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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Belmont 70, Murray State 68 OT-- Game of the Day, as Bruins won OVC tourney in their first year in league- they've now won 18 of their last 20 conference tournament games.

-- Amare Stoudemire needs his knee scoped, will be out for six weeks, so he will probably miss the rest of the regular season.

-- So Joe Flacco gets $20M a year but Anquan Boldin gets offered a cut in pay? That should go over well in the Ravens' locker room next year.

-- Cleveland Browns ($47.2M), Cincinnati Bengals ($41.7M) have most room under salary cap, with NFL free agency starting on Tuesday.

-- NCAA tournament is coming to Madison Square Garden for first time in over fifty years when they host the East Regionals next March.

-- Duke 69, North Carolina 53-- One of the worst games of the day, just a complete butt-kicking. Tar Heels had been playing very well.


*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) San Diego State-Boise State was a physical, chippy game; these same teams will play in the 4-5 game at the MWC tourney in Las Vegas Thursday, the midnight game. Both teams deserve to be in the NCAAs, but that midnight game Thursday might be the game of the day.

12) First round of the Sun Belt tournament is weird; everyone is in Hot Springs, AR, but games are played in two different gyms at same time. I'm watching the Troy State game and without a word, they switch to the end of the South Alabama game. I liked that they try to show us everything, but it did confuse me some, which these days isn't all that difficult.

11) Memphis beat UAB by 15, finished 16-0 in Conference USA; it does not matter what league you're in, finishing unbeaten is an accomplishment to be proud of- they had to beat Southern Miss, UTEP twice each.

10) Valparaiso 70, Green Bay 69-- Top-seeded Crusaders trailed 68-64 with 0:10 left, but stuck two treys in last 0:08, including one at the buzzer to send the home crowd home happy. Bitter loss for Green Bay.

9) Kentucky 61, Florida 57-- Gators didn't score for last 7:36, as Wildcats probably got the marquee win they need to make field of 68.

8) CBS showed Florida-Kentucky at noon, UCLA-Washington at 2:00, then Notre Dame-Louisville at 4:00; why make west coast teams play an 11:00 am local tipoff, instead of 1:00? Makes very little sense.

7) Georgetown 61, Syracuse 39-- Orangemen head to their last Big East tournament 1-4 in their last five games, 5-7 in their last twelve.

6) These upsets all happened in the 6-8 timeslot Saturday:
-- Fresno State 61, UNLV 52-- Bulldogs swept the Rebels this season.
-- Air Force 89, New Mexico 88-- Improved Falcons are 17-12.
-- Baylor 81, Kansas 58-- This score defies description.

5) UNLV's loss puts them in the noon local time game Thursday against Air Force, which will hurt the home attendance and get them a much tougher opponent- Princeton offense is a pain to defend, and Rebels didn't fare well against Air Force this year, splitting a pair, with the win in OT.

4) Halftime score: TCU 44, Oklahoma 22-- Sooners rallied, lost by 3; if you are a bubble team, you cannot lose to TCU in March. Hard to defend in a meeting room when your name comes up in front of the committee.

3) I'd be curious to know the politics involved with Italy coming to Arizona to play in the WBC, with the Cuban team going to Asia; did the Cubans not want to come to America, and risk having players defect?

2) Little tired of hearing NYC media types complaining about all the injuries the Knicks are having. This just in: older players get hurt more, and no one has an older roster than New York.

1) They don't move the clocks ahead in Arizona, so on Saturday night it is a two hour time difference between them and the east, but for the next six months, they're three hours behind. Have no idea why that is true, but it is.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 04:53 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Dunkel

Maryland at Virginia
The Cavaliers look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing road record. Virginia is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-8). Here are all of today's early games.

SUNDAY, MARCH 10

Game 819-820: Wisconsin at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 69.733; Penn State 63.271
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+9); Over

Game 821-822: VCU at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 70.407; Temple 67.489
Dunkel Line: VCU by 3; 141
Vegas Line: VCU by 1 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-1 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Illinois at Ohio State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.731; Ohio State 78.027
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 11 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 9; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-9); Over

Game 825-826: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 57.439; Wake Forest 61.277
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+5 1/2)

Game 827-828: Indiana at Michigan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 76.801; Michigan 72.077
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 4 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Michigan by 1; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Over

Game 829-830: Maryland at Virginia (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.400; Virginia 75.331
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 13; 118
Vegas Line: Virginia by 8; 122
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-8); Under

Game 831-832: Northwestern at Michigan State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 54.787; Michigan State 72.017
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 19 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+19 1/2); Over




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 04:56 PM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (20 - 10) at PENN ST (10 - 19) - 3/10/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 6-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VA COMMONWEALTH (24 - 6) at TEMPLE (22 - 8) - 3/10/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 163-124 ATS (+26.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TEMPLE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games this season.
TEMPLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (21 - 10) at OHIO ST (22 - 7) - 3/10/2013, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 177-140 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 199-155 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (13 - 17) at WAKE FOREST (12 - 17) - 3/10/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (25 - 5) at MICHIGAN (25 - 5) - 3/10/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (20 - 10) at VIRGINIA (20 - 10) - 3/10/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all home games this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 4-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (13 - 17) at MICHIGAN ST (23 - 7) - 3/10/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WICHITA ST (26 - 7) vs. CREIGHTON (26 - 7) - 3/10/2013, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-3 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 4-2 straight up against CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGE MASON (18 - 13) vs. NORTHEASTERN (19 - 11) - 3/10/2013, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 4-1 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN is 3-2 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JAMES MADISON (18 - 14) vs. DELAWARE (19 - 13) - 3/10/2013, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JAMES MADISON is 3-1 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
JAMES MADISON is 3-1 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (17 - 13) vs. MIDDLE TENN ST (28 - 4) - 3/10/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-2 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (18 - 15) vs. ARKANSAS ST (19 - 11) - 3/10/2013, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IONA (18 - 13) vs. NIAGARA (19 - 12) - 3/10/2013, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 3-3 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-1 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FAIRFIELD (19 - 14) vs. MANHATTAN (13 - 17) - 3/10/2013, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 5-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-3 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (15 - 15) vs. DAVIDSON (24 - 7) - 3/10/2013, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-2 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 3-1 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLL OF CHARLESTON (23 - 9) vs. ELON (21 - 10) - 3/10/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-1 against the spread versus ELON over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-1 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IUPU-FT WAYNE (15 - 16) vs. OAKLAND (16 - 15) - 3/10/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-2 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI-KC (8 - 23) vs. N DAKOTA ST (22 - 8) - 3/10/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI-KC is 4-2 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 4-2 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LIBERTY (14 - 20) vs. CHARLESTON SO (19 - 11) - 3/10/2013, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLESTON SO is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
CHARLESTON SO is 3-3 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MD-BALT COUNTY (8 - 22) vs. VERMONT (20 - 10) - 3/10/2013, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VERMONT is 6-0 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STONY BROOK (24 - 6) vs. ALBANY (22 - 10) - 3/10/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALBANY is 1-1 against the spread versus STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
STONY BROOK is 6-2 straight up against ALBANY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 04:59 PM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 10

