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CNOTES
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Bracketology Update

March 12, 2013

As usual, we break down the projected matchups by each region, beginning with the sub-regionals, which this year will begin on Thursday, Mar. 21. The term "protected seed" refers to seeds 1 thru 4 in any region, which is usually accompanied by a geographically-convenient sub-regional assignment.

Straight-up records, RPI, and Strength of Schedule (SOS) ratings are thru Sunday, March 10.

Hang on for the ride!


EAST REGIONAL (Washington, D.C.)

At Philadelphia...

1 Duke (SUR 27-4, RPI-1, SOS-1) vs. 16 James Madison (20-14, 188-276)...Any doubts about Duke landing on the top line were erased with that thumping win at nearby Chapel Hill on Saturday night. Even if the Blue Devils lose in the ACC Tourney at Greensboro this week, we doubt that knocks them from a number one seed. Meanwhile, James Madison makes the Dance for the first time since Lefty Driesell steered the Dukes into the tourney way back in 1994 after Monday's convincing win over Northeastern in the Colonial finale at Richmond. Now we'll see if Matt Brady's team can avoid one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games at Dayton.

8 Memphis (27-4, 16-76) vs. 9 Oregon (23-8, 54-109)...We've been trying to figure out what to do with Memphis for the last month. While we completely reject the idea of a handful of bracketologists who think the Tigers' at-large candidacy is in some jeopardy should Josh Pastner's team lose in this week's C-USA Tourney in Tulsa, we're also not sure the Selection Committee is going to reward Memphis' unbeaten mark in league play with a more-desirable seed. So, we cut the difference in half on the Tigers and put them at an eight. Dropping like a rock has been Oregon, which even with the recent return from injury of star frosh G Dominic Artis continued to sputter last week in a pair of ugly losses at Colorado and Utah. The Ducks will still make the field of 68 but could drop to a double-digit seed if ousted early in this week's Pac-12 Tourney in Las Vegas.

At Kansas City...

4 Kansas State (25-6, 20-59) vs. 13 Ohio (23-8, 74-165)...K-State could have probably sewn up a protected seed had it won at Oklahoma State last Saturday. But a share of the Big 12 regular-season title (the first such conference honors in Manhattan since Jack Hartman's days as coach in the 1970s) is probably enough to keep the Wildcats in their preferred Kansas City Sprint Center location for the sub-regionals. Meanwhile, the MAC is now a wide-open affair after Akron's pair of losses in the last ten days and suspension of key PG Alex Abreu; if Abreu gets reinstated this week, the Zips might become the favorite in the conference tourney in Cleveland, but we suspect they've blown their at-large candidacy in the process. The MAC is now likely a one-bid league regardless what happens this week in Cleveland, and defending tourney champ and Sweet 16 qualifier Ohio U (with a similar team from last year, save HC John Groce, now at Illinois, with ex-Kent State & TCU mentor Jim Christian now in charge) looks to be the favorite at The "Q" in tourney action.

5 Syracuse (23-8, 17-9) vs. 12 Ole Miss (20-7, 56-129)...We threatened last week to move Syracuse out of protected seed territory if the Orange didn't shape up; a win over DePaul didn't help much, and the optics were very bad in the thumping 61-39 loss at Georgetown, the lowest-scoring Syracuse Big East game under Jim Boeheim. Hardly the au revoir to the league that Orange fans were expecting. Now, barring a deep run in the Cuse's last-ever Big East Tourney at Madison Square Garden, Boeheim is likely in a five slot. We've also put Ole Miss into the field after its rousing road win at LSU over the weekend. Though the Rebs have taken a lot of deserved flak for their recent bad loss at Mississippi State, that's been their only defeat in their last five games, and we don't think the Selection Committee is going to completely shun the SEC. The Rebs, however, will still have to make progress to the later stages of the conference tourney this week in Nashville to further advance their candidacy.

At Auburn Hills...

2 Michigan State (23-7, 5-3) vs. 15 Vermont (21-10, 124-227)... No doubt that Michigan State lands in protected seed territory, which in the Spartans' case also means that they will get to play their sub-regionals nearby in the NBA Piston's Palace of Auburn Hills. Where, with Michigan also likely landing next week, means that a 15-seed such as Vermont can be expected to have a lot more throaty crowd support (from Wolverines' backers; as Michigan's foe will have from Spartan fans) than it would at other venues. Speaking of the Catamounts, they are poised for yet another visit to the Dance after America East Tourney results over the weekend have landed them in the title game at home against Albany, which knocked off tourney favorite Stony Brook on Sunday. The Great Danes, however, won't have the benefit of home court (which they had in the earlier rounds of the AE Tourney) in the title game, to be played Saturday morning in Burlington at Vermont's Patrick Gym.

7 Butler (24-7, 21-40) vs. 10 San Diego State (21-9, 32-25)...Butler had been sliding down the seeding scale in recent weeks, although Saturday's narrow win at Hinkle Fieldhouse over a dangerous Xavier side likely means Brad Stevens' Bulldogs can at least take their home white unis to wear in the first round of the sub-regional. Wearing their red or black road outfits will likely be Steve Fisher's SDSU, which has been losing all of its Mountain West showdown games on the road over the last month. The Aztecs, once a threat for a protected seed, have been relying too much on the talents of sr. G Jamaal Franklin and have probably slid all of the way to double-digit seed range. This SDSU edition is not as dangerous as some of Fisher's recent versions.

At Dayton...

3 Ohio State (22-7, 14-13) vs. 14 Harvard (19-9, 93-178)...Okay, Thad Matta's Buckeyes responded to our challenge last week to play their way back into a protected seed slot; a win at Indiana and a convincing home win over Illinois in the past week should be enough to put OSU into convenient Dayton (just 70 or so miles from campus in Columbus) for the sub-regionals. And just when we thought Princeton had control of the Ivy race, then thinking we might have another playoff game to look forward to vs. Harvard, as we did two years ago, the Tigers fell flat last weekend and lost at both Yale and Brown to gift the Ivy crown to Tommy Amaker's Crimson, now making a return appearance to the Dance.

6 Notre Dame (23-8, 43-67) vs. 11 Virginia (21-10, 73-125)/La Salle (21-8, 41-75)...We've projected Notre Dame outside of a protected seed for a couple of weeks, and the Irish did nothing to change our minds when hardly putting up a fight last Saturday at Louisville. We think the sixth line is a proper landing spot for Mike "Count Dracula" Brey and his troops. Meanwhile, in the mix of the at-large play-in candidates, which feature teams at the very edge of the cut line, we opt for Virginia, which kept its candidacy alive (barely so) with that gutty OT win over Maryland on Sunday, and La Salle, which is in a precarious position after getting smoked by Saint Louis over the weekend. Short of winning the A-10 Tourney, the Explorers are going to have to hope the Selection Committee really wants to dig five-deep into the A-10. As for Virginia, the Cavs are going to be touch-and-go all of the way; how much does a 4th-place finish in the ACC overcome three losses to Colonial foes (including woeful 5-25 Old Dominion) before New Year's? Regardless, La Salle and Virginia would gladly take spots in the First Four in Dayton.


SOUTH REGIONAL (Arlington, TX)

At Lexington...

1 Louisville (26-5, 3-6) vs. 16 Liberty (15-20, 204-312)/Western Kentucky (19-15, 174-166)...After Kansas was knocked silly at Baylor over the weekend, we decided to temporarily move the Jayhawks off the top line and replace them with Louisville. There's a proviso for the Cards, however; they'll probably have to win the Big East Tourney to stay a number-one seed, which they would probably not keep if they lose at MSG and Georgetown wins the event, or if they lose in New York City and Kansas rebounds to win the Big 12 Tourney in Kansas City. Regardless, expect the Cards to land in a sub-regional at Lexington, where the odd sight of the 'Ville wearing home white and having lots of crowd support in usually-hostile enemy territory will require a temporary suspension of reality. What's this? Western Kentucky back in the field? Apparently, HC Ray Harper can wave the magic wand in the Sun Belt tourney, the finals in which WKU has advanced for the second straight year on his watch. Where the opponent will be Richard Pitino's Florida International, which pulled the shocker over the weekend when KO'ing heavy favorite Middle Tennessee. If the Golden Panthers are riding on cloud nine Monday in Hot Springs, they could be in trouble. So the Belt is likely involved again in a 16 vs. 16 play-in game, as will be Liberty. The 15-20 Flames, surprise winners of the Big South Tourney, enter the Dance as only the second 20-loss team to ever qualify for the NCAAs, joining Ron "Fang" Mitchell's 2007-08 Coppin State Eagles.

8 Virginia Commonwealth (24-7, 26-80) vs. 9 Oklahoma (20-10, 34-18)...After blowing a chance to tie Saint Louis for the A-10 regular-season crown when losing at Temple on Sunday, we're not compelled to move VCU any higher than the eighth line. Although "Shaka Ball" could still prove a pretty unnerving matchup for many teams. Lon Kruger's Oklahoma has had an 8 or 9 seed written on it for the last month, although last Saturday's bad loss at TCU could drop the Sooners a line or two. Still, OU appears safely into the field, which should mark a record fifth different school taken to the Dance by Kruger (alma mater Kansas State, Florida, Illinois, and UNLV prior).

At Austin...

