let's get going again and keep rolling !
GL

Friday MLS

orlando o3
vancouver o2.5

Saturday

atl/nyfc o3 -115 (should go to 3.5)
lag/chi o2.5
houston/SJ u3

waiting on u3 for columbus game

just my early thoughts/plays

Here is what I have played so far. I may have more later

Fri
LAFC/Vancouver O3 -109

Sat
Columbus/DC - Draw +240
Houston/San Jose U3 -121

Sun
NYFC/Atl O3 -125...If you like it get it before it goes to 3.5

9-11
-0.78 units

Friday Bundesliga

2* Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Draw +228

These teams are equally matched and 7 of last 10 meetings have totaled 2 of fewer goals total and in those 10 meetings neither team has surpassed 2 goals.Under is a little juicy here so I am going to call Draw at nice price.GL

on the draw too !! lets get this one !!

Sporting Braga o2.5

Real Betis PK

Friday MLS
2* Orlando City vs Philadelphia U 2.5(+135)

Union is tough defensively,so dont expect any 3 or 4 goal outburst from Orlando like last 2 weeks as Union have allowed just 1 goal in 3 home games this season.Also, outside of Union 6-1 romp late last year, these two only averaged 2.1 GPG in previous 6 meetings to that.Would rate this a little higher,but Orlando City does have some punch,so Im seeing 2-0 here but probability of City sneaking one in looms. I like Under .GL

Chelsea -118 & o2.5

Russia

Dynamo Moscow o2

The tough competition for Manchester City doesn’t stop this weekend as they travel to London to take on Tottenham at Wembley Stadium in a rare Saturday night match. Is now the time for bettors to actually buy low on City after three straight losses? We’ve broken down the betting market for that match, and more, to find the best value plays this weekend, including:

Chelsea at Southampton (Saturday, 7:30 a.m. ET on NBC Sports)
Leicester City at Burnley (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET on PLP)
Manchester City at Tottenham (Saturday, 2:45 p.m. ET on NBC Sports)
Arsenal at Newcastle (Sunday, 8:30 a.m. ET on NBC Sports)
Title Odds (via 5Dimes):
Manchester City -100000 (84 points)
Manchester Utd +25000 (71 points)
Tottenham +75000 (67 points)

Manchester City weren’t able to clinch the title on their home turf last weekend against Manchester United, but they’re still big favorites (1-1000) to get it done eventually. The only clubs who haven’t been eliminated from the title race are Man Utd (250-1) and Tottenham (750-1).

Relegation Odds (via 5Dimes):
West Brom Off Board (21 points)
Stoke City -450 (27 points)
Southampton +100 (28 points)
Huddersfield +140 (32 points)
Swansea +600 (32 points)
Crystal Palace +800 (31 points)
Brighton +1600 (35 points)
West Ham +2000 (34 points)

Sportsbooks don’t think it’s possible for West Brom to save themselves from relegation and have taken their odds off the board. Stoke City (-450) is a big favorite to be relegated as well, but who will the third team to join these clubs? The next four on the list all have critical home matches this weekend with a chance to move up the standings: Southampton, Huddersfield, Swansea and Crystal Palace.

Chelsea at Southampton (Saturday, 7:30 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Chelsea -113, Southampton +338, Draw +275

Chelsea have had a strange season and are still difficult to figure out. They struggled early before going on a roll to shoot up the Premier League table, but have since been in a funk. The Blues are still holding onto fifth position, but they’re just three points ahead of Arsenal and eight points ahead of Burnley.

Southampton badly need points in order to avoid relegation, and they’ve been really shaky defensively, conceding at least three goals in three straight Premier League matches. Fortunately, they’ll be back at home in the early fixture on Saturday against a club who doesn’t score freely, so they could be catching Chelsea at a good time.

Sharp bettors seem to agree since Southampton’s odds to win have moved from +382 to +338, while Chelsea’s have drifted from -134 to -113. There’s also been a small adjustment on the draw from +280 to +275.

Public bettors have consistently come in on the other side with more than 75% of bets on Chelsea. The short moneyline of -113 is too tempting for the public to lay off, but the market clearly isn’t worrying about all the Chelsea tickets. As ugly as it seems, I think Southampton can get something from this match, so I like the value on +0.5 goals (+107).

Watford at Huddersfield Town (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Huddersfield +168, Watford +201, Draw +217

Huddersfield are in desperate need of wins, points, and goals and a home match against Watford may be the right recipe.

Watford have dropped 10 road games this season, tied for second most in the EPL this year, and coming off a dismal 2-1 home loss to Burnley last Saturday. They haven’t scored in five straight road matches and have lost eight of nine away games in the EPL.