-- VCU won eight of last nine games, with only loss by 14 at St Louis; Rams are 5-2 on A-16 road (other loss was in OT at Richmond), 1-5 as road favorites. Temple won last six games; they're 3-1 as A-16 dog, with last three such games all decided by a point. A-16 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 8-12 vs spread. Owls are 5-2 SU in A-16 home games, losing as double digit favorites to St Bonaventure and Duquesne.
-- Illinois (+3) shot 65% inside arc, beat Ohio State 74-55 at home Jan 5, game they led by 25 at one point. Illini are 3-5 on Big Dozen road, 2-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-23-5-13-8 points. Buckeyes are off big win at Indiana, their fourth win in row; OSU is 5-3 as home fave in league play. Six of last eight Illinois games, last four OSU games went under total. Big Dozen home favorites of 8+ points are 17-19.
-- Michigan won four of last five games, with last three all decided by 6 or less points; Wolverines (+5.5) lost 81-73 at Indiana Feb 2, as Indiana shot 59% inside arc, outscored Michigan 22-6 from foul line. Six of last nine Michigan games went over total. Big Dozen home teams are 17-12 when spread is 4 or less points. Hoosiers lost two of last three, are 2-2 in last four road games- they're 2-0 as a Big Dozen underdog this year.
-- Virginia (+2) made 11-19 from arc, won 80-69 at Maryland Feb 10, as Harris scored 22 points while taking only eight shots; Cavaliers just lost at BC/Florida State, after beating Duke, so they're on bubble, are 8-0 vs spread in ACC home games (6-0 as home favorite)- six of seven wins are by 9+ points. Maryland is 2-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-10-20-2-11-10. ACC home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-21.
-- Wichita State/Creighton split two games this year; Bluejays had an eFG% of 81.9% last Saturday in 91-79 win, making 22-26 inside arc, 11 of 21 outside it, unheard of numbers- they lost by 3 at Wichita in first meeting. Shockers haven't won MVC tourney since 1987, so this would be bigger for them; think both teams are in NCAAs. Creighton won this event LY, 4th time in 10 years; they've won six of last seven games.

-- Northeastern had bye yesterday, George Mason struggled with 60-54 win over Drexel, making them 4-4 in last eight games; Mason had three guys play 31+ minutes, only two subs play more than six. Huskies beat Mason twice this year, by 10-20 points, but they're 2-3 last five games after starting out 12-1 in CAA- they shot 51%+ inside arc both games vs George Mason. Four of Northeastern's last six CAA tourney games were decided by 4 or less points.
-- James Madison is 4-2 in last six games, with all six decided by five or less points. Last six times Delaware won CAA tourney game, they lost next game, all by 9+ points; Hens are 11-2 in last 13 games after starting year 8-11- they've won five in row since 72-71 home loss to JMU Feb 17, game Hens led by 11 in second half. Dukes beat Delaware by 14 Jan 23. JMU played 7 guys yesterday, two 39 minutes each. Hens also had 7-man rotation, with three guys playing 34+ minutes.
-- Richard Pitino has FIU 17-13 after being 8-21 for Isiah Thomas LY; Panthers lost twice to top-seed Middle Tennessee this year, with 66-64 home loss (+8.5) after FIU led by 20 in first half. Immense pressure on Middle to win this event; they're 20-1 in league, won last 17 games, are 58-29 in league last five years, but haven't gone to NCAAs. FIU played four guys 30+ minutes Saturday, used two subs for 22+ minutes.
-- Arkansas State survived OT game with Troy last nite, with 22-8 edge on foul line; State beat Western Kentucky twice this year, by 18-14, so they've got to be expecting to beat WKU squad that is playing for third night in row, while State is playing second. ASU had four guys play 30+ minutes last nite, two play 40+- they won last seven games they held foe under 70 points. WKU had only two guys play 29+ min. last nite.
-- Iona won MAAC tourney in '06, Niagara in '07; neither team won it since, but winner here will be favored in final Monday. Iona won its last three games, scoring 86.3 ppg; eight of their last ten games were decided by 4 or less points, or in OT. Gaels beat Niagara by 11 at home, lost by 3 in OT in rematch; they outscored Canisius 34-12 on foul line in 89-85 win last nite, playing four guys 31+ minutes. Niagara forced 20 miscues in win over Siena last night- three kids played 34+ minutes.
-- Manhattan beat Fairfield twice this year, 62-40/34-31, second game being worst D-I game I've seen, ever. Stags survived Rider 43-42, using three kids 32+ minutes in brickfest where Broncs were 0-6 from arc for whole game. Jaspers sent Loyola out of MAAC for good with upset last nite, playing seven guys, but only one more than 28 minutes. Fairfield is playing third night in row, Manhattan only second night in row.

-- Davidson is 14-3 in SoCon tourney last 7+ years, winning four times; Wildcats pounded Appalachian State twice this year, by 23-35 points in games played two weeks apart. ASU played three guys 31+ minutes last night but used three subs 12+ minutes. Davidson made 13-28 from arc in easy win last night. ASU is 1-3 in second conference tourney game last four years, with losses by 16-13-10 points.
-- Elon is 1-7 in its second SoCon tourney game last nine years (are 8-1 in first game); they lost 56-54 at home to Charleston in December, when Elon was just 5-3 (they're on 13-3 run now). Cougars are 10-6 in SoCon tourney last six years but haven't won it during that time- they had 29-9 edge in foul line last night, their 11th win in last 13 games. Elon played four guys 29+ minutes last nite, but used three subs 10+.
-- Oakland won eight of its last ten games, but both losses were against Fort Wayne, by 6-2 points; sharpshooter Bader (38.9% from arc for the year) is just 3-21 from arc in two games vs Mastadons, who've won five games in row, scoring 79.7 ppg last three, after 8-16 start vs D-1 teams. Fort Wayne lost first game in Summit tourney last two years; Six of last seven Oakland games were decided by six or less points.
-- North Dakota State's Braun scored 22 points in 29 minutes last game, after missing 10 of previous 11 games; Bison pounded on UMKC twice this season by 65-44/71-34 scores- they're just 6-5 in last eleven games, after starting season 16-3. Kangaroos shot 16-49 (32.7%) inside arc in two losses to Bison this year. Not big fan of laying double digit spreads in conference tournaments, but hard to back UMKC here.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 05:01 PM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Sunday, March 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. PENN STATE
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Wisconsin is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Penn State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Commonwealth's last 6 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Temple's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
ILLINOIS vs. OHIO STATE
Illinois is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 9 games at home

2:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WAKE FOREST
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Virginia Tech's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
Wake Forest is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MICHIGAN
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games at home
Michigan is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games

6:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. VIRGINIA
Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Maryland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games at home




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 05:03 PM
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NCAAB

Sunday, March 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Study group: Sunday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(19) VCU at Temple (+2)

Virginia Commonwealth needs to land a tough road win at Temple to clinch at least a share of the Atlantic 10 regular-season title. The Rams have won three straight to keep the pressure on Saint Louis on top of the tightly-wound standings. The running Rams are 12th in the nation in scoring averaging 78 points and they've rang up at least 90 points eight times on the season. Temple is suddenly the hottest team in the conference. The Owls are 13-3 at home and bring a six-game winning streak into Sunday afternoon's contest. The Owls have an RPI of 41 and would relish another signature win to add to their NCAA Tournament resume. VCU is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.

(21) Wisconsin at Penn State (+8.5)

Two consecutive losses in the past week knocked the Wisconsin Badgers out of the Big Ten title race. On Sunday, the Badgers will try to avoid finishing their regular season on a season-high three-game losing skid. Penn State, guaranteed to finish at the bottom of the conference, has won two of three after snapping a 14-game losing skid with a shocking home win over No.4 Michigan. The Nittany Lions were blown out by Minnesota on the road after that, but recovered to defeat Northwestern by seven points. Wisconsin defeated Penn State 60-51 at home on Jan. 3 to open conference play for both teams. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Illinois at (13) Ohio State (-9.5)

When Ohio State met a ranked Illinois team on Jan. 5, the Illini enjoyed their largest margin of victory against a ranked opponent since 1964. But when the Buckeyes host Illinois on Sunday, they will have a chance to avenge that loss and earn a share of their fourth consecutive Big Ten title. Ohio State began the season 11-2, but endured one of its worst shooting performances against the Illini in a 74-55 road loss. The Buckeyes have since recovered and won four straight – including Tuesday’s 67-58 victory at Indiana – after a 1-3 stretch in February. Ohio State is one game behind Indiana in the Big Ten standings, but can grab a share of regular-season crown with a loss by the Hoosiers at Michigan on Sunday and a win against Illinois. The Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

(2) Indiana at (8) Michigan (Pick)

Indiana has already secured the top seed in next week’s Big Ten Tournament, but one more win on Sunday at Michigan could wrap up its first outright conference title since 1993. Indiana also owns a league-best 6-2 road record and an 81-73 victory over the Wolverines in Bloomington on Feb. 2, but has lost two of its last three. Michigan has won four of five, with three of the victories coming at the Crisler Center. The Wolverines, who shared the regular-season title with the Buckeyes and Spartans last season, are 17-0 at home this season. Michigan is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall.

Northwestern at (12) Michigan State (-19.5)

Michigan State can possibly claim a piece of the Big Ten title when it hosts Northwestern in the regular-season finale Sunday. The Spartans will need Indiana to lose earlier in the day at No. 8 Michigan to put itself in position to share the championship with a win against the Wildcats. Michigan State is coming off four straight games against ranked opponents. The Spartans ended a three-game losing streak with a win Thursday against Wisconsin. Northwestern enters the game on a seven-game slide, their longest losing streak since 2007-08. The Wildcats have lost five players for the season due to injury or disciplinary reasons. The road team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 05:05 PM
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NCAAB

Sunday, March 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indiana at Michigan: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines (Pick, 145.5)

No. 2 Indiana has already secured the top seed in next week’s Big Ten Tournament, but one more win on Sunday at No. 8 Michigan could wrap up its first outright conference title since 1993. However, a loss to the Wolverines could open the door for as many as four teams – including Michigan – to share the regular-season crown. The Hoosiers hold a one-game lead over Michigan State, Ohio State and Michigan and have already guaranteed themselves a piece of the Big Ten crown for the first time since 2002.

Indiana also owns a league-best 6-2 road record and an 81-73 victory over the Wolverines in Bloomington on Feb. 2, but has lost two of its last three. Michigan has won four of five, with three of the victories coming at the Crisler Center. The Wolverines, who shared the regular-season title with the Buckeyes and Spartans last season, are 17-0 at home this season.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT INDIANA (25-5, 13-4 Big Ten): Three starters – Victor Oladipo (49.1 percent), Jordan Hulls (48.3) and Christian Watford (48.1) – are shooting over 48 percent beyond the arc, contributing to the nation’s fourth-best 3-point field goal percentage (41.8). Along with Cody Zeller and Kevin “Yogi” Ferrell, the Hoosiers boast the highest-scoring starting lineup in college basketball. The Hoosiers also convert more free throws per game than any other team (19.7), rank second in scoring margin (plus-19.1) and third in scoring (81.1 points). The Hoosiers enjoyed a 22-6 advantage from the foul line over Michigan in February and have made 111 more free throws than their opponents have attempted (590-479).

ABOUT MICHIGAN (25-5, 12-5): Trey Burke (19.1 points, 6.9 assists) is averaging 24 points and shooting 52.1 percent from the floor over his last five games. He became only the fourth Wolverine to post more than 200 assists in a season in last Sunday’s win over the Spartans and is 28 assists shy of setting the school record for the most in a single season. Michigan leads the country in fewest turnovers (9.4 per game) and is shooting 49 percent from the floor – the seventh-best mark in the nation. The Wolverines are 22-0 when converting at least 33 percent of their 3-pointers this season, but 3-5 when they do not.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Hoosiers’ last five road games.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Indiana has won the last four meetings when both teams are ranked in the top 10, but lost each of its last three in Ann Arbor.

2. Michigan – seeking its fifth undefeated home season since 1976-77 – has won seven straight home games against nationally-ranked opponents.