4 Florida (24-6, 6-24) vs. 13 Valparaiso (25-7, 60-179)...Here's a chilling thought for Florida backers; the Gators are 0-5 this season in contests decided by single-digit margins, with late-game meltdowns in most of those losses similar to the cave-in at the end of last season's Elite Eight loss to Louisville. How many foes in March can Billy Donovan's team bully, anyway? Maybe in the first sub-regional game, where a likely foe is Valparasio, which is favored at home in Tuesday night's Horizon title game vs. Wright State after a wild and very narrow escape vs. UW-Green Bay in the semifinals on Saturday, courtesy Ryan Broekhoff's off-balance triple at the buzzer. Coach Bryce Drew's backslide on the sidelines was a different variation of his front-slide when beating Ole Miss with a buzzer-beater in the 1998 Dance. The Crusaders are likely very happy that Billy Donlon's Raiders took care of Detroit in the Horizon semis; the Titans beat Valpo in the title game last season and won again on the Crusader's' home floor on February 16.

5 UCLA (23-8, 31-32) vs. 12 Boise State (21-9, 38-51)...After the smoke finally cleared in the pile-up of a conference race that was the Pac-12, it was UCLA emerging from the rubble on the top spot and the pole position in this week's conference tourney in Las Vegas. Which has temporarily quieted Ben Howland's critics, who were thinking the coach's job ought to be on the line. Howland can really shut them up if the Bruins win the event this week in Las Vegas, which would give UCLA a chance at a protected seed as well. Speaking of Las Vegas, that's where Boise State will be this week in the Mountain West Tourney, where a first-round game on Thursday vs. San Diego State doesn't have quite the urgency it might have had if the Broncos lost at home in Taco Bell Arena vs. the Aztecs last Saturday. With the Mountain West jockeying for top conference RPI with the Big Ten all season, we suspect the Selection Committee will have no problem going five deep in the league. The Broncos' early-season win at Creighton is also going to be a nice chip to cash on Selection Sunday.

At Lexington...

2 Miami-Florida (24-6, 4-5) vs. 15 Iona (18-13, 109-136)...Jim Larranaga's Miami was looking at a top regional seed a few weeks ago, but that was before losses at Wake Forest and Duke and a bad home loss vs. Georgia Tech. Now a 2 or even a 3 seed appears likely. More importantly, did the Canes peak too early? Meanwhile, the Metro-Atlantic demolition derby in Springfield has two cars left running, as Iona faces Manhattan in Monday's finale. The Gaels, of course, reached the Dance as an at-large last season, and played in the finals of the CIT two years ago, so they have lots of postseason experience. But give Jaspers' HC Stave Masiello a lot of credit for keeping his troops afloat after the season-ending injury to the likely best player in the MAAC, G George Beamon. Some Manhattan trivia: the school isn't even located in the borough of its name, situated in The Bronx instead; and the nickname "Jaspers" was inspired by its own Brother Jasper, who served at the college in the late 19th century and was also the school's baseball coach, not to mention being credited by many for originating the seventh-inning stretch!

7 North Carolina (22-9, 19-7) vs. 10 Cincinnati (21-10, 48-30)...Roy Williams had steered the Tar Heels safely away from the bubble in recent weeks after his switch to a 4-G lineup, and we doubt the Chapel Hill bunch is docked for Saturday's home loss vs. Duke. As for Cincy, it has been sliding in the wrong direction since late January, and the Bearcats dodged a bullet on Saturday when escaping in OT vs. South Florida. A loss to the lowly Bulls could have put Mick "The Ghost" Cronin's team into some bubble trouble, but we think Cincy is on pretty safe ground heading into the Big East Tourney.

At Auburn Hills...

3 Michigan (25-6, 8-29) vs. 14 Davidson (24-87, 72-109)...With a chance to grab a share of the Big Ten's regular-season crown on Sunday vs. Indiana, Justin Morgan's last-second tip-in try instead rolled agonizingly around the rim and then out, condemning the Wolverines to 5th place in the loop and duties on first day conference tourney action Thursday in Chicago. Do we need to provide any more evidence how rugged the Big Ten is at the top this season? The SoCon determines its champ on Monday night, when Bob McKillop's Davidson seeks yet another Big Dance trip and is favored in the conference tourney finale at Asheville against Doug Wojcik's College of Charleston Cougars.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:11 PM
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6 UNLV (23-8, 23-27) vs. 11 Belmont (26-6, 18-84)...So much for thinking that UNLV was going to swoop into the Dance on the wings of a 9-game win streak; another bad loss on Saturday to Fresno State (the Rebs' second of the season vs. the Bulldogs) has pretty much scotched the idea of a protected seed for the Rebs, even if they win the Mountain West Tourney (which they enter as the third seed) on their home court at the Thomas & Mack Center later this week. As for Belmont, Rick Byrd's Bruins spared the Selection Committee some angst on Saturday by avoiding an upset bid by Isaiah Canaan and Murray State in a pulsating overtime OVC Tourney finale at the old Nashville Auditorium. To the relief of bubble teams across the country, the OVC will only be a one-bid league in the Dance.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:12 PM
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MIDWEST REGIONAL (Indianapolis)

At Dayton...

1 Indiana (26-5, 9-11) vs. 16 Texas Southern (17-14, 183-269)/Long Island (19-13, 185-285)...After winning the Big Ten title outright thanks to that white knuckler vs. Michigan on Sunday, Indiana looks a good bet for a top seed and a sub-regional assignment to Dayton, an easy drive for most Hoosier followers, but also the scene of some bad memories for IU old-timers who might recall Bob Knight's great and then-unbeaten 1974-75 team losing 92-90 in the regional finals at a then-new UD Arena against Joe B. Hall's Kentucky Wildcats. Despite their likely top seed, these Hoosiers don't look unbeatable. They'll likely face a winner of the other 16 vs. 16 play-in; we're projecting one of those to be the champ of the SWAC, which conducts its tourney in Garland, TX this week. Houston-based Texas Southern closed with a rush to nip Baton Rouge-based Southern U at the wire to win the regular-season crown, but note several upsets in past SWAC shindigs. As for Long Island, the Claire Bees...er, Blackbirds, have qualified for the NEC finale against upstart Mount Saint Mary's, alma mater of Fred "Mad Dog" Carter. LIU hosts the finale on Tuesday night, but whoever wins is likely ticketed for a play-in game.

8 Cal (20-10, 49-33) vs. 9 Missouri (22-9, 32-49)...Cal's seven-game win streak ended with a thud last Wednesday vs. Stanford, but the Golden Bears had done more than enough in the previous month (including wins vs. all of the other Pac-12 top contenders) to safely qualify for the Dance. So has Missouri, although the Tigers' profile has taken some hits due to several losses on the SEC trail, including last Saturday at Tennessee. No matter, Mizzou looks to be a pretty menacing nine seed that will not be outclassed should it advance and have to face a one seed.

At Austin...

4 Oklahoma State (23-7, 22-45) vs. 13 Stephen F. Austin (26-3, 63-309)...Ok State's protected seed candidacy received a huge boost in Saturday's home win over Kansas State in a Big 12 showdown; now we think the Cowboys are a very good bet to land in Austin, their desired sub-regional location. As it would be for Nacogdoches-based Stephen F. Austin and its mustachioed coach, Danny Kapar, whose Lumberjacks rank first nationally in scoring defense at 50.1 ppg and will be favored in this week's Southland Tourney in the Houston suburb of Katy. Don't sleep on SFA, which won at Oklahoma in December and impressively at Big West leader Long Beach State in the BracketBusters a few weeks ago, and might even have a longshot at-large chance should it lose in the finale of the Southland event.

5 Saint Louis (24-6, 27-68) vs. 12 Tennessee (19-11, 55-41)... Interestingly, we weren't even putting the Billikens into our field of 68 until mid-February. But a recent 11-game SU win streak and an A-10 regular-season crown have SLU on the cusp of a protected seed. We're also in support of Jim Crews for national Coach of the Year. Another stretch-runner, Tennessee, has done enough in our book to qualify as an at-large, especially after Saturday's rousing home win over Missouri. But, then again, we seem to have a bit more respect for the SEC than do Andy Katz and other "insiders" who tend to view the field through Big Ten and Big East-tinted glasses. Would anyone take Minnesota or Cincinnati against the red-hot Vols right now? To be safe, Cuonzo Martin's side should avoid an early exit in this week's SEC Tourney at Nashville, where UT will be well-supported.

At Philadelphia...

2 Georgetown (24-5, 9-20) vs. 15 Florida Gulf Coast (24-10, 91-201)...Last Wednesday's loss at Villanova would eventually cost the Hoyas the outright Big East regular-season crown, but JT III's troops nonetheless enter conference tourney week as one of the hottest teams in the country, having won 12 of their last 13. Winning the Big East Tourney would also give G'town a legit shot at a top regional seed. Expect to hear some chatter regarding Fort Meyers-based Florida Gulf Coast, which has qualified for the Dance from the Atlantic Sun in just the school's second year of eligibility. A lot of analysts are scurrying for info on the Eagles' November upset over Jim Larranaga's Miami Hurricanes, which suggests that no one should sleep on the A-Sun champs, who also beat favored Mercer on the Bears' home floor in the conference tourney title game.

7 Wisconsin (21-10, 42-16) vs. 10 Saint Mary's (27-5, 38-113)...We invoked a "procedural one-line bump" in the Midwest after originally seeding the Badgers as a six, but we've flip-flopped Wiscy and Creighton in order to avoid a rematch of a regular-season game (of which the Selection Committee frowns upon in opening sub-regional action) in the BracketBusters between the Bluejays and Saint Mary's. The Gaels spared themselves some aggravation on Selection Sunday by avoiding a serious upset bid on Saturday night by the San Diego Toreros in the WCC Tourney semifinals at the Orleans Hotel Arena in Las Vegas. But having dodged that bullet, the Gaels can now take a swing at Gonzaga in Monday's final, knowing that their ticket to the Dance is almost assuredly punched. Whatever happens on Monday, the Zags will still be the only team to have beaten SMC since before Christmas (that Gaels' loss was against Northern Iowa on Dec. 23).

At Salt Lake City...

3 New Mexico (26-5, 2-4) vs. 14 Montana (23-6, 89-266)...Despite Saturday's wild one-point loss at Air Force, New Mexico looks in solid protected seed territory with those single-digit RPI and SOS numbers. And, as the regular-season champ of the well-regarded Mountain West this season, we think the Lobos are safe and probably bound for preferred Salt Lake City (or perhaps San Jose) for sub-regional action no matter what happens in the MW Tourney this week in Las Vegas. The Huntsman Center would also be the preferred destination for Montana, which will host the Big Sky Tourney this week. The Grizzlies got some good news when star G Will Cherry returned to active duty last weekend (and scored 14 points) vs. Northern Arizona, but they're still minus key F Mathias Ward, out with a foot injury. A rubber match vs. dangerous Sky runner-up Weber State in the conference title game on Saturday appears very likely.

6 Creighton (27-7, 29-89) vs. 11 Villanova (19-12, 52-23)...If Top-15 wins count for anything (and all indications are that they indeed count a lot) with the Selection Committee, then Villanova is safely into the field of 68 regardless what happens in this week's Big East Tourney. Jay Wright might not believe as much, but the list of Wildcats' victims (Louisville, Syracuse, Marquette, Georgetown) is long and distinguished, and last Wednesday's win over the Hoyas should have sealed the invitation for ‘Nova. Creighton's seeding prospects were strengthened by last weekend's exciting win in Arch Madness to claim the Missouri Valley Tourney crown in St. Louis.


WEST REGIONAL (Phoenix)

At San Jose...

1 Gonzaga (30-2, 11-87) vs. 16 Norfolk State (21-10, 166-331)...We can't be sure about stuffiness (which has surfaced in the past) on the Selection Committee regarding possible disrespect for the WCC that might deny Gonzaga a top regional seed as long as the Zags stay atop the polls and, of course, beat Saint Mary's in the conference tourney finale on Monday night in Las Vegas. But the WCC isn't looked down upon as much as some analysts believe, and if the Zags hold serve, we expect they're on the top line in the West. Results elsewhere in conference tourney action might be enough to allow Norfolk State, which was unbeaten in the MEAC during the regular season, to escape a 16 vs. 16 play-in game in Dayton. Remember, these guys KO'd Missouri in a memorable 2 vs. 15 sub-regional upset last season. First of all, however, the Spartans need to take care of business in the conference tourney this week at the hometown Norfolk Scope, once upon a time one of the Commonwealth home courts of the old ABA Virginia Squires and Julius Erving in the early '70s.

8 Wichita State (26-8, 36-95) vs. 9 Illinois (21-11, 40-12)...We really think there was a time last month when Illinois would probably have been out of the tournament. But the Illini recovered with some big wins down the stretch, and even road losses last week vs. Iowa and Ohio State are not going to be enough to put the Fighting Illini in danger. Wichita could have probably escaped the 8-9 whirlpool had it managed to beat Creighton in an exciting Arch Madness MVC Tourney finale on Sunday in St. Louis, but as mentioned at the outset of this preview, we don't think the 8-9 is likely to be as dreaded this season as in years past. As an aside, a lot of bubble teams around the country were thrilled that the Arch Madness finale came down to Wichita and Creighton, whose tickets to the Dance were already punched; a lot of insiders expected a "bubble thief" like Northern Iowa or Illinois State to emerge in St. Louis.

At Salt Lake City...

4 Arizona (24-6, 13-28) vs. 13 Denver (21-8, 58-130)...We reluctantly put the Wildcats back into protected seed territory, with this caveat; U of A must advance to at least the Pac-12 title game this week in Las Vegas to stay on the fourth line. Otherwise, if UCLA or another top contender wins at the MGM Grand Garden, the Cats likely drop to a five seed. Meanwhile, look out for Denver, the hottest team west of the Mississippi and which collared La Tech atop the WAC standings with a brutal beatdown of the Bulldogs last Saturday at Magness Arena. Joe Scott's Pioneers, who also opened some eyes with a BracketBuster win at Northern Iowa a few weeks ago, are now the likely favorite in this week's WAC Tourney at the Orleans Hotel Arena in Las Vegas. We can also forget the WAC as a possible two-bid league after top at-large candidate La Tech lost at both Denver and at New Mexico State in Las Cruces last week.

5 Pittsburgh (24-7, 39-70) vs. 12 Minnesota (20-11, 24-2)/Middle Tennessee (28-5, 25-128)...Pitt has been lurking on the edge of protected seed territory for the last two months. But we think the Panthers instead land on the five line unless they win the Big East Tourney, while the rumor mill begins to whirr regarding HC Jamie Dixon's possible interest in the opening at Southern Cal. Stay tuned. We keep Minnesota in the field on strictly procedural grounds because of the Gophers' solid RPI and SOS numbers, but we're also doing so because we believe the Selection Committee will do, too. We're not sure Minny deserves it, not with a 5-10 record its last 15 games (heck, that's half the season), and now eight straight losses on the road, capped by setbacks at second-division Big Ten sides Nebraska and Purdue last week. Apparently the Gophers are getting a lot of credit for their non-conference schedule and facing Duke and losing to the Blue Devils in the Bahamas back in Thanksgiving week. As for Kermit Davis' MTSU, it has flopped in the Sun Belt Tourney for the second straight year, though this time the Blue Raiders have a more-substantial at-large case partly due to their mid twenties RPI. For the moment, we have them in our field, but expect MTSU to be a hot topic of discussion all of the way through Selection Sunday.

At Kansas City...

2 Kansas (26-5, 7-20) vs. 15 Long Beach State (18-12, 111-137)...It probably matters little to Kansas if it enters the Dance as a 1 or 2 seed; what concerns HC Bill Self more than anything was its sloppy play last Saturday at Baylor that has prompted us to demote the Jayhawks a line. But KU is still almost assuredly bound for the Kansas City sub-regional, which has been its target all season. Time for the Jayhawks to play their way back onto the top line by winning the Big 12 Tourney this week at the same Sprint Center venue. Big West leader Long Beach State is hardly going to be a convincing favorite in the conference tourney this week at the Anaheim Honda Center, especially after recent losses at nearby UC Irvine and last Saturday at Stockton vs. UOP, sandwiched around a skin-of-the-teeth one-point escape at UC Davis. The Beach or any winner of the Big West Tourney could easily slide to the 16 line as well.

7 NC State (22-9, 28-35) vs. 10 Colorado (20-10, 37-18)...After advancing to the Sweet 16 last season, returning much of the same team and adding some high-profile freshmen, Mark Gottfried's NC State has had more flat spots (such as last Saturday at Florida State) than most would have expected this term. But the Wolfpack, VCU, and perhaps Missouri would seem to be the 7 to 9-seeded teams that most of the big boys are going to want to avoid if at all possible. Colorado has not demonstrated enough consistency to suggest it is capable of a deep run in March, especially since it has managed to split most of its weekend sets in the Pac-12 over the last half of the season. Solid RPI and SOS numbers also indicate that the Buffs aren't going to have to do much sweating on Selection Sunday. Check status of rebound machine F Andre Roberson.

At San Jose...

3 Marquette (23-7, 12-10) vs. 14 South Dakota State (23-9, 76-195)...Although flying under the national radar for much of the season, Buzz Williams has piloted Marquette to the same altitude it reached a year ago when the graduated Jae Crowder and Darius Johnson-Odom were the stars of the team. No surprise if the Buzz-ster gets the Golden Eagles back to the Sweet 16, which they also reached a year ago. Although an opening matchup vs. Nate "53-point" Wolters and South Dakota State, looking for a return trip to the Dance, could be a bit tricky. The Jackrabbits continue to advance in the Summit League Tourney, which runs through Tuesday in Sioux Falls.

6 Colorado State (24-7, 15-31) vs. 11 Temple (23-8, 44-71)...Results over the weekend landed CSU alone in second place in the well-regarded Mountain West, and the Rams could make a case for a protected seed by winning the conference tourney in Las Vegas this weekend. Of more immediate concern to HC Larry Eustachy, however, is getting key sr. G Dorian Green healthy after he twisted his ankle on Saturday vs. Nevada; the Rams' offense slowed to a crawl vs. the Wolf Pack with Green sidelined. Getting Green healthy for the Dance is more important than having him on the court in Las Vegas later this week. As for Temple, we think Fran Dunphy's side might have punched its ticket with Sunday's rousing home win over VCU. Along with December victories over Villanova and Syracuse, the Owls' at-large case is strong enough to make Dunphy 6-for-6 in qualifying for the Dance since moving from Penn and taking over the Temple operation from John Chaney in the 2007-08 season.

