (100.1 rating) behind Houston. Denver (97.4) is fifth in the conference.

Coach Bill Belichick’s team is fortunate to be 2-2 after a mammoth comeback at Buffalo last week. Trailing 21-7 in the fourth quarter, Tom Brady and company scored 35 unanswered points in less than 13 minutes (52-28 final).

Brady threw for 340 yards and three TDS, but the bigger news was the 247 team rushing yards. Stevan Ridley has looked very good overall in his second year, but it was undrafted free agent Brandon Bolden who burst onto the scene with 137 yards on 16 carries.

With the running game going, New England can really click offensively with the middle of the field open for Wes Welker and Rob Gronkowski. Denver’s defense ranks seventh in the league in total yards (308 YPG), but is certainly vulnerable this week on the road.

The Patriots home crowd will be demanding a good performance this week. The only home game so far was a shocking 20-18 loss to Arizona as 13-point favorites in Week 2. The team went 9-1 SU (5-5 ATS) at Gillette last year including the playoffs.

The Broncos (2-2 SU and ATS) are coming off a much-needed 37-6 home win over Oakland as 6½-point favorites. Manning (96.9 rating, ranked 10th) has been up-and-down this season after signing as a free agent and coming off neck surgery. He was great last Sunday (30-of-38 for 338 yards, three TDS) with the porous and injured Raiders ‘D’ a reason.

Running back Willis McGahee also shook off a ribs injury to rush for 112 yards on 19 carries. He is important to take the pressure off Manning, especially against better defenses.

The 36-year-old Manning had had success against Belichick’s defense the last few meetings while playing for Indy. Look for him to attack the middle of the field against the Pats suspect safety tandem of Patrick Chung and Steven Gregory (questionable, hip).

New England’s defense is improved some at 366.8 YPG (ranked 20th), but is still very young and susceptible to the big play. Rookie Dont’a Hightower (hamstring) is questionable, and his absence would be a big blow to an already thin linebacker core.

An interesting development is that Denver center J.D. Walton (ankle) is on injured reserve, which means longtime former Patriot Dan Koppen will start.

These teams met in the Divisional Playoff round last year. New England absolutely pasted the Broncos at home 45-10, but that was with Tim Tebow at quarterback. It won’t be nearly as easy against Manning.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:34 PM
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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

6) Houston Texans, 177
5) Tennessee Titans, 198
4) Baltimore Ravens, 203
3) New Orleans Saints, 205
2) Pittsburgh Steelers, 217
1) Cincinnati Bengals, 255

25) Indianapolis Colts, 91
26) San Diego Chargers, 87
27) New England Patriots, 86
28) Kansas City Chiefs, 78
T29) Buffalo Bills, 75
31) New Jersey Giants, 65

********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday........

13) Three of top five teams got beat Saturday, with LSU/Florida State getting blanked in the second half on the road, first time since 2008 that three of the top five teams lost on the same day.

12) Florida State led 16-0 at halftime in Raleigh, but Seminole QB Manuel took an awful sack in Wolfpack territory when Seminoles were up 16-10, costing his team a shot a field goal that would've been very helpful about an hour later. NC State was missing three starters on offensive line.

11) If you like to invest in games, you can spend hours looking at stats, like some of us do, or you can just read the papers, and go against the teams who appear on that week's police blotter........
-- TCU's QB was suspended after a DUI: Frogs (-7) lost on the up.
-- Missouri had five guys suspended; Tigers (-7) lost on the up.
-- Wake Forest had five guys suspended; Deacons (+7) lost 19-14, but at least they covered the spread.

Winning two of three by that method ain't bad.

10) Miami had a WR drop a wide-open TD on the first play of the game, and it was all downhill from there, as they got bamboozled 41-3 in Chicago by Notre Dame. They'll be payback down the road for this one.

Quick lookalike: Miami coach Al Golden and the late George Allen, who coached the Rams and Redskins. He has some of Allen's mannerisms.