3. Six starters in this game (Oladipo, Hulls, Watford, Zeller, Burke and Tim Hardaway Jr.) have scored at least 1,000 career points.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-10-13 05:06 PM
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Sunday, March 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

VCU - 12:00 PM ET ( Temple +0 500 POD # 1 )
Temple -

Wisconsin - 12:00 PM ET Penn St. +8.5 500
Penn St. -

Liberty - 12:00 PM ET ( Liberty +6.5 500 POD # 2 )
Charleston Southern -

Illinois - 12:30 PM ET Illinois +9.5 500
Ohio St. -

Virginia Tech - 2:00 PM ET Wake Forest -5.5 500
Wake Forest -

George Mason - 2:00 PM ET Northeastern +1.5 500
Northeastern - Over 135 500

Iona - 2:00 PM ET Niagara +2.5 500
Niagara -

Wichita St. - 2:05 PM ET Creighton -3 500
Creighton - Under 133 500

Indiana - 4:00 PM ET Michigan -1.5 500
Michigan - Over 145.5 500

James Madison - 4:30 PM ET ( Delaware -1.5 500 POD # 3 )
Delaware - Under 132 500

Fairfield - 4:30 PM ET Manhattan +2.5 500
Manhattan -

Stony Brook - 5:00 PM ET Albany +4.5 500
Albany -

Northwestern - 6:00 PM ET ( Northwestern +19.5 500 POD # 4 )
Michigan St - Over 122 500

Maryland - 6:00 PM ET Virginia -8 500
Virginia - Under 122 500

Appalachian St. - 6:00 PM ET ( Appalachian St. +16 500 POD # 5 )
Davidson -

IUPU - Ft. Wayne - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne +3.5 500
Oakland -

MD Baltimore Cty - 7:00 PM ET MD Baltimore Cty +13 500
Vermont -

Florida International - 7:30 PM ET ( Middle Tennessee St. -13 500 POD # 6 )
Middle Tennessee St. -

Charleston - 8:30 PM ET Elon University +3 500
Elon University -

UMKC - 9:30 PM ET North Dakota State -18 500
North Dakota State -

Western Kentucky - 10:00 PM ET Arkansas St. -2.5 500
Arkansas St. -

Old Post 03-10-13 05:29 PM
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Gonzaga starts 2nd week at No. 1

March 11, 2013


Gonzaga is no one-week wonder at No. 1.

The Bulldogs beat Loyola Marymount 66-48 in its first - and so far only - game as the nation's top-ranked team. They will look to win the West Coast Conference title Monday night.

Gonzaga received 54 first-place votes from the 65-member national media panel. Duke, which received the other 11 first-place votes, moved up one spot to second after beating Virginia Tech and North Carolina last week. Indiana dropped one place to third after losing to Ohio State then rallying for the dramatic win at Michigan that gave the Hoosiers the outright Big Ten title.

Louisville jumped from eighth to No. 4 and was followed by Georgetown, Michigan, Kansas, Michigan State, Miami and Ohio State.

The week's lone newcomer is Missouri Valley Conference champion Creighton, which returns after being out of the poll the last four weeks. The Bluejays replace Oregon, which dropped out from 19th after losing two games last week.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:12 AM
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Championship Angles

March 11, 2013

Cutting Down The Nets

It’s Championship Week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance to all the teams who will be cutting down the nets immediately after their conference tournament championship game.

Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, instead pay close attention to these four College Conference Championship Game moneymaking scenarios.

You could end up padding your NCAA Tournament bankroll.

Note: All results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990…

Size Matters

Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.

That’s confirmed by the fact that team who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 64-44-3 against the spread in these affairs.

Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 29-3 SU and 23-8-1 ATS, including 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in a most recent contest.

Ain’t No Stopping Us Now

Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive to the championship game of their conference tourney.

No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 PPG or better are 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS.

Put them up against an opponent that failed to cover the spread by more than six points in its last game and they zoom right to the head of the class, going 12-0 SU and 12-0 ATS.

Home Teams in Title Games – Use Them, Don’t Abuse Them

Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that ‘on-board’ teams are 38-15 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.

If these home advantaged teams lost one or fewer games at home on the season they improve to 23-1 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, including 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2 seeded opponent.

Best of all, these one-loss or less wonders are 4-0 SU and ATS if the opponent did not cover the number in its semifinal contest.

Dogs With a Higher Win Percentage Have Little to No Bite

As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in Championship Games. Believe me, when the linemakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage the favorite in the game he’s knows what he’s doing. That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 17-26-2 ATS in these games.

And if the favorite owns a win percentage of .700 or more, the dog dips to 7-18 ATS.

Better yet, puppies with a better record who arrive to the title game off back-to-back SU and ATS wins against .700 or greater opponents are a lowly 1-9 ATS. Buyer beware.

There you have it, four time-tested Championship Game theories to ponder for Championship Week. Now, get your dancing shoes ready.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:16 AM
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Saint Mary's vs. Gonzaga

March 11, 2013

**Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s**

--Another season and another WCC Tournament finals featuring Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga battling for the league’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. These bitter rivals will clash once again Monday night in Las Vegas at The Orleans Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

--As of 4:00 p.m. Eastern, most books had Gonzaga (30-2 straight up, 16-12-2 against the spread) favored by six with a total of 136. The Gaels are plus-240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240).

--Mark Few’s team advanced to the finals by overcoming a sloppy first half to turn it on in the final 20 minutes en route to a 66-48 win over Loyola-Marymount. The Lions took the cash for the fourth straight time in four nights as 21-point underdogs. They trailed by only one at halftime, setting up an easy winner for those (like me) who took Gonzaga as an 11.5-point favorite for second-half plays (-12.5 adjusted). Elias Harris was the catalyst, needing only nine shots from the field to produce 21 points. Harris also pulled down eight rebounds, made two steals and blocked a pair of shots. Kevin Pangos was also in double figures with 14 points.

--Saint Mary’s (27-5 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) needed overtime to stave off San Diego’s upset bid in Saturday’s semifinals showdown. The Gaels prevailed 69-66 but never threatened to cover the spread as 15-point favorites. The Toreros had a double-digit lead at the under-12 television timeout, but Brad Waldow turned in a career-best performance to lead Randy Bennett’s team back. Waldow finished with a career-high 23 points, 16 rebounds and four blocked shots, while Beau Levesque scored 19 points before fouling out. Gaels’ star guard Matthew Dellavedova had an awful shooting night (2-of-12 from the field, 1-of-7 on 3’s) but did dish out 12 assists.

--Gonzaga has won 13 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted defeat since getting beaten by a buzzer beater at Butler on Jan. 19. The Bulldogs’ only other loss this season came to Illinois at home.

--Gonzaga has been a single-digit favorite eight times this year, compiling a 4-3-1 spread record.

--Although many seem to think that Gonzaga is going to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, I do not. If Saint Mary’s wins this game, I think the Bulldogs will be a No. 2 seed. Remember, folks, the AP Top 25 has zero significance compared to the selection committee. Gonzaga is No. 12 in the RPI Rankings, going 5-2 against the RPI Top 50 and 11-2 against the RPI Top 100.

--Saint Mary’s has won six in a row, going 3-3 ATS over that stretch. The Gaels have been underdogs twice, posting a 2-0 spread record with one outright win at BYU (on a buzzer beater by Dellavedova).

