StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > It's that time.....The Lippsman Split !!! Round 1
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread


Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

It's that time.....The Lippsman Split !!! Round 1

Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.

Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?

I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem. The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners.

You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.

This is for the first two games in the series only.

This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.

Now there are variations that I do not recommend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.

1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.

2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But it's juiced more than -140. Which it usually is, then of course I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.

You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +125 or more.

Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat for most teams. Use that to your advantage.

Note no play on the Wild.

Philly +165
Devils +188
Leafs +140
Jackets +129
Avs +241
Sharks +127

Old Post 04-11-18 02:30 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

I am in, and I know less than nothing about hockey.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 04-11-18 05:48 PM
HoustonFan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for HoustonFan Click here to Send HoustonFan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14868

Lipps

no play on wild due to defensive injury issue ?




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 04-11-18 07:35 PM
geg1951 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for geg1951 Click here to Send geg1951 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
eagleseye13
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2013
Posts: 1807

Suter

losing Suter was massive for MN and Mn has lost like 8/10 in WPG

flyers o5.5/6




eagleseye13

"It doesn't matter who wins the game, it matters who covers"

2014 MLB Season Contest 2nd place +1985 (59-35-3)

Old Post 04-12-18 12:30 AM
eagleseye13  is offline Click Here to See the Profile for eagleseye13 Click here to Send eagleseye13  a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

geg

Yes because of the injury

Old Post 04-12-18 01:32 AM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Adding

Kings +131

Old Post 04-12-18 01:33 AM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Split left a 7-10 yesterday.

5 plays tonight, so looking to claw back some

Old Post 04-12-18 02:12 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Posted: 4/13/2018 7:45:30 AM
Last night 2-3 -.44 units. Overall 2-5 -2.44 so far

Tonight is

Philly +185
La +140

Old Post 04-13-18 01:46 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

No play on the Kings

Old Post 04-13-18 04:19 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Last night 1-0, picking up +1.85 units, overall 3-5 -.59 of a unit

Old Post 04-14-18 02:38 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Devils +210
Avs +289
Leafs +152

Old Post 04-14-18 02:39 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

I tell when things click and will tell ya when things bomb. Always have and always will. Not like most when a thud happens they just disappear

Well the Lippsman Split was split this first round. Been forever since the first round thudded like this. What the hell happened to our parity ?

Yesterday 0-3 -3.00, Overall 3-8 -3.59 units. Now with that said, 5 below .500 and only down -3.59 really isn't horrible. But not what we like.

I look for things to turn back around in round 2, but I highly doubt the deficit will be wiped out.

Till round 2

Old Post 04-15-18 04:01 PM
lippsman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for lippsman Click here to Send lippsman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Bike
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 954

>>> before it was called AOL


5.5 inch floppy. Commodore 64. Keep up the good work...

Old Post 04-15-18 07:39 PM
Bike is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Bike Click here to Send Bike a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
  Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: