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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

Cbb 12/12

Two methods I am using, Numbers below are posted record so far.

Meth A - 2-0
Meth B - 4-0
Meth B All - 5-2

Meth A tonight
Towson +18
Temple only beat a 2 win team at home by 8.

Another note : Towson played solid vs GTown only losing by 6 and Temple has not been good at putting teams away in most of its games this year.

Old Post 12-12-12 04:34 PM
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Addictedninja


Registered: Nov 2011
Posts: 166

GL

tailing here

Old Post 12-12-12 04:50 PM
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GMEN12


Registered: Nov 2012
Posts: 335

Good method so far BOL

Old Post 12-12-12 05:12 PM
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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

Yep, it needs some more data but small plays right now that will not hurt seem to be fine.

Right now I have 4 lists of teams.

List A - Only beat a icon less team on espn scores by less than 15.

List B - Only beat a 0 win team by less than 15.

List C - Only beat a 1 win team by less than 12.

List D - Only beat a 2 win team by less than 10.

The lower they beat them by the better and if they were home also better.

I am only going back to the 1st of December.

A few things I would like some thoughts on though if anyone has time.

1- After the faded team plays and wins or loses should I remove them or continue on.

2 - How far should I go back, 2-3 games or more.

3 - Is there a place I can easily track when the teams on my fade list play again, like can I make them a favorite of something.

Thanks for looking. I always come up with some kind of method for regular season CBB and tend to find a good one pretty quick every year. I had an excellent massey method but he changed his numbers up.

Old Post 12-12-12 05:27 PM
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mazpsu


Registered: Nov 2012
Posts: 137

Upon first look, I like Towson also. Not done looking at everything yet, but this just might have to make my list for sure now.

Old Post 12-12-12 07:05 PM
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Kostyan
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Registered: Jun 2003
Posts: 3161

"Meth" - hehe, gl.

Old Post 12-12-12 07:06 PM
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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

If they had lines

Vermont
Albany
Bethune-Cook
Campbell

Would have been other fades tonight.

Does some book give lines on these lesser games?

Old Post 12-13-12 02:10 AM
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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

Towson +16 W

Meth A - 3-0
Meth B - 4-0
Meth B All - 5-2


Also,

If anyone can get lines on these other games somewhere it seems there is money to be made.

These would have all be fades.
Vermont only won by 2 vs 2-6 tm
Albany won by 9 (maybe cover)
Bethune-Cook lose by 10
Campbell lose to WHO?

If books had lines my best guess would be all 4 of them may have covered but at worst 3-1. I just do not know who would have the lines.

Old Post 12-13-12 03:17 AM
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GMEN12


Registered: Nov 2012
Posts: 335

Nice hit!

Old Post 12-13-12 03:19 AM
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