StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > MLS, La Liga Weekend Soccer
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread
Pages (2): « 1 [2]

Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Push

LAFC/Portland O3 -113 to win 2 units....Push..Anyone who watched this would agree there should have been at least 5 goals in this.

15-19-3
-1.63




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 05-19-18 11:13 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Sun MLS

On this today. BTTS parlay:

Houston @ Chicago - BTTS
NY Red Bull @ Atlanta - BTTS
Parlay - Risk 1.00 to win 1.32

Houston/Chicago - Draw +250 - risk .5 to win 1.25




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 05-20-18 01:22 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

New York Red Bulls goalkeeper Luis Robles has been ruled out of Sunday’s match against Atlanta United FC (7 PM ET, TV: FS1, Radio: Red Bulls Radio) with a knee injury.

It will be the first time Robles misses an MLS regular season start since his first appearance for the club in September of 2012. The Fort Huachuca, Arizona native’s ironman streak spanned 183 regular season games, 16,470 minutes, with 86 wins and 52 shutouts.

Old Post 05-20-18 01:58 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

As Europe’s club season winds down, most of the big races have already been decided. England and Germany’s seasons are over. In Italy and Spain, Juventus and Barcelona have clinched their titles. The last great race is for the top four in Italy. Fourth gets a Champions League spot, and fifth is off to the Europa League. Right now Lazio sit in fourth with 72 points, while Inter Milan are hovering behind them with 69. If they finish tied, Inter has the tiebreaker. Oh, and they play each other this weekend (Sunday, 2:45 p.m. ET).

Both teams could have been in a much better position. Inter, however, managed to lose at home to Sassuolo, while Lazio went to Crotone but still needed to rescue a late draw with an 84th-minute goal. Both of these teams tried really hard to choke away a top-four finish, but the other wouldn’t let them. That means it’s all on the line this Sunday. Inter win and they’re in; any other result and Lazio return to the Champions League for the first time since 2007-08 (they missed out on the group stage in 2015-16 by losing in the qualifying round to Bayer Leverkusen, but starting next season fourth place in Serie A goes right to the group stages).

Lazio have had a tremendous attacking season: They lead Serie A with 87 goals despite expected goals predicting they’d score only 65, although even that total was the second-highest expected goal total in the league. Led by Ciro Immobile, who has a league-high 29 goals, and Luis Alberto, who has a league-high 14 assists, Lazio play an unorthodox back-five system committed to getting their two attackers in behind the defense.

However, that attacking mojo disappears against good opponents. Lazio is more than happy to keep the wingbacks deep, play a conservative back five and try to focus on shutting the game down. Given that they need only a draw to secure fourth, that’s very likely going to be their game plan against Inter.

Inter, for their part, have scored significantly fewer goals, only 63, with 59 expected goals, and they rely extremely heavily on their own outstanding striker Mauro Icardi (28 goals, pictured above). Winger Ivan Perisic has 11. Nobody else on the team has more than four. Inter will gladly keep the ball, they have the fourth-highest possession rate in Serie A with 55.1%, but they don’t use that possession to flood men forward. Instead they play at a relatively conservative pace and eventually hope to spring Icardi in the box and let him do his magic.

Defensively, both teams are capable but not great. They both concede 11.5 shots a game, which is tied for seventh-fewest. But while Lazio has given up six more goals than the 40 expected, Inter has conceded eight fewer than the 36 they were predicted to cough up. This isn’t an accident: Part of the reason Inter relies so heavily on Icardi is the team’s emphasis on not getting caught with men ahead of the ball. It has broadly worked, but they’ll need to be more expansive this weekend in a must-win scenario.

They’ll need midfielders such as Marcelo Brozovic and Rafinha, who are entirely capable of getting forward if they’re told to, to be more involved in attacking Lazio. They’ll have to be comfortable taking risks and pushing the issue, otherwise Lazio will happily kill off the game and walk away with a boring scoreless draw and a Champions League ticket.