Top four seeds: Duke, Indiana, Louisville, Gonzaga.

Last four in: La Salle, Virginia, Minnesota, Middle Tennessee.

Last four out: Kentucky, Iowa State, Alabama, Baylor.

Next four out: Iowa, Southern Miss, Akron, Maryland.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:13 PM
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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Updated odds to win next year's Super Bowl........

New England Patriots +$600
San Francisco 49ers +$675
Denver Broncos +$775
Seattle Seahawks +$900
Green Bay Packers +$1050
Houston Texans $1300


*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...........

13) Three weeks ago, if I had told you that Michigan, NC State and Butler would all miss out on byes in their leagues, you’d have called me nuts, but it happened. At one point, I thought Michigan was best team in the country, but now they’re the #5 seed in the Big Dozen. Go figure.

12) Good news: my alma mater Albany is playing on ESPN Saturday morning at Vermont in the America East title game.

Bad news: Vermont clocked them twice this season, 70-45 and 50-43. Great Danes’ coach Will Brown is a good guy and we wish him well.

11) Pet peeve: The term “student-athlete”. This annoying phrase is most always spoken by bureaucrats who makes hundreds and thousands of dollars off of kids, who are way more athletes than students, though many are both. Just call them “kids” or “athletes” or “players” or more accurately “athlete-students”.

10) UTSA-San Jose State are playing in first round of WAC tournament this week in Las Vegas; they were supposed to play last weekend in San Jose, but game got rained out because the roof in San Jose leaks and it was raining out-- since both teams are awful, they didn’t bother rescheduling it.

9) Over last two years, Western Kentucky is 17-19 in Sun Belt regular season games, 8-0 in conference tournament games- they beat Mississippi Valley State by a point in a First Four game in Dayton LY, then got beat by Kentucky by 15 in the next round. They could be going back to Dayton.

8) I was looking at a list of free agents for my fantasy baseball league (16-team keeper league, 25-man rosters) and one set of stats from last year stood out to me: Chipper Jones, but obviously he is retired.

Have to keep on my toes in case the Bronx Bombers try to weasel in and get him to unretire-- his initial response was no, and Bronx is apparently trying to sign Derrek Lee now.

7) So I’m watching the Dodger-Rockies game Sunday and Colorado brings in a pitcher named Parker Frazier, whose dad George happens to be Rockies’ TV analyst. Tough gig for George when his kid gives up two runs on his first three pitches. Thought he might make a joke, but he just said, “I’m not going to lie to you, its tough seeing your kid give up a home run.”

6) Score a victory for common sense; New York Supreme Court Judge Milton Tingling overturned the un-American ban on 20+-ounce sodas put in by New York City's billionaire Mayor Bloomberg. When you start to restrict the civil liberties of people that much, where do you draw the line?

5) Tough day for my Rams; Seahawks traded for Percy Harvin, 49ers got Anquan Boldin from Baltimore, and my Rams, who desperately need any WR who can get open and catch the ball? Nothing yet.

Rams have two first round draft picks, so they'll make their moves, but the competition in the NFC West got stronger Monday.

4) Weird story about Miami Hurricanes’ basketball star Shane Larkin, whose dad is baseball Hall of Famer Barry Larkin.

When was a little kid, Shane went to baseball practice and tried to bat like Tony Perez, another former Reds’ great. Whatever genius he had for a coach ripped young Larkin, saying whoever taught him to hit didn’t know what he was talking about. Um, OK.....

Shane went home in tears, and both elder and younger Larkin claim that to this day, Shane has never picked up a bat since then.

Miami hoop coach Jim Larranaga probably likes that story.

3) Not sure this is good news, but when David DeJesus won Cubs’ bunting tournament at spring training last week, guy named Nate Halm finished second. Don’t pick Halm up for your fantasy team; he’s an assistant in the Cubs’ video department who once played college ball at Miami, OH.

Maybe the Cubs should just play for big innings this year.

2) Bizarre graphic of the year: Oakland scored the first hoop in its game against Fort Wayne Sunday night; a small graphic appears on the bottom of the screen: “Oakland is 9-3 when it scores first.”

Now, kudos to a dedicated soul who researched that tidbit, but its basketball people, who cares?!?!?! When does scoring first matter in basketball? Not since the shot clock came in. Yikes.

1) My advice to any college basketball teams who aren’t in the top 25; don’t assume you have an NCAA bid locked up. Win as many games as you can. Take nothing for granted. Play with a sense of urgency.

Some of the longest days of your life are the days between losing in the conference tournament and waiting to see if you got an at-large bid. No one is going to be listening to the teams who are wailing Sunday night when they’re a top seed in the NIT instead of one of the 68 happy teams in the country. Its very simple: keep winning, and you’ll wind up grinning.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:19 PM
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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

Oklahoma State is going dancing regardless of what happens in the Big 12 tournament. The Cowboys, who earned a No. 3 seed in the conference postseason, went 23-7 SU and 15-12-2 ATS with a big win over Kansas State to close the schedule. Those two Big 12 rivals, who split their meetings this season, are slotted for a rubber match in the semifinals of the conference tournament.

But before the Pokes start sizing up the Wildcats, they have to get past pesky Baylor in Kansas City Thursday. The Bears are still battling for their NCAA lives and scored a massive win over Kansas in the season finale. Baylor has given Oklahoma State problems all year. It defeated the Cowboys 64-54 as a 4.5-point home favorite on Jan. 21 and lost 69-67 to OSU in overtime as a 6.5-point road underdog on Feb. 6.

Letdown spot

The Dallas Mavericks are hanging on for dear life in the Western Conference. After sliding back to 10th in the standings, and out of the playoff picture, the Mavericks have dusted themselves off with three straight wins heading into a busy slate of games this week, highlighted by Thursday’s showdown in San Antonio.

A win over the conference-leading Spurs would be a major boost to Dallas’ postseason hopes heading into the home stretch of the schedule. The Mavericks follow that high-pressure situation in San Antonio with a home date against the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday – a game that has both letdown and lookahead potential. Dallas hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday.

Schedule spot

The Boston Bruins have a busy schedule this week, starting in Canada’s capital Monday night. The Bruins open a stretch of five games in seven days on the road versus the Ottawa Senators, then travel to the Steel City to play the Pittsburgh Penguins Tuesday.

Boston is back home for two more games, versus the Florida Panthers Thursday and Washington Capitals Saturday, before traveling back to Pittsburgh for another road contests versus Sidney Crosby and the Pens Sunday. Looking beyond that seven-day slate, the Bruins play six of their next eight away from Beantown, starting Monday.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:21 PM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

DePaul vs. Rutgers
The Blue Demons look to take advantage of a Rutgers team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a losing record. DePaul is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Scarlet Knights favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 12

Game 567-568: Princeton at Pennsylvania (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.597; Pennsylvania 51.544
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 7; 120
Vegas Line: Princeton by 5; 124
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-5); Under

Game 569-570: Seton Hall vs. South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 57.393; South Florida 58.852
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Pick; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida; Over

Game 571-572: DePaul vs. Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.821; Rutgers 56.094
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 145
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3); Under

Game 573-574: Nevada vs. Wyoming (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 53.466; Wyoming 55.101
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 1 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Over

Game 575-576: Seattle vs. Texas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.185; Texas State 47.180
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 142
Vegas Line: Seattle by 4; 147
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+4); Under

Game 577-578: TX-San Antonio vs. San Jose State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 45.626; San Jose State 44.078
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 579-580: North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.963; South Dakota State 60.603
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 4 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 581-582: Wright State at Valparaiso (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.676; Valparaiso 66.780
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10; 125
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 7 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-7 1/2); Over

Game 591-592: Coppin State vs. Bethune-Cookman (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 41.704; Bethune-Cookman 43.826
Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 2
Vegas Line: Bethune-Cookman by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Coppin State (+3 1/2)

Game 593-594: Florida A&M vs. North Carolina A&T (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 39.431; North Carolina A&T 47.548
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 8
Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 6
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina A&T (-6)

Game 595-596: Howard vs. Delaware State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 38.839; Delaware State 42.990
Dunkel Line: Delaware State by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+4 1/2)

Game 597-598: Mt. St. Mary's vs. LIU-Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 51.871; LIU-Brooklyn 57.401
Dunkel Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-3 1/2); Under




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:23 PM
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PRINCETON (16 - 11) at PENNSYLVANIA (9 - 21) - 3/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
PRINCETON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (12 - 18) vs. SETON HALL (14 - 17) - 3/12/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
SETON HALL is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (11 - 20) vs. RUTGERS (14 - 15) - 3/12/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DEPAUL is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DEPAUL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DEPAUL is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
DEPAUL is 2-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (12 - 18) vs. WYOMING (18 - 12) - 3/12/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEVADA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
NEVADA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
WYOMING is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WYOMING is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (8 - 21) vs. TEXAS ST (10 - 21) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
TEXAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons

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TX-SAN ANTONIO (8 - 21) vs. SAN JOSE ST (9 - 19) - 3/12/2013, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-1 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons

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WRIGHT ST (21 - 11) vs. VALPARAISO (25 - 7) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
VALPARAISO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VALPARAISO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
WRIGHT ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 5-1 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COPPIN ST (8 - 23) vs. BETHUNE-COOKMAN (12 - 19) - 3/12/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COPPIN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COPPIN ST is 2-1 straight up against BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA A&M (8 - 22) vs. N CAROLINA A&T (15 - 16) - 3/12/2013, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA A&T is 4-1 straight up against FLORIDA A&M over the last 3 seasons

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HOWARD (7 - 23) vs. DELAWARE ST (13 - 17) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE ST is 3-2 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (18 - 13) at LONG ISLAND (19 - 13) - 3/12/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG ISLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG ISLAND is 5-1 straight up against MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:28 PM
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 12

-- Princeton lost last two games, at Yale/Brown to hand Harvard the Ivy title, so this game is meaningless; Tigers (-16) beat Penn 65-53 at home in Ivy opener Jan 12, making 11-22 behind arc. Princeton is 3-3 on road, winning by 18-25-19 points. Last three Princeton games, five of last six Penn games went over the total. Quakers won four of last seven games with a home win over Harvard, after a dismal 5-18 start.

