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CNOTES
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Playoff Results - NBA Finals

June 10, 2013


-- Home and Road teams are 1-1
-- Favorites and Underdogs are 1-1 straight up
-- Favorites and Underdogs are 1-1 against the spread
-- The 'Under" is 2-0

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result

Thursday June 6, 2013

San Antonio (+5, +190) Miami 92-88 Underdog Under (190)

Sunday June 9 2013

San Antonio Miami (-6) 103-84 Favorite Under (189.5)

Tuesday June 11, 2013
Miami San Antonio - - -

Thursday June 13, 2013
Miami San Antonio - - -

Sunday June 16, 2013
Miami San Antonio - - -

Tuesday June 18, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -

Thursday June 20, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-11-13 11:29 PM
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NBA

Tuesday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat's 'Big Three' 8-3 ATS in Game 3 of playoff series
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday’s Game 3 of the NBA Finals could be the most important matchup between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs, if history has any say.

Since the finals switched to a 2-3-2 format in 1985, when a series is tied 1-1, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to win the NBA title in 12 of those 13 situations.

The lone exception, funny enough, is the 2011 Miami Heat, who split the first two games against the Dallas Mavericks and won Game 3 on the road before losing three in a row to the Mavs.

Miami has a solid record in Game 3 of a series since the formation of the “Big Three” – LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. Over the past three postseasons, the Heat boast an 8-3 SU and ATS mark in the third game of a playoff series, including a 2-0 SU and ATS count in Game 3 of the finals.

Oddsmakers have Miami set as a 2-point road underdog visiting San Antonio Tuesday night, coming off a 103-84 blowout win at home in Game 2 Sunday.

The Heat are 5-2 SU and ATS on the road this postseason and have gone 15-12 SU and 15-11-1 ATS as visitors during the playoffs since 2011. San Antonio is 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS at home this postseason and posted a 35-6 SU and 19-20-2 ATS mark as a host during the regular season

Despite being a 2-point underdog heading into a pivotal Game 3 and playing the next three games in San Antonio, books are still dealing Miami as the overall favorite to win the NBA title at -170 while the Spurs are +150.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-11-13 11:30 PM
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NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, June 11

NBA Finals, Game Three (Series Tied, 1-1)
Miami at San Antonio, 9:05 ET ABC
Miami: 12-4 ATS off 3+ home games
San Antonio: 9-18 ATS off BB Unders




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-11-13 11:31 PM
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NBA
Dunkel

Miami at San Antonio
The Heat look to build on their 20-6 ATS record in their last 26 road games. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 11

Game 705-706: Miami at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.530; San Antonio 128.939
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (79 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (71 - 27) - 6/11/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-86 ATS (+28.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 268-208 ATS (+39.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 114-80 ATS (+26.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 157-115 ATS (+30.5 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 56-44 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 11

Duncan is 3-16 from floor when Haslem is on floor, 8-16 when he is off; Haslem has played 33 of 96 minutes in series. Miami is 0-6 vs spread in game following its last six wins- their spread results in last eight games are LWLWLWLW, losing last two road games in Indiana series. James has taken only six foul shots in first two series games; he needs to go to basket more. Last five Miami games stayed under the total, but five of Spurs' last six home games went over. Heat won their visit here this year with James/Wade sitting out; they're 3-22 SU in 25 visits to Alamo. Spurs are 6-1 at home in playoffs, with pair of overtime wins. SA had 16 turnovers last game, after having only four in series opener.




NBA

Tuesday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat at Spurs: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-2, 187)

Best-of-seven series tied 1-1.

A second-half Game 2 demolition by Miami has created some momentum for the Heat as they start a stretch of three straight games in San Antonio with Tuesday’s Game 3 matchup against the Spurs. Miami used a ferocious 33-5 run to turn a close contest into a lopsided affair en route to a 103-84 victory that evened the series at a game apiece. San Antonio hopes to get a better effort from their veterans who struggled in Game 2.

Miami forward LeBron James has been held to a 17.5 average in the first two games and didn’t even lead the Heat in scoring on Sunday when Mario Chalmers was the most pivotal figure with 19 points. The Spurs’ trio of Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili combined for only 35 points in Game 2 after compiling 54 in San Antonio’s Game 1 victory. The Spurs now need to quickly forget the thrashing. “If you look at the result – being 1-1, it’s not bad,” Ginobili said. “But you don’t want to play like this in an NBA Finals. You don’t want to give them that much confidence and you feeling bad about yourself.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT: The performance of Miami’s supporting cast drew criticism in the playoff series against the Indiana Pacers but there has been no shortage of players stepping up against the Spurs. Veteran guard Ray Allen has scored 13 points in each of the first two games while Mike Miller and Chris Andersen each contributed nine points off the bench while joining Chalmers as game-changers. James said he feels Miami’s supporting cast has the edge despite the perception that the Spurs have a deeper list of contributors. “They’ve been making an impact all year long and they feel like their supporting cast is better,” James said. “We feel like our supporting cast is better. It’s who goes out and does it each and every night to help seal wins.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Duncan was just 3-of-13 shooting in Game 2 after being superb in the opening game with 20 points and 14 rebounds. Parker and Ginobili also played poorly as the trio was a combined 10-for-33 from the field. “Defense has something to do with it,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “Just missing shots has something to do with it. No matter how you slice it, it’s 10-for-33. Missing shots and not shooting it well and turning it over is a bad combination.” Spurs guard Danny Green had 17 points in Game 2 on 6-of-6 shooting – including hitting all five 3-point attempts – and is averaging 14.5 points in the series. Green is 9-for-14 from 3-point range in the two games.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a win.
* Under is 5-0 in Heat’s last five overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Spurs’ last six home games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. San Antonio committed just four turnovers in the opener before slipping to 17 in Game 2.

2. Miami is 3-22 all-time in San Antonio with one of the victories occurring in the regular season despite James and Dwyane Wade not suiting up.

3. Spurs F Kawhi Leonard is averaging 12 rebounds in the series and has six double-digit games on the boards in the postseason.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-11-13 11:32 PM
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Tuesday, June 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 9:00 PM ET Miami +2 500 POD # 1


San Antonio - Under 187.5 500 POD # 2




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-11-13 11:33 PM
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Heat at Spurs, Game 4

June 12, 2013


If Miami made any sort of statement when it evened the NBA Finals with its Game 2 victory, that statement was matched – and raised – by San Antonio in its 113-77 clubbing of Miami in Tuesday’s Game 3 at AT&T Center.

The Spurs took a 2-1 series advantage by dominating at the defensive end and making a Finals-record 16 shots from 3-point land. They took the cash as two-point home favorites, while the 190 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 188-point total.

Danny Green and Gary Neal stole the show by combining to drain 13 treys. Green scored a game-high 27 points, while Neal finished with 24. Neither player committed a turnover.

Kawhi Leonard scored 14 points, pulled down 12 rebounds, made four steals and completely stymied LeBron James with his defense. Tim Duncan added 12 points, 14 boards and a pair of blocked shots.

