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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/19

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (547) ATLANTA vs. (548) SAN ANTONIO
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
Play On - Road favorites (ATLANTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +0.6 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (551) NEW ORLEANS vs. (552) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
Play On - Any team (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 3 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog
(48-17 since 1996.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: DENVER against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite
(110-53 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.5%, +51.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2 +5.8 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: MIAMI against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (MIAMI) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite
(110-53 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.5%, +51.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2 +5.8 units).

Old Post 03-19-23 05:56 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (553) TORONTO vs. (554) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots
(37-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.7%, +26 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-5 +2.5 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (553) TORONTO vs. (554) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (TORONTO) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more
(48-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +30.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-1 +7.9 units).

Old Post 03-19-23 05:56 PM
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msudogs
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: MIAMI on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days
(35-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +27.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (551) NEW ORLEANS vs. (552) HOUSTON
Favoring: NEW ORLEANS on the first half line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival
(43-12 since 1996.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (551) NEW ORLEANS vs. (552) HOUSTON
Favoring: NEW ORLEANS on the first half line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less
(34-8 since 1996.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 -0.1 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more, off a upset loss as a favorite
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).

Old Post 03-19-23 06:00 PM
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msudogs
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 111 to 115.5 (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite
(43-12 since 1996.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (547) ATLANTA vs. (548) SAN ANTONIO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 116 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home loss, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
(110-48 since 1996.) (69.6%, +57.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (24-13 +9.7 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 111 to 115.5 (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss
(63-24 since 1996.) (72.4%, +36.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units).

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (553) TORONTO vs. (554) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%)
(99-48 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +46.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-12 -6.2 units).

Old Post 03-19-23 06:00 PM
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: DENVER against the spread.
BROOKLYN is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 112.2, OPPONENT 114.4 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: DENVER against the spread.
BROOKLYN is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 105.9, OPPONENT 113.7 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT against the spread.
MIAMI is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% this season.
The average score was MIAMI 107.1, OPPONENT 113.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT against the spread.
MIAMI is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was MIAMI 109.6, OPPONENT 110.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-19-23 06:06 PM
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (545) PHOENIX vs. (546) OKLAHOMA CITY
Favoring: Under on the total.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-3 UNDER (+14.7 Units) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more since 1996.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
BROOKLYN is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 108.1, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 03-19-23 06:06 PM
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (543) DENVER vs. (544) BROOKLYN
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
DENVER is 27-13 (+12.7 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was DENVER 60.8, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT on the first half line.
MIAMI is 18-33 (-18.3 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was MIAMI 55.2, OPPONENT 57 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 03-19-23 06:16 PM
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Sunday, 03/19/2023 (549) MIAMI vs. (550) DETROIT
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
MIAMI is 26-6 OVER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.
The average score was MIAMI 58, OPPONENT 57.1 - (Rating = 5*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (553) TORONTO vs. (554) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
TORONTO is 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a win by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was TORONTO 59.7, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (551) NEW ORLEANS vs. (552) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-8 UNDER (+17.2 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 111 this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 54.2, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 03/19/2023 (551) NEW ORLEANS vs. (552) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-6 UNDER (+18.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 51, OPPONENT 53.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-19-23 06:18 PM
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Faves/dogs split 4-4 SU and ATS with upsets by the Magic (+6.5 in 113-108 win at Clippers), Jazz (+4.5 in 118-117 win vs. Celtics), Bulls (+2.5 in 113-99 win vs. Heat) and Grizzlies (+2 in 133-119 win vs. Warriors). Home teams went 5-3 SU and ATS. Overs led 5-3

More NBA: On the season, favorites lead 686-360 SU with 16 games closing pick-'em, but underdogs still lead was cut to 517-506-23 ATS (50.5%). Home teams improved to 620-442 SU and 539-502-21 ATS (51.8%). In totals wagering, Overs improved slim lead to 535-512-15 (51.1%)

Old Post 03-19-23 06:36 PM
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