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msudogs
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EPL & More 4/28-5/02

let's keep it rolling folks

Old Post 04-29-17 01:04 AM
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msudogs
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Week 34 Results:
Chelsea -218 vs. Southampton
Arsenal -217 vs. Leicester
Tottenham -170 at Crystal Palace
Man Utd -127 at Burnley
Hull -112 vs. Watford
Bournemouth -111 vs. Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough +121 vs. Sunderland
Swansea +132 vs. Stoke
Man City/Man Utd Draw +246
West Ham/Everton Draw +267
Crystal Palace +660 at Liverpool

Season Trends:
Home: 166 wins of 334 (+35.42 units)
Away: 92 wins of 334 (-75.60 units)
Draw: 76 wins of 334 (-28.07 units)

Old Post 04-29-17 01:15 AM
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msudogs
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The big matchup of the weekend is Arsenal at Tottenham, a rivalry game in which both teams have a lot at stake. Tottenham look to keep the pressure on Chelsea at the top of the league while Arsenal are battling to reach a coveted Top-4 spot. Tottenham are slight favorites but have increased from -102 to -123 since opening.

The only value play for this weekend will be a draw– West Brom/Leicester +229. Right now there’s 14% of tickets on the draw but very heavy on road dogs Leicester (59%). West Brom only have 2 home draws all season while Leicester have only 1 away win. These teams are very even at this point despite West Brom being 7 points ahead in the table. I liked how Leicester played against Arsenal midweek, and they should have earned a point. This weekend I think they will get 1 against a weaker West Brom squad.

Most Lopsided Around Market: 96% on Crystal Palace (-124)

Biggest Line Move at Pinnacle: Bournemouth (+156 to +133) at Sunderland

Old Post 04-29-17 01:23 AM
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msudogs
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getting this one now

SOC [202458] SV WERDER BREMEN -104

Old Post 04-29-17 01:44 AM
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msudogs
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Spanish La Liga

big move going on here

SOC [201925] TOTAL o3˝-112 (GRANADA CF vrs REAL SOCIEDAD)

Old Post 04-29-17 11:40 AM
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msudogs
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German Bundesliga

looking at....

Mainz +105 this looks good
Freiburg +110

this Werder Bremen total is getting a good bit of attention

Old Post 04-29-17 01:26 PM
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msudogs
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isdativan

do you have a total like this ?

SOC [202457] TOTAL o2˝-125 (HERTHA BERLIN vrs SV WERDER BREMEN)

also what do you think about Mainz, i need your nudge

Old Post 04-29-17 01:29 PM
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jfever
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Posts: 1718

Mike

I'm showing O4 -176 at 2 stores. Lines moving just a bit

Old Post 04-29-17 01:38 PM
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isdativan
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England
Sunderland o2.5 (-130)
Crystal Palace -121
Stoke City -104

Germany
Leipzig o2.5 (-135)
Dortmund o3.5 (+114)

France
Monaco o3 (-143)

Spain
Atletico Madrid o2.5 (-122)

Gonna be out doing some volunteer work but i'll try to post and check in during the day




I'm like a walking accident.
Everywhere I go, I wreck.

Old Post 04-29-17 01:40 PM
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isdativan
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I do like bremen over and i just took a glance at mainz the over does look good. Gladbach has been scoring atleast 3 on away goals this month.




I'm like a walking accident.
Everywhere I go, I wreck.

Old Post 04-29-17 01:43 PM
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msudogs
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Another Spanish league title race is down to Barcelona or Real Madrid.

The fight for third place is no less intense.

Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, gunning for the final automatic spot for next season's Champions League, have the same points with four games left. Atletico is ahead on the head-to-head tiebreaker, but its attention is split between the league and the semifinals of the Champions League.

Sevilla appeared to have third place secured not long ago, when it was nine points in front of Atletico. But then it endured a run of five winless games, including a 3-1 loss to Atletico.

Atletico won seven of eight matches to move past Sevilla, and it was carrying a three-point lead in the last few rounds until Tuesday, when it lost to Villarreal 1-0 at home.

Sevilla capitalized by beating Celta Vigo 2-1 at home on Thursday, leaving the teams even again entering the final rounds.

"We knew this was a crucial game in the fight for third place," Sevilla coach Jorge Sampaoli said. "We caught up to them again and we are already focused on what we need to do on Monday."

On Monday, Sevilla plays at Malaga.

Atletico visits Las Palmas on Saturday.

Atletico, the third force in Spanish soccer behind Real Madrid and Barcelona, won't be able to fully focus on the fight for third because it is also playing in the Champions League. The first leg of the semifinals against city rival Madrid is next week at Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Atletico is trying to win the European competition for the first time. It lost the 2014 and 2016 finals to Madrid.

"Our goal won't change and we will keep defending this third position," Atletico captain Gabi Fernandez insisted. "We will be fighting until the end in these last four matches. We will remain motivated to achieve this goal."

Atletico won the Spanish league in 2014 and finished third in 2013, 2015 and 2016.

Sevilla hasn't finished the league as high as third since 2009.

"We are excited about our chances to finish third," said Sevilla midfielder Joaquin Correa, who scored both goals on Thursday. "We have a group prepared to do it."

Old Post 04-29-17 01:56 PM
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msudogs
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jfever

this is becoming something to watch, i thought about a middle

Old Post 04-29-17 01:57 PM
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msudogs
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isdativan

agree with the Athletico total, let's do it
GL

Old Post 04-29-17 02:00 PM
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msudogs
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SOC [201953] TOTAL o2˝-123 (ATLETICO MADRID vrs LAS PALMAS)

Old Post 04-29-17 02:04 PM
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HoustonFan
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Southampton -.5, -1, -134
Crystal Palace -120
Crystal Palace/Hull U2.5
Joining on Athletico Madrid/Las Palmas O2.5




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 04-29-17 02:39 PM
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msudogs
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HF

let's check in later on some MLS & keep rolling
GL

Old Post 04-29-17 02:58 PM
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msudogs
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SOC [200034] TOTAL u2˝-112 (WEST HAM vrs STOKE CITY)

Old Post 04-29-17 03:10 PM
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msudogs
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the Stoke City/West Ham total getting hammered

Old Post 04-29-17 03:11 PM
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msudogs
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can't pass this one up

SOC [202458] TOTAL u4˝+119 (HERTHA BERLIN vrs SV WERDER BREMEN)

Old Post 04-29-17 03:15 PM
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SOC [202458] SV WERDER BREMEN -104
SOC [201925] TOTAL o3˝-112 (GRANADA CF vrs REAL SOCIEDAD).............L
SOC [202457] TOTAL o2˝-125 (HERTHA BERLIN vrs SV WERDER BREMEN)
SOC [202458] TOTAL u4˝+119 (HERTHA BERLIN vrs SV WERDER BREMEN)
SOC [201953] TOTAL o2˝-123 (ATLETICO MADRID vrs LAS PALMAS)

Old Post 04-29-17 03:16 PM
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