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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Updated NCAA Tournament betting at
BetMGM


Favorites
• Alabama +500
• Houston +550
• UCLA +1000
• Duke +1200

Highest Ticket%
• Alabama 10.5%
• Kansas 9.2%
• Houston 7.3%

Highest Handle%
• Alabama 14.3%
• Kansas 10.6%
• Houston 9.5%

Old Post 03-18-23 05:48 PM
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- Second-round top-4 seeds that won but didn’t cover the spread in the first round are 39-16 SU and 29-25-1 ATS (53.7%) since 2013. They are also 32-20-3 UNDER (61.5%) the total. (Alabama -8.5, Houston -5.5, Xavier -5, Gonzaga -4.5, Tennessee 4)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:04 PM
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- Second-round double-digit favorites are 48-2 SU and 31-19 ATS (62%) since ’01. Fifteen of the last 21 such games went UNDER (71.4%) the total with the favorites allowing just 60.4 PPG. (Fla Atlantic -13, UNDER 149.5 FAU-FDU)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:04 PM
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- Small Second-round favorites of 4.5 points or less are on an incredible 17-2 SU and 15-4 ATS (78.9%) surge in the last three tournaments. (Baylor -1, Connecticut -3.5, Duke -4, Gonzaga -4.5, Indiana -2, Kansas -3.5, Kentucky -2)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:04 PM
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Second-round #2 seeds have felt the upset pressure, going just 14-21-1 ATS (40%) in their last 36 games. Those favored by 5 points or less are just 12-18 SU and 10-19-1 ATS (34.5%) since ’02. (Against Marquette -3, Texas -6.5, UCLA -7.5)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:06 PM
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- It’s been a struggle lately in the second round for top-3 seeds overall, as here are the current ATS slides they are on: #1’s 10-17 ATS, #2’s 14-21-1 ATS, and #3’s 7-15 ATS. (Against Alabama -8.5, Houston -5.5, Kansas -3.5, Marquette -3, Texas -5.5, UCLA -7.5, Xavier -5, Baylor -1, Gonzaga -4.5, Kansas St 2)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:16 PM
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- Seeds #4-#6 have been stellar lately in the second round, with these spread runs entering 2020: #4’s 16-10 ATS, #5’s 18-7 ATS, #6’s 18-9 ATS. Surviving the First-Round upset attempt has seemingly propelled these teams to solid round-two performances. (San Diego St -5.5, Kentucky -2, Creighton 1, TCU 4.5 – All teams in 4-5 matchups cancel each other out)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:16 PM
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- Better-seeded teams are just 8-15 SU and ATS (34.8%) when playing as underdogs to worse-seeded teams in the second round since 2001. (Against Tennessee 4, Kansas State 2)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:22 PM
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ACC
- In the role of pick em’ or small underdog (up to 4.5 points), ACC teams are currently on a 12-3 ATS (80%) surge. (Miami 2)

- ACC teams are just 28-46-1 ATS (37.8%) as favorites of 5 points or less in the NCAA’s since ’98. (Against Duke -4)

- ACC teams playing as double-digit seeds are 14-6-1 ATS (70%) since 2012. (Pittsburgh 5)

- In the 16 most recent NCAA tourney matchups between the ACC and Big East, OVER the total is 12-4 (75%). (OVER 152 PIT-XAV)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:22 PM
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American Athletic

- In their last 25 tourney games versus power conference foes, American Athletic teams are 17-8 UNDER the total (68%). (UNDER 132 HOU-AUB)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:23 PM
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Big 12
- Favorites are 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS (68.8%) in the last 16 NCAA tournament games between the Big 12 and Big Ten. (Texas -5.5)

- Against mid-major teams in the NCAAs, Big 12 teams are on a 13-5 ATS (72.2%) surge. (TCU 4.5)

- Big 12 teams are just 10-12 SU and 7-15 ATS (31.8%) in their last 22 NCAA tourney games vs the Big East. (Against Baylor -1)

- Big 12 teams have lost 56 of their 70 NCAA tourney games since ‘00 as underdogs of 2.5 points or more and are 27-42-1 ATS (39.1%) in those games. (Against TCU 4.5)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:23 PM
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Big East
- NCAA tourney games between the Big East and ACC have gone 12-4 OVER the total (75%) since ’13. (O152 XAV-PIT)

- Favorites are 28-14 ATS (66.7%) in the last 42 Big East NCAA tourney games. (Xavier -5, Connecticut -3.5, Marquette -3, Against Creighton 1)

- In NCAA tourney games between Big East programs and non-major conferences since ’15, favorites are on a 21-8 SU and ATS (72.4%) run. (Connecticut -3.5)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:24 PM
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Big Ten
- Big Ten teams have been vulnerable in the #4 seed of late, 3-12-1 ATS (20%) in their last 16 tourney tries. (Against Indiana -2)

- Big Ten teams are on a 10-4 SU and 12-1-1 ATS (92.3%) vs. SEC foes in the NCAA tourney. (Maryland 8.5)

- Big Ten teams have gone just 5-17 ATS (22.7%) since ’15 in the NCAA tournament vs. Big 12 and Pac-12 foes. (Against Penn St 5.5, Northwestern 7.5)

- For as good as Big Ten teams have been in the big favorite role, they have been brutal as underdogs of 5.5 points or more in the tournament, 6-48 SU and 20-34 ATS (37%) since ’98. (Against Penn St 5.5, Northwestern 7.5, Maryland 8.5)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:24 PM
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Conference USA
- Conference USA teams are just 6-16 SU and 7-15 ATS (31.8%) in the NCAA’s since ’09. (Against Fla Atlantic -13)

- Conference USA teams seeded in the bottom half of the tournament (seeds 9 or worse) are on a 10-24 SU and 12-22 ATS (35.3%) skid. (Against Fla Atlantic -13)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:36 PM
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Ivy
- Ivy League teams have gone 5-11 SU and 10-6 ATS (62.5%) in their last 16 NCAA tourney games. (Against Princeton 6.5)

- Ivy League teams are on an 18-9 UNDER the total (66.7%) NCAA run, including UNDERS in all of the last 5. (UNDER 149 PRI-MIS)

- As underdogs of 6 points or more in the NCAAs, Ivy League teams are just 1-17 SU and 7-11 ATS (38.9%) since 2000. They are also 15-3 UNDER the total (83.3%) in those games, scoring just 58.4 PPG. (Against Princeton 6.5, UNDER 149 PRI-MIS)

Old Post 03-18-23 06:36 PM
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Since 2005, NCAA Tournament teams getting 80% or more of bets have gone 2-11

80% of bets on Kansas -3.5 vs. Arkansas
85% of bets on Duke -3.5 vs. Tennessee

Old Post 03-18-23 06:38 PM
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Northeast
- Twelve of the last 19 Northeast Conference NCAA tourney games have gone OVER the total (63.2%). (OVER 149.5 FDU-FAU)

Old Post 03-18-23 07:00 PM
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Pac-12
- Underdogs are on a 13-5 ATS (72.2%) surge in NCAA tourney games between the Pac-12 and Big Ten conferences. Pac-12 has won the last 5 SU and ATS. (Against UCLA -7.5 & For UCLA -7.5)

- Pac-12 teams are on a run of 21-7 ATS (75%) in second-round NCAA tournament games. (UCLA -7.5)

Old Post 03-18-23 07:00 PM
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How does a Cinderella perform once they pull off a big upset in the NCAA Tournament?

13-14 seed are an ugly 1-13 overall and 2-12 ATS past round 1.

However, 15-16 seeds are 4-5 overall and 7-2 ATS past round 1!

Old Post 03-18-23 07:03 PM
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SEC
- Seeded in the bottom half of the field (#9-#14), SEC teams have struggled to an 8-21 SU and 10-17-2 ATS (37%) record since ’07. (Against Auburn 5.5)

-The #4 seed and the SEC haven’t meshed well of late, as they are 13-21 ATS (38.2%) in that spot since ’00 and have gone UNDER the total at a 25-8-1 (75.7%) rate. (Against Tennessee 4, UNDER 128.5 TEN-DUK)

- Underdogs are 32-15 ATS (68.1%) in the last 47 SEC NCAA tourney games overall. (Against Alabama -8.5, Missouri -6.5, Kentucky -2, On Arkansas 3.5, Tennessee 4, Auburn 5.5)

- As pick em’s or small favorites of 5 points or less, SEC teams are an ugly 39-47 SU and 31-51-4 ATS (37.8%) in the NCAA’s since ’99. (Against Kentucky -2)

Old Post 03-18-23 08:00 PM
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