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CNOTES
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NFL

Week 6

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Tale of the tape: Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans
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Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Thursday night’s showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.

Offense

Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall had a strong performance in his first game since tearing his ACL on New Year’s Day. The Illinois product rushed for 81 yards and a TD last Sunday against the Eagles. He also caught two passes for 20 yards and was called “a savior” to the offense by QB Ben Roethlisberger after the game. Big Ben passed for 207 yards without a TD Sunday, but recorded his 25th-career fourth-quarter comeback.

Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck will make his second straight start for Tennessee Thursday in place of injured first-string signal-caller Jake Locker (shoulder). Second-string RB Javon Ringer is expected to miss four to six weeks with a strained left MCL suffered in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss to the Vikings. That means Chris Johnson will see a heavy workload against the Steelers. He rushed 15 times for just 24 yards last week.

Edge: Steelers


Defense

Pittsburgh will be without S Troy Polamalu, who aggravated his strained right calf in the first quarter of the victory over the Eagles. The All-Pro originally sustained the injury in the season opener and missed the team's next two games. Linebacker LaMarr Woodley is considered doubtful with a strained right hamstring. Pittsburgh ranks fifth in the NFL with 280.0 yards allowed per contest, but it's given up 65 total points in road defeats to Denver and Oakland.

The Tennessee Titans have been blown out in four of their five games this year and have allowed a league-worst 181 points. The Titans rank in the bottom quarter of the NFL in points allowed, total yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed and sacks allowed.

Edge: Steelers


Special Teams

Steelers K Shaun Suisham booted a 34-yard field goal as time expired Sunday, helping Pittsburgh avoid its first 1-3 start under coach Mike Tomlin. His three field goals (20, 34 and 34 yards) were his most in a contest since the Steelers beat New England in October 2011. Suisham is perfect on the season, hitting all eight of his field-goal attempts.

Titans kick returner Darius Reynaud was named the AFC Special Teams Player for the month of September for a reason. Reynaud is the first Titans player to win an AFC Player of the Month Award for special teams and is averaging 27.6 yards per kick return. The West Virginia product brought a kick back 105 yards for a TD against the Lions on Sept. 23.

Edge: Tie


Word on the street

We've also got a desire to increase our chances of winning, and when you're picking up 30 yards of penalties in one drive that's going to give people an opportunity to score. So, obviously, we're trying to rectify those things. We're less concerned with judgments and interpretations and more concerned about playing in a manner that the flags stay in the pocket.''-- Steelers coach Mike Tomlin on his team’s recent lack of discipline.

"That’s just part of the makeup of them (Steelers). They’re a 3-4 team, so they’re going to bring at least four, which most teams do on a 4-3. But you can get four or five guys every snap. I think the thing they do, people perceive it as they’re blitzing all the time, a lot of times they’re bringing five, six. They’re not always bringing as much as people think, it just appears that way. Their thing is more that they try to confuse you with who is coming, try to get mismatches by how they do it. You have to block them. That’s pretty much the No. 1 thing, is blocking and giving your quarterback a chance to make plays down the field." --Titans coach Mike Munchak on the Steelers pass rush.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:33 AM
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Thursday, October 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Pittsburgh - 8:20 PM ET Tennessee +6 500

Tennessee - Under 43.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:35 AM
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Rested Cowboys With Tough Test At Baltimore Ravens

The Dallas Cowboys have had almost two weeks to stew about their Monday night debacle versus Chicago. Things don’t get much easier on Sunday at a very tough Baltimore Ravens squad.

The Don Best Pro Odds have Dallas as 3½-point road underdogs with a total of 44½. This is one of the best interconference battles of the week and FOX will broadcast from M&T Bank Stadium at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

The Cowboys are exactly where they should be at 2-2 straight up. They are capable of beating very good teams on the road, witness the 24-17 final as 3½-point ‘dogs at the Giants in Week 1. They’re also capable of laying a giant egg at home with their Monday night loss (34-18 as 3-point favorites) to Chicago last game a prime example.

Dallas is now 0-3 ATS in its last three contests since the Giants opener.

Quarterback Tony Romo threw five picks (two returned for TDs) versus Chicago. They were not all his fault, but he continues to show poor judgment at critical times. Even owner Jerry Jones, normally the biggest defender of Romo outside of his mother, questioned his ability to take care of the ball.

Coach Jason Garrett’s offense is 30th in the league in scoring (16.3 PPG), which is the main reason the ‘under’ is 3-1. The total yardage numbers (364 YPG, ranked 16th) show there is talent on that side of the ball, but it’s hard to score with constant turnovers and receivers dropping the ball.

Romo should be able to make plays this week against Baltimore pass ‘D’ that ranks just tied-for-22nd (261 YPG). The Dallas running attack has really struggled the last three games with DeMarco Murray, so it will have to be a pass-first attack.

Note the ‘under’ is 2-0 in Dallas’ road games this year and 5-0 in the last five away.

Baltimore (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) has the second-best record in the AFC behind Houston and it’s not too early to start thinking about home field advantage throughout the playoffs. For the Ravens, that means winning games even when they’re not playing well.

John Harbaugh’s guys are 0-3 ATS the last three despite winning them all.

One of those ATS failures was a 9-6 win at Kansas City last week as 6-point favorites. Quarterback Joe Flacco (13-of-27 for 187 yards) had his worst outing of the year, but got bailed out by the defense and another big game by Ray Rice (102 rushing yards).

Flacco has been much better in the three home games (106.5 rating) with the team scoring 32.7 PPG. However, it won’t be easy going against this Rob Ryan defense that is fourth in the league in total yards (277.5 YPG).

A look at the Don Best injury report shows that Dallas nose tackle Jay Ratliff (ankle) is probable to play for the first time this season. That should be a big boost to the run defense and outside linebacker Anthony Spencer (shoulder) could also return after missing last game.

These teams don’t meet very often with Baltimore 4-0 SU and ATS the last four dating back to 1994. The most recent one was in 2008 with the Ravens winning 33-24 as 5-point road ‘dogs. That was Flacco’s rookie year and he threw no interceptions while Romo had two.

Dallas fans hope that’s not a bad omen for Romo on Sunday.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:16 AM
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Struggling Packers On Road At Unbeaten Texans

The Green Bay Packers have been in Houston to face the Texans just once before, and that contest in 2004 also filled the Sunday night prime-time slot on the NFL betting schedule.

That may be the only similarity to the second meeting between the clubs at Reliant Stadium this Sunday when NBC's broadcast begins at 8:20 p.m. (ET). For starters, Houston has been the underdog in the only two previous matchups against the Packers, and the unbeaten Texans find themselves laying four this time to a Green Bay squad that is 2-3 and struggling a third of the way into the 2012 campaign.

