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geg1951
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14866

N C A A B : Big Dance 2019 -- Everyone Join In With Your Tidbits Ect

1) My pick for the national title?

2) Over the last 16 years, in the Midwest Region final, the underdog is 12-4 against the spread. #1-seeds have fared better in this regional final, going 10-7 SU in their last 17 tries.

3) Over the last 23 years, in the West Region final, the underdog is 17-6 against the spread. During that time, when the #1-seed in the West got to the regional final, they’re 4-8 SU in that regional final.

4) Last four years, the 11-seed is 7-5 SU in the first round against the 6-seed; the 11-seed was the underdog in all seven of their wins.

5) If you care about such things, over the last five years, the underdog is 12-8 vs spread in first round 4-13 games. Over last six years, underdogs are 14-10 vs spread in 3-14 games.

6) Virginia Tech’s star PG Justin Robinson missed the last 12 games with a foot injury, but he’ll be back for the NCAA tournament. Hokies play Saint Louis in the first round Friday.

7) No team has ever lost its first conference tournament game, and then gone on to win the national championship. Texas Tech, LSU, Purdue, Maryland fall into that category.

8) Tennessee Volunteers are a #2-seed in the South Region, but they can’t be very happy about the prospects of a second round game against Cincinnati………in Columbus, OHIO.

9) Richard Pitino’s Minnesota Gophers playing Louisville, the school that ran his father out of town two years ago, is classic sidebar material. Rick Pitino won the national title with Louisville six short years ago. Lot of stuff has happened since then.

10) If you look at the last 13 national champs, those teams went 12-1 against the spread in their first round tournament game. Only exception was Kentucky in 2012, who won 81-66 (-26). UConn won its first round game in OT in 2014, but covered 89-81 (-5).




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-18-19 10:34 PM
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Cosmo Kramer


Registered: Apr 2015
Posts: 698

Wow great info, thank you.

Old Post 03-19-19 12:43 AM
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geg1951
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14866

3/19

looking at belmont -2 1st H.

YTD 1st H scoring margin avg's +8.6 pts & temple is @ +2.3

will wait to post time and maybe pick-up a 1/2 or maybe 1 ???




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-19-19 03:20 PM
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geg1951
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Posts: 14866

3/19

1st H now belmont -1




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-19-19 11:00 PM
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HGC83
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 2544

• Excluding 2009, at least one No. 2 seed has been eliminated by Round 2 every year since 1997. Last year, Cincinnati and North Carolina fell victim.




Herbie

Old Post 03-20-19 08:16 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 12050

Play-in Games

• In play-in games expected to be competitive, or those with point spreads 4.5 or less, totals have trended 19-11-1 UNDER (63.3%), including 2-0 last year
• Formerly, all play-in games used to match #16 seeds, recently, play-in games featuring seeds 12 or better have trended 10-4 UNDER (71.4%)
• Back to that point spread benchmark, favorites of 4.5 or less are just 16-17 SU & 11-21-1 ATS (34.4%)
• SWAC teams are 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS (40%), while
MAAC teams are 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS (0%) historically
in play-in games
• Bettors have moved the lines correctly in seven
straight games, 7-0 SU & ATS (100%) in the play-in round dating back to 2016.

Old Post 03-20-19 08:37 PM
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ONE TOUGH MAZE
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Geg1951

Awesome call on Bellmont 1st half.
Thank you

Old Post 03-20-19 08:45 PM
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geg1951
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14866

3/20

toledo looks good to me 1st H +3.5

sam houston +7 might be better

glta




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-20-19 11:39 PM
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geg1951
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Posts: 14866

at first glance wofford -1 1st H looks to be 1st on today's list




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Old Post 03-21-19 02:38 PM
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HoustonFan
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Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Today is like Christmas to basketball/sports fans. I usually don't post except for soccer, but I will make an exception here. Here is what I am on today so far:

Minn/Louiville 1st h U62.5
Belmont +3
Maryland O75 tt
Northeastern +6.5
Nevada -125
Yale +7.5
Syracuse -2.5
Parlay - LSU -300,Kansas -290

Good Luck to all, and enjoy the greatest long weekend in sports.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 03-21-19 03:56 PM
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RDTrains
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The Under is 9-1 last 10 games Duke was a #1 seed.

Old Post 03-21-19 05:58 PM
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HoustonFan
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Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Nice tidbit RD. From what I know Duke has been an under team all season.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 03-21-19 06:15 PM
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geg1951
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liking the wolverines and vols .....

glta




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-29-19 12:25 AM
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geg1951
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14866

Wow




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
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Old Post 03-29-19 05:34 AM
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