-- Seton Hall (-5) beat South Florida 55-47 at home Jan 23; Pirates made 58% of shots inside arc, survived 17 (-11) turnovers, but they've lost 10 of 11 games since then are turning ball over 23.9% of time. USF is 2-1 in last three games, after losing previous 10; they've won Big East tourney games three years in row. Seton Hall won first tourney games three of last four years. 13 of last 19 USF games stayed under total.
-- DePaul (-1.5) beat Rutgers 75-69 at home Feb 16, outscoring Scarlet Knight 11-3 over last 2:42 for its only win in last 16 games- they're 1-5 in Big East tournament games, with only win in '09. Rutgers lost four of five in this event last six seasons, winning in OT in '11. Over is 9-3-1 in last 13 DePaul games; five of last seven Rutgers games stayed under the total. Scarlet Knights lost 11 of their last 13 games overall.

-- Wyoming was 12-0 when Martinez (42% on 3's) got tossed after fight off-campus; they're 4-12 in MWC, losing last five games, four by 11+ points, but they beat Nevada twice, 59-48 (+1.5) in Reno Jan 12, 68-48 (-6.5) at home Feb 13. Cowboys are 0-3 in this event last three seasons; this is Nevada's first MWC tourney. Wolf Pack lost its last seven games, six by 11+ points. Eight of last ten Nevada games went over.

-- Texas State beat Seattle twice this year, 86-83 (+7.5) on road Jan 26, 67-65 (-1) at home Feb 28, despite trailing both games at half. Bobcats are 6-7 in last 13 games after a 4-14 start. Seattle lost 16 of last 19 games after starting season 5-5; their last six losses were all by 6 or less points. Seven of last nine Seattle games stayed under the total. Seattle turns ball over over 25.4% of time, makes only 62.2% from foul line. Not good.
-- San Jose State lost its best player Kinney when they were 9-6; they're 0-13 without him, allowing 86.3 ppg in last three, losing last two games by 27-23 points. Spartans (+4) won 80-67 in San Antonio Dec 31- they made 59% inside arc, 9-18 outside it. Rematch was rained out due to San Jose's gym having leaky roof. Roadrunners are 3-2 in last five games, but started season 5-19; they lost last two games by 16-20 points.

-- Valparaiso/Wright State both won buzzer beaters last game; Crusaders swept Wright State this year, winning 69-63 (-9) at home Jan 19, 68-61 (-1) in Dayton Feb 12- they made 57/61% inside arc in the two games. Valpo lost this game at home LY to Detroit; they're most #1 team in US in experience, #5 in eFG%- they've won nine of last 10 games. Wright won last three games overall, three of last four true road games.

-- Home side won both North Dakota State-South Dakota State games this year; Bison (-7) won 65-62 at home, then lost rematch 69-53 (+2). All five Jackrabbit starters played 36+ minutes last night in game they trailed at half- their two subs played total of 12 minutes. Over is 10-2 in North Dakota State's last dozen games. Bison wore down shorthanded Western Illinois for its fourth win in row; three starters played 33:00+.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:30 PM
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NCAAB

Tuesday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. SETON HALL
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 5 games when playing South Florida
Seton Hall is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing South Florida

7:30 PM
PRINCETON vs. PENNSYLVANIA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games
Pennsylvania is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Princeton

8:00 PM
NEVADA vs. WYOMING
No trends available
Wyoming is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. VALPARAISO
Wright State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wright State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
Valparaiso is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 9 games

9:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games
Texas State is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

9:30 PM
DEPAUL vs. RUTGERS
No trends available
Rutgers is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing DePaul
Rutgers is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games

11:30 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. SAN JOSE STATE
No trends available
San Jose State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:31 PM
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Posts: 10543

NCAAB


Tuesday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Four betting trends for NCAAB conference title games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

It’s championship week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance for all the teams cutting down the nets after their conference tournament championship game.

Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, pay close attention to these four college conference championship moneymaking scenarios.

Note: All results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990.

Size matters

Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.

That’s confirmed by the fact that teams who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 64-44-3 ATS in conference title games.

Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 29-3 SU and 23-8-1 ATS, including 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in their most recent meeting.

Ain’t no stopping us now

Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive at the conference championship game.

No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 points per game or better are 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS.

Put them up against an opponent that failed to cover the spread by more than six points in its last game and they zoom right to the head of the class, going 12-0 SU and 12-0 ATS.

Home teams in title games – Use them, don’t abuse them

Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that host teams are 38-15 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.

If these home advantaged teams lost one or fewer games at home on the season, they improve to 23-1 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, including 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2-seeded opponent.

Best of all, these one-loss or less wonders are 4-0 SU and ATS if the opponent did not cover the number in its semifinal contest.

Dogs with a higher win percentage have no bite

As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in championship games.

When the oddsmakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage as the favorite, they know what they’re doing. That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 17-26-2 ATS in these games.

And if the favorite owns a win percentage of .700 or more, the underdog dips to 7-18 ATS.

Better yet, underdogs with a better record who arrive to the title game off back-to-back SU and ATS wins against .700 or greater opponents are a lowly 1-9 ATS. Buyer beware.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:34 PM
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NCAAB

Tuesday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Big East tourney: DePaul vs. Rutgers, Seton Hall vs. South Florida
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DePaul vs. Rutgers (-3, 146)

Rutgers will likely have a little more on its mind than avenging a loss to DePaul last month when they meet in the opening round of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. Despite a second-half scoring explosion from Myles Mack, the Scarlet Knights were unable to overcome the season-ending loss of leading scorer Eli Carter to a fractured right fibula in a 75-69 setback on Feb. 16 against the Blue Demons – one of DePaul’s two conference victories. The loss to the Blue Demons triggered a five-game losing streak, which ended in Friday’s 56-51 win at Seton Hall.

DePaul, which ranks last in the Big East in scoring and field-goal percentage defense, is in the midst of a six-game skid, losing by an average of 17.2 points. The Blue Demons are also searching for their first win in the Big East tournament since defeating Cincinnati in 2009, but have defeated Rutgers in each of their last two meetings. The winner of this contest will meet Notre Dame in the second round.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU

ABOUT DEPAUL (11-20): With two 3-pointers Saturday against Pittsburgh, junior Brandon Young (16.6 points, 4.6 assists) became the 17th player in school history to reach 100. As a result, he also became the first Blue Demon to record 1,200 points, 400 assists and 100 3-pointers for his career. Young and Connecticut’s Shabazz Napier were the only players in the conference to finish the regular season among the top eight in both points and assists. Cleveland Melvin did not start for the first time all season against Pittsburgh, but he posted his 100th career block - only the ninth player in school history to do so.

ABOUT RUTGERS (14-15): Mack has been one of the bright spots for the Scarlet Knights, who fell off after beginning the season 12-4, including a 3-2 start in the conference. The sophomore ranks first among the league’s guards in field goal percentage (48 percent), leads the Big East in 3-point field goal percentage (45.1) and is second in conference in free throw percentage (87.8). Mack followed up his 28-point outburst against DePaul with 24 against Villanova, but averaged only 11 points over the last four games. Jerome Seagears and Kadeem Jack initially increased their point production in Carter’s absence, but are averaging only 14.4 points combined over the last three contests.

TRENDS:

* Blue Demons are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Four of the last five meetings have been decided by six points or less, including the last three.

2. DePaul’s opponents are shooting 54.6 percent from the field and averaging 82 points during its losing streak.

3. Rutgers averaged 59.6 points during league play – a sharp drop from its 74.3-point average during its non-conference schedule.


Seton Hall vs. South Florida (Pick, 116)

South Florida will attempt to continue its late-season resurgence on Tuesday when it meets Seton Hall in the opening round of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden. The Bulls resided in the conference basement for most of the season, with a 55-47 home win over Georgetown on Jan. 23 serving as its only league win through 15 games. However, South Florida snapped a 10-game losing streak with consecutive victories over DePaul and Connecticut before falling in overtime at Cincinnati to close out the regular season.