9) Wheels have completely fallen off at Auburn, which lost 24-7 at home to a dysfunctional Arkansas team. Is it possible for a coach to be on the hot seat less than two years after he won a national title? Nothing has gone well for coach Chizik since Cam Newton left town.

8) LSU was supposed to have improved QB play this year, but they've scored 18 points in their last two road games, they converted only 1-13 on 3rd down Saturday with only 8 first downs in an ugly 14-6 loss at Florida. The offensive coordinator at LSU makes $750,000 a year; could be a long week for him.

7) Duke is 5-1, its best start since 1994; Blue Devils beat Virginia 42-17, after trailing 17-14 at the half. Duke is coached by David Cutcliffe, who had a decent stint at Ole Miss but got run out of town after Eli Manning went on to the NFL, despite having only one losing season in Oxford.

6) ESPN might want to think twice about airing BYU games on weeknights; they've already had a 7-6 loss to Boise State, a 6-3 win over Utah Stateon the nation's airwaves, a couple of snoozefests. Conference games are more fun to watch, that is almost always true.

5) North Carolina outrushed Virginia Tech 339-40, thumped Hokies in Chapel Hill, 48-34. UNC survived 15 penalties for 126 yards. This is as bad as the Hokies have played in years.

4) If you bet on Central Michigan (+11.5) Saturday, someone upstairs has it out for you; Chippewas were down 5 in the last minute, and Toledo kicked a FG to go up 43-35 with 0:54 left, something like that. You know it is a bad day when Toledo runs pick-6 back with 0:38 left to cover, 50-35. Rockets also had a punt return for TD and another pick-6 earlier.

3) There were 23 unbeatens coming into this week; now there are 16.

2) Penn State outscored Northwestern 22-0 in 4th quarter to hand the Wildcats their first loss of the year, 39-28. ESPN's Brian Griese went out of his way to praise the coaching QB McGloin has been getting this year, a not so subtle dig at the old QB coach, Jay Paterno.

1) Ohio State 63, Nebraska 38. Cornhuskers' coach Bo Pelini played at Ohio State; you get the feeling these two teams are going to be great rivals, both on the field and on the recruiting trail.

Buckeyes scored a TD on a 16-yard run with 0:48 left; hmmm.....




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:36 PM
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NFL weather watch: 100 percent chance of rain for ATL/WSH

NFL game weather and resulting stadium conditions can have a significant impact on player performance and the outcome of football games. Bettors should take weather conditions into consideration, especially when placing over/under wagers.

Here are the matchups being threatened by inclement weather Sunday:

Cleveland Browns at New York Giants (-9, 43)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s with a 75 percent chance of rain. Winds will be out of the west.

Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 43)

Site: Heinz Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s with a 40 percent chance of showers. Winds will be light out of the west.

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins (3, 50.5)

Site: FedEx Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s with a 100 percent chance of rain. Wind shouldn’t be a factor.

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (-2.5, 41.5)

Site: Bank of America Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with a 45 percent of precipitation. Winds will blow out of the north at 8 mph.

Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars (5.5, 40.5)

Site: EverBank Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-80s and partly cloudy skies at kickoff. However, the threat of a thunderstorm increases to 25 percent in the
early evening hours. Winds will be light out of the east.

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-6.5, 51.5)

Site: Gillette Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s with a 75 percent chance of rain. Winds will be calm.

Buffalo Bills at San Francisco 49ers (-10, 45)

Site: Candlestick Park

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s and partly cloudy skies. The real weather story here will be the westerly 17 mph winds.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 05:38 PM
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Sunday, October 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 1:00 PM ET Atlanta -3 500
Washington - Over 51 500

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia +3.5 500
Pittsburgh - Over 44 500

Green Bay - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -6.5 500
Indianapolis - Under 49 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Giants -9 500
N.Y. Giants - Under 43.5 500

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Miami +3 500
Cincinnati - Under 45.5 500

Baltimore - 1:00 PM ET Baltimore -6 500
Kansas City - Over 47 500

Seattle - 4:05 PM ET Seattle +1 500
Carolina - Under 42.5 500

Chicago - 4:05 PM ET Jacksonville +6.5 500
Jacksonville - Under 40 500

Tennessee - 4:25 PM ET Tennessee +6 500
Minnesota - Over 44 500

Denver - 4:25 PM ET New England -5.5 500 (DBAB)
New England - Over 51 500

Buffalo - 4:25 PM ET San Francisco -10 500
San Francisco - Over 44.5 500

Old Post 10-07-12 06:29 PM
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Sunday Night Best Bets:

San Diego - 8:20 PM ET San Diego +3 500

New Orleans - Under 52.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-08-12 01:39 AM
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Reeling NY Jets Host Texans On Monday Night Football

The New York Jets may be the most maligned 2-2 team in NFL history. They host the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football as a solid underdog.

The Don Best Pro Odds opened the Jets +7 and it’s up to 8½-9. The total is a low 41½, and ESPN's Monday night crew will begin at 8:30 p.m. (ET) from MetLife Stadium.

The Jets (2-2 straight up and against the spread) are tied for the AFC East lead, but one would never know it by reading the local New York papers. Almost everyone feels they are doomed after losing star cornerback Darrelle Revis (knee) and receiver Santonio Holmes (foot) for the year in the last two weeks.

Coach Rex Ryan knows the injuries are a real blow, but hopes his team reached a low point in last Sunday’s 34-0 loss to San Fran as 3½-point home ‘dogs. The offense generated just 145 total yards and 49ers cornerback Carlos Rogers said the Jets quit. Ryan claimed the team was ‘just tired,’ which is one of his normal laughable statements.

Quarterback Mark Sanchez has been a big part of the problem (69.6 rating, ranked 30th). His receiving weapons this week are almost non-existent with Holmes out and rookie Stephen Hill (hamstring) doubtful. Tight end Dustin Keller (hamstring) is listed as questionable after missing the last three games, but that seems optimistic.

There was a rumor that owner Woody Johnson would push for Tim Tebow to start playing more, but there doesn’t appear to be much truth to that. Sanchez would really benefit from the running game picking up (86.5 YPG, ranked 24th), but both Shonn Greene (2.8 ypc) and Bilal Powell (3.8 YPG) are average talent at best.

The Texans (4-0 SU and ATS) are one of two undefeated teams left after Arizona lost at St. Louis last night. They are the favorite to win the AFC (+140) in the current future odds as well as to win the Super Bowl (+350).

Coach Gary Kubiak is certainly enjoying his change of fortune. Houston didn’t even make the playoffs his first five years and it wasn’t certain he would keep his job. A tough loss at Baltimore in the Divisional Round last year appears to have built momentum for this season.

The health of quarterback Matt Schaub is another reason for success. He missed the last six regular season games and the playoffs with a foot injury. This year, he has a 105.3 rating (ranked third) and the offense is second overall in points (31.5 PPG).

The Texans defense had some questions heading into the season after losing defensive end Mario Williams to free agency and the trade of middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans. However, the unit ranks first overall in both total yards (273 PPG) and points (14 PPG).

The Jets are hoping that the Texans’ fast start is a bye-product of an easy schedule. They have been 13-point favorites twice against Tennessee and Miami. Their game at Denver was the only real tough one (31-25 win as 1-point favorites).

Houston is 2-0 on the road this year and 7-1 ATS in its last eight away overall.

The Jets have won all five lifetime meetings (4-1 ATS) against the Texans. Houston did cover the last game in November 2010, a 30-27 loss as 6½-point road ‘dogs. That was also the first ‘over’ after the ‘under’ started 4-0.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:34 AM
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NFL

Monday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tale of the tape: Texans at Jets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the Houston Texans and New York Jets.

Offense

Houston has outscored its opponents by an NFL-high 70 points this season, the highest total for any team at this point since the 2009. Quarterback Matt Schaub, who ranks second in the AFC with a 105.3 passer rating this season, is a perfect 8-0 and has completed 142-of-215 passes (66.0 percent) for 1,835 yards with 12 TDs over his last eight starts. Oh yeah, and the Texans have one of the most potent rushing attacks (136.5 YPG) in the league.

New York Jets lost their top offensive star back last week when WR Santonio Holmes went down with a Lisfranc injury in his left foot during the team's 34-0 loss to the 49ers. San Francisco held the overmatched Jets to a measly 145 yards of total offense and nine first downs while forcing four turnovers. Tight end Dustin Keller could miss a fourth straight game with a hamstring injury along and rookie WR Stephen Hill could also sit out with a hamstring injury. New York's receiving corps is devastated with injuries, with second-year pro Jeremy Kerley now the primary option.

Edge: Texans


Defense

Texans DE J.J. Watt tallied two of the Texans' four sacks in their victory over the Titans last week. He has recorded 1 1/2-plus sacks in every game this season and has 7 1/2 on the year. He anchors a defensive unit that leads the AFC in scoring defense at 14.0 per game, total defense (273.0 yards a contest) and passing yards allowed (182.8).

49ers CB Carlos Rogers was quoted saying, “It seemed like they (Jets defense) didn’t want to be out there,” in a radio interview earlier this week. The Jets gave up 245 rushing yards and missed 17 tackles in the loss to San Francisco and appeared demoralized in the second half once the game was out of hand. New York ranks 21st in total defense and has to find a way to move on after losing CB Darrelle Revis to a season-ending knee injury.

Edge: Texans


Special teams

Texans K Shayne Graham has converted on seven of his eight field-goal attempts this season, but the Texans rank towards the back of the pack in punt and kick return averages.

New York’s special teams have been pretty good. Kicker Nick Folk is perfect in six field-goal attempts and Jeremy Kerley had a big punt return for a TD in Week 1.

Edge: Jets




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:36 AM
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NFL

Monday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Texans at Jets: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Texans at New York Jets (9, 40.5)

Rex Ryan called this year's edition of the New York Jets his best team yet. Crushing injuries to two of his best players may prevent Ryan from ever finding out if he was right. New York will look to bounce back from a humiliating home loss to San Francisco when it hosts the undefeated Houston Texans on Monday night. The Jets absorbed another body blow this week when they learned that former Super Bowl MVP Santonio Holmes would be lost for the season with a Lisfranc injury suffered in Sunday's 34-0 loss. That robs the team of its best offensive playmaker one week after all-world cornerback Darrelle Revis suffered a season-ending knee injury.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Texans -9, O/U 40.5

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s under partly cloudy skies. Wind shouldn’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (4-0): Houston has fashioned its perfect record with the blueprint that Ryan has been seeking: A balanced offense built on a bruising running game and a dominating defense that leads the league in a slew of categories, including fewest points allowed per game (14). Three of the Texans' four wins have been by at least 20 points, and they led by 20 points before holding off a late comeback in a 31-25 win at Denver in Week 3. Quarterback Matt Schaub has looked sharp in his return from last season's Lisfranc injury, completing 67 percent of his passes and throwing for seven touchdowns against one interception. Arian Foster has scored four rushing touchdowns and is averaging 95 yards per game on the ground.

ABOUT THE JETS (2-2): New York is coming off a woeful effort in the loss to the 49ers, managing only 145 total yards and nine first downs. The whispers for Tim Tebow are getting louder after starting quarterback Mark Sanchez completed 13 of 29 passes for only 103 yards and an interception. It marked the third consecutive game that Sanchez has completed fewer than 50 percent of his passes. Rookie wideout Stephen Hill, the team's second-round draft pick, sat out last week's game with a concussion and could miss Monday's matchup. The ground game continues to go nowhere - running back Shonn Greene has rushed for only 97 yards on 41 carries in the last three games.

TRENDS:

* Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Texans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last five Week 5 games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Schaub has won eight consecutive starts dating to last season.

2. The Jets have won all five meetings with the Texans, including a 30-27 victory in November 2010 when Sanchez threw for 315 yards and three TDs.

