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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/23

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite
(37-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
Play On - Any team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite
(41-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +28.9 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (511) ATLANTA vs. (512) MINNESOTA
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more
(56-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.7%, +34 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (20-8 +11.2 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a upset loss as a favorite
(51-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +31.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).

Old Post 03-22-23 08:34 AM
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msudogs
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (515) HOUSTON vs. (516) MEMPHIS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more
(133-74 since 1996.) (64.3%, +51.6 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (39-21 +15.9 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less
(85-43 since 1996.) (66.4%, +37.7 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (23-14 +7.6 units).

Old Post 03-22-23 08:36 AM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA on the first half line.
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss
(49-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +30.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-3 +2.7 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA on the first half line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more, off a upset loss as a favorite
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.8 units)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (517) PORTLAND vs. (518) UTAH
Favoring: UTAH on the first half line.
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PORTLAND) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.8 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (507) NEW YORK vs. (508) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the first half line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a road win by 10 points or more
(40-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.1 units).

Old Post 03-22-23 08:38 AM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (515) HOUSTON vs. (516) MEMPHIS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 111 to 115.5 (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games
(118-52 since 1996.) (69.4%, +60.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (32-15 +15.5 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (515) HOUSTON vs. (516) MEMPHIS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 111 to 115.5 (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more
(143-68 since 1996.) (67.8%, +68.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (44-18 +24.2 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 111 to 115.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games
(95-47 since 1996.) (66.9%, +43.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-9 -3.9 units).

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (519) PHOENIX vs. (520) LA LAKERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days
(52-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +28.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-3 +2.7 units).

Old Post 03-22-23 08:40 AM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (507) NEW YORK vs. (508) MIAMI
Favoring: NEW YORK against the spread.
MIAMI is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread this season.
The average score was MIAMI 107.9, OPPONENT 112.6 - (Rating = 5*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (515) HOUSTON vs. (516) MEMPHIS
Favoring: MEMPHIS against the spread.
HOUSTON is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 108.8, OPPONENT 127.7 - (Rating = 4*)

Thursday, 03/23/2023 (523) CLEVELAND vs. (524) BROOKLYN
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
BROOKLYN is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 105.9, OPPONENT 113.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Thursday, 03/23/2023 (527) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (528) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: OKLAHOMA CITY against the spread.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 126.1, OPPONENT 115.7 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-22-23 10:24 PM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (505) GOLDEN STATE vs. (506) DALLAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 118.1, OPPONENT 125.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
CHICAGO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 114.1, OPPONENT 112 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
CHICAGO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 107.1, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (505) GOLDEN STATE vs. (506) DALLAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) in road games this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 116.3, OPPONENT 124.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-22-23 10:26 PM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (507) NEW YORK vs. (508) MIAMI
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
MIAMI is 9-28 (-21.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was MIAMI 55.2, OPPONENT 57.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (511) ATLANTA vs. (512) MINNESOTA
Favoring: MINNESOTA on the first half line.
ATLANTA is 6-22 (-18.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 55.9, OPPONENT 61.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-22-23 10:26 PM
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Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
CHICAGO is 21-3 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 48.2, OPPONENT 54.8 - (Rating = 5*)

Wednesday, 03/22/2023 (513) PHILADELPHIA vs. (514) CHICAGO
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
CHICAGO is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 48.3, OPPONENT 54.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-22-23 10:26 PM
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Faves went 5-1 SU and ATS with the lone upset by the Thunder (+6.5 in 101-100 win at Clippers). The Hawks (-13.5 vs. Pistons), Pelicans (-13.5 vs. Spurs), Celtics (-5 at Kings), Cavaliers (-4 at Nets) and Magic (-1 vs. Wizards) won and covered as chalk. Home/road teams split 3-3 SU and ATS. Over/Unders also split 3-3.

More NBA: On the season, favorites improved to 700-366 SU with 16 games closing pick-'em while underdogs dipped to 525-517-24 ATS (50.4%). Home teams lead 630-452 SU and 546-514-22 ATS (51.5%). In totals wagering, Overs still hold slim lead at 541-526-15 (50.7%).

Old Post 03-22-23 10:40 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Wolves-Hawks total 241.5 tonight.

In the past 5 years, in games with totals of 240 or more points the UNDER is 93-72 (56%)

Old Post 03-22-23 11:12 PM
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