Tony Parker scored just six points but dished out eight assists compared to only two turnovers. Manu Ginobili finished with seven points and six assists.

James seemingly got beyond the mental hurdles in his game by winning his first ring last season. However, his critics certainly recall his failures in Cleveland, particularly that close-out game at Boston in his last game with the Cavs. They also remember his subpar play in the Finals against Dallas two years ago.

In Game 3, James was an abysmal 7-of-21 from the field. Sure, he does lots of other things (11 rebounds and five assists compared to only two turnovers), but the Best Player in the World has got to put the ball in the bucket when his team needs him in the NBA Finals.

For the series, James is now averaging 16.6 points per game, 10.2 PPG below his average for the regular season (26.8 PPG). James has only made 21-of-54 shots from the field for a 38.9 percentage. He shot at an incredible 56.5 percent clip during the regular season.

In the past, James might have deflected any criticism bound to come his way, but not so after Game 3.

Before the press even had the chance to ask about his shaky performance Tuesday night, James was his own worst critic, "If I'm better, we're better," James declared. "I'm putting everything on my chest and my shoulders. I've got to be better. I'm not doing my part.

"I can't have a performance like that and expect to win the game. I've got to do more, it's that's simple. I've got to do more.

"I've got to be able to put the ball into the basket."

Dwyane Wade had 16 points, five assists and four steals, while Chris Bosh finished with 12 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and three blocked shots.

Mike Miller made all five of his attempts from behind the line to chip in 15 points. If we go back to Game 5 of last year’s Finals against Oklahoma City, Miller has now buried 16-of-18 attempts (89%) from deep in his last four games played in the NBA Finals. Wow!

After scoring 19 points in Game 2, Mario Chalmers couldn’t buy a bucket and finished with a bagel in Game 3. Also, he committed four turnovers compared to only one assist.

If there’s a positive note for Miami going into Thursday’s Game 4, it’s that it has been downright nasty coming off a loss in these playoffs. The Heat owns a 5-0 record both SU and ATS in such spots, winning by a whopping margin of 21.6 points per game.

Most books are listing San Antonio (72-27 straight up, 51-46-2 against the spread) as a 1.5-point ‘chalk’ for Game 4. The total is 187.5.

Miami (79-22 SU, 56-45 ATS) will be in its ninth underdog situation of the year. In eight previous ‘dog spots, the Heat compiled a 6-2 record both SU and ATS.

Sportsbook.ag has updated its odds for whom will win NBA Finals MVP honors. James remains the ‘chalk’ but his number has been reduced to +110 (risk $100 to win $110). The next-shortest odds belong to Duncan (+300) and Parker (+300).

The rest of the numbers are as follows: Wade (25/1), Ginobili (40/1), Bosh (75/1) and Chalmers (100/1). The ‘field’ has +300 odds (risk $100 to win $300).

When I asked VI’s Chris David about the total from Game 3, he had a number of thoughts. David said, “Gamblers on the ‘over’ is Game 3 were very fortunate thanks to the late-game surge from the uber-excited Spurs bench.

“I’m guessing some folks were loving or hating DeJuan Blair (who scored nine points at garbage time). As far as the game went, the pace wasn’t extremely fast but the pair made shots, including a combined 24 bombs from 3-point land. I’d be surprised to see that type of production from distance again but I’m the same guy who’s been surprised by the lack of fouls and free throw attempts. Since combining for 35 attempts from the stripe in Game 1, the Heat and Spurs have taken a combined 28 and 29 the past two games, well below their averages.”

Those trips to the charity stripe, or a lack thereof, would’ve undoubtedly resulted in another ‘under’ in Game 3 if not for the wild 3-point shooting barrage.

Looking to Game 4, David said, “We should be well aware of Miami’s production off a loss (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) in the playoffs and the reason it has been successful is because of its offense. The Heat has scored 115, 114, 90, 99 and 103 points.

“Delving into the box scores further, Miami has averaged 24.2 free throw attempts in those wins. If you base your handicapping on current form and situations, the best play for Thursday would be ‘over’ Miami’s team total, which is hovering around 93 points.”

Tip-off for Thursday’s Game 4 is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Parker sustained a hamstring injury in the third quarter of Game 3. He had an MRI on Wednesday, but the results were not yet known. As of 4:00 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday, he was considered 'probable' for Game 4.

--The ‘under’ is 2-1 in this series, 23-6 in the last 29 head-to-head meetings between the Spurs and Heat.

--On Popovich’s watch, San Antonio owns a 9-2 straight-up record in 11 home games in the NBA Finals.

-- VI’s Chris David gets a hat tip for this gem of a stat: LeBron James is now 2-6 (33%) in eight career road games in the NBA Finals. On the other hand, Michael Jordan finished his career with a 12-6 road record (67%) in six Finals appearances.

--Miami hasn’t lost back-to-back games since dropping a 92-90 decision at Portland on Jan. 10.

--Sportsbook.ag has released future odds for the 2014 campaign. Miami is the +250 ‘chalk,’ followed by the Thunder (6/1), Bulls (10/1), Spurs (10/1), Pacers (15/1), Rockets (20/1), Grizzlies (25/1), Knicks (25/1) and Clippers (25/1).




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-13-13 03:54 PM
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James: 'Something has to give' in Game 4

June 12, 2013


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Game 4 of the NBA Finals will tell more about the Miami Heat than a 66-win regular season ever could.

Any questions about LeBron James and the Heat were supposed to have been answered by now. He was too good to be taken out of games, his teammates too talented to go through long stretches where they weren't contributing.

But they didn't resemble the league's reigning powerhouse in Game 3, when the San Antonio Spurs handed them the third-worst beating in finals history in a 113-77 romp. They looked like the confused club from two years ago, when the finals last came to Texas.

Another loss Thursday night and they're on the verge of something much bigger than another finals failure.

Lose this series, and the whole Big Three era might be a failure.

``Something has to give tomorrow night,'' James said Wednesday. ``They have a championship pedigree. They have four (titles). We have two. So something has to give. We'll see what happens. We've been able to bounce back throughout adverse times throughout the season throughout the years that we've been together, these three years. We'll see.''

``We'll see'' is the approach the Spurs are taking with Tony Parker, who has a mild hamstring strain. The team is calling the All-Star point guard day to day after he was hurt during Game 3 and had an MRI exam Wednesday.

``I want to wait until tomorrow before I make a decision whether he should play or not,'' Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. ``And obviously a lot of it will have to do with Tony, and what happens to him during the day, and how I think his play will affect our team, whether good or bad.''

The Spurs didn't need much from him Tuesday, when Danny Green and Gary Neal combined for 13 of the Spurs' NBA Finals-record 16 3-pointers and Kawhi Leonard had 14 points and 12 rebounds, essentially playing James even.

James had his practice jersey hanging over his back like a cape Wednesday, and he knows the Heat need him to be Super on Thursday.

And he insists that what he's going to be.

``As dark as it was last night, can't get no darker than that, especially for me,'' he said. ``So, I guarantee I'll be better tomorrow for sure.''

