Don't really care of the games today as far as value goes. Could be wet at both venues, so turnovers could play more of a factor today.
One glaring fact is Luck has never played a NFL game in the rain and I believe he only played in one rain game in college. Pats do have several question marks, but Belichick has Luck's number.
Seattle and the Saints same deal with too many question marks. Trends are mixed and the line is tight.
Seattle line is bouncing like crazy. You can lay -7.5 in Vegas and get +10 at some offshore books.
Been looking at NO and found it interesting to find out that Drew Brees has only played (3) games in the rain his entire career. He didn't fair to well. Wilson in his short career has played three in the rain and faired very well.
Lot of mixed trends so no advantage there. Seattle was inconsistent down the stretch (not playing for anything, so maybe Pete didn't care) and the Saints on the road back to back. Saints also played 5 of their last 7 on the road.
One thing I looked at was Ryan's defensive adjustments made when playing teams a second time (division games).
Very evident in the Tampa & Atlanta games.
Even though they lost the second game to Carolina . They held the Panthers to...10 first downs and 81 yds rushing.
Saints will attempt to run the ball and control the clock. Seattle wins, but double digits are too good to pass up.
New Orleans +10**
Three Team Tease
Seattle Pick (3*)
Carolina +11.5
Denver +1/2
Should be a tight one and I was going to lay off the side, but I came across some statistical info that has given the Panthers a 60.1% chance of winning the game. So for action: