let's close out Premier League on a High Note

The final day of the 2016-17 Premier League season takes place on Sunday, May 21. Unfortunately we already have a champion (Chelsea) and we also know the 3 relegated teams: Sunderland, Middlesbrough, and Hull. However, there’s a still a lot at stake in terms of Top 4 Finish, Top Goalscorer, and Season Point Totals on the line.

Top Scorer: Things changed QUICKLY on Thursday afternoon as Tottenham’s Harry Kane erupted for 4 goals in a 6-1 win at Leicester. He now leads the way with 26 goals on the year, followed by Everton’s Romelu Lukaku with 24 goals and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez with 23 goals. Tottenham go to Hull City this weekend, while Arsenal and Everton face each other. Before the season, here were their odds to lead the league in goals:
Lukaku +1550
Alexis +3000
Kane +710

Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero entered the season as the favorite at +360 odds, but missing games due to suspension really hurt his chances. Aguero still had a solid season with 18 goals, but won’t be in contention on the last day to lead the Premier League.

Season Point Totals: Manchester City opened at 76.5 and closed at 75.5 before the season. They are currently on 75 points and are -285 favorites at Watford on the final day. They are the only team left with their Season Point Total on the line heading into the final game.

Teams that have gone OVER their season point total:
Arsenal 71.5
Chelsea 71.5
Tottenham 66.5
Liverpool 66.5
Everton 53.5
Bournemouth 42.5
West Brom 41.5
Watford 38.5
Burnley 31.5
Hull 31.5

Teams that have gone UNDER their season point total:
Man United 75.5
Leicester City 56.5
West Ham 52.5
Southampton 49.5
Stoke 45.5
Crystal Palace 44.5
Swansea 42.5
Sunderland 40.5
Middlesbrough 37.5

Top 4 odds: There are 3 teams vying for the final 2 spots in the Top 4 (joining Chelsea and Tottenham). Why is the Top 4 crucial? If you don’t know, each team in the Top 4 gets an automatic bid into next season’s Champions League. Manchester City and Liverpool are in the driver’s seat, while Arsenal need help. Here were odds from the preseason to finish Top 4:
Man City -500 (currently 75 points)
Liverpool +150 (currently 73 points)
Arsenal -175 (currently 72 points)

Man City are big favorites at Watford in the final game and they only need a draw to seal Top 4. Liverpool are -700 at home against Middlesbrough, while a loss or draw would pave the way for Arsenal. The Gunners have to win the final game to have any real chance, and they’re listed -220 vs. Everton at home.

Champions: Chelsea won the title with 2 games to spare in the season. They were listed between +525 and +595 before the season. Manchester United and Manchester City both had better odds to win the title and received more tickets to win the title than Chelsea. With all the top teams performing well this season, their ability to stay at the top and not slip up was even more impressive.

Relegation: Sunderland, Middlesbrough, Hull have already been relegated from the EPL. Before the season Sunderland was listed at +280 to be relegated, Middlesbrough +190, and Hull -145. I had picked out Sunderland, Swansea and West Brom to be relegated so there was some profit to be made, but Swansea winning games at the end of the season negated even more.

let's get started with German Bund this morning

SOC [202569] TOTAL o4¼-110 (SV WERDER BREMEN vrs BORUSSIA DORTMUND

these lines are jumping

take a look at Philadelphia Union & Houston/Atlanta U 3 it has a good possibility for rain on & off this afternoon
GL

if you can get this one, from a friend who is a fanatic, with reasons

Deportivo Pasto at +190

I think that bookmakers have greatly over rated the home pitch for Caldas. Typically strong, Pasto plays in similar climate and conditions. Pasto is the far better side in this match & is playing to secure 3rd place. Caldas with their interm head coach were eliminated last week. Pasto did stay in Cali the last two days after playing a mid week Cup game, lessening the extent of the travel.

some of the totals have been dropped with the lineups, i try to watch early before this happens on the Final Day here as well
GL

they're back up, but won't let me parlay a couple, once again, glad to get on in early
GL

this is a good one to put in a parlay

SOC [202574] FC COLOGNE -157

Take a look at HerthaBerlin/ Bayer Leverkusen O 2.5

BetShare
Bundesliga BVBSVW

Spread
BVB (-2 & -2.5) 63%
SVW (+2 & +2.5) 37%

ML
Dort 50%
Brem 17%
Draw 33%

Tot (4 & 4.5)
Ov 57%
Un 43%

Leipzig -130

Parlay Time

May 20 SOC [202561] TOTAL o3¼-125 (SV DARMSTADT 98 vrs BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH)
May 20 SOC [202589] TOTAL o2¾-119 (SCHALKE 04 vrs FC INGOLSTADT 04)
May 20 SOC [202593] TOTAL o4¼-116 (SC FREIBURG vrs BAYERN MUNICH)

this one keeps getting better

SOC [202561] TOTAL o3¼-120 (SV DARMSTADT 98 vrs BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH)

I like that parlay mike, will follow.

Bayern o4.5 (-111)
Dortmund o4.5 (-110)
Koln o2.5 (-144)

let's go !
GL