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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/21

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: LA CLIPPERS against the spread.
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home win, on Tuesday nights
(62-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +33.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-6 +2.4 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: LA CLIPPERS against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games
(56-23 since 1996.) (70.9%, +30.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +3.7 units).

Old Post 03-21-23 08:36 AM
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msudogs
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
(42-12 since 1996.) (77.8%, +28.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +0.6 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
(46-15 since 1996.) (75.4%, +29.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +5.6 units)

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
(113-53 since 1996.) (68.1%, +54.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-16 +4.4 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
(113-53 since 1996.) (68.1%, +54.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-16 +4.4 units).

Old Post 03-21-23 08:36 AM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the first half line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a road win by 10 points or more
(40-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.1 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (LA CLIPPERS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a road win by 10 points or more
(36-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 03-21-23 08:38 AM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 116 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), second half of the season
(52-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +36.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-0 +10 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 116 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), second half of the season
(52-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +36.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-0 +10 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 111 (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(52-17 since 1996.) (75.4%, +33.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-3 +6.7 units).

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
(57-20 since 1996.) (74.0%, +35 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-3 +6.7 units).

Old Post 03-21-23 08:38 AM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (573) DETROIT vs. (574) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
DETROIT is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was DETROIT 109.2, OPPONENT 120.8 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (573) DETROIT vs. (574) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
DETROIT is 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season.
The average score was DETROIT 109.6, OPPONENT 123.4 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-21-23 10:58 PM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 119.8, OPPONENT 118.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (581) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (582) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: Under on the total.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 111.9, OPPONENT 109 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-23 10:58 PM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (573) DETROIT vs. (574) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA on the first half line.
DETROIT is 5-19 (-15.9 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season.
The average score was DETROIT 53.1, OPPONENT 61.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (579) BOSTON vs. (580) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: BOSTON on the first half line.
BOSTON is 66-32 (+30.8 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 57, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-23 10:59 PM
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Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (577) SAN ANTONIO vs. (578) NEW ORLEANS
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 56.8, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 4*)

Tuesday, 03/21/2023 (577) SAN ANTONIO vs. (578) NEW ORLEANS
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 116 this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 56.5, OPPONENT 55.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-21-23 11:00 PM
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msudogs
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Best OVER teams this NBA season:

Thunder 42-29
Spurs 41-29-1
Jazz 40-29-2
Warriors 41-30-2
Hawks 40-31

Best UNDER teams:

Bulls 41-30
Hornets 41-32
Nets 39-31-1
Grizzlies 39-31-1
Heat 40-33

Old Post 03-21-23 11:02 PM
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msudogs
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Pelicans are HUGE 13-point favorites hosting the Spurs tonight.

The Pelicans have gone UNDER in all 8 games since April 2021 when they are at least 9-point favorites.

Old Post 03-21-23 11:06 PM
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Bulls upset 76ers 109-105 in 2OT as 8-point road underdogs to snap 76ers’ 8-game winning streak. Underdogs went 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS with the Mavericks (+4.5) covering in a 112-108 loss at the Grizzlies. The other upsets were by the Timberwolves (+8 in 140-134 win at Knicks), Hornets (+2.5 in 115-109 win vs. Pacers) and Jazz (+7 in 128-120 win vs. Kings). Only chalk to cover was the Warriors (-11.5 in 121-108 win at Rockets). Home/road teams split 3-3 SU with road teams leading 4-2 ATS. Unders led 4-2.

More NBA: On the season, favorites dipped to 695-365 SU with 16 games closing pick-'em while underdogs improved to 524-512-24 ATS (50.6%). Home teams still lead 627-449 SU and 543-511-22 ATS (51.5%). In totals wagering, Overs’ slim lead dipped to 538-523-15 (50.7%).

Old Post 03-21-23 11:42 PM
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