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qs185
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Almost funny, if not so frustrating.

accuweather for CIN

Current says 58, but if you go to hourly

It's showing 59 at noon, 64 at 1, 66 at 2.

Old Post 04-03-11 06:59 PM
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Baseball17


Registered: Apr 2010
Posts: 77

From what I remember, Azmat would have definite plays, and then he would list his "leans" below that. Some of those would turn into plays, some would not. I suppose those were games where the temperature was the final factor. In cases where there is conflicting information, maybe he went with a gut decision, or maybe he had one weather site that he trusted more than others. Who knows, but I guess it is up for us to decide when we think it is a play or not as far as the temperature factor is concerned.

Old Post 04-03-11 07:03 PM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Colorado -187

ARZ Diamondbacks is a play if the line is DIME line +177 and Crteria No.1 is dog line less than +180

Game is delayed ...

Old Post 04-03-11 09:33 PM
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bigdadi
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Posts: 8931

ARZ/COL games is postponed... SNOW, according to MLB.com

Old Post 04-03-11 09:46 PM
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The Saint


Registered: Jun 2010
Posts: 12

LAD is going to be a gametime decision according to weather.com, showing 58F at 8PM.

Azmat said Dogs less than 180, so Im assuming he means +179 and lower is ok, everything up is a no play.

GL boys.

Old Post 04-03-11 09:48 PM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Dodger Stadium

Local time 5pm will be 63F, should be no play.

Old Post 04-03-11 10:44 PM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Why temperature?

You guys goin nuts in here. What is the bottom line with the temperature. Question for Azmat or anyone who helped him create this system. Reason I ask is because I've really been trying to find the logic in this.

My hunch thinking about it is this..what does under 59 degrees really mean? I'm thinking the bottom line is you want an environment that is the OPPOSITE of a summer day. Basically so that it really gets into the player's heads that it is still early in the season. Could be COMPLETELY wrong. Just messing around.

I looked at temperatures for a lot of these games from yahoo, and the sources are all way way off. Someone is going to get hurt here if you don't figure out why you're doing what you're doing. Just my opinion feel free to carry on.

Old Post 04-03-11 11:21 PM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Random findings with temperature...

70 degrees and below with wind pointing IN is conducive to an UNDER

and

90 degrees and higher supports an OVER...wind pointing outwards helps.

Old Post 04-03-11 11:23 PM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Dogs went 2-1 +168

Azmat said the '<59F' criteria is just the point that shows good profit in the query. Who care if it makes you money.

Azmat also said maybe SKIP SATURDY because it's generally the worst day for the week in this system.

L ... WAS -100
W ... PIT +155
W ... CLE +113

Old Post 04-03-11 11:57 PM
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Duby99
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Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2141

Nice day today! And I agree especially after seeing yesterday's results. I think Saturday should be a no play day.

Hopefully more winners tomorrow!

Old Post 04-04-11 12:41 AM
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bigdadi
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Posts: 8931

Dodger Stadium PT 5:00pm 63F so no play.

Old Post 04-04-11 01:15 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Monday (4/4)

Below 2 dogs pending on final line & game time temperature...

APR Dogs Plays
NL
PIT/STL (current STL-170, Y-DIV, N-S/O, est. 50F)
AL
SEA/TEX (current TEX-155, Y-DIV, N-S/O, est. 66F)

Old Post 04-04-11 03:50 AM
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bigdadi
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http://www.sports.com/sportsbook/liveodds.php?sportName=mlb

Above Betting Trend shows ML STL 67% vs PIT 33%
The ML of STL is falling from open -159 to -140... interesting!

Old Post 04-04-11 09:27 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

These two dogs fit my dog system too. GL Tonight everybody!




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
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Old Post 04-04-11 11:17 PM
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mattyp


Registered: May 2010
Posts: 294

I've been putting a spreadsheet together for this, and it's almost done. It will pick the games for you. The tricky part is getting the weather data in there, but I think I have it working now. I'll post it when I finish.

Old Post 04-05-11 12:10 AM
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MACDADDY


Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 256

Sea-Tex

Weather.com has 63 degrees at 7PM CST. Thus Seattle will be a no play for me. Pittsburgh looks good to go for tonight.

Old Post 04-05-11 12:34 AM
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Duby99
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Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2141

That would be great Matty!

Thanks

Yeah looks like Pitts will be the only play tonight.

Old Post 04-05-11 12:36 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

For Monday

Only Pittsburgh is play ...

Old Post 04-05-11 03:28 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Tuesday (4/5)

Monday 4/4 : 1-0 +136
Since 4/3/11 : 3-1 +304

Below 3 dogs pending on final line & game time temperature...

APR Dogs Plays
NL
NYM/PHI (current PHI-210, Y-DIV, N-S/O, est. 50F)
*** Play only if line lowers to -189 or less ***
HOU/CIN (current CIN-175, Y-DIV, N-S/O, est. 49F)
PIT/STL (current STL-160, Y-DIV, N-S/O, est. 55F)

Worth to monitor...
COL game time temp est. 64F
KC game time temp est. 63F

Old Post 04-05-11 05:20 AM
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westghost
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Registered: Jul 2009
Posts: 1977

Intresting system. Houston looks good tommorow to me. 0-3 teams just played against 3 aces Roy Lee Oswald. Facing Leak might be welcome relief. Nice dog price as well.




I do not believe in a fate that falls on men however they act; but I do believe in a fate that falls on them unless they act.
Buddha

Old Post 04-05-11 09:22 AM
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