3. Texans WR Andre Johnson needs 76 yards to reach 10,000 for his career.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:38 AM
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MNF - Texans at Jets

October 7, 2012

The Texans have rolled through all four of their opponents as Houston looks for the first 5-0 start in franchise history on Monday night. The Week 5 card closes out at Met Life Stadium in New Jersey, as the Texans take on a dysfunctional Jets' squad that still has a chance to go above .500 with a victory.

Rex Ryan's club is missing its top offensive weapon in Santonio Holmes, as the former Super Bowl MVP suffered a season-ending foot injury in last Sunday's 34-0 home defeat to the 49ers. The worst part about losing Holmes was the timing of the injury with the Jets already down 17-0 when the receiver fumbled and taken back for a touchdown to put the game away. San Francisco cashed as 3 ½-point road favorites, while the Jets were limited to just nine first downs and 145 yards offensively.

The question heading into Monday night is how much longer will Mark Sanchez remain the starting quarterback for the Jets? The ex-USC standout is completing just 49% of his passes, while connecting on only two touchdowns in the last three games, following a three-touchdown performance in the opening week blowout of the Bills. The 48 points scored against Buffalo may seem like a huge fraud as 14 of these points came from the defense and special teams, as the Jets have scored 33 points the last three contests.

While the Tim Tebow rumors swirl around the Jets, the Texans have no questions at their quarterback position with Matt Schaub completing 67% of his passes, while owning a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 7/1. Houston has scored at least 27 points in all four victories, including a season-high 38 points in last Sunday's 24-point rout of Tennessee to easily cash as 13-point favorites. Three of Houston's four wins have come by at least 20 points, while in the victory over Denver in Week 3, the Texans held a 20-point advantage late in the third quarter before holding off the Broncos by six points.

New York's secondary took a major hit when Pro Bowl cornerback Darrelle Revis tore his ACL in a Week 3 overtime victory at Miami, as the Jets allowed 379 yards to San Francisco. When Revis missed the Week 2 loss at Pittsburgh with a concussion, Ben Roethlisberger shredded the Jets' defense for 275 yards and two touchdowns.

Houston is the longest road favorite on a Monday night this season, as the Texans look to beat the Jets for the first time in six tries. The last time these teams hooked up in November 2010, Gary Kubiak's team rallied from a 23-7 deficit to take a late 27-23 lead, but Sanchez found Holmes on a 6-yard touchdown strike in the final seconds for a 30-27 triumph. The Texans managed the cover in the loss, cashing as 6 ½-point road underdogs, but the loss dropped Houston to 0-5 in five lifetime meetings with New York.

The AFC South leaders have dropped three straight Monday night contests since 2009, with the last game being a home overtime defeat to the Ravens in 2010 as three-point underdogs. Houston is pretty reliable in the road favorite role since the start of last season, compiling a 5-1 SU/ATS record, including victories over Jacksonville and Denver.

The Jets suffered their first loss as a home underdog in Ryan's tenure against San Francisco, falling to 3-1 SU/ATS in his three-plus seasons. This is the sixth Monday night game for New York since 2009, as the Jets have put together a mediocre 2-3 SU/ATS mark, as one of those wins came over the Dolphins last season, 24-6 as seven-point 'chalk.'

The Texans opened as seven-point favorites, but the number has jumped to eight at most spots, while possibly going up to nine by game-time. The total is set at 40, with several 40 ½'s floating out there. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM from Met Life Stadium and can be seen nationally on ESPN.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:40 AM
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Monday, October 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Houston - 8:30 PM ET N.Y. Jets +9.5 500

N.Y. Jets - Under 40.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:42 AM
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NFL odds: Week 6 opening line report

Betting the Green Bay Packers as underdogs in recent seasons has been about as rare as Dracula’s steak. However, NFL bettors get that chance when the Packers limp into the Lone Star State to take on the Houston Texans in Week 6.

The early odds for Sunday night’s showdown have the Cheeseheads set as high as 5.5-point pups, facing a Texans team that is undefeated heading into Monday night’s matchup with the New York Jets.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says depending on Houston’s performance at MetLife Stadium, this spread could go as high as -6 by Monday night.