He should, given that his 7-for-21 effort with no free throws was about as bad as the four-time MVP can play. But he came to Miami so he didn't have to do it all, where a partnership with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh meant his days of having to carry teams were supposed to be over.

But with Wade battling right knee pain for a while and Bosh mired in a slump, there has rarely been the vaunted three-man attack that was expected when they joined up in July 2010.

``If us three don't lead the charge, we're not going to be NBA champions,'' Wade said. ``Our teammates count on us, so we have to step up.''

Some of the problem could be fatigue for a team that was forced into some playoff-atmosphere games in the regular season while trying to extend what became a 27-game winning streak, the second-longest in league history. With a huge lead in the standings in March, the Heat could have instead opted to give their veterans some extra rest.

That's what Popovich has always done, essentially sacrificing a couple of lengthy winning streaks in recent years by resting key players when they were still intact.

``There are no right and wrong answers to the way people do things, because it's pretty hard to assess and evaluate,'' Popovich said. ``Suffice to say, everybody has a different approach to playing time or when to sit or not sit players. And we do it one way, other teams do it differently. There's no one to say one way is right or the other way is right.''

But the Heat's way will be second-guessed - just like everything about them is - if they don't pull out this series. There will be calls to break up the Big Three, criticisms of James, and everything else that Tim Duncan and the Spurs never had to deal with in small-market San Antonio.

``I guess if you allow yourself to be affected by it and you allow yourself to look and read everything, then everyone is under a microscope,'' Duncan said. ``As I've said, I don't envy that kind of scrutiny and pressure in any way.''

It's what the Heat signed up when James arrived and guaranteed titles three summers ago, and the pressure became even greater after they flopped the first time with their loss to Dallas at the end of their first season together.

The Heat looked so vulnerable then, but seeing them as bewildered as they were Wednesday was stunning. James too often seemed to linger around the perimeter, an old habit reappearing when it seemed he'd put it aside for good and wouldn't allow himself to settle for jumpers anymore when he could go into the post instead.

Part of the reason is the Spurs, with a solid defensive game plan and a versatile defender in Leonard who can apply it. But the Heat also realized another problem was simply their own effort - or lack thereof - in going for rebounds and loose balls.

``We just collectively played a very bad basketball game last night. And that was everybody, including the staff. It was hard to really judge anything and evaluate anything from that game,'' Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. ``That's why after the film session, all we're focused on is how we prepare the next 24 hours to have our best game of the series tomorrow night.''

Game 4 is where the Heat started to lose control of the series against Dallas two years ago, but they know it's where they have to regain it this time. They haven't lost two in a row in five months, and this isn't the time for that to end.

``We've been at our best when I guess our backs are up against the wall, and we're at it again,'' James said. ``We'll see how we respond tomorrow.''




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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NBA Finals stuck in blowouts, no drama

June 12, 2013


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Spurs guard Tony Parker opened the NBA Finals with a memorable shot at the end of Game 1.

San Antonio's 92-88 victory gave hope that the series against the defending champion Miami Heat was going to be full of close games.

It hasn't quite worked out that way so far.

What followed Parker's sensational shot in Game 1 - a twisting, ducking, barely shot clock-beating jumper off the glass - was a 19-point Heat blowout in Game 2 and the Spurs coasting to a 113-77 win on Tuesday night to take a 2-1 series lead.

The blowouts have sent the stars on both teams to the bench early and allowed guys such as DeJuan Blair and James Jones to run out the clock.

``We both answered the losses very well. We both have not answered the wins very well,'' Tim Duncan said. ``That's one thing Pop always points out - you have to be able to bring that same energy with wins and not be satisfied with yourself.''

Heat forward Chris Bosh on Wednesday described the series as ``bipolar basketball'' with wild swings about which team seems to be in total command.

``Can the Spurs bounce back? Aw, man, is Miami serious?'' Bosh said. ``You just have to deal with it.''

Swapping lopsided wins in the Finals is hardly unprecedented. When the Spurs won the championship in 2005 against Detroit, the average margin of victory for the home team the first four games was 21 points.

Game 5 then went to overtime, and the next two games were both decided in single digits.

``It's more normal than people think,'' Manu Ginobili said. ``I still remember 2005 Finals. The first four games were basically blowouts. We won both by 20 here, they won by 20 there. It happens. It's the past, we don't care. We just have to face the next game as if it's going to be a really close one, which we expect.''

---

HEAT'S DEFENSIVE ISSUES: Before the blowout loss in Game 3, the Heat had only given up more than 100 points once in their previous 18 playoff games.

So while many Wednesday pointed the finger at LeBron James for his lack of scoring, Bosh bemoaned the Heat defense that surrendered a Finals-record 16 3-pointers and let the Spurs shoot 49 percent from the floor.

``It's not offense end that's really hurting us,'' Bosh said. ``It's everything that's happening on defense right now.''

Spurs guard Danny Green has hurt the Heat, hitting 16 3-pointers this series. Miami's Dwyane Wade, who has been chiefly matched up with Green, said the Heat must do a better job of defending pick-and-rolls.

The Heat arrived in San Antonio holding offenses to an average of 87.7 points, second in the playoffs behind New York.

``We've always really prided ourselves on being a defensive-first team,'' Bosh said. ``We have to get stops. All of those things go together. In order for everyone to play well - not only LeBron - we have to play better defense, team-wise.''

---

SCORING A NEW DEAL?: Aside from propelling the Spurs to a Game 3 win, Gary Neal could get a new contract after this season.

Neal made about $850,000 this season in the final leg of a three-year contract.

He said he was ``comfortable with the financial situation'' in Italy, where he played before the Spurs invited him to a summer league tryout in 2010. The long-awaited opportunity for the undrafted Towson guard interrupted Neal's honeymoon.

``I think I wanted to get back to the states to start my family,'' Neal said.

Spurs owner Peter Holt said bargain role players such as Neal help his small-market franchise steer clear of paying the NBA's luxury tax, which Holt said ``we really can't afford.''

He declined to say whether Neal's big game in a blowout might translate into bigger contract.

``We got to play a game. This is Miami,'' Holt said after the 36-point victory. ``Thursday is not going to look like this.''

---

T-MAC TIPS: Tracy McGrady's legacy as a two-time NBA scoring champion and All-Star is tempered by the fact that he never led a team out of the first round of the playoffs in seven tries.

Stephen Jackson was waived by the Spurs in April. That left San Antonio needing a spare swingman for the postseason, and gave McGrady a chance to get a ring after 15 seasons. He's played 14 minutes in the Finals because of the back-to-back blowouts.

But McGrady's biggest asset might be playing the role of LeBron James in practice. His advice to the MVP: he can't do it on his own.

``On this level? One guy is not going to be the team,'' McGrady said. ``Everybody needs their supporting cast. The greatest player ever, Michael Jordan, he needed a supporting cast. ... For LeBron, he's not having those 25, 30-point games. He's playing a pretty (darn) good San Antonio Spurs team.''