The Pirates suffered their own misery during the conference schedule, enduring a nine-game slide following a win over South Florida in the teams’ only meeting on Jan. 23. Seton Hall ended its losing streak with a home victory over Villanova on Feb. 25, but closed out the regular season with consecutive losses to match the Bulls’ 3-15 conference record. The winner of this contest will meet Syracuse in the second round.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU

ABOUT SETON HALL (14-17): The Pirates have been ravaged by injuries as Fuquan Edwin (16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.5 steals) is one of only four players that have played in all 31 games. Despite a constantly-changing supporting cast, Edwin ranks seventh in the conference in scoring, 17th in rebounding and second in steals. The Pirates averaged 15.9 turnovers and 20.7 fouls during conference play – both league-high marks – somewhat offsetting their Big East-best 135 3-pointers. In the January meeting, Seton Hall survived a minus-11 turnover margin by shooting 52.5 percent from the field – its best effort in Big East play.

ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (12-18): Much like last year, Victor Rudd (12.3 points, 7.1 rebounds) is closing out the season with a flurry, averaging 17.4 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last seven games since returning from a groin injury. Over that same stretch, the junior forward has posted three of his team-leading seven double-doubles. In their victories over the Blue Demons and Huskies, the Bulls – who finished last in the conference in field goal percentage (39.4) and 10th in 3-point field goal percentage (32) – shot 50 percent from the floor and 46.8 percent beyond the arc.

TRENDS:

* Pirates are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record.

TIP-INS:

1. South Florida used 15 different starting lineups during the regular season while Seton Hall was forced to go with 14.

2. After scoring at least 70 points in 11 of its first 15 games, Seton Hall hasn’t reached that mark since.

3. The Bulls collected a season-high 11 steals in the first meeting.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:36 PM
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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 12

Big East Tournament, First Round
South Florida vs. Seton Hall, 7:00 ET ESPNU
South Florida: 1-8 ATS away playing their third game in a week
Seton Hall: 10-2 ATS away off BB losses

Big East Tournament, First Round
DePaul vs. Rutgers, 9:30 ET ESPNU
DePaul: 1-9 ATS after losing 12+ of their last 15 games
Rutgers: 7-0 ATS away after playing as an underdog

Mountain West Tournament, First Round
Nevada vs. Wyoming, 8:00 ET
Nevada: 13-1 ATS after playing 4+ games as an underdog
Wyoming: 2-10 ATS off BB conference games

WAC Tournament, First Round
Seattle vs. Texas State, 9:00 ET
Seattle: 10-2 ATS away off a SU loss
Texas State: 1-5 ATS after scoring 80+ points

WAC Tournament, First Round
Texas San Antonio vs. San Jose State, 11:30 ET
TX San Antonio: 9-1 Over in tournament games
San Jose State: 1-7 ATS off a loss by 15+ points

Summit Tournament, Championship
North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State, 9:00 ET ESPN2
North Dakota State: 2-9 ATS off 4+ wins
South Dakota State: 24-11 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

Horizon Tournament, Championship
Wright State at Valparaiso, 9:00 ET ESPN
Wright State: 8-1 ATS away off 3+ conference games
Valparaiso: 14-4 Under off a home game

MEAC Tournament, First Round
Coppin State vs. Bethune Cookman, 4:00 ET
Coppin State: 1-9 ATS off a conference game
Bethune Cookman: 7-0 ATS off BB road games

MEAC Tournament, First Round
Florida A&M vs. North Carolina A&T, 6:30 ET
Florida A&M: 3-7 ATS off 3+ losses
North Carolina A&T: 3-0 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

MEAC Tournament, First Round
Howard vs. Delaware State, 9:00 ET
Howard: 2-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less
Delaware State: 2-9 ATS playing on a neutral court

Northeast Tournament, Championship
Mount St. Mary's vs. Long Island, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Mount St. Mary's: 7-0 Under off a road game
Long Island: 6-0 ATS vs. conference opponents




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-12-13 06:38 PM
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Tuesday, March 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida A&M - 6:30 PM ET No.Carolina A&T -7.5 500
No.Carolina A&T -

Seton Hall - 7:00 PM ET Seton Hall +1 500
South Florida - Under 116.5 500

Mount St. Mary's - 7:00 PM ET LIU Brooklyn -3.5 500
LIU Brooklyn - Over 156.5 500

Princeton - 7:30 PM ET Princeton -6 500
Pennsylvania - Over 125.5 500

Nevada - 8:00 PM ET Wyoming -4 500
Wyoming - Under 119.5 500

Howard - 9:00 PM ET Delaware State -4 500 POD
Delaware State -

DePaul - 9:00 PM ET Rutgers -3 500
Rutgers - Under 143 500

Wright St. - 9:00 PM ET Wright St. +8 500
Valparaiso - Under 122.5 500

Seattle - 9:00 PM ET Seattle -3 500 POD
Texas State - Under 145 500

North Dakota State - 9:00 PM ET South Dakota State -1 500
South Dakota State - Over 124 500

Texas-San Antonio - 11:30 PM ET Texas-San Antonio -5 500
San Jose St. - Under 126.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 12:39 AM
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Early Game:


Wednesday, March 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 12:00 PM ET Providence +3 500

Providence - Under 123.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:41 PM
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Wednesday Tips

March 12, 2013

College basketball heats up with Championship Week continuing on Wednesday. The Big East and Pac 12 are among the conferences that will showcase four matchups in the quarterfinal round, while the SEC and Big 12 tip off their tournaments with a pair of contests. We'll take a look at these 15 games to get you ready for a monster week of action leading up to the NCAA Tournament.

Big East (Madison Square Garden, New York):

(8) Providence vs. (9) Cincinnati - 12:00 PM EST

-- The Bearcats are listed as 3 ˝-point favorites with a total of 122 ˝.
-- Cincinnati is 2-4 SU and 0-6 ATS the last six games, while losing four consecutive road contests.
-- Providence has won seven of its last nine contests, while covering six times in this stretch.
-- The Friars beat the Bearcats as four-point home underdogs, 54-50 on February 6.

(5) Syracuse vs. (12) Seton Hall - 2:30 PM EST

-- Syracuse started conference play at 10-3, but the Orange stumbled down the stretch by losing and failing to cover four of their final five games.
-- Seton Hall won for just the second time in the last 13 games by rallying past USF last night in overtime, 46-42.
-- The Orange beat the Pirates at the Prudential Center, 76-65 as 8 ˝-point favorites on February 16.

(7) Villanova vs. (10) St. John's - 7:00 PM EST

-- The Wildcats are listed as 4 ˝-point favorites with a total of 125 ˝.
-- Villanova owns a 6-3 SU/ATS record the past nine games, but all three losses came on the road.
-- St. John's is 1-6 SU and 4-3 ATS the previous seven contests, while scoring 59 points or less in five straight away games.
-- The Wildcats beat the Red Storm in overtime, 98-86 on January 2 to cash as 7 ˝-point 'chalk.'

(6) Notre Dame vs. (11) Rutgers - 9:30 PM EST

-- Notre Dame split its final six games, but lost four of its last five road contests.
-- Rutgers won its second consecutive game with last night's 76-57 blowout of DePaul, while covering five of its last six contests.
-- The Irish edged the Scarlet Knights on January 19 in South Bend, 69-66 as 11 ˝-point 'chalk.'

Pac 12 (MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas):

(8) Stanford vs. (9) Arizona State - 3:00 PM EST

-- Stanford is listed as a 3 ˝-point favorite with a total of 134.
-- The Cardinal split their last 10 games, while posting a 2-4 ATS record as a favorite.
-- The Sun Devils have dropped four straight, while cashing the 'under' in eight of the last nine.
-- Stanford squeezed by Arizona State on February 9 as 1 ˝-point road 'dogs, 62-59.

(5) Colorado vs. (12) Oregon State - 5:30 PM EST

-- Colorado is listed as a 4 ˝-point favorite with the total set at 134.
-- The Buffaloes have split their last six games, while cashing the 'under' in 13 of the past 14 contests.
-- The Beavers snapped a five-game skid by beating Colorado last Saturday, 64-58 in Boulder as 9 ˝-point underdogs.
-- CU owns a 1-4 ATS the last five games as a favorite, while OSU is 5-3 ATS the previous eight opportunities as a single-digit 'dog.

(7) USC vs. (10) Utah - 9:00 PM EST

-- USC is listed as a 1 ˝-point favorite.
-- The Trojans have lost four of six since a four-game winning streak, while posting a 1-4 ATS record the last five.
-- The Utes closed conference play with back-to-back home wins over Oregon and Oregon State, while covering six of the last eight games overall.
-- USC blasted Utah as three-point road 'dogs on January 12 in a 76-59 rout.

(6) Washington vs. (11) Washington State - 11:30 PM EST

-- Washington is listed as a 1 ˝-point favorite with the total set at 127.
-- The Huskies have won four of their previous six, while hitting the 'under' in eight of the last nine games.
-- The Cougars finished the season with a sweep of the L.A. schools by beating USC and UCLA in Pullman. WSU compiled an 0-9 SU and 3-5-1 ATS record against conference foes on the road.
-- Washington beat Washington State each time this season, but the Cougars covered in Seattle on March 3 as seven-point 'dogs in a 72-68 defeat.