“This was one of the toughest lines to make in a long time,” Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Houston -4, told Covers. “Our guys had it as high as -7 and as low as -3.5. Houston has the short week and we’ll see what happens Monday. But this is a must-win for Green Bay.”

The Packers are reeling from a 30-27 upset loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5, failing to cover as 6.5-point favorites and dropping to 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS on the season.

Green Bay was an underdog only once last season, set at +6.5 versus the Detroit Lions in the final game of the season – a throw-away game for the Packers, who still won 45-41. During the 2010 regular season, Green Bay was a 14-point pup at New England with Aaron Rodgers sidelined in Week 15, a 2.5-point underdog at Atlanta in Week 12, and got 6.5 points from books visiting the Jets in Week 8.

The Packers were tagged as 1-point underdogs in their first two playoff games that year, winning and covering in both en route to a Super Bowl title. Green Bay is a profitable 5-1 ATS in its last six games as the betting underdog.

Here are the opening odds for some of the biggest games on the Week 6 schedule:

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 48.5)

The undefeated Falcons opened as low as 8.5-point home favorites versus the rested Raiders and have since been bet up a point.

Korner was shocked to see so many online markets open the spread that low and suggests his clients keep this number as high as they can.

“I think that line is absurd,” says Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Atlanta -10.5. “We set it high and will be unyielding in our advice to keep this spread high. We expect money on the favorite to be around 10-1 or 15-1.”

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 45.5)

These teams know each other well after two run-ins last season, including a thrilling 20-17 overtime victory for the Giants in the NFC Championship Game.

There is a measure of revenge involved, as far as 49ers backers are concerned, but oddsmakers put more weight into the teams’ current forms when making the odds. The Niners, coming off a dominant win against the Buffalo Bills, are 6-point home chalk in this heated rematch.

Korner says Nevada books will likely have this game a little higher, especially in the northern part of the state, thanks to the proximity of California and the Bay Area. The Sports Club sent out a suggested line of San Francisco -7 with the total posted two points higher at 47.

“We recommend our clients going a little higher with this spread,” says Korner. “They’re going to be blitzed by San Francisco money on the (parlay cards).”

The Niners won 27-20 as 4-point home favorites versus the Giants in Week 10 last season, then fell in overtime as 2-point home faves in the NFC Championship.

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 43.5)

The Ravens escaped Arrowhead Stadium with a weird 9-6 win over the Chiefs in Week 5, settling for three field goals from kicker Justin Tucker.

Baltimore’s new-look offense has been impressive up to that point and oddsmakers aren’t putting too much weight into the dud in Kansas City when setting the spread for Sunday’s home date versus Dallas.

“Sometimes you just need to throw away a game and forget about it, says Korner. “That’s what we’re doing with Baltimore here.”

The Cowboys had a bye week to wash away the stink of their Monday night mess against Chicago. Dallas’ offense has been terrible – ranked 30th in points (16.2 per game) – and has pushed the opening total down from 44 to 43.5. However, the Cowboys have shown a tendency to tighten the screws during the week off and boast an NFL-best 16-7 SU and ATS mark coming off the bye since 1990.

“We don’t use those past results,” Korner says of Dallas' record off the bye week. “We let the bettors look at that and bet them all they want.”




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:26 AM
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NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Pittsburgh at Tennessee
The Steelers look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is coming off a 30-7 loss to Minnesota last weekend and is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Pittsburgh is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 101-102: Pittsburgh at Tennessee (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.289; Tennessee 124.886
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 209-210: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 129.426; Cleveland 130.392
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: Indianapolis at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 126.479; NY Jets 127.518
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 45
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.795; Tampa Bay 130.222
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 4 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 215-216: Oakland at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 131.831; Atlanta 139.473
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Over

Game 217-218: Dallas at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Baltimore 138.864
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 8; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: Detroit at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.529; Philadelphia 136.836
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: St. Louis at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 132.430; Miami 132.180
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 223-224: New England at Seattle (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.458; Seattle 137.829
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Under

