I have attended the Southland Tournament every night, and I will be at the Southland Championship game between Abilene Christian and New Orleans U tonight. This will make 3 games in 3 nights for New Orleans. AC plays great defense. No team has won this tournament that has played 3 nights in a row since they started the seeding format in 2013. I am on Abilene Christian -5 and included them in a parlay at -220 on the ML.
"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion
Ducks are peaking right now 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven including handing the Huskies their only home loss of the season avg winning margin of 17.43.
Both teams = offensively, but Oregon, is slightly better defensively.
I think the two biggest factors are Oregon have fewer turnovers per game and are better on the glass than Washington.
Saturday, 03/16/2019 (639) CS-FULLERTON vs. (640) UC-IRVINE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Dedrique Taylor is 18-2 UNDER (+15.8 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week as the coach of CS-FULLERTON.
The average score was Taylor 66.2, OPPONENT 67.9 - (Rating = 6*)
Saturday, 03/16/2019 (635) W KENTUCKY vs. (636) OLD DOMINION
Favoring: Under on the total.
Jeff Jones is 27-5 UNDER (+21.5 Units) in all neutral court lined games as the coach of OLD DOMINION.
The average score was Jones 61.3, OPPONENT 60 - (Rating = 5*)
By most measures, Tennessee and Kentucky are considered two of the 10 best teams in the country.
Kentucky out-rebounded Tennessee in previous matchups, and the Vols will have stiff competition against the Cats and healthy forward Reid Travis again.
The Wildcats should eat on the boards against Tennessee, where they rank 10 nationally in offensive rebound percentage.
Perhaps the biggest difference from the two previous meetings was Kentucky’s Travis missing the Tennessee win with a knee injury. His counterpart, Vols forward Grant Williams, scored 24 points and had seven boards when Tennessee won at home, but got just four shot attempts off in the Kentucky victory several weeks earlier.
The Vols shot 45% from deep against Mississippi State in the quarterfinals and would need a duplicate effort versus Kentucky to pull off the upset.
Potential Sleeper
The hottest team entering the tournament also provides the greatest sleeper betting value.
Penn (19-11) is a substantially harder opening-round opponent for Harvard than short-handed Princeton is for Yale. The Quakers are getting it done on the defensive end, ranking second in league play in 2P% defense. They have held four of their past five opponents to 59 points or less.
Penn also limits its mistakes with the second best offensive turnover percentage in the Ivy League. The Quakers have returned all their key players from a team that gave top-seeded Kansas a huge scare in the last year’s NCAA Tournament.
Junior forward AJ Brodeur (17.4 ppg, 8.2 rpg) has been fantastic all season, while junior guard Devon Goodman (14. 1 ppg, 37.8% 3P) is a strong outside scoring threat.
The winner of this tough first-round battle will have a good chance against an inconsistent Yale team. Penn is entering the weekend as the hottest team in the Ivy League, which makes its 12-1 odds very appealing.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky
3 p.m. ET | ESPN
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 142 to 140)
With 66% of bettors taking the over, it certainly isn’t the public driving oddsmakers to lower this total.
Boasting offenses ranked third (Tennessee) and 13th (Kentucky) in the nation per KenPom, it’s not surprising to see a heavy public backing of the over. Interestingly, though, Kentucky has been one of the better “under” teams in the country this year. The Wildcats are 20-11-1 to the under this season.
Wiseguys are expecting Kentucky to add another under win to that record this afternoon, as they’ve triggered two Sports Insights’ Bet Signals — signs of market-wide line movement caused by sharp action — on the under so far today.
Saturday, 03/16/2019 (617) MEMPHIS vs. (618) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON on the first half line.
HOUSTON is 20-5 (+14.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 37, OPPONENT 29 -