Big 12 (Sprint Center, Kansas City):

(8) West Virginia vs. (9) Texas Tech - 7:00 PM EST

-- West Virginia is listed as an 8 ˝-point favorite with the total set at 131.
-- The Mountaineers enter their first Big 12 tournament with a 1-7 SU/ATS record the last eight games, with the lone victory coming against Texas Tech, 66-64.
-- The Red Raiders have won just one of their previous 12 trips to the court, while posting a 4-8 ATS record in this stretch.
-- WVU swept the season series, which included a 77-61 road triumph on February 2 as 4 ˝-point 'chalk.'

(7) Texas vs. (10) TCU - 9:30 PM EST

-- Texas is listed as 11-point favorites with a low total of 115.
-- The Longhorns are 5-3 SU and 5-2-1 ATS the last eight games, while beating Baylor and Oklahoma at home.
-- TCU snapped an eight-game skid by holding off Oklahoma in the season finale, 70-67 as 11 ˝-point home underdogs.
-- Texas took both meetings from TCU, including a 68-59 triumph in Ft. Worth on February 19 as 5 ˝-point favorites.

SEC (Bridgestone Arena, Nashville):

(12) South Carolina vs. (13) Mississippi State - 7:30 PM EST

-- South Carolina is listed as a 5 ˝-point favorite with the total set at 128.
-- The Gamecocks failed to cover each of their last five games, which included a 79-72 victory over Mississippi State as nine-point favorites.
-- After losing 13 straight games, the Bulldogs won two of their final three contests, while covering in three consecutive games.
-- In the seven-point victory by South Carolina last week, Mississippi State shot 51% from the floor, but missed 11 free throws.

(11) Texas A&M vs. (14) Auburn - 10:00 PM EST

-- Texas A&M is listed as 5 ˝-point favorites with the total set at 119.
-- The Aggies have lost four of their previous five, while going 3-6 ATS the last nine games.
-- The Tigers can't catch a break by losing nine straight, while failing to cover in eight consecutive contests.
-- Texas A&M knocked off Auburn in a pick-em spot on February 20 on the road, 65-56.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:46 PM
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Boise St. vs. San Diego St.

March 13, 2013

After splitting a pair of regular-season meetings, San Diego St. and Boise St. will collide in a rubber game of monumental importance late Wednesday night in Las Vegas at the Thomas & Mack Center.

As of early Tuesday night, most books had the Aztecs listed as four-point favorites for this Mountain West Conference Tournament quarterfinals matchup. The total was 132. Gamblers can expect to see the Broncos at around +160 on the money line (risk $100 to win $160).

These schools finished with identical overall records and in a tie for fourth place (both 9-7) in the Mtn. West standings. This has prompted many pundits to look at this game as a win-and-you’re-in scenario, but I disagree with that notion. I think both teams are at-large squads regardless of what happens in Vegas.

Boise St. (21-9 straight up, 16-10 against the spread) has won five of its last six games, including Saturday’s 69-65 win over San Diego St. as a two-point home favorite. Derrick Marks was the catalyst, producing 27 points, nine rebounds, six assists and a pair of blocked shots. Anthony Drmic added 23 points for the Broncos, who are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

In the losing effort, Xavier Thames had a team-high 18 points, including a pair of deep treys that sparked a late Aztecs’ run that saw them erased a double-digit deficit to pull within one. However, when San Diego St. appeared poised to take the lead after a basket and a quick steal, Marks came out of nowhere to block a layup attempt.

Marks gathered the ball following the block and then got fouled. When he buried both shots from the charity stripe and BSU got a stop, the four-point swing and defensive stand put the game on ice.

Before this 10-game spread surge for BSU, we should note that the team was dealing with several injuries to key players. Since it has been back at full strength, Boise St. has played extremely well, especially for our purposes. The Broncos’ only loss in the last six games came in a 68-64 decision at UNLV last week in a game that could’ve gone either way.

San Diego St. (21-9 SU, 12-12-1 ATS) has lost two of its last three games and has dropped four in a row ATS. The Aztecs have been single-digit favorites 11 times, compiling a 5-6 spread record.

Steve Fisher’s team is led by junior guard Jamaal Franklin, who averages team-highs in points (17.0 PPG), rebounding (9.4 RPG), assists (3.1 APG) and steals (1.5 per game). Franklin had 14 points, eight rebounds and three assists in the first regular-season meeting against Boise St.

On that night, San Diego St.’s Chase Tapley drained a 3-pointer with 2.8 seconds remaining to lift his team to a 63-62 win as a 9.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Thames did not play in this game for the Aztecs, while BSU was without Igor Hadziomerovic (5.4 PPG and 3.0 RPG).

San Diego St. is No. 31 in the RPI Rankings, going 4-7 against the RPI Top 50 and 7-9 versus the RPI Top 100. The Aztecs have zero shameful losses with a 70-67 defeat at Air Force (RPI: 72) serving as the closest thing.

BSU has an RPI of 38, posting a 4-6 record against RPI Top 50 opponents and an 8-7 mark versus RPI Top 100 foes.

These schools have squared off five times in the last two seasons. The Aztecs have won outright in four of those encounters, but BSU has taken the money at a 4-1 ATS clip. All five meetings have gone ‘under’ the total.

The ‘over’ is 12-9-1 overall for San Diego St., but the ‘under’ has connected in its last three outings.

The ‘under’ is 9-7-1 overall for Boise St., 3-0-1 in its last four games.

This game will tip approximately 30 following the conclusion of New Mexico’s game, estimated to be around midnight Eastern. The CBS Sports Network (channel 613 on DirecTV) will provide television coverage.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Add Iona -4 vs. Manhattan in Monday’s MAAC Tournament finals to the all-time Bad Beats Club. The Gaels took a 60-52 lead on a basket with six seconds remaining. Next, the Jaspers made a meaning-less 3-pointer with one tick left to cut the deficit to 60-55. Then the unthinkable happened. The Iona fans stormed the court, prompting officials to issue a technical foul. Manhattan hit both free throws to give its backers a wild backdoor cover in a 60-57 setback.

--Georgia owns a 12-1 spread record in its last 13 games. The Bulldogs are one-point favorites Thursday afternoon vs. LSU in an SEC Tournament quarterfinals matchup in Nashville.

--The ‘over’ has hit in 10 consecutive Oklahoma games. As for Iowa St., it has seen the ‘over’ cash in 13 straight games. Fittingly, these teams meet Thursday afternoon in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals. Only one offshore book (CRIS) had a total posted (as of late Tuesday afternoon) and it was 150.

--The 'under' is on a sick 14-1-1 run in Gonzaga's last 16 games. The Bulldogs beat Saint Mary's for a third time this season in the WCC Tournament finals, cruising to a 65-51 win Monday as 6.5-point favorites. The 116 combined points stayed 'under' the 136-point total.

--Cincinnati will face Providence in today's lid-lifter at the Big East Tournament. The Bearcats, who are 3.5-point favorites, have failed to cover the number in six straight games and eight of their last nine. The 'under' is 20-4 overall for Cincy this season. The total was 122 as of early this morning.

--The 'under' has cashed in 10 consecutive Colorado games and 13 of its last 14. When the Buffs take on Oregon St. today at the Pac-12 Tournament at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, the total will be 134 (as of early this a.m.).




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:49 PM
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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Buffalo Bills cut starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, leaving Tarvaris Jackson as their current #1 guy. Curious to see where Buffalo goes from here.

-- Siena fired basketball coach Mitch Buonogaro, a very nice man who did not win nearly enough games to keep the natives happy.

-- Notre Dame got its way, will be playing ACC basketball next winter. Wonder if they paid the $2.5M to bolt, or if NBC paid it for them.

-- South Dakota State wins Summit League for the second year in a row, beating North Dakota State 73-67. Jackrabbits won at New Mexico, are a capable offensive team.

-- LIU won the NEC title for third year in a row. Its hard to win a league tournament three years in a row, and they were the #3 seed this time.

-- Lakers 106, Orlando 97-- Dwight Howard was fouled a lot in his return to Orlando; he was 25-39 from foul line, 16-20 in second half. Lot of folks paid a lot of money to watch a guy shoot 39 foul shots.


*****

Armadillo:Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) This question dawned on me today: Is Rick Pitino the greatest all-time coach of other coaches? Billy Donovan-Travis Ford-Marvin Menzies-Jim O’Brien-Richard Pitino-Herb Sendek-Tubby Smith-Reggie Theus-Jeff Van Gundy- Ralph/Kevin Willard-Sean Woods all worked for Pitino.

Its an interesting question, but I think the answer is yes.

12) Then there is Ole Miss, where there are rumors that Andy Kennedy will be gone if the Rebels don’t make the NCAAs. Are you serious?

You try competing in same league as Kentucky/Florida in basketball at a school where one of the primary mascots is still an old white dude carrying the Confederate Flag. Seriously.

If Kennedy gets canned, his agent’s cellphone will blow up with job offers from other schools. Good jobs, too.

11) Holly Madison is taking heat for naming her daughter Rainbow Aurora; maybe she’s just a fan of the knuckleball, and is naming her daughter after Toronto pitcher RA Dickey. Or maybe she just likes unusual names.

10) Sometimes its fun to grade the conferences during Championship Week by who announces the championship game of their tournament; for example, Bob Valvano did Summit League game, which puts them ahead of the MAAC, who had some guy I hadn't heard all year doing Manhattan-Iona Monday night. Bill Raftery used to do the MAAC game every year.