Most sports books listed on the Don Best Pro Odds are currently showing 48 for the total after beginning at 47½.

This year's collision was seen as a potential Super Bowl preview before the NFL kicked things off six weeks ago. In fact, last week's Don Best Linemakers Poll still had Green Bay first and Houston very close behind in a dead heat for second with San Francisco. Updated Don Best ratings are due out soon, but so far, the Texans have lived up to the Super Bowl hype with a 5-0 mark (4-1 against the spread) while the Packers have not.

No doubt about the biggest injury news heading into Week 6, as Houston LB Brian Cushing is gone for the season after tearing the ACL in his left knee this past Monday at the Jets. The 4th-year star out of Southern Cal has been a leader statistically and emotionally for the Texans 'D' since his '09 rookie season.

Houston might also be without backup halfback Ben Tate once again. Tate missed the MNF victory in New York with a toe injury and is officially questionable this week.

Green Bay (1-4 ATS) is not without its own injuries where Aaron Rodgers' targets could be limited on Sunday. Wideout Greg Jennings (doubtful, toe) and TE Jermichael Finley (questionable, groin) have been targeted on more than 25 percent Rodgers' passes.

Cushing's absence could be felt if the Pack could somehow establish a running game vs. Houston, but Green Bay has so far been unable to do that against anyone. Rodgers led the Packers in rushing/scrambling last week in the loss at Indy, and now with Cedric Benson out for two months with a broken foot, it comes down to James Starks who has missed the first five games with his own toe injury.

We've known Green Bay wasn't going to win a game running the ball for a while now, but Rodgers & Co. will have to get things going through the air against a tough Houston defense. The Texans are third in fewest yards allowed (275 per game), fourth in scoring (14.6 ppg).

Green Bay has been a middling defense statistically and has to shut down both a running game led by Arian Foster and Matt Schaub's aerial show. This year's Houston offense is more than capable of making up for any defensive shortcomings. Schaub is directing the No. 3 scoring unit (29.8 ppg), more than a touchdown better than Rodgers and the Packers who are 18th (22.4 ppg).

Houston's stats are naturally better at 5-0 against a 2-3 team like the Packers, but the most telling of all might be turnover margin. The Texans are tied for the fewest (3) turnovers and sit +8 in the giveaway/takeaway column. Green Bay is -1 and has given it away six times.

That first meeting between the teams in 2004 found Houston putting up a fight before losing late to Brett Favre and the Packers, 16-13. The only other matchup came in 2008 at Lambeau Field. The Texans pulled off a 24-21 upset as 6½-point underdogs, winning on a 'walk-off' field goal by Kris Brown after Shaub outshined Rodgers with 414 yards passing.

Both of the previous meetings have gone 'under' the total.

It should be pretty typical weather for the Bayou City this time of year, if any weather in Houston is ever typical. Forecasts call for a cloudy day with hardly any chance of rain, and temps in the upper-70s, low-80s for kickoff. The Texans generally close the roof if the thermometer is reading above 80ºF, or in the obvious case of rain. My guess is they'll have it closed for this one should the current forecast hold.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:18 AM
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Lions Look For First Spread Win At Philadelphia Eagles

The Detroit Lions are the only NFL team without an against the spread win this season. They get another shot coming off a bye at the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday.

The Don Best Pro Odds screen has Detroit getting 4-points with a total of 47½. FOX will be on hand from Lincoln Financial Field at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

Detroit (1-3 straight up, 0-4 ATS) made the playoffs last year with 10 wins and were expected to contend again with an elite passing attack led by quarterback Matthew Stafford and receiver Calvin Johnson, plus some menacing defensive players like Ndamukong Suh.

That passing attack currently ranks third in the NFL (322 YPG), but that’s misleading with Stafford’s yards per attempt (6.83) and quarterback rating (81.6) both below average. The running game is again towards the league’s bottom. Mikel Leshoure (126 yards) has helped some after missing the first two games, but he’s averaging just 3.2 yards per carry.

Coach Jim Schwartz’ defense has also underachieved at 28.5 PPG allowed, ranked 26th. That’s despite not playing one elite offense with St. Louis, San Francisco, Tennessee and Minnesota the previous four opponents. The secondary is the big weakness with an opposing passer rating of 101.3 and the team doesn’t have an interception this year. Oakland is the only other squad that can say that.

The ‘D’ should get a big spark with the return of safety Louis Delmas (knee). He’s probable after missing the first four games. Defensive end Cliff Avril (knee) is questionable after getting hurt last game and the pass rusher is needed with only nine team sacks.

The Lions’ two road games were losses at San Francisco (27-19 as 7-point ‘dogs) and Tennessee (44-41 OT as 3½-point favorites). They’re 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games overall.

The Eagles (3-2 SU, 1-3-1 ATS) have played a lot of close games with their three wins by a total of four points and having a tough 16-14 loss at Pittsburgh last week (their first cover as 4-point ‘dogs).

Quarterback Michael Vick had two more fumbles to bring his yearly total to five. He also has six picks, which makes him a one-man turnover machine even if he doesn’t seem too concerned about it. Coach Andy Reid obviously doesn’t feel the same way no matter what he says to the media.

The Eagles are 31st in scoring (16 PPG) with turnovers a huge reason. The defense has kept them in games for the most part (19.8 PPG, ranked 10th) despite a pretty tough schedule.

LeSean McCoy is sixth in the NFL in rushing (87.4 YPG). He did get contained at Pittsburgh with 53 yards on 16 carries, but that happens to a lot of opposing backs there. Look for him to rush for at least 80 yards this week, but only around 20 carries as Reid will still put the ball in Vick’s hands despite his problems.

The Eagles are 0-1-1 ATS at home this year with close wins over Baltimore (24-23) and the New York Giants (19-17). Both games required scores with under two minutes remaining, with Vick showing a flair for the dramatic.

The Eagles have won the last five meetings between the teams dating back to 1996. They covered the first four before winning 35-32 as 6½-point road favorites in 2010.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:21 AM
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NY Giants And SF 49ers In NFC Title Rematch

The New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers have a rematch of last year’s NFC title game and could be hard pressed to equal the drama and excitement.

This 4:25 p.m. (ET) Sunday contest will be held at Candlestick Park, just like the last one. It’s a little surprising that it’s not a night game, but FOX was likely adamant in keeping the broadcast rights.

The Don Best Pro Odds screen has its own take with most outlets having San Francisco as solid 6½-point favorites with a total of 45½-46.

The Giants are the defending Super Bowl champs. They advanced to the Big Game with a dramatic 20-17 OT win in San Francisco last January. Two fumbled punts by Kyle Williams were the big difference.

Coach Tom Coughlin knows San Fran will have steam coming out of its ears and he’s looking for any psychological advantage. He was recently quoted as saying that "nobody gives us a chance to win" (referring to the NFC title this year) and he should feel a little disrespected with the Giants almost touchdown ‘dogs.

Remember these teams also met in the regular season last year with the 49ers winning 27-20 as 4-point home favorites. San Francisco is 10-1-1 ATS at home under coach Jim Harbaugh with the only loss in the conference title game.

The 49ers (4-1 straight up and against the spread) are deserving of all the hype so far. They embarrassed AFC East opponents the last two weeks at the Jets (34-0) and versus Buffalo (45-3). They racked up an average of 501 total yards and allowed just 174.5.

Quarterback Alex Smith has turned up his game with an NFL-best 108.7 rating. The team still doesn’t throw a lot (205 YPG, ranked 26th), but the 7.9 yards per attempt (ranked sixth) makes opposing defenses respect the passing game and not just focus on Frank Gore and the top-ranked rushing attack (196.2 YPG).

Smith has a couple of new weapons with Mario Manningham (126 yards) and Randy Moss (99 yards). Both have modest numbers, but could play a big factor on Sunday in addition to Michael Crabtree and tight end Vernon Davis. Manningham will be a little extra stoked having played for the G-Men last year.

The Giants (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS) have had an up-and-down start with both losses coming within the NFC East to Dallas (24-17) and at Philly (19-17).

Last week’s game was a 41-27 win over Cleveland as 7½-point home favorites. That spread looks low in retrospect, but Cleveland actually led 17-7 before a 34-3 Giants run. Ahmad Bradshaw had 200 rushing yards on 30 attempts and he could have to carry the full load again with Andre Brown (concussion) questionable.

It’s going to be hard for New York to run no matter who carries the ball. San Fran is seventh in rushing defense (81.4 YPG), allowing just 3.5 per carry. That means the burden will likely fall to the passing attack.

Eli Manning is playing very confident and is second in the league in passing yards (316 YPG). That’s despite Hakeem Nicks missing the last three games with a knee injury (questionable this week). Manning will need to play great under a big pass rush and his five picks this year show he can be rushed into poor decisions.

The Giants have built their reputation as road warriors going back to last year’s playoffs. They’re 6-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven away (including the Super Bowl), ‘pushing’ that Philly defeat two weeks ago as 2-point ‘dogs.

The ‘under’ is 5-1 in New York’s last six away, the defense surrendering just 15.7 PPG.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:23 AM
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Tech Trends - Week 6

October 9, 2012

Sunday, Oct. 14 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

"Overs" 4-1 last five meetings. Brownies only 3-11 vs. line last 14 as host. Bengals and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Ugh! Jets only 6 covers last 14 on board. Jets "over" 7-5 last 12 as host and "over" 30-14 since late 2009. "Over" and Colts, based on 'totals" and team trends.

Bucs no covers last 4 or 6 of last 7 as chalk. Chiefs 7-4 last 11 as road dog and "under" 5-2 last 7 away. Chiefs and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Raiders no covers first two on road TY, 1-4 vs. points last five away since late 2011, and 3-6 vs. spread last nine overall since late LY. Falcs 10-5-1 last 16 vs. number as host. Falcons, based on team trends.

Dallas 2-9 last 11 and 3-11 last 14 vs. number since mid 2011. Cowboys "under" 14-7 last 21 since late 2010. Though Ravens only 2-5-1 vs. line last 8 as host since mid 2011. Ravens and "under," based on Cowboy trends.

Birds 4-11 last 15 as chalk, but Lions 0-4 vs. line in 2012, 1-10 last 11, 3-13 last 16 on board. Lions "over" 25-13-2 last 40 since late 2009. "Over," based on Lions' extended "totals" trends.

Jeff Fisher now 4-1 vs. line for Rams. Dolphins 11-3-1 last 15 on board. Rams "under" 26-14 since late in 2009. "Under," based on Rams' extended "totals" trends.

Sunday, Oct. 14 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Pete Carroll "under" 5-0 TY but Belichick "over" 31-12 since late 2009. Seahawks have covered last five as host and 14-5 vs. spread at home since Carroll arrived in 2010. Carroll 14-6 last 20 on board. Belichick 3-0 vs. line on road TY. Seahawks, based on extended home marks.

Big Red 5-2 vs. line last 7 in Glendale. Bills 4-10 last 14 on board, and "over" 15-7 since late 2010. "Over" and Cardinals, based on "totals" and team trends.

Shan "over" 8-4 last 12 since late 2011. But also only 3-7 vs. spread since LY at FedEx Field. "Over" and Vikings, based on recent Skin trends.

Rematch of LY's NFC title game! Remember these teams split LY at Candlestick, and Harbaugh 10-1-1 vs. line at home since LY. G-men have covered last six as visitor. Coughlin "under" 9-3 last 11 since late LY. 49ers "under" 5-3-1 last 9 as host. "Under," based on 'totals" trends.

Sunday, Oct. 14 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Texans 4-1 vs. line TY, now 18-6 last 24 on board since late 2010, 8-1 last 9 at home vs. line. Pack no covers last four on road. Texans, based on team trends.

Monday, Oct. 15 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Denver "over" 30-14 last 44 since late 2009. If favored, note Norv 3-6 last 9 as home chalk. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and team trends.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:26 AM
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Las Vegas Money Moves

October 12, 2012

When the 49ers opened as six-point favorites for their Week 6 home game against the Giants, Coast Resorts sports book director Bob Scucci wasn't surprised that the first few bets came on the Giants, but he was skeptical of a possible false move because of what he's seen over the first weeks of this season.
"I thought plus-6 was a lot of points, but it's the type of activity I'm seeing early from a few bettors that has me believing some might be attempting to drive the number down in order to bet the other side larger later in the week," said Scucci. "I saw the same type of pattern in last night's Steelers-Titans game and also last week between the Vikings and Titans."

The same thing also happened a few weeks ago when the Vikings beat the 49ers. The thought process for a sports book director is, 'why else would sharp money take the points early in the week when they know if they wait, the large conglomeration of public money accumulated might force the move to a better number.' The answer is simple, they want to lay the favorite later at many other betting outs for more money that follow moves from other books.

Scucci has no problem playing the cat and mouse game with the betting groups. He's been one of the best in the city at sniffing out schemes. From his early days running the Stardust to now, Scucci has seen just about every type of sharp money strategy and every few years, they seem to cycle back around.

"After we went to 5 ½ with the 49ers, we just continued to get 49ers action, pushing us to 6 and then to 6 ½ on Thursday," Scucci said. "But not much of it came from sharp money. It was all public money driving the number."

So if it was a scheme to influence the market, the sharps missed their opportunity which sets up for their zig-zag play. It's one of those things like a pitcher does in baseball where he sets up a hitter throughout a game with certain pitches, never showing him his ace pitch until maybe his second or third at-bat.

Sharps took +6 early knowing books would respect the move based on their movements in their first couple of at-bats. Now comes the curve ball where sharps wait for the best number on the Giants -- hopefully +7 -- and bet it again for larger money. It's just a theory, but one to watch that may play out over the weekend.

As a reference to show just how inflated Sunday's line already is, we can look back at last season's NFC Championship game in San Francisco where the 49ers were two-point favorites.

Cantor Gaming had the 49ers set at -3.5 in this game back in August, Now, we're looking at 6.5. Perhaps a little overreaction by the betting public?

"The public has seen the Giants appear to struggle a little while watching the 49ers not only win, but win big over the last two weeks, and easily covering the number," Scucci said.

Here's a look at how some of the other Week 6 games have moved during the week:

-- Bad weather is expected in Cleveland Sunday with a 60% chance of rain and some gusting winds that may make it difficult for the teams to score. The Browns have already been a great UNDER team at home, staying UNDER the number in their past seven home games. The total opened 44 ½ and has been bet down to 43 ½. The Bengals opened at -3 (EVEN) and have been bet against, down to 2 ½, just because of the key number and the underdog presenting great value this season.

-- The Buccaneers opened -3 ½ (EVEN) against the Chiefs and are now -4 ½ due to quarterback Matt Cassel (head) 'out' and Brady Quinn in for the Chiefs. Quinn has looked like a deer in headlights every chance he's got to play whether in preseason with Denver or his flop in Cleveland as starting QB, but there still isn't much of a fall-off from the two. The best thing Cassel has done all season is hand the ball off to Jamal Charles, which Quinn should be able to handle.

-- The Falcons opened as 8 ½-point home favorites against the Raiders and have been bet up to -9. This game has an eerily similar tone to it that the Panthers-Falcons game from Week 4 did. Bettors jumped all over the Falcons at home and it took a late snafu by Cam Newton for Atlanta to win, but the Panthers still got the money.

-- The Ravens opened as four-point home favorites, but Cowboys money has dropped the game to 3 ½. The Cowboys come off a bye with all kinds of offensive issues, but the Ravens hurry-up offense has been slowed somewhat over the past two weeks.

-- There is an on-going thought process by bettors in Las Vegas that this is the week the Lions finally show up with their 'A' game after a week off. The Eagles opened as five-point favorites and have been bet down to 3 ½. The Lions haven't covered a game all season and have been one of the bigger disappointments of 2012.

-- The Dolphins opened as five-point home favorites against the Rams, but bettors are buying into Jeff Fisher's Rams, who have covered four of their five games. The Rams offense is still a work in progress, but their defense has been very opportunistic with a strong pass rush.

-- The Patriots opened as five-point favorites at Seattle and Seahawks money has pushed the number down to 3 ½. Seattle has a huge home field advantage, but wow, the Pats have given Tom Brady two straight 200 yard rushing performances coming in.

-- The Texans opened as four-point favorites prior to their Monday night game against the Jets. After losing linebacker Brian Cushing, their defensive maestro, the line was adjusted to 3 ½, which may not be enough. Cushing is one of the more valuable defensive players in the league as far as ratings go. And for as sluggish as the Packers offense looks, they'd be 4-1 without two miracles going against them. Should be a great matchup under the lights on SNF!

-- The Chargers opened as three-point home favorites over the Broncos before their Sunday night game at New Orleans. Nothing changed when the line was reposted Monday morning, but bettors quickly ran with the Broncos dropping the number to 1 ½.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:29 AM
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Week 6 Tips

October 11, 2012

The home underdogs dominated earlier this season against the spread, but an under-the-radar bet that has turned profit is to fade short home favorites. By going against home 'chalk' of four points or less, a record of 16-6 ATS was produced, as six teams are in this situation heading into Week 6. We'll highlight the five day contests, including three below .500 teams that can be dubbed as questionable favorites.

Colts at Jets (-3 ½, 43) - 1:00 PM EST

This isn't exactly Super Bowl III reincarnated, as New York closes out a three-game homestand looking for a victory. The Jets cashed as 10-point home underdogs in Monday's 23-17 loss to the unbeaten Texans, but New York is a beat-up football team with questions at quarterback. The Colts have no questions regarding their most important position, as top pick Andrew Luck helped spear-head a late rally to stun the Packers last Sunday, pushing Indianapolis to 2-2 SU/ATS.

Indianapolis hits the road for the first time since getting drubbed at Chicago in Week 1, as the Colts have covered each of their last two games in the underdog role against the Vikings and Packers. The Jets have thrived when laying points this season, cashing in divisional victories over the Bills and Dolphins, while Rex Ryan's team needs to grab this game before heading to New England next week. Mark Sanchez owns a 2-1 record in his career against the Colts, including the playoff victory at Lucas Oil Stadium in January 2011.

Chiefs at Buccaneers (-4, 40) - 1:00 PM EST

The Tampa/St. Petersburg market will be missing this blacked out game locally, which could be a good thing. Matt Cassel will not start at quarterback for Kansas City, as former Notre Dame standout Brady Quinn will make his first start since 2009 as a member of the Browns. The Bucs are fresh off the bye week, but Greg Schiano's club has dropped three straight games since beating the Panthers in the opening week of the season.

Since Jon Gruden's departure as head coach, Tampa Bay has put together a dreadful 6-17-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium the last three-plus seasons. The latest loss came against the Redskins in Week 4 as Washington slipped past Tampa Bay, 24-22, as the Bucs failed to cover as 1 ½-point favorites. Kansas City owns a solid 7-3 ATS record away from Arrowhead Stadium since December 2010, including an outright victory at New Orleans in Week 3 as nine-point underdogs.

Cowboys at Ravens (-3 ½, 44) - 1:00 PM EST

Baltimore heads to Houston for a potential AFC Championship preview next week, but the Ravens need to take care of business against the rested Cowboys this Sunday. Dallas looks to bounce back after getting routed at home by Chicago in Week 4, while Tony Romo threw five interceptions in the loss as three-point favorites. However, the Cowboys' most impressive victory this season came as a road underdog in the opener over the Giants, 24-17.