--Saint Mary’s hasn’t lost to a team not named Gonzaga since dropping an 82-75 decision at No. Iowa on Dec. 23. The Gaels’ two other defeats came on a neutral court to Ga. Tech and Pacific. They are 33rd in the RPI, posting a 1-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 6-3 ledger versus the RPI Top 100.

--Gonzaga won both regular-season meetings between these schools, including a 77-60 win at Saint Mary’s as a 1.5-point road underdog. Gary Bell Jr. scored a team-high 20 points for the Bulldogs, while Pangos had 18 points and six assists without committing a turnover. Dellavedova scored a game-high 22 points for the Gaels.

--The ‘under’ is on an incredible 13-1-1 run in Gonzaga’s last 15 games to improve to 18-8-1 overall. In the Bulldogs’ 16 games played on the road or on a neutral court, the ‘under’ is 12-4.

--The ‘under’ is 12-10 overall for Saint Mary’s, 4-2 in its last six games despite seeing back-to-back ‘overs.’

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--With its never-a-doubt 69-53 pimpslap win Saturday night at North Carolina, I think Duke is a No. 1 seed even if it loses early at the ACC Tournament. UNC saw its 7-0 ATS surge halted but the ‘under’ did connect in a sixth straight game for the Tar Heels.

--Even though Cincinnati needed overtime to win 61-53 Saturday vs. South Florida, the 114 combined points still stayed ‘under’ the 116-point total. The Bearcats have now seen the ‘under’ cash at an amazing 20-4 overall clip.

--On the flip side, the 'over' has hit in 13 consecutive games for Iowa St., which has seen the 'over' cash at an incredible 19-3 overall rate.

--With yet another cover in Saturday’s gut-wrenching loss at Alabama, Georgia improved to 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games. Trailing by 14 at halftime as a 7.5-point road underdog, Mark Fox’s team rallied to get ahead of the number and actually tied the game in the final minute on a trey from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. UGA had the ball with a chance to win at the end of regulation but committed a turnover on a drive to the basket with a few ticks remaining. Alabama point guard Trevor Releford had enough time for a few dribbles before launching a desperation heave from halfcourt. Fittingly in terms of how the Bulldogs have been beaten in heartbreaking fashion so many times this year, Releford’s shot got nothing but net to lift the Crimson Tide to a 61-58 home win.

--Assuming Auburn makes the no-brainer decision (never a given on The Plains) to jettison Tony Barbee out of town, I believe the looming coaching search should revolve around two veterans who might be realistic ‘gets:’ Minnesota’s Tubby Smith or Colorado State’s Larry Eustachy. The Gophers are still going to the NCAA Tournament, but they have been the nation’s most inconsistent team this year and the locals aren’t happy. The last time things got like this for Smith, he bolted Kentucky for Minnesota. Auburn isn’t a great job by any means but it does have a new arena, is a two-hour drive from the rich recruiting fields of Atlanta and isn’t exactly facing a murderer’s row of opponents when you think about the rest of the SEC. I’m told Eustachy loves Colorado and he has a very solid Rams squad that could play deep into March. With that said, he established a lot of recruiting contacts in the South during his eight-year tenure at So. Miss, and he would certainly listen to Auburn if it came strong with a lucrative offer.

--When Tourney Time rolls around, I think about what (if any) elite players have the ability to put their teams on their back and carry them for six games. Danny Manning did it for Kansas in 1988, Carmelo Anthony did it for the ‘Cuse in 2003 and Kemba Walker did it for UConn in 2011. Does Creighton’s Doug McDermott have the stones/talent/heart to pull off a similar act? I don’t know the answer to that question but after watching the Bluejays beat a very solid Wichita St. team Sunday in the MVC Tourney finals, I know that his supporting cast is capable of big things. Although McDermott doesn’t have Larry Brown on the sidelines, he certainly has as much talent around him as Manning had with ‘The Miracles.’ Gregory Echenique gives Creighton a big guy that can bang with any post player in America. Grant Gibbs is a terrific shooter (53% from the field, 40% from deep) with an excellent 202/71 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Ethan Wragge is another guy who can stroke it, making 44 percent of his 3’s and 94% from the free-throw line. One more key stat to keep in mind with the Bluejays is that six of their best players shoot 74 percent or better from the charity stripe.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:18 AM
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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

12 guys taken ahead of Kobe Bryant in the 1996 NBA Draft..........

1) Allen Iverson, Phil 7) Lorenzen Wright, LAC
2) Marcus Camby, Tor 8) Kerry Kittles, NJ
3) Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Van 9) Samaki Walker, Dal
4) Stephon Marbury, Milw 10) Erick Dampier, Ind
5) Ray Allen, Minn 11) Todd Fuller, GSt
6) Antoine Walker, Bos 12) Vitaly Potapenko, Clev


*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) 15-20 Liberty won the Big South tournament and will likely head to Dayton for the First Four next Tuesday/Wednesday; Flames started season 0-8, are coached by former Colorado State coach Dale Layer.

12) Big East wants $2.5M from Notre Dame for the Irish to leave for the ACC a year early. Seeing as those other seven schools are leaving to form their own league next year, not sure why Notre Dame would have to pay.

11) Los Angeles Angels used a designated runner for Albert Pujols when they played the Reds/Royals this week. Not sure if they had a keg on second base or not, but designated runners are highly unusual, even in the spring.

10) When Graeme McDowell double-bogeyed 18th hole at Doral Sunday, it cost him $172,500. Thats an expensive hole.

9) Speaking of the 18th at Doral, Luke Donald played it four times this week, and doubled it all four times. If he pars the hole all four days, he only makes an additional $32,500, thats how far back he finished (T43).

8) Quick question: How much money does Butch Harmon make? Anyone who coaches Phil Mickelson and used to coach Eldrick Woods has to make a small fortune teaching golf, no?

7) Middle Tennessee did it again; despite going 19-1 in Sun Belt regular season, Blue Raiders lost in Sun Belt tourney, this time to Richard Pitino's FIU Panthers, 61-57. Middle is 2-5 in SBC tournament the last five years, 66-20 in the regular season. Not good.

Some notes on upcoming conference tournaments..........
6) Big X-- Kansas is 16-2 in this event last seven years; Texas, which has to win the tournament to make the NCAAs, is just 4-4 last four years and has never won the tourney, going 0-6 in the finals.

5) Conference USA-- Memphis has dominated this event, going 20-2 last eight years, with both losses by a point- its useless to mention anyone else.

4) Big Dozen-- Indiana is 1-6 in this event last six years; Michigan went W-L in each of its last six tourneys. Ohio State is 15-4 last seven years.

3) Big East-- Louisville is 9-2 last four years, Pitt 1-4. Syracuse hasn't won this event since Gerry McNamara carried them in '06. This is the last time we'll see Syracuse in this event, which doesn't seem right.

2) Atlantic 16-- Temple won this event three years in row, 2008-10, but won only one game last two years, despite being 27-5 in regular season. Owls need to win a game or two this week to make the NCAAs.

1) ACC-- Duke won 22 of last 26 ACC tournament games, with two of four losses in OT; Virginia is 1-5 last five years- they might need a win or two to get themselves in the field of 68.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:20 AM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

First Post

St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga
The Bulldogs look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 neutral site games. Gonzaga is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5). Here are all of today's early games.

MONDAY, MARCH 11

Game 511-512: James Madison vs. Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 513-514: Western Kentucky vs. Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 515-516: Central Michigan at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.103; Buffalo 58.284
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 11
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 517-518: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 40.566; Eastern Michigan 47.524
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 7
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+8 1/2)

Game 519-520: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 46.961; Bowling Green 51.705
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7)

Game 523-524: St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 69.025; Gonzaga 75.956
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7; 134
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5); Under

Game 525-526: IPFW vs. South Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 527-528: North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 529-530: College of Charleston vs. Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 531-532: Manhattan vs. Iona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 541-542: Savannah State vs. MD-Eastern Shore (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 46.420; MD-Eastern Shore 35.739
Dunkel Line: Savannah State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Savannah State by 12
Dunkel Pick: MD-Eastern Shore (+12)

Game 543-544: Morgan State vs. South Carolina State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 53.488; South Carolina State 37.442
Dunkel Line: Morgan State by 16
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (-13)




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:22 AM
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 11

First Post

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (11 - 19) at BUFFALO (12 - 19) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (5 - 24) at E MICHIGAN (14 - 17) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
E MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
E MICHIGAN is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less this season.
N ILLINOIS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 4-3 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 4-3 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (8 - 21) at BOWLING GREEN (13 - 18) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST MARYS-CA (27 - 5) vs. GONZAGA (30 - 2) - 3/11/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 4-4 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 5-3 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MD-EAST SHORE (2 - 25) vs. SAVANNAH ST (18 - 13) - 3/11/2013, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAVANNAH ST is 2-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA ST (6 - 23) vs. MORGAN ST (14 - 14) - 3/11/2013, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MORGAN ST is 4-0 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:23 AM
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 11

-- James Madison outscored Delaware 7-0 over last 2:51 to nip Hens by a point, get to first CAA final since 1997; JMU (+4.5) lost 66-64 Feb 20 at Northeastern, game they led by 4 with 7:32 left. Northeastern had bye Saturday, fell behind 28-4 to George Mason Sunday, rallied to win by a hoop, forcing 20 turnovers, making 7-11 behind arc in second half. Over last decade, a top-two seed has won CAA tournament every year. This is third night in row for JMU playing, just second for Huskies.
-- This is fifth year in row St Mary's-Gonzaga meet in WCC final, with teams splitting previous four; over last nine years, Zags went unbeaten in CAA three times, and won WCC tourney final all three years, by 13-1-25 points- they beat St Mary's in both games this year, by 5-17 pts. Gaels were 12-35 from arc in last meeting, 11-23 inside arc. Pretty sure St Mary's is in NCAAs even if they lost. Both teams had Sunday off.
-- Davidson is 16-3 in last 19 SoCon tourney games, winning title four of last seven years; Wildcats beat Charleston twice this season, by 9-16, as Davidson shot 57/58% inside arc in those games. Cougars are 12-6 in last 18 tourney games, but haven't won event in over decade, losing in finals three of last six years, by 10-11-7 points. Davidson was down 13 with 15:00 to play yesterday; they had three guys play 32+ minutes, while Charleston had four guys play 32+- their bench played only 35:00.
-- Iona won last four games, scoring 84.5 ppg after odd 1-6 stretch where they lost all six games by 3 or less points, or in OT; Gaels had only one starter play less than 36 minutes Sunday- they beat Manhattan by 8 in first meeting, then lost rematch in double OT, despite Jaspers going 10 of 21 from foul line. Manhattan won eight of last ten games after starting season 6-15; they turn ball over 25.6% of time, 3rd-worst in country.

-- Buffalo is 6-2 in this round last nine years, Central Michigan 4-1 in its last six. Bulls lost four of last five games; they turned ball over 24.4% of time, in bottom 10 in country. Buffalo (-7.5) beat Chippewas 91-73 at home Jan 30, making 67% inside arc, turning ball over 19 times. Central lost 11 of last 13 games; six of their last eight games went over the total. Over is 5-0-1 in last six Buffalo games; Bulls covered once in their last four games as a favorite.
-- Northern Illinois lost its last ten games, scoring 48.9 ppg; eight of its last nine games stayed under total. Huskies lost to Eastern Michigan in both meetings this year, 42-25/53-41-- they were 6-50 from arc in those games, trailed first meeting 18-4 at half. NIU is 1-9 in this event last nine years, with four of last seven losses by 6 or less points. Eastern is 3-6 in its last nine games, allowing 50 or less points in its last four wins- they won four of last five games in this round of MAC tourney.
-- Miami lost its last nine games and 13 of last 14; they split pair with Bowling Green this year, winning 63-60 (-3) at home, losing 52-44 (+7) in rematch here 12 days ago. Redhawks are 5-3 vs spread as road dog in MAC play; they're 1-4 in this event last four years, Falcons 2-7 in last seven. Last four Miami games stayed under total. Bowling Green's last seven wins were all by 8+ points; they're 4-1 as MAC home favorites.

-- IPFW ran Oakland off floor 91-79 Sunday, shooting 63% from floor, 12-20 behind arc vs worst defensive team in country; Mastadons lost to South Dakota State twice this year, 83-57 (+12) on road, 80-74 at home (+7.5). Jackrabbits had yesterday off; they're just 4-3 last seven games, but they covered last four games as Summit favorite. IPFW won last six games, covered last eight- they scored 82.5 ppg in last four, but hard to tell if offense is better, since three of those four were vs Oakland.
-- North Dakota State trailed at half, beat UMKC by 11 Sunday, but had to play all five starters 32+ minutes; Bison lost twice to Western Illinois this year, 50-42/49-36 after losing to Leathernecks by 5 in LY's Summit tourney. WIU won its last three games by total of six points with star Parks hurt; their last four Summit tourney games were all decided by 5 or less points. Western had yesterday off. Bison were 5-33 from arc in the two losses to WIU this season.
-- Western Kentucky/FIU both pulled upsets last night, winner here is probably headed to Dayton next week. Home side won both series tilts this year; WKU (-4.5) won 79-68 in first meeting Dec 1, then lost 87-82 at FIU (-2.5) 13 nights ago. Hilltoppers won this tourney LY, winning four straight days by 5 or less points after going 7-9 in league- they were 10-10 this year. Price was only WKU guy to play more than 31 minutes Sunday. FIU beat top-seed MTSU for fifth win in last six games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:25 AM
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Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Monday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s (-5.5, 137.5)

Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s had to work harder than anticipated to reach the West Coast Conference tournament final for the fifth straight season Monday night in Las Vegas. The top-ranked Bulldogs weren’t able to put away ninth-seeded Loyola Marymount until midway through the second half of Saturday’s semifinal. The No. 23 Gaels needed overtime to beat sixth-seeded San Diego in the other semi.

