The Memorial Tournament betting at BetMGM


Favorites
▪️ Scottie Scheffler +600
▪️ Jon Rahm +750
▪️ Patrick Cantlay +1000

Highest Ticket%
▪️ Viktor Hovland 8.9%
▪️ Rahm 6.6%
▪️ Cantlay 6.1%

Highest Handle%
▪️ Cantlay 13.4%
▪️ Rahm 11.7%
▪️ Scheffler 9.0%

Emiliano Grillo had not won on the PGA Tour since October 2015 at the Frys.com Open (now known as the Fortinet Championship). He had come into last week with some solid form (two top-7s in his four lead-in starts) and two top-10s at Colonial in the last five years. Grillo, tipped in this column last week at 100-1 and ending with an 80-1 closing price, had a two-shot lead heading to the 18th tee on Sunday but hit his drive into an aqueduct, which took the ball back 150 yards before stopping against a rock. He decided to take a penalty stroke and landed a two-putt from 20 yards to tie with Adam Schenk. Harry Hall led after each of the first three rounds but failed to save par and missed the playoff and finished T-3 along with OWGR No. 1 Scottie Scheffler.

Grillo won the Charles Schwab Challenge on the second playoff hole and Schenk settled for his second runner-up finish (Valspar Championship) in 2023.

Grillo (110-1 this week) will be part of an elite field this week at The Memorial Tournament hosted by Jack Nicklaus.

That elite field playing just outside of Columbus, Ohio, consists of the entire OWGR Top 5, including OWGR No. 1 Scheffler (6-1). World No. 2 Jon Rahm (15-2) won this event in 2020 and should have had back-to-back titles but was informed coming off the 18th green after Saturday's third round that he had tested positive for COVID-19 and had to withdraw from the 2021 Memorial Tournament after having built a six-stroke lead. The biggest beneficiary of Rahm's withdrawal was Patrick Cantlay (10-1), who not only ended up winning the 2021 Memorial but also was the 2019 event champion.

Rory McIlroy (14-1) has just one top-10 in his last five trips to Muirfield Village.

Xander Schauffele (16-1) rounds out the OWGR Top 5 and has four consecutive top-20s here.

Viktor Hovland (22-1) was on the first page of the leaderboard heading into Sunday last week at Colonial, just one week removed from the near-miss at the PGA before a 3-over round dropped him to T-16. Collin Morikawa (25-1) has been disappointing lately all around but does have a victory on this course in the Workday Charity Open back in 2020 and was runner-up in a playoff to Cantlay in 2021. Justin Thomas (28-1) was the man Morikawa defeated in that Workday playoff in 2020.

Jason Day (30-1) lives in Columbus and would love to win a “home game” this week, especially after getting back in the winner's circle for the first time in five years, three weeks ago at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Also priced at 30-1 is Tyrrell Hatton.

Next on the board are several players who have been battling various injuries and illnesses, including Cameron Young (35-1), 2014 Memorial champion Hideki Matsuyama (40-1) and Jordan Spieth (40-1).

Tournament Trends

Both winners here in the last two years have led the field for Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green.

7 of the last 13 Memorial winners were behind after 54 holes. (2020: Rahm four-shot lead, 2018: DeChambeau one-shot lead, 2013: Kuchar two-shot lead, 2011: Stricker three-shot lead).

9 of the last 13 Memorial winners were 11th or better after R1. (2022: Horschel 21st, 2018: DeChambeau 16th, 2016: McGirt 44th; 2014: Matsuyama 21st).

4 of the last 6 Memorial winners had at least one top-5 finish within four lead-up starts to the event.

Rory McIlroy (15-1, Circa Sports)

While he has not played great in this event recently, he has four top-10s and three other top-20s.

He was sharper with the irons in the PGA at Oak Hill two weeks ago, ranking fourth in the field for Strokes Gained Approach, which was his best since August 2021 at the FedEx St. Jude.

As a student of the game with a keen eye for history, other than the elusive fourth jewel of the Grand Slam (Masters), there is no other tournament McIlroy wants to win more than Jack Nicklaus' event.

Xander Schauffele (16-1, Circa Sports)

Despite just an 11th here in 2021, Schauffele led the field at Memorial that year for Greens in Regulation, Total Driving, Driving Accuracy and Ball Striking.

The incoming form is good with five consecutive top-10 finishes before an 18th two weeks ago at the PGA that continued a streak of six straight top-20s.

The last four winners at Muirfield Village have also won at East Lake, including Horschel, Cantlay (twice), and Rahm was the low scorer at the 2021 Tour Championship there. So that correlation fits nicely for both Schauffele and McIlroy, who have both won at East Lake in recent years.

Viktor Hovland (21-1, Circa Sports)

Hovland has shown up in the year's biggest events thus far with a third at The Players, a seventh at the Masters and a T-2 two weeks ago at the PGA Championship.

The Norwegian does not have a stellar record in the Memorial, but he did finish third on this golf course at the one-off Workday Charity Open in 2020.

He ranks third in this field for Strokes Gained Off The Tee, fourth for Proximity Gained 200+ Yards, eighth for Strokes Gained Approach and 10th for Proximity Gained 175-200 Yards.

Odds to win Memorial Tournament at BetMGM


Patrick Cantlay +350
Hideki Matsuyama +450
Jon Rahm +600
Rory McIlroy +850
Justin Suh +900

Cantlay winning would be a good outcome for the sportsbook.

Updated odds to win Memorial Tournament at
BetMGM


Rory McIlroy +260
Si Woo Kim +700
Viktor Hovland +800
Patrick Cantlay +1200
Wyndham Clark +1400
Denny McCarthy +1600
Collin Morikawa +1800
David Lipsky

McIlroy winning would be a bad outcome for the sportsbook.