The Cowboys have dominated following the bye week over the last seven seasons by compiling a 6-1 ATS mark, as the only loss came as seven-point 'chalk' against the Titans at home in 2010. Dallas is 4-0 ATS the previous four road contests against AFC opponents, including covers in close losses to the Jets and Patriots last season. Each of Baltimore's last three victories have come by seven points or less, while putting together two less than inspiring efforts in wins over the Browns and Chiefs, both non-covers. Since the team moved from Cleveland to Baltimore in 1996, the Ravens have won and cashed in all three meetings with the Cowboys.

Lions at Eagles (-4, 47 ½) - 1:00 PM EST

Detroit returns from the bye after two disappointing losses as a favorite to Tennessee and Minnesota, as the Lions allowed four special teams touchdowns in those defeats. Jim Schwartz's squad heads to Philadelphia this week to battle an Eagles' team that has been involved in four games decided by two points or less (3-1). The Eagles try to rebound after falling short in a 16-14 loss at Pittsburgh, but Philadelphia cashed for the second straight game following an 0-3 ATS start.

The Lions are receiving points for just the second time this season, as Detroit will attempt to improve on 3-8 ATS record away from Ford Field since the start of 2011. Each of the last two meetings between these teams has finished 'over' the total, including a 35-32 victory by the Eagles in Detroit two seasons ago as a 6 ½-point favorite. In Philadelphia's previous nine home games as a touchdown favorite or less, Andy Reid's club has cashed six times, including three of the last four since December 2010.

Rams at Dolphins (-3 ½, 37 ½) - 1:00 PM EST

After this game, either Miami will sit at .500 through six games or St. Louis will own a 4-2 record. Regardless, Jeff Fisher returns to the city in which he stiffed in order to take the Rams' head coaching job this past offseason. St. Louis is fresh off back-to-back home division wins over Seattle and Arizona, but the Rams will be without top receiver Danny Amendola, who broke his collarbone against the Cardinals.

The Dolphins are favored for the first time this season, while seeking consecutive victories after a solid road triumph at Cincinnati last week. Following a 3-13 ATS run from 2008 through November 2011 as a home favorite, the Dolphins managed to cover four of their last five games at Sun Life Stadium in this role. Miami looks to improve on a 1-8 ATS record at home since 2007 against NFC opponents, with the lone victory coming over Washington last season.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:32 AM
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NFL odds: Week 6 opening line report

Betting the Green Bay Packers as underdogs in recent seasons has been about as rare as Dracula’s steak. However, NFL bettors get that chance when the Packers limp into the Lone Star State to take on the Houston Texans in Week 6.

The early odds for Sunday night’s showdown have the Cheeseheads set as high as 5.5-point pups, facing a Texans team that is undefeated heading into Monday night’s matchup with the New York Jets.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says depending on Houston’s performance at MetLife Stadium, this spread could go as high as -6 by Monday night.

“This was one of the toughest lines to make in a long time,” Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Houston -4, told Covers. “Our guys had it as high as -7 and as low as -3.5. Houston has the short week and we’ll see what happens Monday. But this is a must-win for Green Bay.”

The Packers are reeling from a 30-27 upset loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5, failing to cover as 6.5-point favorites and dropping to 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS on the season.

Green Bay was an underdog only once last season, set at +6.5 versus the Detroit Lions in the final game of the season – a throw-away game for the Packers, who still won 45-41. During the 2010 regular season, Green Bay was a 14-point pup at New England with Aaron Rodgers sidelined in Week 15, a 2.5-point underdog at Atlanta in Week 12, and got 6.5 points from books visiting the Jets in Week 8.

The Packers were tagged as 1-point underdogs in their first two playoff games that year, winning and covering in both en route to a Super Bowl title. Green Bay is a profitable 5-1 ATS in its last six games as the betting underdog.

Here are the opening odds for some of the biggest games on the Week 6 schedule:

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 48.5)

The undefeated Falcons opened as low as 8.5-point home favorites versus the rested Raiders and have since been bet up a point.

Korner was shocked to see so many online markets open the spread that low and suggests his clients keep this number as high as they can.

“I think that line is absurd,” says Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Atlanta -10.5. “We set it high and will be unyielding in our advice to keep this spread high. We expect money on the favorite to be around 10-1 or 15-1.”

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 45.5)

These teams know each other well after two run-ins last season, including a thrilling 20-17 overtime victory for the Giants in the NFC Championship Game.

There is a measure of revenge involved, as far as 49ers backers are concerned, but oddsmakers put more weight into the teams’ current forms when making the odds. The Niners, coming off a dominant win against the Buffalo Bills, are 6-point home chalk in this heated rematch.

Korner says Nevada books will likely have this game a little higher, especially in the northern part of the state, thanks to the proximity of California and the Bay Area. The Sports Club sent out a suggested line of San Francisco -7 with the total posted two points higher at 47.

“We recommend our clients going a little higher with this spread,” says Korner. “They’re going to be blitzed by San Francisco money on the (parlay cards).”

The Niners won 27-20 as 4-point home favorites versus the Giants in Week 10 last season, then fell in overtime as 2-point home faves in the NFC Championship.

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 43.5)

The Ravens escaped Arrowhead Stadium with a weird 9-6 win over the Chiefs in Week 5, settling for three field goals from kicker Justin Tucker.

Baltimore’s new-look offense has been impressive up to that point and oddsmakers aren’t putting too much weight into the dud in Kansas City when setting the spread for Sunday’s home date versus Dallas.

“Sometimes you just need to throw away a game and forget about it, says Korner. “That’s what we’re doing with Baltimore here.”

The Cowboys had a bye week to wash away the stink of their Monday night mess against Chicago. Dallas’ offense has been terrible – ranked 30th in points (16.2 per game) – and has pushed the opening total down from 44 to 43.5. However, the Cowboys have shown a tendency to tighten the screws during the week off and boast an NFL-best 16-7 SU and ATS mark coming off the bye since 1990.

“We don’t use those past results,” Korner says of Dallas' record off the bye week. “We let the bettors look at that and bet them all they want.”