9) There is a TV show called Robot Combat League, kind of a life-sized version of Rock ‘em/Sock ‘em Robots. It is hosted by pro wrestler Chris Jericho, and its on the list with Amish Mafia of shows I’ll never watch.

8) Its that time of year; someone took an ad out in the Wake Forest student newspaper calling for the ouster of basketball coach Jeff Bzdelik, who is regarded as a superior tactician, but hasn’t recruited well. Can’t win without good players.

7) I truly enjoy the NFL, but how does an ESPN talkshow devote its whole show to NFL free agency in March, where there is March Madness, the NBA/NHL and spring training going on? I can see doing it the day the 2013 schedule comes out, but the few hours before free agency? No thanks.

6) That said, the I-heart radio app on my I-Phone is outstanding. Listen to a music station in Fort Myers and hear car dealer Billy Fuccillo yelling “HUGE!!!!!” into my ears during commercials. Fuccillo is everywhere, and his commercials are great fun, as commercials go.

5) One college AD was complaining over weekend that out of 31 basketball conferences that get an automatic bid, only one not concerned with some form of realignment is the Ivy League. Tough time to be an AD; you don’t want your school to lose out in this high stakes game of musical chairs. Even the Patriot League added Loyola, Md and Boston U for next season.

4) In case you were wondering, Saturday is National Meatball Day. Just thought you’d like to know.

3) The more I observe Indiana coach Tom Crean, the more I wonder: Do coaches ever get drug tested? He acts like he sucks down a gallon of Red Bull before every game. His outburst at end of the Michigan game was odd.

2) If you had Iona -4 Monday night, my condolences; Gaels led by 8 with 0:06 left over Manhattan; Jaspers go length of court, stick a 3 from left corner, clock stops with 0:00.1 left, and some combination of Iona players/ fans come on the court to celebrate, because they thought the game was over.

Now none of the celebrants made it onto the TV shot, so how far onto the court could they have gotten?

Refs called a technical, Jaspers made both foul shots, lost by 3 and covered the spread, scoring five points in less than a second. Very hideous way to lose a bet; seems like given the circumstances, common sense would’ve dictated just clear them off the floor and play the last 0:00.1, but that’s not what happened, maybe partly because the refs had given Manhattan coach Masiello a technical for being out of the coaches’ box earlier in second half.

1) “Someone is going to win the national title, but is any team capable of playing six good games in a row?”

Read someone ask that on Twitter this week, and its another fair question. Every team has a significant flaw; the eventual champ will probably have to grind out at least one game in the tournament, when they don’t bring their A game, which makes filling your bracket out so interesting.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:55 PM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Oregon State vs. Colorado
The Beavers look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games against teams with a losing SU record. Oregon State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Buffaloes favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13

Game 623-624: Cincinnati vs. Providence (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 64.189; Providence 63.404
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 126
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+3 1/2); Over

Game 625-626: Seton Hall vs. Syracuse (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 57.393; Syracuse 69.745
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 12 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 627-628: St. John's vs. Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 60.156; Villanova 67.906
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 7 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-4 1/2); Under

Game 629-630: Rutgers vs. Notre Dame (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 58.587; Notre Dame 69.623
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 11; 134
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 631-632: Stanford vs. Arizona State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 62.899; Arizona State 61.278
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4; 134
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+4); Over

Game 633-634: Colorado vs. Oregon State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 62.924; Oregon State 59.697
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 3; 130
Vegas Line: Colorado by 4 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 635-636: USC vs. Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 58.363; Utah 59.161
Dunkel Line: Utah by 1; 128
Vegas Line: USC by 2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2); Over

Game 637-638: Washington vs. Washington State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 63.084; Washington State 56.752
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Washington by 1; 127
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Under

Game 639-640: Air Force vs. UNLV (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 60.602; UNLV 63.927
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 3 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: UNLV by 10; 135
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+10); Over

Game 641-642: Fresno State vs. Colorado State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 55.091; Colorado State 66.465
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 11 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 9 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 643-644: Wyoming vs. New Mexico (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 55.338; New Mexico 67.072
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 645-646: Boise State vs. San Diego State (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 62.913; San Diego State 68.053
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 5; 129
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4; 132
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-4); Under

Game 647-648: SMU vs. UAB (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 55.963; UAB 56.290
Dunkel Line: Even; 136
Vegas Line: UAB by 2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+2); Over

Game 649-650: Rice vs. Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 45.325; Houston 54.685
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Houston by 11; 144
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+11); Under

Game 651-652: Marshall vs. Tulane (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 52.859; Tulane 55.167
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 2 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Tulane by 3 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+3 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: Buffalo vs. Ball State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 56.547; Ball State 52.153
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under

Game 655-656: Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 47.705; Miami (OH) 51.563
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4; 116
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2 1/2; 113
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-2 1/2); Over

Game 657-658: Texas Tech vs. West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 49.858; West Virginia 59.803
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 10; 127
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 8; 131
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-8); Under

Game 659-660: TCU vs. Texas (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 52.697; Texas 61.433
Dunkel Line: Texas by 8 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Texas by 11; 115
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+11); Over

Game 661-662: South Carolina vs. Mississippi State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.633; Mississippi State 47.161
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-5 1/2); Under

Game 663-664: Texas A&M vs. Auburn (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 60.022; Auburn 52.345
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-5 1/2)

Game 671-672: McNeese State vs. Nicholls State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: McNeese State 46.807Nicholls State 44.737
Dunkel Line: McNeese State by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: McNeese State

Game 673-674: Central Arkansas vs. Sam Houston State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 39.975; Sam Houston State 46.224
Dunkel Line: Sam Houston State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Sam Houston State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sam Houston State (-4 1/2)

Game 675-676: Bethune-Cookman vs. Norfolk State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 44.714; Norfolk State 51.654
Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 677-678: North Carolina A&T vs. North Carolina Central (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 47.036; North Carolina Central 51.127
Dunkel Line: North Carolina Central by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 679-680: Lafayette at Bucknell (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 52.337; Bucknell 64.473
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 12
Vegas Line: Bucknell by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (-10 1/2)

Game 681-682: Grambling vs. Alabama A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling 21.381; Alabama A&M 37.612
Dunkel Line: Alabama A&M by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama A&M by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Grambling (+17 1/2)




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:57 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 13

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CINCINNATI (21 - 10) vs. PROVIDENCE (17 - 13) - 3/13/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
CINCINNATI is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-1 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VILLANOVA (19 - 12) at ST JOHNS (16 - 14) - 3/13/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 1-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (20 - 11) vs. STANFORD (18 - 13) - 3/13/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
STANFORD is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 5-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 5-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON ST (14 - 17) vs. COLORADO (20 - 10) - 3/13/2013, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-2 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (13 - 17) vs. USC (14 - 17) - 3/13/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
USC is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (13 - 18) vs. WASHINGTON (17 - 14) - 3/13/2013, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (17 - 12) at UNLV (23 - 8) - 3/13/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
AIR FORCE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
AIR FORCE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
AIR FORCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
UNLV is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
UNLV is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNLV is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 5-2 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 6-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (11 - 18) vs. COLORADO ST (24 - 7) - 3/13/2013, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 49-81 ATS (-40.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
FRESNO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) on Wednesday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 3-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (21 - 9) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (21 - 9) - 3/13/2013, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-1 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (15 - 16) vs. UAB (15 - 16) - 3/13/2013, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
SMU is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
UAB is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 2-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 3-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RICE (5 - 25) vs. HOUSTON (18 - 11) - 3/13/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 4-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 4-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (13 - 18) vs. TULANE (18 - 13) - 3/13/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
MARSHALL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
MARSHALL is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MARSHALL is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TULANE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (13 - 19) vs. BALL ST (15 - 14) - 3/13/2013, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (9 - 21) vs. E MICHIGAN (15 - 17) - 3/13/2013, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 05:59 PM
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Posts: 10543

TEXAS TECH (10 - 19) vs. W VIRGINIA (13 - 18) - 3/13/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
TEXAS TECH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
W VIRGINIA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
W VIRGINIA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (11 - 20) vs. TEXAS (15 - 16) - 3/13/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TCU is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (9 - 21) vs. S CAROLINA (14 - 17) - 3/13/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) on Wednesday games this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 3-1 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (9 - 22) vs. TEXAS A&M (17 - 14) - 3/13/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
AUBURN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
AUBURN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.
TEXAS A&M is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

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MCNEESE ST (13 - 16) vs. NICHOLLS ST (9 - 20) - 3/13/2013, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MCNEESE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons
MCNEESE ST is 5-2 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C ARKANSAS (13 - 16) vs. SAM HOUSTON ST (15 - 16) - 3/13/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAM HOUSTON ST is 4-0 straight up against C ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons

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LAFAYETTE (19 - 14) at BUCKNELL (27 - 5) - 3/13/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 2-0 against the spread versus LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 7-1 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GRAMBLING (0 - 27) vs. ALABAMA A&M (10 - 19) - 3/13/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA A&M is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
ALABAMA A&M is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
ALABAMA A&M is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA A&M is 3-3 straight up against GRAMBLING over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-13-13 06:00 PM
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