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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

One more test for sharp-minded Wolverines

April 7, 2013


ATLANTA (AP)

Syracuse's zone.

Michigan has handled every test so far. Now it's time for the final exam - a Louisville team that is the NCAA tournament's top overall seed.

Michigan is trying for its first national title since 1989, and Monday night will be its first appearance in the championship game since 1993, when the Fab Five lost to North Carolina. The last two decades have been difficult for the Wolverines, but after sanctions and mediocrity, they're back in the spotlight at college basketball's signature event.

Coach John Beilein's team is plenty talented, but point guard Trey Burke and the Wolverines have reached this moment because of their smarts - and their ability to adjust quickly to new challenges.

``It means a lot to Michigan,'' Burke said. ``This program hasn't been this far in two decades, so just to be back in this situation definitely means the world to alumni and it means the world to us. That's been our No. 1 goal since Day One.''

It was clear from the start that this could be a special team. Led by Burke, the Wolverines won their first 16 games and were eventually ranked No. 1 in the nation at the start of February. But as Beilein stressed over and over, it was still a young team. Burke, the consensus national player of the year, is a sophomore. Guard Tim Hardaway Jr. is a junior, but Michigan relies a lot on freshmen Glenn Robinson III, Mitch McGary and Nik Stauskas.

When the NCAA tournament began, the Wolverines still had a lot to prove - but this team's mental strength should not be underestimated.

On the first weekend of the tournament, Michigan faced VCU in the round of 32. After only a day to prepare for the Rams' chaotic full-court press, the Wolverines breezed to a 25-point win.

Two victories later, they were in the Final Four - and again, they were up against an intimidating defense. Syracuse's 2-3 zone confounded opponents in the earlier rounds, but Michigan made six first-half 3-pointers and held on to beat the Orange 61-56.

The Wolverines used their final timeout with 1:51 remaining in that game, bringing back memories of Michigan's last appearance in the Final Four, when Chris Webber called a timeout the Wolverines didn't have, resulting in a technical foul and a loss to North Carolina.

Michigan wasn't about to make that mistake again, and the Wolverines held their nerve against Syracuse's pressure.

``We just stuck together,'' Burke said. ``A lot of people would crack under pressure when you're in that type of situation.''

Michigan has looked poised, prepared and confident for the last month or so. Burke's presence at point guard is crucial, but the rest of Beilein's team makes smart decisions as well.

``He really recruits to his system maybe better than any coach. As Jim (Boeheim) recruits to his zone defensively, he recruits to his system,'' Louisville coach Rick Pitino said. ``He gets everybody that can pass, catch and shoot. Then if you get up on `em, they can ball fake and drive.''

Beilein certainly does take a player's basketball IQ into account while recruiting, but that's an inexact science.

``In AAU it's tough to see that sometimes. That's why we like to see practices, we like to know their coach a little bit,'' Beilein said. ``Have they been coached before? Thankfully most of our guys have really good high school coaches, and that helps us determine what they can handle from us.''

The Wolverines have been able to handle every challenge for the last few weeks, and their presence in the title game is a proud moment for a program that was reeling after a federal investigation revealed that a booster gave Webber and three non-Fab Five players more than $600,000 while they were student-athletes. Sanctions cast a cloud over the team for years, but Michigan's run this season has brought back fonder memories of the past.

On Monday night, the current Wolverines will try to add a national title to their own growing legacy.

``I am still in shock of what we accomplished,'' Robinson said. ``After watching the national championship for so many years and finally having this opportunity to play in it - especially my freshman year - I am really excited for this game. I can't wait.''




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-08-13 05:44 AM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

NBA statistical leaders, with 10 days left in the season......

-- Scoring: Durant OC 28.4, Anthony NY 28.3, Bryant LAL 27.0.

-- Assists: Rondo Bos 11.1, Paul LAC 9.6, Vasquez NO 9.3.

-- FG%: Jordan LAC .641, McGee Den, .575, DHoward LAL .573.

-- Steals: Rubio Minn 2.43, Paul LAC 2.42, Conley Mem 2.26.

-- FT%: Durant OC 90.7%, Curry GSt 89.9%, Collison Dal 89.8%.

-- 3-pt %: Calderon Det 46.1%, Korver Atl 45.5%, Curry GSt 45.3%.