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:36 AM
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NFL

Dunkel

Week 6

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 209-210: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 129.426; Cleveland 130.392
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: Indianapolis at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 126.479; NY Jets 127.518
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 45
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.795; Tampa Bay 130.222
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 4 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 215-216: Oakland at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 131.831; Atlanta 139.473
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Over

Game 217-218: Dallas at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Baltimore 138.864
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 8; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: Detroit at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.529; Philadelphia 136.836
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: St. Louis at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 132.430; Miami 132.180
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 223-224: New England at Seattle (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.458; Seattle 137.829
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Under

Game 225-226: Buffalo at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.662; Arizona 132.929
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Minnesota at Washington (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 129.722; Washington 133.055
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2;
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 229-230: NY Giants at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.563; San Francisco 138.380
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 42
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+5 1/2); Under

Game 231-232: Green Bay at Houston (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.076; Houston 142.666
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 233-234: Denver at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 135.211; San Diego 134.078
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Over




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:38 AM
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6


Sunday, October 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 5) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 106-140 ATS (-48.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (1 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (1 - 3) at ATLANTA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 2) at BALTIMORE (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (1 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (2 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (4 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 2) - 10/15/2012, 8:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:40 AM
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NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6


Sunday, October 14, 2012

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-3 Over vs. conference opponents
Cleveland: 3-11 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Indianapolis at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 30-15 Over off BB home games
NY Jets: 15-4 ATS after playing on MNF

Kansas City at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 8-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tampa Bay: 1-8 ATS off BB losses

Oakland at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 22-10 Under away with a total of 45.5+ points
Atlanta: 3-12 ATS at home off 3+ wins

Dallas at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 0-7 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Baltimore: 7-0 ATS at home off a road win by 3 points or less

Detroit at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 6-0 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS vs. NFC North opponents

St. Louis at Miami, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 10-2 ATS off BB division wins
Miami: 8-20 ATS at home off a SU win as an underdog

New England at Seattle, 4:05 ET
New England: 6-0 ATS away off 3+ Overs
Seattle: 13-4 Over after allowing 200 or less total yards

Buffalo at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 16-5 ATS away after allowing 35+ points
Arizona: 7-0 Over at home after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Minnesota at Washington, 4:25 ET
Minnesota: 1-6 ATS off a home win
Washington: 27-13 Under vs. NFC North opponents

NY Giants at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 6-0 ATS off a win by 10+ points
San Francisco: 12-4 Under off a home game

(TC) Green Bay at Houston, 8:30 ET NBC
Green Bay: 15-5 ATS off a road game
Houston: 8-1 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points


Monday, October 15, 2012

(TC) Denver at San Diego, 8:40 ET ESPN
Denver: 15-6 Over off a loss
San Diego: 1-8 ATS off an Over


(TC) = Time Change


** Week 6 Byes: Carolina, Chicago, Jacksonville, New Orleans **




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:42 AM
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NFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, October 14

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PHILADELPHIA
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MIAMI
St. Louis is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 20 games

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. NY JETS
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
NY Jets are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. ATLANTA
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Oakland

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

4:05 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England

4:05 PM
BUFFALO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

4:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

4:15 PM
NY GIANTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing NY Giants
San Francisco is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

8:20 PM
GREEN BAY vs. HOUSTON
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


Monday, October 15

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego's last 14 games at home




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:43 AM
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NFL Week 6 line moves: 'Drama' in Philly bumps line

A weekly look at a few games and what direction the numbers are moving as we head into Week 6, with an assist from Mike Perry at sportsbook.ag.

Cincinnati at Cleveland – Open: Bengals -3, Move: Bengals -1

The public seems to be coming to the conclusion that the Browns really aren’t as bad as their SU (straight up) record indicates (0-5). Cleveland played the Bengals to a statistical standout in Week 2 on the road, with the only thing separating the teams being a Browns special teams breakdown that allowed an 81-yard punt-return score. The Brownies are continuing to play hard. Bengals backers like the way they’ve played on the road since getting demolished at Baltimore on opening day.

“The wise guys and public are on opposite sides in this one,” says Perry.

Detroit at Philadelphia – Open: Philadelphia -6; Move Philadelphia -4

So much drama and so much uncertainty in Philadelphia. Can Michael Vick hold onto the ball? If he doesn’t, will there be an in-game change at quarterback? There’s no alpha dog yet in the NFC East, but with the Giants on the West Coast (49ers) this week, there could be an opening for the Eagles. The Lions haven’t covered the number yet, but bettors haven’t abandoned them, as the number has steadily melted since its -6 opener. Decent action (65 percent) on the Lions has depressed the number, says Perry.

Green Bay at Houston – Open Green Bay +4.5; Move Green Bay +3.5

The NFC North seems upside down, with GB and Detroit at the bottom looking up at Minnesota and Chicago. The screw-job in Seattle has drawn a bit of attention away from the fact that the Packers have become a crap cover team. Still, public money has tightened this game a point after the opener, and now Perry reports that there is even action on both sides, with a slight edge to the Texans. GB should be emptying the playbook on this one –- another loss could knock GB three full games off the division lead.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:45 AM
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NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 6

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Here are our quick hitting notes on all of Week 6's action.

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 48)

The Raiders are coming off a bye week and WR Darrius Heyward-Bey could be healthy enough to suit up for the first time since being hospitalized after being on the wrong end of a helmet-to-helmet hit against Pittsburgh in Week 3. Oakland hasn’t performed well on the road this season, being outscored 72-19 in two road losses to Miami and Denver. The Falcons are off to the best start in franchise history (5-0) and are seeking a seventh straight home victory Sunday. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4, 40)

Chiefs Backup QB Brady Quinn is prepared to make his first start in almost three years after first-string signal-caller Matt Cassel was knocked out of last week’s loss to Baltimore with a concussion. Kansas City has committed a league-high 19 turnovers and its defense has allowed 29 points per game. Tampa Bay has dropped its last three contests by a combined 15 points since opening the season with a 16-10 victory over Carolina. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five October games.

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (-3.5, 43)

Colts rookie QB Andrew Luck has exceeded preseason expectations, throwing for more than 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns over his first four games. Indianapolis comes in on a high after storming back from an 18-point deficit to beat the Green Bay Packers 30-27 last weekend. The Jets had a glorious opportunity to knock off the unbeaten Houston Texans last Monday, but poor personnel management and more Mark Sanchez mistakes ultimately proved costly. Sanchez could have a short leash this week if he doesn’t get off to a good start. These teams have played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (1, 43.5)

The visiting Bengals have won four straight and 13 of the last 16 meetings in the "Battle of Ohio" rivalry with Cleveland, which has lost 11 in a row overall. The Browns’ secondary will be bolstered this week by the return of star cornerback Joe Haden, who served a four-game suspension for violating the league’s drug policy. The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-4, 47.5)

The Detroit Lions are hoping the bye week was just what they needed. Detroit enters its Week 6 meeting with the Philadelphia Eagles having lost three straight games following a season-opening victory over St. Louis. The Lions have put up a fight in the setbacks, however, as each loss was by eight points or fewer. Philadelphia has taken the last five meetings with Detroit, scoring at least 30 points in each of the last three victories. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

St. Louis Rams at Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 38)

Jeff Fisher has the Rams north of the .500 mark for the first time in six years and the club has already surpassed last year’s win total. St. Louis will play without top WR Danny Amendola, who broke his collarbone in last week’s win over Arizona, so the team’s focus could shift to Steven Jackson and the running game. The only problem is that Miami is ranked No.1 in the league against the run and has recorded 11 sacks in the past two weeks. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 44)

Cowboys QB Tony Romo threw five INTs against Chicago in Week 4 (Dallas is coming off a bye week) and has two TDs against seven INTs in the last three games combined. Dallas’ secondary also took a hit against Chicago when S Barry Church was lost for the season with a torn Achilles tendon. The Ravens defense forced four turnovers to grind out a 9-6 win at Kansas City in Week 5 and are riding a three-game winning streak. Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.

Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals (-4.5, 43)

Arizona suffered its first loss of the season at the hands of St. Louis last Thursday. Quarterback Kevin Kolb was sacked nine times and RB Ryan Williams sustained a season-ending shoulder injury in the defeat. The Buffalo defense has been downright awful lately, surrendering 1,201 total yards to New England and San Francisco over the past two games. The Bills have played over the total in nine of their last 12 road games.

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks (3.5, 44.5)

New England leads the league in scoring and is averaging 165.4 yards on the ground behind Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden. The Patriots have tallied over 200 yards rushing in back-to-back games for the first time since 1978 and used the ground game along with Brady’s passing to set a franchise record with 35 first downs in a 31-21 win over the Denver Broncos last week. Seattle has one of the best stop units in the league and is 2-0 at home, while allowing a total of 19 points at CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks have played under the total in all five games this season.

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5, 45.5)

The Giants, who rebounded from an early 14-0 deficit to trounce Cleveland 41-27 last Sunday, are going for their fourth win in five regular-season meetings with San Francisco. The 49ers have been unstoppable since losing to Minnesota in Week 3, outscoring their opponents 79-3 in two victories. San Francisco became the first team in NFL history to record 300 yards both passing and rushing en route to a franchise-record 621 yards in last Sunday's 45-3 rout of Buffalo. The Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (Projected -2.5, 45)

The Vikings go for a fourth straight victory and look to claim sole possession of the NFC North lead Sunday. Minnesota expects star RB Adrian Peterson, who has 420 yards rushing and two scores so far this season, to be available after he suffered a left ankle sprain in last week’s convincing victory over the Titans. Redskins’ rookie QB Robert Griffin III has been cleared to practice after suffering a concussion in last week’s loss to the Falcons, but he could be held out if he experiences any setbacks throughout the week. If the No. 2 overall pick can't suit up, head coach Mike Shanahan will start either rookie Kirk Cousins or Rex Grossman. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans (-3.5, 47.5)

The undefeated Houston Texans will be without the services of Brian Cushing for the remainder of the season after the All-Pro linebacker suffered a torn knee ligament in Monday's narrow victory over the New York Jets. Green Bay squandered an 18-point lead over the weekend, dropping a 30-27 decision to the host Indianapolis Colts. The Packers' running game is now in limbo following a serious foot injury to primary back Cedric Benson. Alex Green is expected to get the bulk of the carries against the Texans with James Starks also seeing action. Wide receiver Greg Jennings did not practice Wednesday and is expected to miss another week with a groin ailment. Green Bay has failed to cover in its last four road games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:46 AM
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Gridiron Angles - Week 6

October 13, 2012

NFL ATS TREND:

-- The Browns are 12-0-1 ATS (7.1 ppg) since 1999 after a Sunday game where the total was at least 40, where they threw for at least 250 yards.

NFL OU TREND:

-- The Eagles are 11-0 OU (11.4 ppg) since December 11, 2005 after a game as an underdog where they scored less than expected.

NCAA ATS PLAY ON TREND:

-- Utah is 11-0-1 ATS (14.2 ppg) since 1998 since as between a 7.5 and 18 point underdog between games 2 and 12 of the season.

NCAA ATS PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- UNLV is 0-11 (-12.4 ppg) since 2003 when they scored between 29 and 37 points last game.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:

-- When facing a team which had at least 19 third down attempts last game and made fewer 50% of those teams are 48-32-5 ATS (60.0%). Active on NY Jets vs. Indy and Buffalo vs. Arizona.

NFL BIBLE TREND OF THE WEEK:

-- The Giants are 0-19 OU (-9.0 ppg) since November 1992 after a home win in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-14-12 06:40 AM
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Total Talk - Week 6

October 13, 2012

Week 5 Recap

The 'under' produced an 8-6 record last week and that number could've easily been 12-4 if it wasn't for some second-half outbursts. In particular, our apologies go out to anybody who had the 'under' (39) in the Bears-Jaguars matchup. The line dropped, deservingly, and the score was knotted 3-3 at the half. Chicago led 10-3 late in the third quarter before a barrage of big plays, including two defensive touchdowns, happened. The final dagger was 44-yard scamper late in the game as the Bears were trying to run out the clock. Despite that lucky 'over' ticket, the 'under' stands at 40-37 on the season.

Round 2 - Already?

In Week 2, Cincinnati stopped Cleveland 34-27 at home and the combined 61 points easily jumped 'over' the closing number of 42 ½. Four weeks later, the Browns and Bengals will meet again, this time from Cleveland. The opener came out at 45 and it quickly dropped to 44 and most books have the line down to 43. Why the drop? For starters, there is a 60% chance of precipitation for Sunday's game, plus this is a divisional matchup so these teams are familiar with one another. However, Cleveland's defense is banged up but it does get back stud defensive back Joe Haden, who missed the Week 2 affair. Bengals QB Andy Dalton had 318 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting against a defense without Haden.

The 'over' has cashed in the last three encounters between the two teams but this total seems too high for this matchup and we delved into the number. In the last 20 meetings between the Bengals and Browns, the total was listed in the forties 12 times. The 'under' went 8-4 (67%) in those games and more importantly, it was 6-0 to the 'under' in totals listed above 42 points.

Off the Bye

We touched on this last week and with four teams off the bye, be aware of the rust vs. rest factor. Last season, the 'under' went 24-8 (75%) last season in games that featured at least one team playing with rest. Pittsburgh and Indianapolis were in these spots last week. The Steelers went 'under' while the Colts saw their game go 'over' but it wasn't easy for them. Indy got a tremendous effort from rookie quarterback Andrew Luck as the team posted 29 points in the second-half.