Game 225-226: Buffalo at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.662; Arizona 132.929
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Minnesota at Washington (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 129.722; Washington 133.055
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2;
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 229-230: NY Giants at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.563; San Francisco 138.380
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 42
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+5 1/2); Under

Game 231-232: Green Bay at Houston (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.076; Houston 142.666
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 233-234: Denver at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 135.211; San Diego 134.078
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Over




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:27 AM
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 4) - 10/11/2012, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 89-58 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:28 AM
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NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 11, 2012

(TC) Pittsburgh at Tennessee, 8:25 ET NFL
Pittsburgh: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Tennessee: 9-2 ATS off BB games scoring 14 points or less




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:29 AM
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NFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 11

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TENNESSEE
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:30 AM
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Thursday's Game

Steelers (2-2) @ Titans (1-4)-- Tennessee is awful, with all four losses by 21+ points; in their only win, they scored three TDs via defense/special teams and still needed OT to win. Pitt won last three series games, by 3-8-21, but they're 2-7 overall in Tennessee- they beat Titans 38-17 at Heinz LY. Steelers finally ran ball better vs Philly (136 YR) after averaging 65 ypg in 1-2 start; they're 0-2 on road this year, giving up 31-34 points at Denver/Oakland. Pitt is 10-20-1 vs spread in last 31 games as a road favorite. Titans are 10-6 in last 16 games as a home underdog- they've allowed 34-41 points in splitting first two home games. AFC North favorites are 1-6 vs spread in non-divisional games, 0-3 on road.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:31 AM
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NFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Steelers at Titans: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (5.5, 42.5)

The Pittsburgh Steelers try for their first road win of the season Thursday, when they kick off Week 6 against the struggling Tennessee Titans. Pittsburgh has lost both of its games away from home thus far, dropping its season opener in Denver on Sept. 9 and allowing 13 fourth-quarter points in a 34-31 setback in Oakland. The Steelers evened their overall record Sunday with a 16-14 home triumph over Philadelphia.

Pittsburgh will be without safety Troy Polamalu, who aggravated his strained right calf in the first quarter of the victory over the Eagles. The All-Pro originally suffered the injury in the season opener and missed the team's next two games. That is good news for Matt Hasselbeck, who will make his second straight start at quarterback for Tennessee. With Jake Locker still recovering from a separated left shoulder, Hasselbeck gets the call despite passing for only 200 yards in Sunday's 30-7 loss at Minnesota. The Steelers lead the all-time series 44-30 and have won each of the last three meetings.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Steelers -5.5, O/U 42.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a slight chance of a thunderstorm late in the evening hours. Wind shouldn’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2-2): Ryan Mundy is expected to fill in at safety for Polamalu, but Will Allen also may receive more playing time as a result of the star's absence. While Polamalu definitely is out, linebacker LaMarr Woodley is considered doubtful with a strained right hamstring. Shaun Suisham booted a 34-yard field goal as time expired Sunday, helping Pittsburgh avoid its first 1-3 start under coach Mike Tomlin. Tight end Heath Miller made four catches for 43 yards, becoming the eighth player in franchise history to surpass 4,000 yards receiving.

ABOUT THE TITANS (1-4): Running back Javon Ringer is expected to miss four to six weeks with a sprained left MCL suffered in the fourth quarter of Sunday's loss. Tennessee has to be pleased with the news as it feared Ringer, who was carted off the field, tore his ACL. Hasselbeck completed 26 of 43 passes and threw for a touchdown, but the majority of his success came with the game's outcome already decided. Running back Chris Johnson's next 100-yard rushing game will be the 30th of his career. Only Earl Campbell (39) and Eddie George (36) have had more for the franchise.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
* Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Titans’ last seven home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five road games dating to last season.

2. The Titans gained only 52 yards on the ground against the Vikings, with Johnson rushing 15 times for 24 yards.

3. Tennessee has allowed a league-worst 181 points.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:32 AM
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