With home-field advantage and desperation to stay in the Premier League, I’m backing Huddersfield +168 to take all three points.

Leicester City at Burnley (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Burnley +167, Leicester +201, Draw +219

Burnley keep on winning and proving the oddsmakers and bettors (and me) wrong. They’ve now earned 13 victories in the EPL this season and blindly betting them to win every match has netted +22.72 units.

Leicester City are coming off a disappointing 2-1 home loss to Newcastle but are still in the upper half of the Premier League table. A win on Saturday would bring them within three points of Burnley for seventh place in the league and a chance to catch Arsenal in sixth position.

The betting market has been all over the place in this one — at 5Dimes and Sportsbook, the majority of tickets have come in on Burnley, but at BetUS and Bookmaker the majority of bets have come in on Leicester City.

As is the case for most of Burnley’s matches, the total sits at just 2 goals with the three-way moneylines all very close (+167, +201, +219). Although our “Burnley Draw” system in Bet Labs has dropped three in a row, there’s no real reason to jump off, so take the draw +219.

Manchester City at Tottenham (Saturday, 2:45 p.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Tottenham +169, Man City +169, Draw +261

As mentioned earlier, Man City are coming off three consecutive losses (at Liverpool in Champions League, vs. Liverpool in Champions League, at Tottenham in Premier League). This is a rare match where they aren’t the favorites to win and can be found at +169 around the market.

Tottenham have very little pressure on them coming into this home match and should be feeling good about their chances against an out-of-form Man City squad.

From our match preview from Martin Laurence: “Moreover, over the last 12 meetings between these sides, 15 of Tottenham’s 20 goals have been scored after the interval, and in contrast to their visitors, Spurs have been ending matches strongly for some time.”

There’s been very balanced betting action around the market with roughly 40% of bets on Tottenham, 40% on Man City, and 20% on the draw. Sharp action has sided with Tottenham to move their odds from +188 to +169 since the opener. It’s difficult to imagine this season’s Man City team dropping four matches in a row, but I agree with the sharp money and will be on Spurs +169.

good news for EPL fans: there's at least one match to be played 9 of the next 10 days

There are a few weeks for a football fan when Premier League matches can feel like a distraction. For Liverpool fans, these next two games are going to feel like two games that are just disrupting the story of their team’s grand ride to the penultimate stage of the Champions League. The first of those two games is against Bournemouth at Anfield on Saturday.

Liverpool have had perhaps the most amazing week under Jurgen Klopp till date. Over two legs of a Champions League quarter-final, they have knocked out a Manchester City team that was considered one of the best sides in Europe this season. The Reds allowed just one goal while scoring five themselves over the two legs. In between the two legs, there was the small matter of the Merseyside derby, which was expectedly less exciting than the two City games. However, Liverpool go into this Bournemouth game in their best form of the season. They certainly will be a bit tired after the midweek trip to the Etihad Stadium, but they must ensure that the exhaustion does not make them slip against the Cherries like they slipped against Swansea after beating Guardiola’s men in January. They cannot yet afford a slip-up because although the fifth-placed Chelsea are 10 points away, they have a game in hand. The Reds must stay focused for their remaining Premier League games, as they need at least 9 points from their five games to ensure their second successive top-four finish.

Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth are not sitting as high in the table as their hosts but they are a comfortable lead above the relegation candidates. In fact, Howe can train his eyes on a top-half finish for Cherries. It would be a huge achievement for Howe and Bournemouth but they have a few challenges to overcome. The first one is visiting Anfield and the second one is hosting Manchester United at Vitality stadium. For the Cherries to reach the top-half and possibly out-do their last season’s points tally (46), they need to grab some points in these two games. Their recent form has been good as they have lost only one game in last six Premier League fixtures – 1-4 to Spurs at home. But they have also won only one of those six games – 2-1 against West Brom at home. Eddie Howe certainly would not mind if his side can notch up one more draw at Anfield.

INTERESTING STATS
Bournemouth have never won at Anfield. In fact, their only victory against Liverpool in all competitions came at Vitality Stadium in December 2016. However, the last time Cherries visited Anfield, they did leave with a point through a 2-2 draw.

Liverpool come into this game unbeaten in a month, having last tasted defeat on March 10, against Manchester United at Old Trafford. At Anfield, the only defeat they have had was their FA Cup defeat to West Brom in January.

Liverpool have scored 112 goals in all competitions and 75 in the Premier League thus far. Only Manchester City (90) have scored more in the league. Of the 75, 38 have been scored at Anfield. On the other hand, the Reds have conceded just 10 goals at Anfield this season, 2 of which were penalties.