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-13-13 03:57 PM
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5 things learned in Game 3 of NBA Finals

June 12, 2013


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Five things to take away from the San Antonio Spurs' 113-77 win over the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Tuesday night:

---

NBA GM'S ARE BAD: OK, that's an overstatement. Sort of, anyway. Danny Green was the 46th pick in the 2009 NBA draft. Gary Neal wasn't drafted by anyone. And they were the absolute heroes for the Spurs in Game 3, combining for 13 3-pointers and 51 points in San Antonio's rout. Want to talk ``Big Three?'' Well, forget LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. And forget Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili as well. The Spurs' three leading scorers in Game 3 were Green (27), Neal (24) and Kawhi Leonard (14). How Green and Neal got away from so many teams will remain anyone's guess.

---

LEBRON IS MAD: One has to wonder if it's time for LeBron James to go into video game mode. And one has to wonder if James even can go into his unstoppable phase against a team playing as well defensively as the Spurs. James has 50 points in three games of this series, with his shooting numbers getting progressively worse in each game - 7 for 16, then 7 for 17, then 7 for 21. ``I've got to be better,'' James said after the game. If he doesn't find a way to deliver, the Heat's reign as champions could be over in a few more days.

---

PARKER'S STATUS: The three letters no one wanted to hear in Spursland came out after Game 3: MRI. San Antonio guard Tony Parker will be tested on Wednesday to determine the severity of a hamstring injury. Parker wasn't really sure how it happened and did not seem overly concerned about the injury. ``It was just weird,'' Parker said, noting that he was not in pain postgame - a good sign, perhaps, for San Antonio.

---

MILLER TIME: Mike Miller's uncanny run of shooting in NBA Finals games continued. He took five shots in Game 3, all from 3-point range, and they all dropped perfectly through the net. In his last four finals games, he's 16 for 18 from 3-point range, an absolutely absurd percentage. Overall in this postseason, he's connected on 14 of 28 tries from 3-point land.

---

COMING UP: Both teams will practice Wednesday, with most of the attention surely going to be on what the doctors say about Parker's leg, and what the Heat will do to try to get back on track.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Heat at Spurs, Game 5

June 16, 2013


With the NBA Finals knotted at 2-2, San Antonio (72-28 straight up, 51-47-2 against the spread) will play host to Miami in Sunday’s Game 5 at AT&T Center.

Most books are listing Miami (80-32 SU, 57-45 ATS) as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 188. The Spurs are +105 on the money line (risk $100 to won $105).

For first-half wagers, the Heat is favored by one-half point with a total of 93.5.

Miami pulled even by capturing a 109-93 win as a one-point ‘chalk’ in Thursday’s Game 4. Dwyane Wade exploded for a monster game with 32 points, six rebounds, six steals, four assists, one blocked shot and zero turnovers. Wade converted 14-of-25 shots from the field and made all four of his free-throw attempts.

LeBron James finished with a game-high 33 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, two steals, two blocked shots and only one turnover. Chris Bosh added 20 points and 13 boards, matching his highest scoring output of the postseason (Game 3 at Chicago in the East semifinals). Bosh had failed to hit his regular-season scoring average (16.6 points per game) in eight consecutive games.

Ray Allen continued to provide solid production off the bench in Game 4 with 14 points. Allen is averaging 11.0 PPG in the series, scoring 13 points or more in three of the four games.

In the losing effort, Tim Duncan scored a team-best 20 points. Tony Parker didn’t appear to be bothered by his strained hamstring, scoring 15 points and dishing out nine assists.

Gary Neal and Danny Green remained hot from 3-point land, but they didn’t get enough looks. Neal drained 3-of-4 from deep and scored 13 points, while Green made 3-of-5 treys and finished with 10 points.

Game 4 was decided by turnovers. San Antonio committed 18 and the Heat had just nine. Miami beat the Spurs 41-36 on the boards.

We talked to VI's Chris David on how to handicap Game 5.

He said, "The Heat responded in Game 4 and improved to 6-0 both SU and ATS off a loss in this year’s playoffs. If you like to play that angle as you handicap Game 5, then you have to lean San Antonio. In this year’s postseason the Spurs are 3-0 off a loss, winning by 10, 18 and 36 points, the two larger margins coming at the AT&T Center."

"Also, as good as Miami looked on Thursday, it’s hard to ignore the fact that it hasn’t won back-to-back games in the playoffs since it took four straight from Chicago in the second round. If this trend holds true for both clubs, which is certainly possible, San Antonio will win the NBA Finals in Game 7 from South Florida. Grabbing the Spurs on the adjusted series-price (+240) certainly seems tempting."

The ‘over’ has now cashed in back-to-back games. Game 4 was the highest scoring game of the series with the 202 combined points soaring above the 186-point total. The outputs for Games 1-3 were as follows: 180, 187 and 190.

CD offer up his total opinions for us as well. "The betting public and a lot of handicappers were on the ‘under’ in Game 4, which was doomed when the pair put up a 55-point first and 59-point third. It also helps when you get a combined a 48 free throws, the most taken in this series. Surprisingly San Antonio (31) almost doubled-up Miami at the charity strip, yet they lost by double digits."

"Game 5’s number is hovering around 188 points and I expect it to be real close, especially the way Miami has been alternating wins and losses the last 10 games. In the setbacks, the Heat have averaged 85.4 PPG and they haven’t scored more than 93. I liked the Heat’s team total ‘over’ in Game 4 and I’m leaning ‘under’ 95 in Game 5. Make a note that the Spurs have allowed 92, 91 and 77 points off a loss in this year’s playoffs."

For bettors who are extremely bullish on the side and/or total, there are adjusted lines available that pay better odds. For instance, if you want to back the Heat -4, you can garner a +140 return (risk $100 to win $140). You can also back Miami at -6.5 (+190) and -8.5 (+250).

For the Spurs, gamblers can support them at -2.5 (+150), -4 (+185) and -5.5 (+230). As for the total, the ‘over’ can be played at 189.5 (+115), 191.5 (+140) and 194.5 (+175). The ‘under’ can be had at 185.5 (+115), 182.5 (+155) and 180.5 (+175).

Sportsbook.ag has updated the series price with Miami returning to the ‘chalk’ role at -260. The Spurs can be had for a +210 payout (risk $100 to win $210).

The offshore website has fresh odds for whom will take Finals MVP honors. James remains the favorite at -240. The next-shortest odds belong to Parker (+300), Wade (+600), Duncan (+800), Green (10/1) and Bosh (75/1). The number for the field is 25/1.

Wade’s odds were at 25/1 before he erupted in Game 2, forcing oddsmakers to radically reduce his payout.

ABC will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- How healthy is Tony Parker. On Saturday he said, "`If it was the regular season, I would be resting like 10 days."

-- If you toss out the last week when San Antonio rested players and closed the regular season with three consecutive losses, the Spurs have only lost back-to-back games three times this season. Five of those six setbacks were on the road too.

-- San Antonio has never lost back-to-back home games in the NBA Finals and the 16-point margin in Game 4 was the largest ever.

-- Chris David dug up some good looks on possible Game 5 props. He explained, "Including a 33-point effort in Game 4, LeBron James has now scored 30 or more points six times in this year’s playoffs. Prop bettors should take note that James has only averaged 25.8 PPG in the very next game. If you’re looking for a bigger drop-off in production, look at D-Wade. The All-Star just scored a playoff-high (32) in Game 4. Wade’s previous high this postseason was 21 (twice). Considering he hasn’t put up 20 or more points in back-to-back games since mid-March, his performance in Game 4 certainly appears to be an aberration.

-- Sportsbook.ag has LeBron's point total listed at 27.5 (-115) for Game 5.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Playoff Results - NBA Finals

June 14, 2013


-- Home and Road teams are 2-2
-- Favorites are 3-1 straight up
-- Favorites are 3-1 against the spread
-- The 'Over/Under" is 2-1

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result

Thursday June 6, 2013

San Antonio (+5, +190) Miami 92-88 Underdog Under (190)

Sunday June 9 2013

San Antonio Miami (-6) 103-84 Favorite Under (189.5)

Tuesday June 11, 2013

Miami San Antonio (-2) 113-77 Favorite Over (188)

Thursday June 13, 2013

Miami (-1.5) San Antonio 109-93 Favorite Over (186.5)

Sunday June 16, 2013
Miami San Antonio - - -

Tuesday June 18, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -

Thursday June 20, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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NBA
Dunkel

Miami at San Antonio
The Spurs look to bounce back from their 109-93 loss in Game 4 and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. San Antonio is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 16

Game 709-710: Miami at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.185; San Antonio 134.285
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (80 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (72 - 28) - 6/16/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 269-209 ATS (+39.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 57-45 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 51-43 ATS (+3.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, June 16

NBA Finals, Game Five (Series Tied, 2-2)
Miami at San Antonio, 8:05 ET ABC
Miami: 11-3 Under playing with two days rest
San Antonio: 7-0 ATS off a home loss




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, June 16

Heat's spread results in last ten games are LWLWLWLWLW; Miami is now 0-7 vs spread in game following last seven wins. Heat is 4-23 in franchise history at this site, but 2-1 this season. James has still taken only ten foul shots in first four series games, but if Wade goes for 32 again, and Heat scored 60 points in a half, this series won't go seven. Five of last seven Miami games stayed under total; seven of Spurs' last eight home games went over. Spurs are 7-2 at home in playoffs; this is a much bigger game for Spurs, their last home game of the season. If Heat loses this game, all they need to do is hold serve at home for title.




NBA

Sunday, June 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
San Antonio is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Sunday, June 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat at Spurs: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (1.5, 188)

Best-of-seven series tied 2-2.

There has been only one dramatic contest in the NBA Finals, which is now a best-of-3 series when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. The Spurs won a close game in the opener and put a 36-point drubbing on the Heat in Game 3, while Miami’s two victories have been by 19 and 16 points. Tony Parker’s hamstring is an issue for the Spurs, while the Heat crave another big effort from Dwyane Wade.

Wade rediscovered his form with a spectacular performance (32 points, six steals) in Game 4 that was easily his best of a postseason in which he has been severely hampered by a knee injury. “He’s willing to go out there and compete for his teammates and open himself up for criticism with expectations of something bigger,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said. “He’s giving us everything he has, and (Thursday) he was able to dig deeper and go to another place that we needed.” Parker has a strained right hamstring and revealed Saturday that it could tear at any time and that he would be sidelined for about 10 days if it were the regular season. Parker is hopeful that the two full days off between games will allow him to play better on Sunday after he gave a substandard performance in Game 4.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James had his best outing of the series with 33 points in Game 4 but his performance was just the third-most crucial behind those of Wade and center Chris Bosh. After a largely ineffective postseason, Bosh suddenly has three consecutive double-doubles and his 20 points matched his high of the postseason. He grabbed 13 rebounds and is averaging 14.3 points and 9.5 rebounds in the finals. “I don’t know really what the difference has been with Chris,” Spoelstra said. “All we know is we need it.” James was 15-of-25 from the field in Game 4 after going a combined 21-for-54 over the first three games.

ABOUT THE SPURS: Veteran guard Manu Ginobili is struggling through a woeful series. The 35-year-old Ginobili has scored seven or fewer points in each of the last three games and is averaging 7.5 points and shooting 34.5 percent from the field. “He’s having a tough playoffs, and hasn’t really found a rhythm or found his game yet,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “I think that he’s obviously not as confident as usual, and he knows full well he hasn’t performed the way he would like and the way he’s used to.” Power forward Tim Duncan is doing his part with two 20-point scoring games and three double-digit performances and guard Danny Green is 19-for-28 from 3-point range while averaging 16.5 points.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a win.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Heat’s last five road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs’ last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The NBA Finals has been tied at 2-2 on 27 previous occasions with the Game 5 winner claiming the title 20 times.

2. After matching the NBA Finals record with four turnovers in Game 1, San Antonio has committed 49 over the last three games.

3. Bosh was fined $5,000 for flopping in Game 4 after being lightly bumped by Duncan.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Sunday, June 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio +0 500 POD # 1


San Antonio - Over 187 500 POD # 2




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Game 6 - Spurs at Heat

June 17, 2013


The roller-coaster known as the NBA Finals continues as the Spurs look to close out the Heat for the franchise's fifth championship. San Antonio shot lights out in Game 5 on Sunday night, as the scene shifts back to South Florida on Tuesday with both teams seeking some sort of consistency in this series.

For all the stars taking center-stage in the NBA Finals, former North Carolina standout Danny Green has been the biggest difference-maker (and three-point maker) for the Spurs. Green knocked down six shots from downtown, while lifting San Antonio to a 114-104 home triumph as one-point underdogs. Following a disappointing effort in the final half of Game 4, the Spurs' offense rebounded with a combined 74 points from Green, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili. The former Sixth Man of the Year started for the first time in the series, scoring 24 points in Game 5, seven more than the previous three games combined.

The Heat's Big Three stepped up in Game 4 as LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh combined for 85 points. However, the three stars put up just 66 points in Game 5, including just 26 in the second half. Miami cut a 17-point first half deficit to nine by halftime, while getting within one point with three minutes left in three quarters. However, a 19-1 run by the Spurs cooled off the Heat rally, putting Miami on the brink of elimination for the fifth time since James, Wade, and Bosh joined forces in 2011.

The Spurs are sitting in an advantageous spot on Tuesday, as teams in the NBA Finals with the first opportunity to close a series are 5-2 SU/ATS the last seven seasons. The two losses occurred in the series between the Lakers and Celtics in 2008 and 2010, with each team avoiding elimination at home. Gregg Popovich's team looks to finish off another series on the road this postseason after eliminating the Lakers, Warriors, and Grizzlies away from Texas.

VegasInsider.com's Chris David breaks it down from a totals standpoint, "After watching the 'under' cash in the first two games, the 'over' has connected in the last three games of this series thanks to some great shooting, especially in Game 5. The two teams combined for 20 bombs from 3-point land and 40 made free throws. Those are two of the biggest x-factors when playing totals and they both exceeded expectations on Sunday."

David points out that the number has moved up following the three 'overs' in San Antonio, "As expected, the oddsmakers bumped up the number on Game 6 to 190 and that's already moved up to 190 ˝. Off a loss in the playoffs, Miami has been great offensively. In this series, they've posted 103 and 109 after the first two setbacks. The Heat's team total is hovering around 99 1/2 points and based on the back-and-forth trend, a lean to the 'over' would be justified."

The important number many people will point to is the 6-0 SU/ATS record by the Heat in the postseason off a loss. Miami won those games by an average of 20.6 points per game, including victories by 19 and 16 points against San Antonio off a defeat. David brings up the popular Zig-Zag theory, which sides with Miami, in Game 6, "If the trend holds true, then we'll see Miami post another double-digit victory in Game 6. It's certainly hard to ignore the pattern but in this business, all good things eventually come to an end. Grabbing points with San Antonio, who is 7-2 on the road in the playoffs, is the smart play in this spot, especially against a Heat team that is 5-6 ATS at home in the postseason."

Even though the Heat has been terrific off a loss recently, the possibility of a decisive Game 7 is a rare occurrence in the Finals according to David, "I think it's pretty funny that the conspiracy theorists are expecting NBA commissioner David Stern to create a Game 7, especially in his last NBA Finals go 'round. What bettors need to realize is that Game 7's don't happen often, especially in the last round. In the last 20 seasons, we only had three Game 7's in the NBA Finals. If you are expecting a decisive battle on Thursday, then you should take the Heat on the adjusted series price (-130). If they win Tuesday, you can get out of your bet on Thursday or even try to middle the Spurs with the points."

Miami opened as a seven-point favorite, while several books have bumped the Heat to 7 ˝. The game tips off at 9:00 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ABC.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-18-13 05:27 PM
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Playoff Results - NBA Finals

June 17, 2013


-- Home teams are 3-2
-- Favorites are 3-2 straight up
-- Favorites are 3- against the spread
-- The 'Over' is 3-2

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result


Thursday June 6, 2013

San Antonio (+5, +190) Miami 92-88 Underdog Under (190)

Sunday June 9 2013

San Antonio Miami (-6) 103-84 Favorite Under (189.5)

Tuesday June 11, 2013

Miami San Antonio (-2) 113-77 Favorite Over (188)

Thursday June 13, 2013

Miami (-1.5) San Antonio 109-93 Favorite Over (186.5)

Sunday June 16, 2013

Miami San Antonio (+1, +100) 114-104 Underdog Over (189)

Tuesday June 18, 2013
San Antonio Miami - - -

Thursday June 20, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-18-13 05:29 PM
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NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Miami
The Heat look to bounce back from their 114-104 loss in Game 5 and take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 18

Game 711-712: San Antonio at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.768; Miami 135.702
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (73 - 28) at MIAMI (80 - 23) - 6/18/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 57-46 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 95-80 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 124-86 ATS (+29.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 270-209 ATS (+40.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 18

Heat's spread results in last 11 games are LWLWLWLWLWL; Miami is now 12-0 vs spread in game following last 12 losses. James took nine FTs in Game 5, after taking total of 10 in first four games, and Wade has 57 points in last two games, but Heat bench was combined -43 Sunday, while deeper Spurs' subs were +22 and that was with Ginobili starting for first time this season. San Antonio starters shot 64%; Spurs are first Finals team in four years to shoot 60%+ for a game. If you look at first 2:00 of all five games, Spurs have 27-12 edge, so Popovich's adjustments have been better. Question is, can San Antonio seal the deal on road?




NBA

Tuesday, June 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MIAMI
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing Miami
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, June 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Spurs at Heat: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat (-7, 191)

Spurs lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

The San Antonio Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title and the Miami Heat need a series-saving victory when Game 6 of the NBA Finals is played in South Beach on Tuesday. San Antonio took a 3-2 lead with a 114-104 victory on Sunday behind a season-best game from Manu Ginobili and another superb performance from 3-point shooter Danny Green. Miami is vying to become the fourth team to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two homecourt victories.

The Heat watched the Dallas Mavericks celebrate on their home floor two seasons ago and would like to avoid seeing another such scene involving the Spurs. Miami won 27 consecutive games during the regular series but is finding the playoffs to be much tougher, having gone 5-6 in its last 11 games with no back-to-back victories since winning Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against Indiana on May 22. Ginobili had 24 points and 10 assists in Game 5 and Green made five 3-pointers to set an NBA Finals record with 25. San Antonio knows there is more work to do. “Obviously, you want to finish in the first opportunity you get,” point guard Tony Parker said. “We understand that Miami is going to come out with a lot more energy, and they’re going to play better at home.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE SPURS: Green is the clear-cut Finals MVP if San Antonio closes out the series in Game 6. The player previously cut by both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Spurs has made five or more 3-pointers in three different games while averaging 18 points. Superb ball movement by San Antonio has presented Green with numerous unguarded looks and he has answered by making 65.8 percent of his 3-point attempts. “My teammates have done a great job of finding me and getting me open,” Green said. “Luckily, it seems everything is going right for me.” Parker scored a game-high 26 points in Game 5 despite playing through a hamstring injury while power forward Tim Duncan had 17 points and 12 rebounds for his third double-double of the series.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James is aware he will receive a lot of criticism if Miami falls short but he isn’t running from it on the eve of Game 6. James is averaging 21.6 points and 10.8 rebounds and has reached 20 points just twice in the series. “I have to come up big for sure in Game 6,” James said. “But I believe we all have to play at a high level in order to keep the series going. So me being one of the leaders of this team, I do put a lot of pressure on myself to force a Game 7 and I look forward to the challenge.” Guard Dwyane Wade has put together back-to-back stellar games of 32 and 25 points and veteran guard Ray Allen had his best game of the series with 21 points on 7-of-10 shooting in Game 5.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss.
* Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Heat’s last four home games.
* Under is 16-4-1 in Spurs’ last 21 road games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The three teams to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two consecutive home victories are the 1988 Los Angeles Lakers, the 1994 Houston Rockets and the 2010 Lakers.

2. San Antonio is shooting 44.2 percent from 3-point range in the series with G Gary Neal (12-for-24) joining Green in shooting superbly.

3. James is shooting 43.6 percent in the series, well below his regular-season mark of 56.5.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-18-13 05:41 PM
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Tuesday, June 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 9:00 PM ET San Antonio +6.5 500 POD # 1


Miami - Over 191 500 POD # 2




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-19-13 01:22 AM
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NBA Playoffs - Game 7 Facts

June 19, 2013

Game 7 Quick Facts

-- The NBA has had 112 Game 7’s in playoff history

-- The home team is 90-23 (79%) in those games

-- The NBA Finals has featured 17 Game 7's and the road team has won just three (17.6%) of those finales.

-- Ten of the last 12 Game 7 outcomes have been decided by double digits

-- The 2013 postseason has featured two Game 7. Chicago defeated Brooklyn 99-93 on the road in the first round and Miami knocked off Indiana 99-76 in the Eastern Conference Finals.

All-Time Game 7 Road Winners

Year Road Team Home Team Round

2013 Chicago 99 Brooklyn 93 First round
2012 L.A. Clippers 82 Memphis 72 First round
2008 Orlando 101 Boston 82 Conference semifinals
2007 San Antonio 91 New Orleans 82 Conference semifinals
2007 Utah 103 Houston 99 First round
2006 *Dallas 119 San Antonio 111 Conference semifinals
2005 Detroit 88 Miami 82 Conference finals
2005 Indiana 97 Boston 70 First round
2002 *L.A. Lakers 112 Sacramento 106 Conference finals
2000 New York 83 Miami 82 Conference semifinals
1995 Indiana 97 New York 95 Conference semifinals
1995 Houston 115 Phoenix 114 Conference semifinals
1982 Philadelphia 120 Boston 106 Conference finals
1981 Kansas City 95 Phoenix 88 Conference semifinals
1981 Houston 105 San Antonio 100 Conference semifinals
1978 Washington 105 Seattle 99 NBA Finals
1976 Phoenix 94 Golden State 86 Conference finals
1974 Boston 102 Milwaukee 87 NBA Finals
1973 New York 94 Boston 78 Conference finals
1971 Baltimore 93 New York 91 Conference finals
1969 Boston 108 L.A. Lakers 106 NBA Finals
1968 Boston 100 Philadelphia 96 Division finals
1948 Philadelphia 85 St Louis 46 Semifinals
(*) Asterisk denotes overtime
Game 7 Notes - Miami vs. San Antonio

-- San Antonio has gone 3-4 in Game 7's. However, the team is 2-1 under head coach Gregg Popovich, the one loss coming in overtime.

-- The last Game 7 for the Spurs came in 2008, when they beat the Hornets 91-82 in the Western Conference semifinals.

-- Miami has gone 4-3 in Game 7's, the last instance coming in this year's Eastern Conference Finals (see above).

-- Two of the three losses for the Heat in Game 7 have come at American Airlines Arena. In the 2005 conference finals to the Pistons (88-82) and in the 2001 conference semifinals to the Knicks (83-82).


San Antonio Game 7 History

1979 Western Conference Semifinals
San Antonio Spurs 111 vs. Philadelphia 76ers 108

1979 Western Conference Finals
Washington Bullets 107 vs. San Antonio Spurs 105

1981 Western Conference Semifinals
Houston Rockets 105 at San Antonio Spurs 100

1990 Western Conference Semifinals
Portland Trail Blazers 108 vs. San Antonio Spurs 105 (OT)

2005 NBA Finals
San Antonio Spurs 81 vs. Detroit Pistons 74

2006 Western Conference Semifinals
Dallas Mavericks 119 at San Antonio Spurs 111 (OT)

2008 Western Conference Semifinals
San Antonio Spurs 91 at New Orleans Hornets 82

Miami Game 7 History

1997 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Miami Heat 101 vs. New York Knicks 90

2000 Eastern Conference Semifinals
New York Knicks 83 at Miami Heat 82

2004 First Round
Miami Heat 85 vs. New Orleans Hornets 77

2005 Eastern Conference Finals
Detroit Pistons 88 at Miami Heat 82

2009 First Round
Atlanta Hawks 91 vs. Miami Heat 78

2012 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami Heat 101 vs. Boston Celtics 88

2013 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami Heat 99 vs. Indiana Pacers 76




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-20-13 07:31 AM
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Game 7 - Spurs at Heat

June 19, 2013


The NBA season will receive full closure on Thursday with Game 7 between San Antonio and Miami in the Finals. The Spurs were minutes away and even seconds away from picking up the fifth championship in franchise history, but Miami never quit in an epic 103-100 overtime triumph to force the first Game 7 in the Finals since 2010.

Although San Antonio covered as seven-point underdogs, Miami improved to 13-0 straight-up the last 13 games off a loss on Tuesday. LeBron James converted only three field-goal attempts in the first three quarters before going off for 14 points in the fourth quarter. James lost his headband on a drive to the basket in the fourth, but never lost his head en route to a triple-double (32 points, 10 rebounds, 11 assists), while Ray Allen's three-pointer in the final seconds of regulation sent the game to overtime.

Allen's late trey kept hope alive for the 'over' of 192, as his three tied the game at 95-95. The Spurs squandered a 10-point lead heading into the final period and even a five-point edge with 20 seconds remaining in regulation. However, James and Allen each drilled shots from downtown, while Kawhi Leonard missed one of two free throws to keep the Heat hanging around.

The 'over' obviously cashed in the extra session with 13 points scored in the final five minutes, the fourth straight 'over' in this series. From the "You won't see this again" department, Tim Duncan put up one of his best halves in his career by shooting 11-of-13 from the floor for 25 points in the first 24 minutes. However, the future Hall-of-Famer scored just five points the rest of the way, while not registering a point in the final 21:30 of the game.

Manu Ginobili couldn't continue his magic from Game 5 (24 points), as the Spurs' guard scored just nine points in Game 6, while committing a costly turnover in the final minute of overtime. Danny Green's heroics from three-point range came up short on Tuesday, hitting just one trey after converting 25 three-pointers in the first five games of the series. One of the constants for the Spurs, Tony Parker, played excellent in the first half of Game 6, while scoring five crucial points in the last minute of regulation before Miami's late rally.

One of the major questions coming into Game 7 is the health of Dwyane Wade. The Heat guard banged knees early on with Ginobili, while putting up only two points (on two free throws) in the fourth quarter and overtime. Chris Bosh didn't hit a lot of big shots in Game 6, but his assist to Allen on the game-tying three-pointer and two clutch blocks in overtime helped lift the Heat to their third Game 7 since the "Big Three" joined forces in 2011.

Chris David analyzes the success of the Heat in this decisive situation, "Since Miami created its "Big Three" of James, Wade, and Bosh, the team has faced two Game 7's. In those games, the Heat has gone 2-0 and both of the wins were by double-digits. However, Miami was trailing in both of those contests at halftime. In this year's Eastern Conference Finals, Indiana led 40-39 before getting outscored by 15 points (52-37) in the second-half. And in last year's conference finals, Boston led 53-46 at the break before Miami ran past the Celtics, 55-35 in the final two quarters, including a 28-15 fourth quarter."

The Heat cashed second-half bets in Game 6 as a seven-point favorite after trailing at the half, 50-44. David breaks down the profit opportunities so far in this series, "Betting halves in pro basketball is far from easy but based on the above trends, you could take San Antonio plus three points in the first-half of Game 7. Also, it helps to know that the Spurs have led the Heat in three of the last four games at the break and they were tied 49-49 in the other matchup (Game 4). In Game's 1 and 2, Miami led at half by three and five points respectively."