The four teams on bye this week:

Tampa Bay: The Buccaneers will host a banged-up Kansas City team.
Oakland: The Raiders will play an early game (10:00 a.m. PT) in Atlanta.
Dallas: The Cowboys visit Baltimore.
Detroit: The Lions head to Philadelphia (see below)

Something's Gotta Give!

With five weeks of action to analyze, it's a little easier to pinpoint 'over' and 'under' teams and their tendencies. It's easy to handicap a total when you have two 'over' or 'under' squads going up against one another, but what do you do when they're the opposite? Below are four contests where that issue exists.

Detroit at Philadelphia: The Lions are off the bye, so they should be prepared. Detroit has seen the 'over' go 2-1-1 and they've given up 27 and 44 points in its two road games. Philadelphia has watched the 'under' go 4-1 behind a turnover prone offense. The Eagles have only managed to bust the 20-point barrier once and they were fortunate (24) to do that. The total is hovering between 47 and 48 points, which might be too high for these inconsistent squads.

Minnesota at Washington: After starting the season with four straight 'over' winners, the Redskins saw the 'under' cash last week in their 24-17 loss to Atlanta. What we've learned from Washington is that you can score on them (29.4 PPG) but the offense has been shaky past two weeks. Minnesota has watched the 'under' go 4-1 and it should be 5-0 if it wasn't for some miraculous plays in Week 1's matchup against the Jaguars. The Vikings' defense (15.8 PPG) has been lights out this season, plus the offense prefers to grind rather than glow. No early total was released due to injuries but a number in the low to mid-forties should be expected.

Buffalo at Arizona: Can an average offense score on a suspect defense? Gamblers will ask themselves that question when the Bills, who have allowed 97 points the last two weeks, visit the Cardinals. Buffalo has watched the 'over' cash in four of five, due to its aforementioned weak defense. Meanwhile, Arizona has seen the 'under' go 4-1 and similar to Minnesota, the 'under' should be 5-0 if it wasn't for the late bursts in a Week 4 overtime win over Miami (24-21). Betting the 'over' in the desert was once a solid look but a weak offense and strong defense has changed that trend. Despite that fact, the total is still pretty healthy at 43 ½ points.

New England at Seattle: Another question for gamblers - can a great offense score on a great defense? The Patriots have seen the 'over' go 3-2 behind an offense that's scored 30 or more in four games this season. Defensively, Seattle is ranked first in total defense (258 YPG) and second in points per game (14) and the unit has played talented units in the Cowboys, Packers and Panthers. This will easily be the toughest test for Seattle, who has seen the 'under' go 5-0. New England is starting to run the ball more with a hurry-up look but the Seahawks have been beasts on the ground (66.6 YPG). The total is hovering around 44 ½-points, which is the lowest total for the Pats this season and not surprisingly, the highest for the Seahawks. Make a note that New England made two trips to the West Coast last season and they scored a combined 72 points against the Broncos (41) and Raiders (31) respectively.

Line Moves

The smart money went 3-1 (75%) last week with their total moves in Week 5. Below are the Week 6 totals that have been adjusted by 1 ½ points or more at CRIS as of Saturday.

Cincinnati at Cleveland: Line opened at 45 and dropped to 43 ½ (See above)
Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets: Line opened at 42 and jumped to 43 1/2
Kansas City at Tampa Bay: Line opened at 42 ½ and dropped to 40 ½ (Chiefs QB Matt Cassel 'out')

Fearless Predictions

If it wasn't for the Chicago-Jacksonville bad beat that we mentioned above, it would've been a clean sweep. Still, the profits were $190 for the week and now $350 on the year. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck!

Best Over: Atlanta-Oakland 48.5

Best Under: Cleveland-Cincinnati 43

Best Team Total: Over Oakland 18 1/2

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over 39 ½ Atlanta-Oakland
Under 52 Cleveland-Cincinnati
Under 46 ½ Miami-St. Louis




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-14-12 06:45 AM
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NFL Week 6 Preview: Cowboys at Ravens

DALLAS COWBOYS (2-2)

at BALTIMORE RAVENS (4-1)


Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -3½, Total: 44

Baltimore seeks a fourth straight victory on Sunday afternoon when Dallas pays a visit to Charm City.

Dallas had a bye week after Tony Romo’s five-interception Monday Night Football disaster against the Bears, but things won’t be easier playing on the road at Baltimore. The bye week should help, but Romo has thrown 2 TD and 7 INT over his past three games as the Cowboys offense has been as dysfunctional as ever. Baltimore’s new no-huddle attack has been slowed the past two games, managing just 32 points against two weak defenses (Cleveland and Kansas City). The Ravens defense has managed only nine sacks this year while playing without reigning defensive player of the year OLB Terrell Suggs (Achilles).

Can the Cowboys halt the Ravens win streak on Sunday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Although Tony Romo is getting all the blame, his Dallas team hasn't figured out how to run the football, averaging a comical 42.7 rushing yards per game since Week 2. DeMarco Murray, who averaged 5.5 YPC last season, is down to 3.9 YPC this year. Romo has spread the wealth in the passing game between his top three receivers (Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Kevin Ogletree) and TE Jason Witten. Austin has been the most consistent, but Bryant (9 TD in 2011) has zero touchdowns in 2012, Ogletree has just nine catches over the past three weeks and Witten is tied for the league lead in dropped passes with five. The Cowboys secondary continues to be the strength of the football team leading the league with 169.5 passing YPG allowed, despite giving up 267 to Chicago in the last game. Dallas has shored up its run defense in the past two weeks, allowing just 168 yards on 53 carries (3.2 YPC).

Joe Flacco is coming off a season-low 187 passing yards in last week's ugly 9-6 win at Kansas City. However, he has been outstanding in three home games this season, throwing for 1,037 yards (346 YPG), 6 TD and 2 INT. WR Anquan Boldin started the season off slow, but he has strung together two great games, compiling 213 yards on 13 catches. Despite a subpar air attack against the Chiefs, RB Ray Rice had his best rushing performance last week, gaining 102 yards on 6.0 YPC. The Ravens have now rushed for more than 100 yards in all five games this season. Defensively, Baltimore's run-stop unit gave up 214 yards last week, but the Chiefs carried the ball 50 times, gaining just 4.3 yards per attempt. For the season, Baltimore ranks sixth in the league by allowing just 3.5 YPC.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-14-12 06:51 AM
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Long Sheet

Week 6



Sunday, October 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 5) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 106-140 ATS (-48.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 3) at ATLANTA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 2) at BALTIMORE (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (1 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (2 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (4 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 2) - 10/15/2012, 8:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-14-12 07:02 AM
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