West Coast
- West Coast Conference teams are 8-3 SU and ATS (72.7%) in their last 11 NCAA tourney matchups versus Big East foes. (St Mary’s-CA 3.5)

- West Coast Conference teams haven’t been as good as suspected as NCAA tournament underdogs, 7-20 SU and 8-19 ATS (29.6%) since ’07, including seven straight outright and ATS losses. (Against St Mary’s-CA 3.5)

Duke down to 2-

https://thevarsitynetwork.com/feed/source/oas-1693?audioPlayer=duke%3Aallaccess-Live-991

Public teams (65+% of bets) for Saturday's #Ma games at DKSportsbook


83% of bets on Kansas -3.5
82% on Duke -3.5
78% on UCLA -7.5
65% on Alabama -8.5

UCLA has already been to a Final Four under Mick Cronin, but this is the best team the Bruins have had since hiring the former Cincinnati coach. This just might be the best defensive team in the entire nation, which will be a nice thing to lean on in tournament play. However, UCLA is also very good offensively, with Jaime Jaquez Jr. being one of the best players in all of college basketball. He’s the main cog for the Bruins’ offense, and his ability to make plays in the mid-post will be huge when games become more difficult to win. Also, keep an eye on star freshman Amari Bailey, who could have some big moments in March. He’ll need to step up with Jaylen Clark being out for the season with an Achilles injury. The Bruins didn't feel Clark's absence in a blowout win over UNC Asheville, but there's no way it will go unnoticed against better teams.

Northwestern is exactly the type of team that you don’t want to face in March Madness. The Wildcats are outstanding on the defensive end, but they also happen to have some offensive juice in the backcourt. Boo Buie had 13 games in which he scored at least 20 points for Northwestern during the regular season, and he’s the type of guard that can single-handedly win a tournament game when he gets it going. Chase Audige is another good guard for this Wildcats team, but the biggest question mark for Chris Collins’ team is depth. Outside of Buie and Audige, will anybody step up and have a moment throughout this tournament? Ty Berry and Brooks Barnhizer both played well in a win over the Boise State Broncos in the first round. It would be massive for Northwestern if those two can contribute moving forward.

UCLA played its usual brand of smothering defense in a win over UNC Asheville in the first round. This season, the Bruins are second in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to Bart Torvik. So, it’s no surprise that they were able to bottle up a mid-major program to get March Madness started. However, the real test begins against Northwestern. The Wildcats scored 75 points in a first-round win against Boise State, and they have some legitimate firepower out of the backcourt.

With Clark out for the season for the Bruins, it’ll be interesting to see how UCLA’s defense holds up against better competition. Clark was one of the best defenders in all of college basketball, and he had the ability to check guards and smaller wings. Without him, the Bruins don’t have the same defensive versatility. They’re also missing a guy that became a reliable third option for them offensively.

Without Clark in the fold, the Bruins are going to have a little bit of a tougher time defending guys like Boo Buie, Chase Audige and Ty Berry, who combined to score 55 points against a Boise State defense that was ranked 26th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency this season per Bart Torvik. That’s not to say that UCLA is completely out of options when defending the perimeter, but Northwestern is deep with contributors and the Bruins being down one isn’t ideal in this specific situation

It should also be noted that Northwestern is 8-1 against the spread when playing away from home this season. The Wildcats aren’t going to be too uncomfortable in this neutral-court setting. In fact, some of their gunners might embrace the situation. Buie is the type of player that could easily swing a tournament game with his ability to score, and he’s going to be amped up to face one of the top teams in the nation.

UCLA does have Jaime Jaquez Jr. to lean on here, and his ability to execute in the mid-post area is a valuable safety blanket for the Bruins. That’s something Mick Cronin can always count on, and Northwestern doesn’t really have big men that can guard him — or tire him out on the other end of the floor. Along with just being a little more talented than the Wildcats, Jaquez’s ability to score inside the three-point line could make all the difference in the world in this game. Both teams like to play slow, but UCLA is a bit better at executing in the half court because of Jaquez’s patience.

Perhaps the Bruins’ ability to win grind-it-out games will force Chris Collins to open things up a little more. Northwestern has the personnel required to bomb away from three-point range and hope for the best. They’re better off doing something like that than playing to UCLA’s strengths. However, the oddsmakers set a low total on this one, so that might not be all that realistic.

Updated Kansas-Arkansas betting at
BetMGM


Kansas open -3.5, no movement
▪️ 73% of bets, 72% of money on KU

Total open 145.5, now 143.5
▪️ 54% of bets, 52% of money on Over

Arkansas open +155, now +150
▪️ 36% of bets, 23% of money on Arkansas

UNDERs 2-0 today in NCAA Tournament.

UNDERs 14-2 on Friday.

UNDERs are 29-9 (76%) in all tourney games this year.

I'm seeing 4's in the Kansas game

decided to buy it up even more

Second half unders are on a 28-10 run

Ark/Kansas 75

Kansas home radio call saying their best player is still an unknown
Rolled is ankle bad with a few mins to go in the 1st
The two players used to replace him weren't good

Possible game changer

Now saying his ankle is fine

Rise and shine!

Florida Atlantic is 9-1 ATS in non-conference games this season.

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FARLEIGH DICKINSON against the spread.
Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
(42-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +28.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-3 +7.7 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FLA ATLANTIC against the spread.
Play Against - An underdog (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-4 -0.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FLA ATLANTIC against the spread.
Play On - A favorite (FLA ATLANTIC) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
(53-20 since 1997.) (72.6%, +31 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3 -1.3 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FLA ATLANTIC against the spread.
Play On - Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (FLA ATLANTIC) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
(23-4 since 1997.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 -0.1 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (851) TCU vs. (852) GONZAGA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games
(38-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.6%, +29.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-6 +5.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (851) TCU vs. (852) GONZAGA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games
(38-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.6%, +29.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-6 +5.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (863) UTAH VALLEY ST vs. (864) COLORADO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (UTAH VALLEY ST) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(57-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +36.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-4 +11.6 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (863) UTAH VALLEY ST vs. (864) COLORADO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (UTAH VALLEY ST) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
(57-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +36.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-4 +11.6 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (863) UTAH VALLEY ST vs. (864) COLORADO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (UTAH VALLEY ST) - excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(57-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +36.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-4 +11.6 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (855) E WASHINGTON vs. (856) OKLAHOMA ST
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams against the total (E WASHINGTON) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games
(57-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +36.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-4 +11.6 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (853) LIBERTY vs. (854) WISCONSIN
Favoring: WISCONSIN on the first half line.
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (LIBERTY) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game)
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +3.7 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FLA ATLANTIC on the first half line.
Play On - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (FLA ATLANTIC) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games
(88-42 since 1997.) (67.7%, +41.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-2 +7.8 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FARLEIGH DICKINSON on the first half line.
Play On - Underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences
(29-8 since 1997.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (843) FARLEIGH DICKINSON vs. (844) FLA ATLANTIC
Favoring: FARLEIGH DICKINSON on the first half line.
Play On - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences
(29-8 since 1997.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (851) TCU vs. (852) GONZAGA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 (GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%)
(142-76 since 1997.) (65.1%, +58.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (14-8 +5.2 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (851) TCU vs. (852) GONZAGA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 (TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%)
(142-76 since 1997.) (65.1%, +58.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (14-8 +5.2 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (849) CREIGHTON vs. (850) BAYLOR
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (BAYLOR) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG)
(308-186 since 1997.) (62.3%, +103.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-6 +15.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (849) CREIGHTON vs. (850) BAYLOR
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (CREIGHTON) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG)
(308-186 since 1997.) (62.3%, +103.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-6 +15.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (847) KENTUCKY vs. (848) KANSAS ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG)
(308-186 since 1997.) (62.3%, +103.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-6 +15.4 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (847) KENTUCKY vs. (848) KANSAS ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG)
(308-186 since 1997.) (62.3%, +103.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-6 +15.4 units).

Sunday NCAA Tournament betting at
BetMGM


Most bet games
1. Michigan St vs Marquette
2. Pittsburgh vs Xavier
3. Kentucky vs Kansas St

Most bet teams
1. Marquette -2.5
2. UConn -4.5
3. Pittsburgh +5.5

Most bet teams $
1. Marquette -2.5
2. UConn -4.5
3. Pittsburgh +5.5

Most bet UNDERs (tickets) Sunday NCAA Tournament at BetMGM


1. Pittsburgh vs Xavier 150.5

2. TCU vs Gonzaga 155.5

3. FDU vs Florida Atlantic 149.5

Public teams (+60% of bets) on Sunday NCAA Tournament at BetMGM


87% on UConn -4.5
82% on Fairleigh-Dickinson +15.5
74% on Indiana -1.5
70% on Marquette -2.5
69% on Gonzaga -4.5
66% on Kentucky -2.5
61% on Pitt +5.5