The Cherries’ meetings with Liverpool in the Premier League have tended to offer mouthwatering affairs going forward. In the last five league meetings between the clubs, 19 goals have been scored at an average of 3.8 per match
KEY MEN
Mohamed Salah
All it took a nervous Liverpool to calm down on Wednesday night at the Etihad was a Mohamed Salah goal – his 38th in all competitions. All the progress that Liverpool has made this season has primarily ridden on Salah’s goals and he does not seem as if he is quite done yet. His response to Harry Kane being awarded the goal against Stoke City last week suggests that he is not as agnostic to his chances of winning the Golden Boot as his behavior sometimes suggests. Not that he needs to worry. He is scoring at a xG per 90 of 0.78 in the Premier League, meaning that if he continues at that rate, he is likely to add at least 4 more goals to his tally of 29, which will break many a record.

Callum Wilson

Bournemouth are not as free-scoring aside as their hosts on Saturday. Two of their forwards Josh King and Callum Wilson have contributed 9 goals each. However, Wilson has scored seven and assisted two, while King has scored six. Wilson has a goal and assist each against Chelsea as well as Arsenal, but his form has dipped since the Chelsea game in early February. Currently, he is eight appearances without a goal or an assist. His xG per 90 of 0.27 and xAssist per 90 of 0.08 mean that he does have a 35% chance of scoring or assisting a goal if he is on the field for 90 minutes. Callum’s form, if it turns, could be key for the Cherries to finish in the top-half of the table.

TEAM NEWS
For Liverpool, Emre Can, Adam Lallana, Joel Matip and Joe Gomez will all remain sidelined due to injury. The Reds can, however, welcome back their skipper Jordan Henderson, who had missed Wednesday’s trip to Manchester due to suspension. Dominic Solanke and Danny Ings could both get some game time on Saturday, depending on how Klopp chooses to rotate his side.

Bournemouth may not be able to start with the former Red – Jordan Ibe on Saturday as he sat out the last game with illness. Tyrion Mings, Junior Stanislas, and Adam Smith are all injured and will not play on Saturday.

The Verdict

Both the teams have immediate targets in their sights and both will look to Saturday’s game as a step closer to their respective targets. However, given Liverpool’s current form, their home record, and the fact that they need a few more points to secure a top-four berth means that they are more likely to emerge victorious on Saturday than their guests from the South.

LIVERPOOL 2 – 1 BOURNEMOUTH

Montreal Impact at New York Red Bulls (Saturday 1 p.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: NY Red Bulls -195, Montreal +596, Draw +353

The Red Bulls opened as huge -210 favorites, and all the early tickets/money came in on Montreal for the second straight week. NY dropped all the way down to -177 before buyback brought the line back up to -195.

Bettors should be aware of the CONCACAF Champions League games that the Red Bulls had been playing in to start the season. The busier schedule has forced them to rotate players and rosters more often than usual, but fortunately they don’t have any glaring injury concerns.

The Montreal Impact are coming off a 4-0 loss at New England, but they suffered an early (and undeservedly, in my opinion) red card in that match which changed everything. Midfielder Saphir Taider will also miss Saturday’s game, adding to a list of unavailable players due to injury.

The line is high (NY -195) but deserved, and there’s no reason to think the Red Bulls won’t get the home win. However, I don’t see much value in backing them at those odds

Toronto FC at Colorado Rapids (Saturday 3 p.m. ET)
Moneyline odds: Colorado +142, Toronto +216, Draw +238

Toronto FC have only played three MLS matches so far due to their busy CONCACAF Champions League schedule, so there’s no reason to panic because they’re in 20th place in the league. They were also dominant in a 3-1 victory in their most recent MLS match on March 30th against Real Salt Lake, and they’re still arguably the best team the league has ever seen.

Despite all the accolades for Toronto FC, they come into this match as the +216 underdogs in Colorado. The Rapids have been a tough club to play this season, earning two draws, a win and a loss, and it could have been a lot better than that — they’ve given up late goals in three of four matches, which has cost them five points on the season. The results are there, but the Rapids could be atop the Western Conference if they finished those matches off.

This is a great spot for Colorado to win at home against a club that isn’t entirely at full strength.

Toronto FC head coach Greg Vanney was recently quoted saying, “Anyone who is healthy and hasn’t been playing a ton will find their way onto the field. I don’t know what my lineup will be. I don’t know what my shape will be.”

This won’t be the usual Toronto lineup, and doesn’t inspire confidence to bet on. At +142, I love the value on Colorado to get all three points.

i do like the movement on this match, especially the DRAW

SOC [200082] SOUTHAMPTON +½ +104

YTD
42-28-6 +36.18

358706385
SOC Mamelodi Sundowns DRAW +220

358706386
SOC Kaizer Chiefs DRAW +255

glta

note: appears Kaizer match was moved up to today from sunday