*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Rick gets Richer Dept: Not only did Louisville win Saturday, and not only did Rick Pitino get elected to the Naismith Hall of Fame this weekend, but a horse Pitino co-owns named Goldencents won the Santa Anita Derby and collected a cool $750,000, becoming eligible for the Kentucky Derby.

12) Excellent idea by the NCAA, having the D-II and D-III title games held on Sunday in the Final Four city. Kids at those levels work just as hard, maybe harder, and deserve to be in the spotlight more.

11) RA Dickey allowed five first-inning runs all last season; Red Sox had five runs Sunday, before Dickey got anyone out.

10) Is Rick Adelman the most underrated coach in the history of team sports? He is 1,000-703 as an NBA coach, coaching in Portland-Minnesota-Houston-Sacramento and Oakland, not exactly the Lakers/Celtics, but doubt most fans could pick him out of a lineup. Adelman played on the same team with the San Diego Rockets as another pretty good coach, Pat Riley.

9) Chances are Astros will deal ace starter Bud Norris later this summer; they're so awful right now, dealing Norris would further replenish their farm system- Norris can get them some significant young talent if they trade him, but if they let him throw 122 pitches many more times, way he did Saturday against Oakland, he'll get hurt before they can trade him.

8) Mets' Jon Niese has lasted 6+ innings in his last 22 starts, the longest such active streak in the major leagues.

7) Had my first-ever Papa John's pizza Saturday; they advertise so much on TV, but I hadn't had one until this weekend. Very good, way better than Domino's, better than the local independent pizza place, too. Thumbs up for the boneless chicken poppers they're selling.

6) Hard to believe, but in the ten years since the Raiders lost to the Bucs in the Jon Gruden Super Bowl, Oakland is 49-111. Now they have another new QB but at least they'll have the same coach this year. Hey, its a start.

5) NHL Winter Classic next January 1 in Ann Arbor- Toronto-Detroit, which figures to have the biggest crowd in NHL history.

A Michigan-Michigan State game in the Big House drew 104,173 back in '10; I'm guessing the NHL can figure out how to break that record.

4) Rough day for some star pitchers Sunday:
-- Matt Cain, 3.2 IP, nine runs allowed in a 14-3 loss.
-- Stephen Strasburg, six runs in 5.1 IP in a 6-3 loss.
-- RA Dickey, eight runs allowed in 4.2 IP in a 13-0 loss.
-- David Price, eight runs in five IP in another 13-0 loss.
-- Justin Verlander, three runs in 7.1 IP in a 7-0 loss.
-- Cole Hamels, eight runs in 5.2 IP in a 9-8 loss.
-- Jered Weaver, five runs in five IP in a 7-3 loss. Weaver also hyperextended his left elbow avoiding a line drive and left the game early.

3) Not sure where Rutgers will turn for a new basketball coach, but it apparently will not be to Rhode Island coach Danny Hurley, who said he is going to stay with the Rams. There are rumors that Ben Howland would listen if Rutgers called- no way they'll get a better coach than him.

2) If the NBA playoffs started today, matchups would look like this:

East: Miami-Milwaukee, New York-Boston, Indiana-Atlanta, and Brooklyn-Chicago.

West: San Antonio-Utah, Oklahoma City-Houston, Denver-Golden State and Clippers-Memphis.

1) Congrats to the Clippers, who won their first division title in franchise history Sunday, beating the Lakers for the 4th time in four tries this season. No one will remember they won the division, however, unless they advance far into the playoffs. People are funny that way.
Reply With Quote




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-09-13 01:40 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Dunkel

Michigan vs. Louisville
The Wolverines look to take advantage of a Louisville team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Big Ten opponents. Michigan is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, APRIL 8

Game 601-602: Michigan vs. Louisville (9:23 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 76.987; Louisville 78.815
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 2; 142
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4; 138
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (31 - 7) vs. LOUISVILLE (34 - 5) - 4/8/2013, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 51-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 8

Favorites covered 10 of last 13 national title games; #1 seeds are 5-1 vs spread in last six finals when facing lower seed. Louisville was down 12 in second half Saturday; they're #2 in country at forcing turnovers, but Michigan is #1 in protecting ball- they hammered VCU, #1 team forcing turnovers. Wolverines were down 10 with 2:32 to go in regional semis, so both teams have stared down grim reaper. Cardinals won last 15 in a row since losing a five-OT game Feb 9; their last nine games went over total. Michigan is 3-2 as an underdog this season; they're 2-0 vs Big East teams, beating Pitt/Syracuse by 5 points each. Four Wolverine starters played 35+ minutes Saturday; only one sub played more than 5 minutes. Louisville played three subs 10+ minutes Saturday; they won despite a subpar game from Dieng (one shot, no points, 30 minutes). Last #1 seed to lose national title game to lower seed: '97 Kentucky, to Arizona.