Gonzaga won both previous meetings this season against Saint Mary's, a five-point victory Jan. 10 at Saint Mary’s and a 17-point win a month later in Spokane, Wash. The Bulldogs feature three players who made the all-WCC first team. Kelly Olynyk, a 7-foot junior center, averages a team-high 17.3 points. He’s backed by 6-8 senior forward Elias Harris (14.8) and 6-2 sophomore guard Kevin Pangos (11.8). Saint Mary’s is led by 6-4 senior point guard Matthew Dellavedova, the school’s all-time career scoring leader who averages 16.2 points and 6.4 assists.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN3.

ABOUT GONZAGA (30-2): Olynyk had a rare off night in the semifinals, scoring eight points on 3-for-10 shooting. He hasn’t been held to single digits in back-to-back games this season or shot under 55 percent from the floor in consecutive games. He scored 31 points when these teams first met and came back with 17 points in the second game. Saint Mary’s is very familiar with Olynyk, but it doesn’t mean the Gaels have anyone who can stop him. Brad Waldow, a 6-9 sophomore forward, will likely draw that assignment for Saint Mary’s.

ABOUT SAINT MARY’S (27-5): Waldow scored a career-high 23 points and matched his career best with 16 rebounds in the semifinal win against San Diego. He showed his toughness during the game when a front tooth was knocked out during the second half and he attempted to hand it off to coach Randy Bennett while continuing to run the floor. He eventually had to be taken out to stop the bleeding. The player who needs to step up for the Gaels is junior guard Stephen Holt, who was held to three points on 1-for-7 shooting against San Diego.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.

* Gaels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.

* Bulldogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

TIP-INS:

1. Gonzaga has won 30 games for the first time in school history.

2. The Bulldogs have reached the title game 18 consecutive seasons.

3. With his next start, Dellavedova will break the school record for games started at 134. Omar Samhan set the current mark from 2006-10.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:27 AM
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NCAAB

Monday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New Mexico favored to repeat at MWC tourney
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The 2013 Mountain West Conference Tournament is scheduled to be played at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada from March 12-15.

With TCU departing for the Big 12, and Fresno State and Nevada joining the conference, the MWC will have a nine-team tournament this year. Nevada and Wyoming kick off the tourney on Tuesday and the winner will receive an automatic bid to the 2013 NCAA Tournament.

The New Mexico Lobos, who were upset by Air Force in their season finale, are the defending champs and favored to repeat this year.

Here are the outright odds courtesy of The Greek:

New Mexico +125
UNLV +150
San Diego State +350
Colorado State +400
Boise State +800
Air Force +1,200
Fresno State +2,500
Nevada +2,500
Wyoming +2,500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:28 AM
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Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 11

Update

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JAMES MADISON (19 - 14) vs. NORTHEASTERN (20 - 11) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN is 2-1 straight up against JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (19 - 15) vs. FLA INTERNATIONAL (18 - 13) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 4-3 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 5-2 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IUPU-FT WAYNE (16 - 16) vs. S DAKOTA ST (23 - 9) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA ST is 6-1 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N DAKOTA ST (23 - 8) vs. W ILLINOIS (22 - 7) - 3/11/2013, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W ILLINOIS is 6-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
W ILLINOIS is 6-1 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLL OF CHARLESTON (24 - 9) vs. DAVIDSON (25 - 7) - 3/11/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 3-3 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 4-2 straight up against COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MANHATTAN (14 - 17) vs. IONA (19 - 13) - 3/11/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-2 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Dunkel

Update

Game 511-512: James Madison vs. Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 53.323; Northeastern 52.378
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 1; 132
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 1 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+1 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Western Kentucky vs. Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 54.275; Florida International 48.950
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 5 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 2 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-2 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: IPFW vs. South Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 54.484; South Dakota State 57.283
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 3; 131
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 8; 135
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+8); Under

Game 527-528: North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 57.206; Western Illinois 52.776
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 4 1/2; 105
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 6 1/2; 101
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+6 1/2); Over

Game 529-530: College of Charleston vs. Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.140; Davidson 63.566
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 9 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Davidson by 7; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-7); Over

Game 531-532: Manhattan vs. Iona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 54.857; Iona 60.339
Dunkel Line: Iona by 5 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Iona by 4; 134
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-4); Under

----------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, March 11

CAA Tournament, Championship
James Madison vs. Northeastern, 7:00 ET NBCSN
James Madison: 6-1 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Northeastern: 2-9 ATS after winning 15+ of their last 20 games

Sunbelt Tournament, Championship
Western Kentucky vs. Florida International, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Western Kentucky: 10-3 ATS in March
Florida Int: 1-6 ATS off ATS wins in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

MAC Tournament, First Round
Central Michigan at Buffalo, 7:00 ET
Central Michigan: 5-17 ATS after losing 8+ of their last 10 games
Buffalo: 10-2 ATS playing their third game in a week

MAC Tournament, First Round
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan, 7:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 9-0 ATS away after having 9 or less assists
Eastern Michigan: 3-11 ATS in first round tournament games

MAC Tournament, First Round
Miami OH at Bowling Green, 7:00 ET
Miami OH: 0-6 ATS in tournament games
Bowling Green: 18-9 ATS at home

WCC Tournament, Championship
St. Mary's vs. (#1) Gonzaga, 7:00 ET ESPN
St. Mary's: 10-19 ATS off BB conference games
Gonzaga: 9-2 ATS off an ATS loss

Summit Tournament, Semifinals
IPFW vs. South Dakota State, 7:00 ET
IPFW: 11-2 ATS off an ATS win
South Dakota State: 3-7 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss

Summit Tournament, Semifinals
North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois, 9:30 ET
North Dakota State: 4-17 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points
Western Illinois: 6-1 ATS playing on a neutral court

Southern Tournament, Championship
College of Charleston vs. Davidson, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Charleston: 0-6 ATS off 4+ wins
Davidson: 12-7 ATS off 4+ games allowing 65 points or less

MAAC Tournament, Championship
Manhattan vs. Iona, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Manhattan: 7-0 ATS off a combined score of 110 points or less
Iona: 0-6 ATS playing their third game in a week

MEAC Tournament, First Round
MD Eastern Shore vs. Savannah State, 6:30 ET
MD Eastern Shore: 7-3 ATS off a combined score of 125 points or less
Savannah State: 1-7 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

MEAC Tournament, First Round
South Carolina State vs. Morgan State, 9:00 ET
South Carolina State: 10-3 ATS playing their second game in a week
Morgan State: 1-5 ATS off an ATS win




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:31 AM
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Monday, March 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Savannah State - 6:30 PM ET Maryland - E. Shore +12 500
Maryland - E. Shore -

Northern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Northern Illinois +8.5 500
Eastern Michigan -

Central Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Central Michigan +8 500
Buffalo -

Miami (OH) - 7:00 PM ET Bowling Green -7 500
Bowling Green -

James Madison - 7:00 PM ET Northeastern -2 500 POD
Northeastern - Under 127 500

Charleston - 7:00 PM ET Davidson -7 500
Davidson - Over 127.5 500

Western Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -2.5 500
Florida International - Under 137 500

IUPU - Ft. Wayne - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne +8.5 500
South Dakota State -

Morgan St. - 9:00 PM ET South Carolina State +13 500
South Carolina State -

St. Mary's - 9:00 PM ET Gonzaga -6 500 POD # 2
Gonzaga - Over 135 500

Manhattan - 9:00 PM ET Manhattan +4 500
Iona - Over 134.5 500

North Dakota State - 9:30 PM ET North Dakota State -6 500 POD # 3
Western Illinois -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 12:35 AM
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Tuesday's Championships

March 12, 2013

It is Championship Week in men's college basketball as all week long teams will be looking to punch an automatic ticket to this year's NCAA Tournament by winning their conference tournament. The following is a closer look at three championship games on Tuesday night's slate along with some facts and figures to help handicap the games.

Northeast Conference (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Mount St. Mary's entered the Northeast Conference Tournament as the No.5 seed after posting an 11-7 straight-up record in conference play that included a seven-game winning streak to close-out the regular season. The Mountaineers stayed hot with a first-round 75-69 win over Bryant as 3 ½-point underdog and a stunning 69-60 upset of No.1 Robert Morris as 8 ½-point underdogs in Saturday's semifinals. The total stayed UNDER in both those games.

For a team that averaged 69.8 points a game this year, it found its scoring groove at just the right time with 73 points or more in 10 of its last 12 games. Rashad Whack has led the way with a team-high 14 points with Sam Prescott chipping-in 10.8 points and 4.1 rebounds a game.

The LUI Brooklyn Blackbirds went 6-2 down the stretch to secure the No.3 seed in the Northeast with an overall conference record of 12-6. They went 19-13 SU overall and 11-2 at home. The Blackbirds began their run to the title game with a 91-83 victory over Quinnipiac as 2 ½-point favorites before pulling off an upset of their own in a 94-82 romp over No.2 seed Wagner as six-point underdogs on the road.

Scoring has obviously not been an issue for this team with an average of 79.1 points a game, but its defense has been very suspect at times; allowing an average of 76.6 points a game on the other end of the court. The game plan in this matchup could be to simply outscore the Mountaineers behind Jamal Olasewere and CJ Garner, who have combined for 34.6 points a game this year.

These two split the season series with each winning once at home. There were no posted lines for either of those games.

Horizon League (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Wright State finished third in the Horizon League at 10-6 as part of an overall record of 19-11 SU. It went 16-11 against the spread this season and the total went OVER in five of its last eight regular season games. The Raiders eliminated Youngstown State 66-59 in its first tournament game as 3 ½-point favorites before taking out No.2 Detroit 56-54 as 7 ½-point underdogs in Saturday's semifinals.

The Raiders would never be thought of as an offensive juggernaut with an average of 61.9 points a game while shooting 43.6 percent from the field. Cole Darling was the only player scoring in double figures but he has been lost for this game with a foot injury. The real strength of this team lies in a defense that is holding opponents to 58.4 points a game.

Valparaiso won 13 of its 16 conference games this season to claim the No.1 seed for this tournament that gave it a bye all the way to the semifinals. From there, the Crusaders hammered-out a tight 70-69 victory over No.4 Green Bay as nine-point favorites after crushing the Phoenix by 19 points as two-point road underdogs in their regular season finale. Overall, they are now 25-7 SU and 17-11-1 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games.

Ryan Broekhoff is Valpo's leading scorer with 16.2 points a game while shooting 46.1 percent from the field. He also leads the team in rebounds with 7.4 a game. Overall, the Crusaders are averaging 72 points a game while shooting 48.8 percent from the floor.

Valparaiso won both meetings this season SU, but they split 1-1 ATS. It has now won the five games in this series SU, but Wright State holds the edge ATS at 3-1-1. The total went OVER in both games this year.

Summit League (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m.)

The South Dakota Jackrabbits came into this tournament as the top seed in the conference and they are now just one win away from not only winning the title, but punching their ticket to the NCAA Tournament. They earned the Summit League regular season title with a 13-3 record in conference play and are 24-9 SU overall. They went 14-12 ATS and the total stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games. South Dakota State hammered IUPUI 66-49 as an 18-point favorite to start this tournament off. In Monday night's semifinals, it crushed IP-Fort Wayne 72-56 as an 8 ½-point favorite.

Nate Wolters has been a force this season for the Jackrabbits with an average of 22.5 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists a game. They are averaging 73.9 points a game and shooting 47 percent from the field while defensively, they have held teams to an average of 66.3 points a game.

Coming out of the other side of the bracket is the No.3 North Dakota State Bison, who beat Kansas City 69-58 as a 16-point favorite in its first tournament game and then rolled over Western Illinois 55-43 as a six-point favorite to earn a spot in the championship. The Bison went 12-4 in conference play and are now 24-8 SU overall. They are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games but still over .500 ATS overall at 17-12. The total has now stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games.

If North Dakota State is going to pull off the upset in this game, it will most likely be behind a defense that is holding its opponents to an average of just 55.9 points a game. Taylor Braun leads the team in scoring with 15.3 points a game, and as a whole, the Bison are averaging 67 points a game.

The Jackrabbits have gotten the best of things in this matchup recently with a 3-1 SU record in the last four meetings and a perfect 4-0 mark ATS. The only setback during this run was a late December 65-62 loss as seven-point road underdogs. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:06 PM
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