The famous Zig-Zag theory has been true from a straight-up perspective for the Heat since the start of the Eastern Conference Finals with each team alternating wins and losses the last 13 games. Will that hold up in Game 7? "Even though Miami didn't cover the number in Game 6, it did improve its record to 7-0 after a loss in the playoffs. San Antonio is also perfect off a loss in this year's postseason (4-0) and all of the wins have been by double-digits. It's hard to ignore that trend, plus it's hard to lay points against a Spurs team that is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS on the road in the playoffs. Not to mention that two of the three losses came in overtime. Technically, the Spurs have played one bad road game in the playoffs, which came in Game 2 at Miami and that game was close late in the third quarter too," David says.

This will be the third Game 7 of this postseason after Chicago knocked off Brooklyn in the first round and Miami eliminated Indiana in the conference finals. The Spurs are playing in their first Game 7 since downing the Hornets on the road in the 2008 conference semifinals, while the Heat have won four of six home games in franchise history in Game 7. Home teams have compiled an impressive 90-23 (79%) record all-time in Game 7 playoff history in the NBA.

From the totals perspective, David provides his condolences for 'under' backers in Game 6, "As bad as I felt for bettors who had the Spurs on the money-line in Game 6, I'm going to extend my apologies for anybody who took the 'under' instead. The perfect combination of missed free throws and made 3-pointers set up the improbable extra session. Allen's late-game heroics not only help the game go 'over,' but it also cashed the second-half 'over' for bettors that we're chasing their total bets."

The total will still stay relatively in the same area for Thursday, "The number on Game 7 is hovering between 189 and 190 at most books. The 'over' has cashed in four straight games and it could easily be 6-0 in this series. At the same time, you can certainly argue that the total should be 3-3. If you watch and bet the Association daily, then you understand that it's a "Make or Miss" league. Both teams have great shooters and when they're on, they'll both bust triple digits easily. Prior to Game 6, San Antonio has never given up 100-plus in three straight games this season," David points out.

The Heat opened up as six-point favorites for Game 7, as the number has stayed pat through Wednesday. The final contest on the NBA season can be seen nationally at 9:00 PM EST on ABC.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-20-13 07:35 AM
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LeBron excited for title-deciding Game 7

June 19, 2013



MIAMI (AP) - LeBron James could not sleep after Game 6.

Imagine, then, how frayed his emotions will be going into Game 7.

So much is at stake. Legacies, for so many players, James included. The NBA championship. Whether the season was a success or a bust. How he will be portrayed over the next few months. How history will judge a Miami Heat team that won 27 straight games in one stretch, 66 games in the regular season and now 81 games overall.

Although the Heat will insist otherwise, the common belief is that it all hinges on James' shoulders. And the four-time NBA MVP wouldn't have it any other way when his Heat take on the San Antonio Spurs in Game 7 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night.

``I want to go down as one of the greatest. I want our team to go down as one of the greatest teams. And we have an opportunity to do that,'' James said. ``Hasn't been many teams to win back-to-back championships. It's so hard. It's the hardest thing. I said last year it was the hardest thing I've ever done, winning my first. Last year don't even come close to what we've gone through in this postseason and in these Finals.''

James was so weary afterward that he had trouble pulling himself up from the chair where he conducted postgame interviews. But on Wednesday, even after a night of no sleep - ``everything goes through your mind after a game,'' he said - James said he was already feeling more spry than he was the night before. More rest, more treatment, some time at home with family and friends and a scheduled 9 p.m. date to watch SpongeBob with his kids, James figured that was the right formula to get ready for Game 7.

His second ring is 48 minutes away. If it comes, it will be earned.

``First of all, I'm blessed, man. I don't even know how I got here,'' James said. ``I wasn't supposed to be in the NBA, if you go by statistics and things of me growing up where I grew up. Every time I go into my locker room and see the `James' on the back of an NBA jersey, I'm like, `Wow.' No criticism can deter me from playing this game because of that. I'm not supposed to be here.''

He means that in a more broad sense, but in simplest terms, that also applies to Thursday night.

The Heat probably aren't supposed to be there. They were down by five points with less than a half-minute to go in regulation of Game 6. The championship celebration was being readied, literally around them. The Spurs were about to get their hands on the Larry O'Brien Trophy, and the Heat were about to slink off into another offseason of utter disappointment.

Until, of course, none of that happened.

James made a 3-pointer to get Miami within two, and after the Spurs gave Miami life by missing a free throw, Ray Allen sent it to overtime with another 3-pointer. In the extra session, James and the Heat found a way to pull out a 103-100 win, one that left Miami exhausted and San Antonio devastated. They collide one last time on Thursday with all eyes on James, who struggled for much of the game and still finished with 32 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists.

``He had an `off' triple-double,'' Heat guard Mike Miller said. ``I can't have an `on' triple-double.''

In James' lifetime, only four franchises - Chicago, the Los Angeles Lakers, Detroit and Houston - have won consecutive championships.

Miami can be the fifth, and even though Heat coach Erik Spoelstra is cautioning his team to not think about the potential prize, James said ``human nature'' dictates that he has to at least daydream a little bit about what might be looming.

``I will play Game 7 in my head from now until tomorrow night,'' James said. ``It's just who I am, how I am. But I won't be too serious. I won't go into a bunker when I get back home. But I will be mentally sharp, mentally focused and mentally driven tomorrow night.''

For the most part, the Spurs have found a way in this series to keep James under some sort of control, and that's even with him dropping two triple-doubles on them in six games so far.

They won't change their approach for Game 7. And the Heat don't expect James to change his, either. In fact, some say he'll set the tone long before the opening tip.

``I expect LeBron to be LeBron,'' Heat forward Shane Battier said. ``He's going to be loose. Usually, in shootaround, he does some dunks that would win any dunk contest if they were televised. That's his way of saying, `OK, I'm ready to go.' He's going to come here, he's going to listen to his music and he's going to do what LeBron does. If there's one guy we don't have to worry about, it's LeBron.''

James has kept his phones off during the playoffs. He's stayed away from social media. He has tried to limit how much he hears of what the Heat call the noise, all the constant analysis of a team that has alternated wins and losses for the last month - and now needs one last two-game winning streak to wrap up their second title.

``I don't know how it is possible,'' Miller said of James turning off the outside world, as much as he can, at this time of year. ``I tell him all the time, I wouldn't want to be in his shoes. It's not always fun being the greatest player on the planet. But he handles it about as good as I've ever seen anyone.''

It could be a great deal of fun for James on Thursday night.

If Miami pulls this off, a second straight Finals MVP award will likely be his, to go with the four regular-season MVPs. He'll be a two-time champion, to go along with his two Olympic gold medals. Others have won more titles and more MVPs, but poking holes in James' resume will become a considerably tougher task, even for his biggest naysayers.

``We can't worry about what the history books say. That's why it's history,'' James said. ``We have to live in the present. We have to live in the moment. And we have to do whatever it takes to bring that trophy - or to keep that trophy - here in Miami.''




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 06-20-13 07:37 AM
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