NCAAB

Monday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:23 PM
MICHIGAN vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Monday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan vs. Louisville: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals (-3.5, 138.5)

The loss of Kevin Ware did not seem to limit the Louisville bench in the Final Four. Luke Hancock and the reserves will try to step up again when the Cardinals take on Michigan in the National Championship Game on Monday. The Wolverines knocked off another Big East school, Syracuse, in the Final Four and have the athletes to get up and down with Louisville as well as a point guard in Trey Burke that can dribble through the press.

Michigan has been a better-rounded team in the NCAA Tournament due to the emergence of Mitch McGary, who did not even join the starting lineup full time until the beginning of the Tournament. The freshman forward will lock up with Gorgui Dieng and Chane Behanan along the frontline in Monday’s Championship Game. Dieng struggled with foul trouble in the Final Four win over Wichita State but Luke Hancock jumped into the extra minutes vacated by Ware and his foul-prone teammates and responded with 20 points.

TV: 9:23 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MICHIGAN (31-7): McGary showed off his passing ability to help the Wolverines break through Syracuse’s press in the first half on Saturday finished with a season-high six assists to go along with 10 points and 12 rebounds. National Player of the Year Trey Burke struggled to 1-of-8 from the field against the Orange but will be the key to keeping up with Russ Smith and Peyton Siva on both ends while setting up Tim Hardaway Jr. and Glenn Robinson III. The Wolverines like to get out and run with Burke setting the pace and Hardaway and Robinson on the wings. Freshman guard Nik Stauskas had a tough semifinal but can stretch the defense with his shooting ability like he did while going 6-for-6 from beyond the arc against Florida in the Elite 8. Michigan is in the National Championship for the first time since the Fab Five made its second trip in 1993 and is the youngest team in the field of 68, with Robinson III, McGary and Stauskas all starting as freshman.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (34-5): The Cardinals have won 15 straight games going back to the regular season and have shown off their ability to win in different styles during the NCAA Tournament. After running Duke off the floor in the second half of the Elite 8, Wichita State forced Louisville to slow the pace and would not turn the ball over, leaving the Cardinals to play more of a half-court game. That turned out to be the ideal way to Hancock more involved, and the junior swingman helped Louisville overcome a 12-point second-half deficit. Of course, Smith added 21 points as well and will be a key to keeping Hardaway Jr. and Glenn Robinson from slashing to the hole. Smith has scored at least 20 points in each of the five NCAA Tournament games and combines with Siva to form one of the fastest backcourts in college basketball and a tandem that jumps passing lanes and piles up steals defensively.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Cardinals are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
* Over is 9-0 in Cardinals’ last nine overall.
* Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. Big Ten foes.

TIP-INS

1. Louisville is making its first trip to the National Championship game since winning the title in 1986, and coach Rick Pitino will be trying to win championships with two different schools (Kentucky 1996).

2. McGary is averaging 16 points on 69.8 percent shooting and 11.6 rebounds in the Tournament.

3. The Cardinals bench collected 34 points on Saturday despite missing Ware.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Monday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA National Championship Game biggest betting mismatches
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Monday’s National Championship Game in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals (-3.5, 138.5)

Wolverines’ deep threat vs. Cardinals’ poor perimeter game

Michigan is a threat to score the second it crosses halfcourt. The Wolverines knocked down 11 3-pointers in their close win over Syracuse, including a couple from just inside the “F” in the Final Four midcourt decal. Each time the Orange clawed their way into striking distance, Michigan was able to put distance between them from distance. On the year, the Wolverines shot 37.7 percent from beyond the arc which accounted for 30 percent of their 25th-ranked 75.2 points per game.

Louisville’s biggest weakness is its lack of reliable scoring from outside. The Cardinals shoot just 32.9 percent from 3-point range on the year and are slightly below that during the tournament (24 for 76 – 31.5 percent). The nine 3-pointers made in the win over Wichita State were the most Louisville has made since sinking 10 versus Villanova in the Big East tournament. In fact, looking back at the Final Four matchup with WSU, those 3-pointers – especially the trio of treys from Luke Hancock – are the reason UL is still dancing.

Louisville’s late fouls vs. Michigan’s misses from the stripe

The Cardinals carry a reputation as a hard-nosed defense but that gets amplified in the final minutes of games. Louisville isn’t giving away anything easy down the stretch and will happily hand out a hard foul and send its opponent to the charity stripe with the game in the balance. It comes with the territory when you press like UL. They took 23 personal fouls versus Wichita State and Duke and average just over 18 per game on the season.

The Wolverines’ foul line woes nearly cost them a shot at the national title. Michigan, which normally hits 70 percent of its free throws, let late-game nerves get the best of it against Syracuse. The Wolverines missed four of their six freebies in the final 48 seconds, allowing the Orange to climb to within one point. Even Player of the Year Trey Burke – an 80 percent shooter from the stripe - couldn’t escape the foul line freeze, going 4 for 6 and missing a key foul shot in the final seconds.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-09-13 01:43 AM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Monday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Betting breakdown for NCAA championship game refs
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The officials for tonight's NCAA championship game have been announced and they are John Cahill of Albany, N.Y. (referee), Tony Greene from Atlanta (umpire) and John Higgins from Omaha (umpire). They are working their 11th, seventh and fourth Final Fours, respectively.

Cahill officiated seven games this season featuring at least one of the championship teams. Louisville went 4-1 ATS (against the spread) and Michigan went 2-0 ATS. The O/U (over/under) was 4-3.

Favorites went 1-2 ATS in the three games Cahill worked in the NCAA tournament (New Mexico State vs. Saint Louis, Oregon vs. Saint Louis, Michigan vs. Florida) and the over was 2-1. In the 78 games Cahill has officiated this season, his crews averaged 32.8 fouls per game and gave out 17 technicals fouls, according to Statsheet.com.

Greene officiated four Louisville games this season and the Cardinals went 3-1 ATS. The over was 3-0. He has not called a Michigan game this year.

Greene worked three tournament games and the favorite went 2-1 ATS and the total was 1-2 (Iowa State vs. Notre Dame, Temple vs. Indiana, Duke vs. Louisville). In the 72 games Greene has worked this season, his crews averaged 35.2 fouls a game and gave 15 technicals this season, according to Statsheet.com

Higgins officiated seven games featuring the final two teams. Louisville went 1-2 ATS and Michigan went 3-1 ATS. The over went 4-3.

The favorites in the three NCAA tournament games Higgins worked went 2-1 ATS and the over was 2-1 (Belmont vs. Arizona, Wichita State vs. Gonzaga, Syracuse vs. Marquette). In the 92 games Higgins has officiated this season, his crews averaged 33.9 fouls a game and handed out a hefty 35 technicals in 2012-13, according to Statsheet.com.

Greene and Higgins worked together when Louisville lost to Villanova 73-64 on Jan. 22.

Cahill and Higgins worked the Marquette-Louisville game together when the Cardinals won 70-51.

-----------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB

Monday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
National champ trends: No. 1 seeds have big ATS edge
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A look at some key trends for tonight's NCAA championship game where Louisville is a fave of four points over Michigan and the total is at 138.5 as of Monday morning.

All trends and notes below are ATS (against the spread) and most recent since 1991 unless otherwise stated.

NATIONAL TITLE GAME NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS

• No. 4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS

• Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS

• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final Four are 5-1 ATS

• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS

• Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final Four are 0-5 ATS

• Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS

• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS

• Big Ten teams are 0-4 ATS

COACH ME UP

Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:

47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs. Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs. Big Ten
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs. Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall

Michigan’s John Beilein is:

12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs. MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs. Pitino




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-09-13 01:45 AM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Monday, April 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Michigan - 9:23 PM ET Louisville -4 500 POD # 1

Louisville - Under 138 500 POD # 2




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-09-13 01:48 AM
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