Lazio is a good team, with great attackers. They’re happy to concede the ball, play extremely conservatively, and then spring into action. If Inter have any chance of making it to the Champions League they’re going to have to make Lazio pay for their conservatism. That means ripping up the usual game plan and throwing caution to the wind. Lazio might pick them off on the counterattack, but it’s the best chance Inter have. Otherwise Lazio will spend the match with three centerbacks all collapsing on Icardi. Inter can earn themselves a victory on Sunday, but they’re going to have to change the way they play to do it.

Old Post 05-20-18 02:06 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Gush
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2009
Posts: 3614

Holland 8:30

Sparta/Emmen over 3 +117

Old Post 05-20-18 02:27 PM
Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Gush Click here to Send Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Italian League A

following the move & money here

SOC [201302] GENOA +123

YTD
53-36-6 +42.80

Old Post 05-20-18 02:44 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

Sunday La Liga

3* Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol Draw +256

Two very evenly matched teams playing out the string in La Liga.These teams have played to a draw in 3 of last 10 meetings with Bilbao holding 13-9 overall scoring advantage.This game looks like an excellent candidate to end 1-1. Like Draw today. GL

MLS

5* NYRB VS Atlanta Over 3.5

Interestingly only 3 goals in 2 games last year between these two teams.Atlanta coming off 2-1 win over Orlando City and been in a bit of scoring lull last few games but are lethal at home averaging 3.3 GPG their in last 10 last year and 3.0 this year at home.NYRB has conceded 2 GPG in road games this year and this is by far most lethal attack they have faced. Lets call it 3-2. GL

Old Post 05-20-18 03:20 PM
Traderpro is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Traderpro Click here to Send Traderpro a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Brutus5775
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5364

What is a BTTS ?




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 05-20-18 03:23 PM
Brutus5775 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Brutus5775 Click here to Send Brutus5775 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
isdativan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 1328

BTTS = Both teams to score




I'm like a walking accident.
Everywhere I go, I wreck.

Old Post 05-20-18 03:28 PM
isdativan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for isdativan Click here to Send isdativan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Brutus5775
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5364

Thanks - had no clue




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 05-20-18 03:39 PM
Brutus5775 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Brutus5775 Click here to Send Brutus5775 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Gush
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2009
Posts: 3614

Scotland

5/20/2018 10:30 AM Scotland Soccer 4503 Draw (Livingston (SCO) vs Partick Thistle (SCO))* +250

Old Post 05-20-18 04:28 PM
Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Gush Click here to Send Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Keeper being out helps the BTTS case




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 05-20-18 04:32 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

SOC [201302] GENOA +123...........L

YTD
53-37-6 +41.80

Old Post 05-20-18 05:11 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

going against the public here

SOC [201382]TOTAL u3½-115 (FIORENTINA vrs AC MILAN)

YTD
53-37-6 +41.80

Old Post 05-20-18 05:24 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Gush
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2009
Posts: 3614

Italy

Fiorentina +389 1st half
Atalanta/Cagliari draw +262
Spal/Sampdoria draw +276

Old Post 05-20-18 05:48 PM
Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Gush Click here to Send Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

just a bad day

SOC [201382]TOTAL u3½-115 (FIORENTINA vrs AC MILAN)........L

YTD
53-38-6 +40.65

Old Post 05-20-18 07:18 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
ballinhj12
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 2525

I know this is not my relm but it does appear there is some RLM on the Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad moving from 4.5 to 4

Old Post 05-20-18 07:39 PM
ballinhj12 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for ballinhj12 Click here to Send ballinhj12 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Gush
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2009
Posts: 3614

Lots of shady stuff going on in these matches today, best to take time off now before the WC

Old Post 05-20-18 08:03 PM
Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Gush Click here to Send Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Houston/Chicago - now tied 1-1. End now and I will be happy

Gush - I agree. This is it for me until the WC....****, Chi just scored. Now 2-1

Old Post 05-20-18 10:25 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

1-1 yesterday +0.82 units

Houston @ Chicago - BTTS
NY Red Bull @ Atlanta - BTTS
Parlay - Risk 1.00 to win 1.32....W

Houston/Chicago - Draw +250 - risk .5 to win 1.25....L...but Dynamo won, so I am ok with it.

16-20-3
-0.31 units

Old Post 05-21-18 03:01 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
Pages (2): « 1 [2]   Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: